Thursday, January17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Esperanza, PR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 6:08PM Thursday January 17, 2019 5:19 AM AST (09:19 UTC) Moonrise 2:47PMMoonset 3:07AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ725 Coastal Waters Of Southern Usvi Vieques And Eastern Puerto Rico Out 10 Nm- 342 Am Ast Thu Jan 17 2019
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas up to 5 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Southeast swell around 4 feet. Scattered showers.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas up to 5 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Southeast swell around 4 feet in the evening. Scattered showers.
Friday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas up to 5 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Scattered showers.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas up to 5 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Scattered showers.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas up to 5 feet. Dominant period 10 seconds. Scattered showers.
Sunday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas up to 5 feet. Dominant period 8 seconds. Isolated showers.
Monday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet. Dominant period 7 seconds. Isolated showers.
AMZ700 342 Am Ast Thu Jan 17 2019
Synopsis for puerto rico and the uS. Virgin islands waters... A surface low pressure moving eastward across the north atlantic ocean will promote a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow through the end of the work week. Although fairly tranquil marine conditions are expected through the forecast period, a northerly swell will reach and spread across the atlantic waters and local passages through Saturday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Esperanza, PR
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location: 18.12, -65.46     debug


Area Discussion for - San Juan, PR
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Fxca62 tjsj 170819
afdsju
area forecast discussion
national weather service san juan pr
419 am ast Thu jan 17 2019

Synopsis Low-level moisture will continue to result in periods
of showers across the region through Saturday. A drier and more
stable weather pattern is expected starting Sunday and continuing
through the middle of next week as a mid to upper-level ridge
amplifies overhead. Winds are expected to increase from the
northeast by the middle portion of next week as a strong surface
high pressure moves across the western atlantic, tightening the
pressure gradient.

Short term Today through Saturday...

occasional clusters of low to mid level moisture will continue to
make its way across the forecast area and bring periods of passing
showers to the coastal waters and the windward side of the islands
during the rest of the morning hours. A weak low level trough just
west and north of the region will maintain a light east to southeast
wind flow across the area through at least Friday, then become more
east to northeast by Saturday as a surface high pressure ridge will
builds north of the region across the west and southwest atlantic.

For the rest of today, expect cloud cover and shower activity to
diminish by late morning leaving partly sunny skies across the
forecast area. Locally and diurnally induced afternoon convection
is however expected again during the afternoon mainly over parts of
the interior and west sections of puerto rico as well as around the
san juan metro. Some showers will be locally heavy especially in the
west to northwestern sections of the island. Model guidance and
present conditions now suggest that a mid to upper level trough will
linger across the region through Friday but will slowly lift east
northeast into the tropical atlantic. Therefore expect the shower
activity in the easterly trades to be further enhanced as they
are steered west northwest producing periods of locally heavy
rains. This in turn may lead to minor ponding of water on roadways
and in poor drainage areas. However, widespread convection is
still not expected during the entire period. This cool advective
pattern of early morning passing trade wind showers followed by
isolated to scattered afternoon convection will continue though a
least Friday. Conditions will gradually improve by Saturday as the
low level trough pulls away from the region and a high pressure
ridge builds both aloft as well as at the surface inducing an east
to northeast low level wind flow and a gradual strengthening of
the trade wind cap inversion.

Long term Sunday through Thursday...

a drier and more stable weather pattern is expected by the second
half of the weekend through at least the middle of next week as
the aformentioned mid to upper-level ridge amplifies overhead,
eroding the low-level moisture. In fact, both the GFS and ecmwf
models indicate precipitable water values dropping below 1 inch at
times during the period, which would be close to 2 standard
deviations below normal for this time of the year. As a result,
mainly fair weather conditions can be expected across most of the
region with very limited shower activity. An increase in the winds
from the northeast is expected by the middle of next week as a
strong surface high pressure moves off the northeastern coast of
the united states into the western atlantic, tightening the
pressure gradient somewhat.

Aviation PrevailingVFR at local terminals durg prd but vcsh at
tjsj tjnr tisx tist tncm tkpk. Bkn-ovc lyrs nr fl030... Fl060...

fl080... And shra en route btw pr and northern leeward islands til
17 14z. Shra and low cld lyrs may cause brief MVFR and mtn top obscr
ovr E pr as patches of moisture move across the region. Sfc winds
light and variable bcmg fm e-se 10-15 kts aft 17 14z with sea breeze
variations through 17 22z.

Marine Tranquil marine conditions are expected to prevail
with seas ranging between 2 and 5 feet and east to southeast
winds up to 15 knots. A northerly swell is moving across the
atlantic waters and local passages and will continue through
Saturday. A high risk of rip currents is in effect for the beaches
located across north-central puerto rico and san juan and
vicinity through 6 am ast Friday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Sju 83 71 82 73 30 20 20 40
stt 83 72 83 72 40 40 30 40

Sju watches warnings advisories
Pr... High rip current risk from 6 am ast this morning through late
tonight for north central-san juan and vicinity.

Vi... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Ram
long term... .Gl


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ESPP4 - 9752695 - Esperanza, PR 2 mi43 min ESE 6 G 9.9 78°F 79°F1016.6 hPa
41056 10 mi49 min ESE 12 G 14 78°F 1016 hPa
CLBP4 - 9752235 - Culebra, PR 15 mi37 min 76°F 81°F1017 hPa
YABP4 - 9754228 - Yabucoa Harbor, PR 20 mi37 min 71°F 68°F
CHAV3 - 9751639 - Charlotte Amalie, VI 32 mi37 min 75°F 1017.2 hPa
41052 - South of St. John, Virgin Islands 38 mi49 min E 12 G 14 78°F 1015.8 hPa
LAMV3 41 mi37 min 77°F 79°F
41053 - San Juan, PR 42 mi49 min ESE 3.9 G 5.8 73°F 1016.7 hPa
JOXP4 - Jobos Bay Reserve, Puerto Rico 42 mi94 min Calm 74°F 1018 hPa65°F
SJNP4 - 9755371 - San Juan, PR 42 mi43 min ENE 4.1 G 6 73°F 80°F1017.6 hPa
CHSV3 - 9751364 - Christiansted Harbor, Virgin Islands 48 mi43 min ESE 2.9 G 6 76°F 80°F
LTBV3 - 9751401 - Lime Tree Bay, VI 48 mi31 min SSE 11 G 14 78°F 80°F1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Isabel Segunda, Vieques Island, PR
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Airport Reports
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Tide / Current Tables for Vieques Island, Puerto Rico
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Vieques Passage, Puerto Rico Current
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Vieques Passage
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Thu -- 12:45 AM AST     -0.44 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:07 AM AST     Moonset
Thu -- 03:26 AM AST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:57 AM AST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:13 AM AST     0.83 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:40 AM AST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:10 PM AST     -0.84 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:47 PM AST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:07 PM AST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:09 PM AST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:22 PM AST     0.31 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:46 PM AST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.10.20.50.70.80.80.60.3-0.1-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.8-0.6-0.3-00.20.30.30.2-0

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Puerto Rico    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Puerto Rico,Virgin Islands
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.