Tuesday, February20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Holualoa, HI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 6:23PM Tuesday February 20, 2018 5:47 AM HST (15:47 UTC) Moonrise 10:13AMMoonset 11:00PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ123 Big Island Leeward Waters- 330 Am Hst Tue Feb 20 2018
Today..Winds variable less than 10 knots west of the big island...east 10 knots near south point. Wind waves 3 feet. Mixed swell northwest 4 feet and east 4 feet. Isolated showers.
Tonight..Winds variable less than 10 knots west of the big island...east 10 knots near south point. Wind waves 3 feet. Mixed swell northwest 4 feet and east 4 feet. Scattered showers.
Wednesday..Winds variable less than 10 knots west of the big island...east 15 knots near south point. Wind waves 4 feet. Mixed swell northwest 4 feet and east 4 feet. Scattered showers.
Wednesday night..Winds variable less than 10 knots west of the big island...east 20 knots near south point. Wind waves 5 feet. Mixed swell northwest 5 feet and east 4 feet. Haze through the night. Scattered showers in the evening. Showers likely after midnight.
Thursday..Winds variable less than 10 knots west of the big island...east 20 knots near south point. Wind waves 5 feet. Mixed swell west 5 feet and east 4 feet. Haze. Showers likely.
Thursday night..Winds variable less than 10 knots west of the big island...east to 25 knots near south point. Wind waves 6 feet. Mixed swell west 5 feet and northeast 4 to 5 feet. Haze through the night. Showers likely in the evening. Scattered showers after midnight.
Friday..Winds variable less than 10 knots west of the big island...east 20 knots near south point. Wind waves 5 to 6 feet. Mixed swell west 4 to 5 feet and east 5 to 6 feet. Haze. Scattered showers.
Saturday..West of the big island, winds variable less than 10 knots becoming north 10 knots after midnight. NEar south point, east winds to 25 knots. Wind waves 6 to 7 feet. Mixed swell west 3 to 4 feet and east 6 feet. Haze. Scattered showers.
PHZ100 330 Am Hst Tue Feb 20 2018
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. Surface high pressure far northeast of the region will bring east to southeast winds over most waters. Winds will strengthen later in the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Holualoa, HI
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location: 19.65, -156     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxhw60 phfo 201322
afdhfo
area forecast discussion
national weather service honolulu hi
322 am hst Tue feb 20 2018

Synopsis
Dry and pleasant conditions will hold into midweek as the upper
low that brought the recent heavy rains across the state continues
to lift north and away from the area. A return of unsettled
weather is possible through the second half of the week and the
upcoming weekend as another upper low drops south into the area.

Discussion
A dry pattern with hold today with dewpoints remaining in the low
60s. The upper low that brought the flooding rains and
thunderstorms across the state on Sunday continues to pull away to
the north this morning with plenty of middle- to upper-level dry
air filling in across the area. Upper air data and satellite-
derived precipitable water (pw) values have lowered as a result
and should remain around and just under an inch across much of
the state (slightly higher windward big island). Winds will
remain light and variable with early morning land breezes and
afternoon sea breezes. Although a few showers associated with the
sea breeze can't be ruled this afternoon during peak heating,
coverage will be limited due to the dry air.

Increasing moisture and rain chances are anticipated by late
Wednesday with another period of unsettled weather setting up for
the second half of the week and into the upcoming weekend. Despite
some subtle differences between model solutions, guidance remains
in decent agreement and depicts deep tropical moisture being
drawn northward over the state as another upper low drops south
into the area Wednesday night into Thursday and holds into the
weekend. The upper low is forecast to stall over an area located
a few hundred miles northwest of kauai. Strong southwest winds
aloft will setup over the western end of the state with 0-6 km
bulk shear magnitudes increasing into the 35 to 45 knot range by
Thursday afternoon. This combined with increasing lift and
instability will support heavy showers and thunderstorms
developing once again, especially over the western end of the
state where the better upper support will be. Model pws will climb
into the 1.5-1.8" range, which is above normal for this time of
year. Winds are expected to increase and could become gusty for
some locations out of the east-southeast direction as a surface
trough shifts west of the state and high pressure builds to the
northeast.

No significant changes are shown Sunday through early next week.

Guidance continues to advertise a wet pattern with a deep trough
positioned west of the state and moist east-southeast flow
continuing (pws holding above average in the 1.4-1.7" range).

Aviation
Vfr conditions will prevail across the state today. The upper
trough axis has moved northeast of the islands, taking the
associated thunderstorms with it beyond the windward coastal
waters. Dry and stable conditions are expected over the state
through the day, with just some afternoon clouds and showers
along with isolated MVFR conditions possible over the island
interiors as seabreezes develop.

Model guidance suggests that the potential for moderate
turbulence aloft over the islands has decreased, and with no
recent aircraft turb reports we have dropped airmet tango. No
other airmets are anticipated today.

Sigmet romeo remains posted for thunderstorms affecting the
primary west coast to hawaii air routes near the upper trough.

Marine
Small to moderate northwest swells will continue through the day,
with surf remaining below advisory level along north and west
facing shores. However, a longer period northwest swell is
expected to spread down the island chain beginning tonight and
peaking Wednesday. This may result in advisory level surf along
some north and west facing shores, especially kauai and niihau,
during the peak of the event. This swell will gradually subside
Thursday, but another west-northwest swell is expected Thursday
night into Friday, before fading into the weekend.

A long fetch due to the flow around a surface high over the
northeastern pacific will send a short-period east swell into the
local waters during the next several days. This swell is expected to
increase today, with resulting surf likely reaching the advisory
threshold of 8 feet along most east facing shores. A high surf
advisory has been issued for these areas. A further increase in
this swell is expected Thursday, remaining elevated into the
weekend, with high surf likely continuing along east facing shores
through that period.

Combined seas may increase to around 10 feet over most windward
waters starting late Wednesday due to the combination of west-
northwest and east swells, and local wind waves. A small craft
advisory may be needed for the latter portion of the work week.

Hfo watches warnings advisories
High surf advisory until 6 am hst Wednesday for kauai windward-
oahu koolau-olomana-molokai windward-maui windward west-windward
haleakala-big island north and east.

High wind warning until 6 pm hst this evening for big island
summits.

Aviation... Jacobson
marine... Kinel
discussion... Gibbs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KWHH1 28 mi48 min Calm G 1.9 69°F 77°F1012.7 hPa (-0.0)
ILOH1 - 1617760 - Hilo, HI 50 mi48 min S 5.1 G 6 66°F 75°F1013.2 hPa (-0.0)
KLIH1 - 1615680 - Kahului Bay, Maui, HI 90 mi48 min SSW 1 G 1.9 64°F 77°F1013.3 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Kawaihae, HI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kailua / Kona, Keahole Airport, HI0 mi55 minENE 410.00 miFair66°F60°F81%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from HKO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7N15
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NE10N7NW5W6W5W6W8W6NW8NW7NW7N3CalmE3SE5SE7SE8SE6E6E5E5E4
1 day agoSE5SE7SE6SE7S8S6SW8SW6NW10NW13N12N13N13N24
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2 days agoCalmNE3SE9SE8SE10S7SW6SW5N11NW17N16N17NW15N9N10N10N12N12N6NE7NE5CalmSE3NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Kailua Kona, Big Island, Hawaii
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Kailua Kona
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:34 AM HST     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:30 AM HST     1.43 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:49 AM HST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:12 AM HST     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:08 PM HST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:25 PM HST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:50 PM HST     1.44 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:00 PM HST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.40.60.811.31.41.41.310.70.40.100.10.30.60.91.21.41.41.31.20.9

Tide / Current Tables for Kawaihae, Big Island, Hawaii
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Kawaihae
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:50 AM HST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:49 AM HST     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:50 AM HST     1.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:11 AM HST     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:24 PM HST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:24 PM HST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:00 PM HST     1.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:59 PM HST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.50.60.81.11.41.61.71.61.30.90.60.30.10.10.30.611.31.61.71.61.41.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
cpac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Kohala, HI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.