Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ualapu'e, HI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 6:12PM Tuesday January 23, 2018 7:13 PM HST (05:13 UTC) Moonrise 11:35AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ120 Pailolo Channel- 331 Pm Hst Tue Jan 23 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves around 6 feet. Mixed swell northwest 4 feet and east 5 feet. Isolated showers.
Wednesday..East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves around 6 feet. Mixed swell northwest 3 feet and east 5 feet. Scattered showers, mainly in the morning.
Wednesday night..East winds to 25 knots. Wind waves around 5 feet. Northwest swell 3 feet in the evening. SWell east 5 feet. Scattered showers in the evening. Isolated showers after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 20 knots. Wind waves around 5 feet. SWell east 5 feet. Scattered showers.
Thursday night..East winds 15 knots in the evening, becoming variable less than 10 knots. Wind waves around 4 feet. Mixed swell northwest 3 feet and east 5 feet. Isolated showers.
Friday..Winds variable less than 10 knots. Wind waves around 3 feet. Northwest swell 3 feet in the morning. SWell east 5 feet. Hazy. Isolated showers.
Friday night..Winds variable less than 10 knots. Wind waves around 3 feet in the evening, then around 2 feet or less. Mixed swell northwest 3 feet and east 5 feet. Hazy.
Saturday..Winds variable less than 10 knots, becoming northeast 10 knots. Wind waves around 2 feet or less. Mixed swell northwest 3 feet and east 5 feet. Isolated showers.
Sunday..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 4 to 6 feet. Mixed swell northwest 3 to 4 feet and east 4 to 5 feet. Scattered showers.
PHZ100 331 Pm Hst Tue Jan 23 2018
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. A ridge of high pressure far north of the state will maintain a trade wind flow through Wednesday night. As the ridge weakens during the second half of the week, winds will gradually decline.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ualapu'e, HI
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location: 21.05, -156.88     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxhw60 phfo 240159
afdhfo
area forecast discussion
national weather service honolulu hi
359 pm hst Tue jan 23 2018

Synopsis
Moderate to breezy easterly trade winds will gradually decline
Wednesday night through Friday as the surface ridge currently far
north of the state is weakened and pushed southward. An area of
enhanced low level moisture will remain focused over windward
portions of the big island and maui county into tonight, and an
upper level trough overhead will trigger a few heavy showers and
thunderstorms across the eastern end of the state. The low level
moisture will slowly spread up the island chain tonight and early
Wednesday, increasing rainfall chances, especially windward. By
Friday, trade winds will likely weaken enough to allow day time
sea breezes,and an unstable land and sea breeze pattern is
possible this weekend.

Discussion
Moderate to breezy trade winds persist, and an upper level trough
is tapping an area of enhanced low level moisture, leading to
continued wet and unstable conditions across the eastern end of
the state. A surface high is passing about 900 miles north of
oahu, and its trailing surface ridge is located about 425 miles
to the northwest of kauai. The proximity of the ridge is causing
the locally breezy trades to be more easterly than normal. A
lingering, compact upper level trough bisects the state,
generating high clouds and producing instability over the eastern
end of the island chain. This instability is tapping an area of
enhanced low level moisture moving along the trade wind flow,
leading to heavy rainfall across windward maui and big island,
with thunderstorms flaring in and around hilo. The greatest amount
of rainfall has been on windward big island, where widespread
totals of 3 to 6 inches have been recorded in the past 24 hours.

Conditions are, for now, somewhat stable over the rest of the
state, where modest windward rainfall has been occurring.

For tonight, continued heavy rainfall is expected along windward
big island, while increasing low level moisture creeps up the
island chain. A weakening jet stream running along the flank of
the upper level trough will remain over the big island. This
should provide enough instability to maintain heavy showers and
thunderstorms through much of tonight. The moisture should also be
deep enough to reach the high summits of the big island, where
temperatures will be below freezing. As a result, a winter weather
advisory has been posted of the high summits tonight. Across the
rest of the island chain, mainly windward rainfall will increase
as the above mentioned low level moisture spreads westward on the
locally breezy trades.

Easterly trade winds begin a gradual decline Wednesday and
Thursday, as showers remain largely focused over windward slopes.

The weakening upper level trough will linger over the region, but
we still expect low level moisture, as shower activity, to
decrease over windward big island. While we cannot rule out a
brief leeward shower Wednesday afternoon, the potential for
afternoon sea breezes and a few showers will increase Thursday
afternoon.

An unstable land and sea breeze regime may develop on Friday and
will likely be in place this weekend. On Friday, the surface
ridge will be pushed to within a couple hundred miles of kauai,
causing local winds to decrease further and veer out of the
southeast, and by Saturday, winds will likely become light and
variable across the region. On all days, afternoon sea breezes
should be widespread, leading to interior clouds and showers on
all islands. There is still considerable uncertainty regarding
available low level moisture to fuel showers, but the GFS and
ecmwf are showing a deepening upper level trough overhead on
Saturday and Sunday, increasing the probability of a few heavy
showers.

Aviation
Light to locally brisk trade winds will continue. Clouds and
showers will favor windward slopes and coasts of all islands.

An upper level disturbance aloft has enhanced instability over
the eastern half of the state. Thunderstorms and locally heavy
downpours expected across windward and interior big island
through the evening hours and possibly beyond.

Airmet sierra is in effect for mountain obscuration across
windward sections of the big island. These conditions are
expected to continue persist throughout the evening hours and
possibly beyond.

Airmet tango remains in effect for moderate low level turbulence
over and downwind of the terrain of all islands. The airmet is
expected to remain in place through this evening.

Airmet zulu is in effect for tempo light to moderate icing in
clouds around the big island from 12000 to 20000 feet.

Marine
The current small craft advisory (sca) GOES through 6 pm tomorrow
for a combination winds and combined seas. Both are expected to be
on the way down over the next 24 hours. Once winds and seas drop
below advisory levels tomorrow, they are expected to remain below
criteria through the weekend.

Surf along north and west facing shores has dropped below advisory
criteria, so that advisory is cancelled with this package. Along
east facing shores, the combination of locally driven trade wind
swell and a background east swell is maintaining advisory level
surf. So, the high surf advisory for those areas has been
extended. Even though the trade winds are expected to begin to
taper off Wednesday night, advisory level surf could continue
during the second half of the week.

The south shores will continue to see a bump from an out-of-
season, long- period, south swell through tomorrow. A new, long-
period, background south-southwest swell, is forecast to fill in
by Wednesday, then hold into Thursday, which should be enough to
keep southern shores from going flat.

Several northwest swells are expected to Thursday through the
weekend, but all area expected to be below advisory levels. See the
latest oahu surf discussion (srdhfo) issued today for more
specifics on these swells.

Hfo watches warnings advisories
High surf advisory until 6 am hst Thursday for east facing shores
of kauai, oahu, molokai, maui, and the big island.

Winter weather advisory until 6 am hst Wednesday for big island
summits.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm hst Wednesday for kauai
northwest waters-kauai windward waters-kauai leeward waters-
kauai channel-oahu windward waters-kaiwi channel-maui county
windward waters-maalaea bay-pailolo channel-alenuihaha channel-
big island windward waters-big island leeward waters-big island
southeast waters.

Discussion... Wroe
aviation... Bedal
marine... M ballard


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KLIH1 - 1615680 - Kahului Bay, Maui, HI 24 mi44 min NE 13 G 16 74°F 75°F1013.8 hPa
51205 24 mi44 min 76°F9 ft
51202 - Mokapu Point, HI (098) 49 mi40 min 75°F9 ft

Wind History for Kahului, Kahului Harbor, HI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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-12
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Last
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NE18
G24
NE15
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G25
NE13
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G21
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1 day
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NW2
N6
G10
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NE7
G16
NE4
G11
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N14
G17
NE4
G8
NE9
G16
NE2
G8
NE6
G19
NE10
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NE12
G16
NE11
G15
NE11
G17
NE6
G19
NE12
G23
NE6
G21
NE6
G20
NE18
G23
NE12
G22
NE19
G26
NE17
G23
2 days
ago
NE11
G16
NE6
G9
SE1
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G11
NE6
G13
NE14
G19
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G24
NE18
G24
NE17
G24
NE14
G24
NE12
G18
NE15
NE6
G14
NE13
G18
NE10
G13

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lahaina - West Maui, HI13 mi89 minENE 16 G 2510.00 miLight Rain72°F66°F83%1013.9 hPa
Kaunakakai, Molokai Airport, HI14 mi80 minNE 2110.00 miFair and Breezy73°F0°F%1014.1 hPa
Lanai City, Lanai Airport, HI19 mi78 minNE 1510.00 miOvercast71°F64°F81%1013.3 hPa

Wind History from HJH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------NE12
G19
N17NE14NE12
G19
N10
G16
NE13
G21
E10
G16
NE15
G22
NE15
G23
NE15
G29
E13
G21
NE16
G25
1 day ago------------------------NE4NE12NE10NE14NE13NE12
G23
NE11
G21
N14N13N11N10--
2 days ago------------------------NE8E10NE11E13
G16
NE15
G20
NE17
G21
NE14
G27
NE16
G21
NE12
G21
NE13
G22
NE17
G23
NE15
G21

Tide / Current Tables for Kamalo Harbor, Molokai Island, Hawaii
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Kamalo Harbor
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:13 AM HST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:23 AM HST     0.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:06 AM HST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:18 AM HST     1.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:15 PM HST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:20 PM HST     First Quarter
Wed -- 03:41 PM HST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:13 PM HST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:45 PM HST     1.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.90.80.70.70.911.21.31.31.20.90.70.40.1-0-00.10.40.71.11.41.61.6

Tide / Current Tables for Kaunakakai, Molokai (Hawaii)
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Kaunakakai
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:13 AM HST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:42 AM HST     0.72 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:07 AM HST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:00 AM HST     1.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:16 PM HST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:20 PM HST     First Quarter
Wed -- 03:53 PM HST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:13 PM HST     Sunset
Wed -- 11:18 PM HST     1.59 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.210.80.70.70.80.91.11.21.21.210.80.50.20-00.10.30.60.91.21.51.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
cpac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Molokai, HI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.