Saturday, April29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Haleiwa, HI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 6:58PM Saturday April 29, 2017 5:13 PM HST (03:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:13AMMoonset 10:47PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ114 Oahu Windward Waters- 345 Pm Hst Sat Apr 29 2017
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. Northwest swell 5 ft. Scattered showers in the evening...then showers likely after midnight.
Sunday..Northeast winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Northwest swell 6 ft. Heavy showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 20 kt veering southwest after midnight. Wind waves 6 ft. Northwest swell 5 ft. Haze. Heavy showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 kt. Wind waves 6 ft. Northwest swell 4 ft. Haze. Heavy showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southeast winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 ft. Northwest swell 3 ft. Haze. Scattered showers and chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. Northwest swell 3 ft. Haze. Scattered showers.
Tuesday night..East winds 10 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. Northwest swell 3 ft. Scattered showers.
Wednesday..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 4 ft. Northwest swell 3 to 4 ft. Scattered showers.
Thursday..East winds 15 kt. Wind waves 5 to 6 ft. North swell 4 ft. Scattered showers.
PHZ100 345 Pm Hst Sat Apr 29 2017
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. A stalled front will linger over maui county tonight as an upper level low develops north of the state and an associated surface low shifts over the islands. These features will continue unsettled weather conditions through early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Haleiwa, HI
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location: 21.6, -158.12     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxhw60 phfo 300234
afdhfo
area forecast discussion
national weather service honolulu hi
433 pm hst Sat apr 29 2017

Synopsis
Unsettled weather will continue into early next week as a kona low
passes close to the island chain, with locally heavy showers and a
few thunderstorms expected. Some of the thunderstorms could be
strong over maui county and the big island tonight, with gusty winds
and small hail possible. A return to a more typical trade wind
weather pattern is expected around the middle of the upcoming week.

Discussion
A potent closed low aloft near 27n 160w (about 300 miles N of kauai)
extends to the surface as a 1009 mb low, thereby making it a kona
low, although the system is not expected to bring widespread kona
winds to the hawaiian islands. In fact, a cool and somewhat brisk
northerly flow lies over kauai and oahu. This cool air has arrived
in the wake of a gradually stalling cold front that is straddling
the island of maui, where abundant moisture is pooled. The front is
quite shallow, with the low-level N winds turning to the S and SW by
3-5 kft above the surface. S winds to the E of the stalling front
have been accelerating around portions of the big island, especially
near keahole point and CAPE kumukahi, to the point that a wind
advisory became necessary. These conditions are expected to continue
through Sunday. Although the front is drifting slowly se, showers
within the boundary are moving toward the NE and e, and have been
streaming over normally dry leeward portions of maui, in addition to
dropping some showers over windward areas. Clouds and showers have
increased in coverage over the big island and oahu in the last
couple of hours as the low has drawn closer.

The forecast over the next 24 hours anticipates a dynamic weather
pattern as the kona low moves S toward kauai while the surface front
stalls near maui county and gradually transitions to a convergence
band. A flash flood watch (ffa) remains in effect for the islands
from oahu to the big island, as forecast guidance indicates a
possible E shift toward the big island in the short-term,
potentially spreading back toward oahu on Sunday. With the moisture
likely spreading toward the big island overnight, a winter storm
goes into effect at midnight.

As the kona low aloft moves s, the cool brisk N winds over kauai and
oahu will weaken overnight. By Sunday, with the low NW of kauai,
light low-level winds will become SE to S over all islands, and it
is this flow that will likely be more conducive for the heavy rain
threat to spread toward oahu as the low-levels begin to moisten. The
low aloft is expected to bring increasing winds to the big island
summits as it nears, and although winds are currently near wind
advisory speeds, the expectation is for winds to increase to high
wind warning levels by tonight. These conditions are expected to
persist through Sunday.

In addition to all the other hazards, the GFS and ECMWF are also
showing a potential for some thunderstorms to become severe. The
combination of increasing instability due to very cold temperatures
aloft associated with the upper low and a lingering surface boundary
stretched across maui county, and increasing winds in the lower- to
middle-levels of the atmosphere will give the potential for a few
thunderstorms to become organized. Deep layer (0-6 km) shear and
lower level storm relative helicity will be sufficient for supercell
development once the upper low begins to impact the low-level
boundary. The threat appears to begin near maui county late tonight,
and then spreads toward the big island by Sunday. It's possible the
threat may continue into Monday, but this is highly dependent on the
motion and intensity of the upper low, as well as what actually
happens with the low level wind field in the wake of deep convection
that develops.

The low aloft is forecast to stall about 200-300 miles S of kauai
Sunday night through Monday night as the surface low decouples,
heads w, and gradually dissipates. A front passing N of the islands
will keep winds light and generally from the SE through Tuesday even
as the surface low dissipates. A new high building N of this front
will bring gradually building trade winds Wednesday into Thursday as
the associated moisture remains N of the islands. The presence of
the low aloft will keep the island atmosphere unstable through
Tuesday, and the ffa will be tailored accordingly.

Aviation
A ragged front continues its slow crawl across the state. At 2pm
hst, the front was located near maui and tracking eastward at about
5 kt. Showers, heavy at times, and isolated thunderstorms along and
immediately in advance of the front are currently impacting much of
maui county and are expected to spread across the big island by late
evening. A solid band of lower clouds extends along and to the lee
of the front... Impacting maui county... Oahu... And portions of kauai.

The rear flank of the lower cloud band has already begun to erode as
cooler drier air behind the front begins to cut down to the surface.

Airmet sierra for mountain obscuration remains in place for oahu and
maui county. Conditions are expected to gradually improve behind the
front, and airmet sierra could be lifted for oahu late this evening.

Convective activity is expected to increase overnight with the
approach of a vigorous upper level disturbance. Thunderstorm
potential will exist for most of the state after 10 pm.

Brisk summit level winds and a strong inversion aloft both
characteristic of the airmass behind the front. Airmet tango for
mountain wave turbulence in effect for kauai and oahu.

Judging from the phto 00z sounding, there is a layer of speed shear
between fl180 and fl280 over the eastern half of the state, enough
to cause tempo mod turbulence. Airmet tango in effect for oahu maui
county and big island.

Marine
Southerly winds, on the east side of a stalled front over maui
county, will increase around the big island this afternoon and
evening to 25 to 30 kt. This has prompted the issuance of a small
craft advisory for the coastal waters around the big island for this
afternoon through Sunday. Winds will begin to decrease Sunday
evening, falling below advisory level overnight, into Monday
morning.

With a stalled front and upper trough in the area, the chance for
thunderstorms will persist over all coastal waters through at least
Monday night.

A series of long-period, south swells will affect the south facing
shores into next week. The first of these swells will continue to
bring advisory level surf (8 ft) to exposed south facing shores
today. The high surf advisory has been extended for these areas
through tonight. Please refer to the coastal hazard message, cfwhfo,
for more information. A reinforcing south swell will fill in Monday
and Tuesday, keeping surf at borderline advisory conditions.

Surf along north facing shores, especially on kauai and oahu, has
been increasing somewhat from a short-period, choppy swell
associated with stronger winds behind the front, but remains below
advisory conditions. A series of small, longer-period northwest
swells are expected next week, but also expected to remain below
advisory levels.

Hfo watches/warnings/advisories
Flash flood watch through Sunday afternoon for oahu-molokai-
lanai-kahoolawe-maui-big island.

High surf advisory until 6 am hst Sunday evening for south facing
shores of niihau, kauai, oahu, molokai, lanai, maui, and the big
island.

Wind advisory until 6 pm hst Sunday for kona-south big island-big
island north and east-kohala-big island interior.

High wind warning until 6 am hst Monday for big island summits.

Winter storm warning from midnight tonight to 6 pm hst Sunday for
big island summits.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm hst Sunday for alenuihaha channel-
big island windward waters-big island leeward waters-big island
southeast waters.

Discussion... Birchard/r ballard
aviation... Bedal
marine... Ts


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
51201 - Waimea Bay, HI (106) 5 mi42 min 77°F8 ft
MOKH1 - 1612480 - Mokuoloe, HI 21 mi44 min Calm G 5.1 67°F 79°F1010.3 hPa
51210 21 mi44 min 79°F6 ft
51207 21 mi49 min 78°F6 ft
OOUH1 - 1612340 - Honolulu, HI 25 mi44 min ENE 5.1 G 8.9 68°F 79°F1010.8 hPa
51202 - Mokapu Point, HI (098) 27 mi40 min 78°F7 ft

Wind History for Mokuoloe, HI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wheeler Air Force Base / Oahu, HI10 mi16 minNW 510.00 miFair65°F59°F81%1009.4 hPa
Honolulu, Honolulu International Airport, HI20 mi21 minN 510.00 miOvercast70°F57°F64%1010.1 hPa
Oahu, Kalaeloa Airport, HI20 mi21 minNE 610.00 miOvercast71°F57°F61%1011 hPa
Kaneohe, Marine Corps Air Station, HI21 mi17 minN 46.00 miLight Rain69°F62°F78%1008.9 hPa

Wind History from HHI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9NW8NW7NW7NW9NW8NW6NW7NW8NW11NW12
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1 day agoNE7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NE3NW4NW6NW8NW12NW7NW9NW9NW12
G17
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NW13NW8
G15
2 days agoE8E4CalmW3NW3NW3CalmW3W3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E7CalmCalmS5CalmCalmN6N5W4

Tide / Current Tables for Haleiwa, Waialua Bay, Oahu Island, Hawaii
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Haleiwa
Click for Map
Sat -- 05:07 AM HST     0.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:02 AM HST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:13 AM HST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:34 AM HST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:04 PM HST     1.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:57 PM HST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:47 PM HST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.30.40.50.50.50.30-0.1-0.2-0.10.20.40.81.11.41.61.71.61.30.90.50.2

Tide / Current Tables for Laie Bay, Oahu Island, Hawaii
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Laie Bay
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:12 AM HST     1.26 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:01 AM HST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:12 AM HST     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:41 AM HST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:37 PM HST     2.32 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:56 PM HST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:46 PM HST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.91.11.31.210.70.40.1-0.2-0.2-00.30.81.31.72.12.32.32.11.81.41.10.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
cpac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Molokai, HI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.