Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
Sample Forecast for Sausalito, CA
March 29, 2024 4:30 AM PDT (11:30 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:56 AM Sunset 7:31 PM Moonrise 11:17 PM Moonset 8:01 AM |
PZZ530 San Pablo Bay, Suisun Bay, The West Delta And The San Francisco Bay North Of The Bay Bridge- 237 Am Pdt Fri Mar 29 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through this evening - .
Today - SE winds 15 to 25 knots. Showers.
Tonight - SE winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sat - E winds 10 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 knots.
Sun - SW winds 5 to 10 knots.
Sun night - W winds 5 to 10 knots.
Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 knots.
Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 knots.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
PZZ500 237 Am Pdt Fri Mar 29 2024
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay - Greater farallones - .and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries - .
a strengthening low pressure system over the eastern pacific will continue moving toward california resulting in southerly gales and moderate to heavy rain developing today. Cold, unstable air aloft with the low will also result in a slight chance to chance of Thunderstorms later today, tonight and Saturday. A high pressure system will build in behind the low late in the weekend and early next week bringing drier, milder conditions to the area.
a strengthening low pressure system over the eastern pacific will continue moving toward california resulting in southerly gales and moderate to heavy rain developing today. Cold, unstable air aloft with the low will also result in a slight chance to chance of Thunderstorms later today, tonight and Saturday. A high pressure system will build in behind the low late in the weekend and early next week bringing drier, milder conditions to the area.
Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 290930 AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
A weather system brings wind, rain, and a few thunderstorms to the region later today through Saturday. Moderate impacts are anticipated including minor flooding and potential tree and power line damage. Stay weather aware and prepare for longer afternoon and evening commute times today.
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Key Points: * Impactful weather system today into Saturday * Moderate wind and water impacts anticipated * Strong wind gusts may cause tree and power line damage * Minor flooding potential from locally heavy rainfall * Isolated thunderstorms with lightning and small hail * Peak impacts this afternoon into Saturday evening
Weather Overview:
A cyclonic flow pattern prevails aloft across the northeast Pacific early this morning. Two low pressure systems are evident -- one west of Washington and another located around 400 nm west of the Redwood Coast. A consensus of the forecast models suggest the lower latitude system will become the prevailing low as it drops southeast towards the northern/central CA coast. The surface low will subsequently deepen to around 995 mb as it locates just east of the Bay Area by this evening. This dynamic system will bring impacts to the region in the form of strong gusty winds, periods of moderate to heavy rainfall, and thunderstorms through the forecast period.
Below is a timeline of our expectations for today into tonight.
This Morning:
Scattered showers will increase in coverage across the Bay Area during the mid to late morning hours as warm advection aloft becomes the primary forcing mechanism for ascent. Breezy southerly winds will begin to pick up as well, especially along the coast and within the coastal ranges of the Bay Area. Showers should be light to moderate through most of this period, with heavier showers approaching the Bay Area as afternoon approaches. The primary impacts during this period should be wet roadways along the with the potential for a few branches down due to the breezy winds.
This Afternoon and Evening:
This will be prime time for the greatest impacts. Look for the deepening surface low to wobble towards the coast as a surface warm front lifts north early in the period before a cold front moves onshore during the late afternoon to early evening. Coverage and intensity of showers should increase by early afternoon with elevated instability providing for isolated thunderstorm potential as well. A 50 kt southerly low-level jet (LLJ) will impinge on coastal portions of the region as well with an uptick in strong and gusty gradient winds occurring. In addition the higher resolution convection allowing models are suggestive of a conditional risk for mixing these stronger winds to the surface in convection particularly as the main frontal band moves onshore during the early to mid afternoon hours. As mentioned instability is sufficient for thunderstorm development as early as this afternoon, but actually peaks within the colder and unstable airmass following the cold frontal passage. Regardless, thunderstorm hazards will exist in the form of occasional lightning, brief heavy rain, gusty to perhaps locally damaging winds, and small hail. Given the strong low-level wind fields and sufficient low-level directional shear can't rule out the potential for a landfalling waterspout as well, especially this afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue within the post-frontal environment overnight as the cold-core low remains in the vicinity. Now that we've outlined the weather setup here's a quick breakdown on potential hazards for today and tonight:
* Strong gusty winds with tree and power line damage possible * Locally heavy rainfall leading to urban/street flooding * Isolated thunderstorms with lightning, wind, and small hail * Conditional risk for landfalling waterspout
Stay weather aware today and keep up with forecast changes.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Saturday into Sunday morning:
While the weakening surface low will depart to our south the region remains under the influence of the cold-core upper low. This means we'll see plentiful showers and isolated thunderstorms on Saturday.
The day won't be a total washout (we'll probably even see some sunshine at times), but watch out because when it rains, it pours (as they say). So watch out for lightning, brief locally heavy rainfall, and small hail as potential hazards. This risk is greatest on Saturday afternoon, with coverage continuing overnight. By Sunday morning look for precipitation to have largely ended for most areas outside of perhaps the Santa Lucias and southern Diablo range.
Overall amounts should be lighter compared to during Friday/Friday night, but locally heavy amounts could cause minor flooding concerns if a heavier shower or storm traverses an urban or hydrologically sensitive area. Winds should be quite a bit lower as well as the pressure gradient relaxes. For temperatures, they'll be a little on the cool side with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s and lows mostly in the 40s.
Late Sunday through Thursday:
High pressure builds into the region with dry conditions and a warming trend through mid week. Expect a cooling trend by late week as upstream troughing traverses the Pacific Northwest states. A little light precipitation may accompany this feature as well but it doesn't appear to be anything noteworthy at this point.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1013 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR continues into Friday morning with light winds until around 12- 14Z. Winds turn to the southeast as a low pressure system approaches the California coast. Expect winds to be strong and gusty with gusts up to 25-35 knots across the region. Pre-frontal showers develop Friday morning before the main rain band comes during the afternoon.
After the main rain band passes, a dynamic environment will bring the risk of convection across the region, particularly the coastal terminals, into Friday evening. There is still some uncertainty in regards to convective potential inland and the timing of any impacts. The TAF forecast reflects the best consensus of model data at this time. MVFR conditions will develop within the main rain band with patches of MVFR ceilings in the pre- and post-frontal showers.
Vicinity of SFO... Expecting VFR with light winds through Friday morning. Pre-frontal showers develop around 12-14Z Friday, with more intense and consistent rain coming through Friday afternoon and evening. Winds turn towards the southeast and become highly gusty, with wind gusts at 30 knots expected. At this time, at least a 20- 30% probability that wind gusts reach 35 knots or above. After the main rain band passes, showers continue overnight. At this time, the showers are also associated with potential convective activity into the late evening on Friday, when model output indicates convective energy should diminish.
SFO Bridge Approach... Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals... VFR with light winds through the night.
Pre-frontal showers arrive Friday morning with more consistent rain coming Friday afternoon. Winds will turn to the southeast on Friday with strong gusts, up to 25 knots at MRY and perhaps 35 knots at SNS. Chances for convective activity arrive after the main rain band passes, most confidently at MRY.
MARINE
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1013 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A brief break in the rain will continue into the overnight period before light to moderate precipitation returns early Friday morning. Gentle to moderate northwesterly breezes continue tonight before moderate to strong southwesterly winds develop ahead of the incoming low pressure system. Gale force gusts will become more likely, particularly across the southernmost marine zones Friday into Saturday, with isolated gale force gusts possible across the northernmost zones. Thunderstorm chances are highest (25 to 30 percent chance) over the coastal waters on Friday with a 15 to 25 percent chance on Saturday. Wave heights will continue to build through the early work week before starting to diminish.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 5 AM PDT Saturday for CAZ006-504-509-510-512-514>516-518-528>530.
Wind Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 3 AM PDT Saturday for CAZ502-503-505.
High Wind Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM PDT this evening for CAZ517.
Wind Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 5 AM PDT Saturday for CAZ517.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PDT this evening for SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 3 PM PDT this afternoon for Mry Bay.
Gale Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Saturday for Mry Bay.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT this morning for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 9 AM this morning to 3 PM PDT this afternoon for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 9 AM this morning to 9 PM PDT this evening for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
A weather system brings wind, rain, and a few thunderstorms to the region later today through Saturday. Moderate impacts are anticipated including minor flooding and potential tree and power line damage. Stay weather aware and prepare for longer afternoon and evening commute times today.
SHORT TERM
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Key Points: * Impactful weather system today into Saturday * Moderate wind and water impacts anticipated * Strong wind gusts may cause tree and power line damage * Minor flooding potential from locally heavy rainfall * Isolated thunderstorms with lightning and small hail * Peak impacts this afternoon into Saturday evening
Weather Overview:
A cyclonic flow pattern prevails aloft across the northeast Pacific early this morning. Two low pressure systems are evident -- one west of Washington and another located around 400 nm west of the Redwood Coast. A consensus of the forecast models suggest the lower latitude system will become the prevailing low as it drops southeast towards the northern/central CA coast. The surface low will subsequently deepen to around 995 mb as it locates just east of the Bay Area by this evening. This dynamic system will bring impacts to the region in the form of strong gusty winds, periods of moderate to heavy rainfall, and thunderstorms through the forecast period.
Below is a timeline of our expectations for today into tonight.
This Morning:
Scattered showers will increase in coverage across the Bay Area during the mid to late morning hours as warm advection aloft becomes the primary forcing mechanism for ascent. Breezy southerly winds will begin to pick up as well, especially along the coast and within the coastal ranges of the Bay Area. Showers should be light to moderate through most of this period, with heavier showers approaching the Bay Area as afternoon approaches. The primary impacts during this period should be wet roadways along the with the potential for a few branches down due to the breezy winds.
This Afternoon and Evening:
This will be prime time for the greatest impacts. Look for the deepening surface low to wobble towards the coast as a surface warm front lifts north early in the period before a cold front moves onshore during the late afternoon to early evening. Coverage and intensity of showers should increase by early afternoon with elevated instability providing for isolated thunderstorm potential as well. A 50 kt southerly low-level jet (LLJ) will impinge on coastal portions of the region as well with an uptick in strong and gusty gradient winds occurring. In addition the higher resolution convection allowing models are suggestive of a conditional risk for mixing these stronger winds to the surface in convection particularly as the main frontal band moves onshore during the early to mid afternoon hours. As mentioned instability is sufficient for thunderstorm development as early as this afternoon, but actually peaks within the colder and unstable airmass following the cold frontal passage. Regardless, thunderstorm hazards will exist in the form of occasional lightning, brief heavy rain, gusty to perhaps locally damaging winds, and small hail. Given the strong low-level wind fields and sufficient low-level directional shear can't rule out the potential for a landfalling waterspout as well, especially this afternoon. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue within the post-frontal environment overnight as the cold-core low remains in the vicinity. Now that we've outlined the weather setup here's a quick breakdown on potential hazards for today and tonight:
* Strong gusty winds with tree and power line damage possible * Locally heavy rainfall leading to urban/street flooding * Isolated thunderstorms with lightning, wind, and small hail * Conditional risk for landfalling waterspout
Stay weather aware today and keep up with forecast changes.
LONG TERM
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 230 AM PDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Saturday into Sunday morning:
While the weakening surface low will depart to our south the region remains under the influence of the cold-core upper low. This means we'll see plentiful showers and isolated thunderstorms on Saturday.
The day won't be a total washout (we'll probably even see some sunshine at times), but watch out because when it rains, it pours (as they say). So watch out for lightning, brief locally heavy rainfall, and small hail as potential hazards. This risk is greatest on Saturday afternoon, with coverage continuing overnight. By Sunday morning look for precipitation to have largely ended for most areas outside of perhaps the Santa Lucias and southern Diablo range.
Overall amounts should be lighter compared to during Friday/Friday night, but locally heavy amounts could cause minor flooding concerns if a heavier shower or storm traverses an urban or hydrologically sensitive area. Winds should be quite a bit lower as well as the pressure gradient relaxes. For temperatures, they'll be a little on the cool side with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s and lows mostly in the 40s.
Late Sunday through Thursday:
High pressure builds into the region with dry conditions and a warming trend through mid week. Expect a cooling trend by late week as upstream troughing traverses the Pacific Northwest states. A little light precipitation may accompany this feature as well but it doesn't appear to be anything noteworthy at this point.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1013 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR continues into Friday morning with light winds until around 12- 14Z. Winds turn to the southeast as a low pressure system approaches the California coast. Expect winds to be strong and gusty with gusts up to 25-35 knots across the region. Pre-frontal showers develop Friday morning before the main rain band comes during the afternoon.
After the main rain band passes, a dynamic environment will bring the risk of convection across the region, particularly the coastal terminals, into Friday evening. There is still some uncertainty in regards to convective potential inland and the timing of any impacts. The TAF forecast reflects the best consensus of model data at this time. MVFR conditions will develop within the main rain band with patches of MVFR ceilings in the pre- and post-frontal showers.
Vicinity of SFO... Expecting VFR with light winds through Friday morning. Pre-frontal showers develop around 12-14Z Friday, with more intense and consistent rain coming through Friday afternoon and evening. Winds turn towards the southeast and become highly gusty, with wind gusts at 30 knots expected. At this time, at least a 20- 30% probability that wind gusts reach 35 knots or above. After the main rain band passes, showers continue overnight. At this time, the showers are also associated with potential convective activity into the late evening on Friday, when model output indicates convective energy should diminish.
SFO Bridge Approach... Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals... VFR with light winds through the night.
Pre-frontal showers arrive Friday morning with more consistent rain coming Friday afternoon. Winds will turn to the southeast on Friday with strong gusts, up to 25 knots at MRY and perhaps 35 knots at SNS. Chances for convective activity arrive after the main rain band passes, most confidently at MRY.
MARINE
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1013 PM PDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A brief break in the rain will continue into the overnight period before light to moderate precipitation returns early Friday morning. Gentle to moderate northwesterly breezes continue tonight before moderate to strong southwesterly winds develop ahead of the incoming low pressure system. Gale force gusts will become more likely, particularly across the southernmost marine zones Friday into Saturday, with isolated gale force gusts possible across the northernmost zones. Thunderstorm chances are highest (25 to 30 percent chance) over the coastal waters on Friday with a 15 to 25 percent chance on Saturday. Wave heights will continue to build through the early work week before starting to diminish.
MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Wind Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 5 AM PDT Saturday for CAZ006-504-509-510-512-514>516-518-528>530.
Wind Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 3 AM PDT Saturday for CAZ502-503-505.
High Wind Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM PDT this evening for CAZ517.
Wind Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 5 AM PDT Saturday for CAZ517.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PDT this evening for SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.
Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 3 PM PDT this afternoon for Mry Bay.
Gale Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Saturday for Mry Bay.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT this morning for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 9 AM this morning to 3 PM PDT this afternoon for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
Gale Warning from 9 AM this morning to 9 PM PDT this evening for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KOAK METROPOLITAN OAKLAND INTL,CA | 14 sm | 37 min | SE 08 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 50°F | 46°F | 87% | 29.91 | |
KSFO SAN FRANCISCO INTL,CA | 14 sm | 34 min | S 05 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 52°F | 45°F | 76% | 29.90 | |
KHWD HAYWARD EXECUTIVE,CA | 21 sm | 36 min | SE 09 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 52°F | 45°F | 76% | 29.90 | |
KHAF HALF MOON BAY,CA | 22 sm | 15 min | SSE 06 | 6 sm | Mostly Cloudy | Mist | 50°F | 48°F | 94% | 29.89 |
KDVO GNOSS FIELD,CA | 23 sm | 15 min | calm | 10 sm | Overcast | 46°F | 46°F | 100% | 29.89 | |
KCCR BUCHANAN FIELD,CA | 24 sm | 37 min | S 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 48°F | 43°F | 81% | 29.91 | |
KSQL SAN CARLOS,CA | 24 sm | 15 min | S 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 48°F | 45°F | 87% | 29.91 |
San Francisco
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:09 AM PDT 5.50 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM PDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:00 AM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:54 PM PDT 3.91 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:30 PM PDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM PDT 2.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:09 AM PDT 5.50 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:58 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM PDT 0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:00 AM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 03:54 PM PDT 3.91 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:30 PM PDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:15 PM PDT 2.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
San Francisco, California, Tide feet
12 am |
4.6 |
1 am |
5.2 |
2 am |
5.5 |
3 am |
5.3 |
4 am |
4.6 |
5 am |
3.5 |
6 am |
2.2 |
7 am |
1.1 |
8 am |
0.3 |
9 am |
0.1 |
10 am |
0.5 |
11 am |
1.1 |
12 pm |
1.9 |
1 pm |
2.7 |
2 pm |
3.4 |
3 pm |
3.8 |
4 pm |
3.9 |
5 pm |
3.7 |
6 pm |
3.4 |
7 pm |
3 |
8 pm |
2.8 |
9 pm |
2.9 |
10 pm |
3.2 |
11 pm |
3.7 |
Tide / Current for Golden Gate Bridge .8 mi E ., San Francisco Bay, California Current
EDIT (hide/show)  HelpGolden Gate Bridge .8 mi E .
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:06 AM PDT 1.87 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:42 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:58 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:37 AM PDT -2.71 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:00 AM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 11:04 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:06 PM PDT 2.31 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:36 PM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:30 PM PDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:09 PM PDT -1.25 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 10:30 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:06 AM PDT 1.87 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:42 AM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:58 AM PDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:37 AM PDT -2.71 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 09:00 AM PDT Moonset
Fri -- 11:04 AM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:06 PM PDT 2.31 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:36 PM PDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:30 PM PDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:09 PM PDT -1.25 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 10:30 PM PDT 0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Golden Gate Bridge .8 mi E ., San Francisco Bay, California Current, knots
12 am |
1.5 |
1 am |
1.9 |
2 am |
1.6 |
3 am |
0.8 |
4 am |
-0.2 |
5 am |
-1.1 |
6 am |
-2 |
7 am |
-2.6 |
8 am |
-2.7 |
9 am |
-2 |
10 am |
-1 |
11 am |
-0.1 |
12 pm |
1 |
1 pm |
1.9 |
2 pm |
2.3 |
3 pm |
2.1 |
4 pm |
1.4 |
5 pm |
0.6 |
6 pm |
-0.3 |
7 pm |
-0.9 |
8 pm |
-1.2 |
9 pm |
-1 |
10 pm |
-0.3 |
11 pm |
0.3 |
San Francisco Bay Area, CA,
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