Sunday, July23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Laie, HI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 7:16PM Saturday July 22, 2017 8:54 PM HST (06:54 UTC) Moonrise 5:21AMMoonset 6:54PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PHZ114 Oahu Windward Waters- 329 Pm Hst Sat Jul 22 2017
Tonight..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. East swell 5 feet. Scattered showers.
Sunday..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. East swell 5 feet. Scattered showers.
Sunday night..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. East swell 5 feet. Scattered showers.
Monday..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. East swell 5 feet. Showers likely in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds 15 knots. Wind waves 3 feet. East swell 5 feet decreasing to 3 feet after midnight. Scattered showers.
Tuesday..East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 4 feet. East swell 3 feet in the morning. Scattered showers in the morning, then isolated showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 5 feet. East swell 3 feet after midnight. Scattered showers.
Wednesday..East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 5 to 6 feet. East swell 3 to 4 feet. Scattered showers.
Thursday..East winds 20 knots. Wind waves 6 feet. East swell 3 to 4 feet. Scattered showers.
PHZ100 329 Pm Hst Sat Jul 22 2017
Synopsis for hawaiian coastal waters.. A surface high will remain nearly stationary far northeast of the islands through the forecast period. Post-tropical cyclone fernanda is expected to weaken to a trough as it passes near or just north of the islands Sunday night through Monday. The trough will move west of kauai by early Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Laie CDP, HI
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location: 21.65, -157.93     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxhw60 phfo 230632
afdhfo
area forecast discussion
national weather service honolulu hi
832 pm hst Sat jul 22 2017

Synopsis
Wet trade wind weather conditions are expected into early Sunday
morning due to an upper level trough west of the islands. This
trough aloft is expected to gradually weaken Sunday, which will
cause a slight reduction in showers. The remnant surface trough,
which was formerly fernanda, will move slowly westward across the
islands Sunday night and Monday. This trough will bring lighter
winds with very warm and muggy conditions. Locally heavy showers
are also possible in some locations, especially Monday afternoon.

Breezy trades and more settled weather will start to return by
Tuesday as surface high pressure far to the northeast of the area
regains control of our weather.

Discussion
A 1028 mb surface high near 36n 141w has a surface ridge extending
west-southwest to a point about 825 miles north of honolulu. The
remnant post-tropical surface low, which was formerly tropical
cyclone fernanda, is evident about 380 miles east of hilo. This
feature appears to be moving nearly due west at about 10 mph. The
relatively tight pressure gradient across the state ahead of the
surface low is maintaining moderate trade winds across the islands
early this evening. In addition to the trades, very humid
conditions remain in place over hawaii.

Aloft, loops of water vapor imagery depict a weak mid- to upper
level trough digging southward just west of kauai. The local
instability associated with this feature continues to produce an
area of enhanced showers and thunderstorms south through west of
kauai and niihau at dusk this evening. These thunderstorms have
recently had cloud tops over 40 thousand feet.

Elsewhere, satellite imagery indicates partly to mostly cloudy
skies across much of the state this evening. Radar reflectivity
data show there are some showers over windward sections of some
islands, but most of the showers are over the coastal waters south
and southwest of the smaller islands.

The forecast models suggest the weak trough aloft will continue
to dig west of the islands overnight. This is expected to maintain
enhanced showers and some thunderstorms over the offshore waters
west and southwest of the islands. This trough aloft will slowly
weaken west of the islands from Sunday into Monday, so its impact
on atmospheric stability over the islands is expected to gradually
diminish. With increasing tropical humidity move in from the east
and trade winds remaining across the area, mainly windward
showers will continue on Sunday. There will also be the
possibility of locally heavy downpours over the upslope sections
of the leeward big island and leeward haleakala Sunday afternoon.

From Sunday night into Monday, the remnant surface trough and
enhanced tropical moisture associated with ex-fernanda will be
tracking from east to west in the vicinity of the islands. As
this feature moves slowly westward, expect an interruption of the
trade winds. This will cause very warm and muggy conditions to
develop. Mid-level heights and temperatures do not appear to be
very favorable for widespread heavy rainfall. However, with the
very moist tropical air mass in place and daytime heating in a
conditionally unstable tropical environment, we have included the
possibility of locally heavy downpours for many areas Monday
afternoon. Some of these heavy showers may persist into Monday
evening, but they will likely diminish later Monday night as
night-time cooling takes place.

The forecast guidance continues to indicate the trades will
return soon after the departure of the surface trough associated
with ex-fernanda, as the pressure gradient rebounds due to a
broad surface high far northeast of the islands. At the same time,
the air mass will begin to have decreasing humidity levels
spreading from east to west. In addition, mid-level ridging will
become established across the area next week. This will usher in a
more typical summertime trade wind weather pattern from the
middle of next week into next weekend.

Aviation
Moderate trade winds will continue to drive showers into windward
and mauka areas overnight, with some showers also reaching leeward
areas. Temporary to widespread MVFR cigs, along with MVFR and
possibly ifr vsbys in shra will affect windward locations through
the night, with phli and phto the most likely to see sub-vfr
weather. Conditions should improve area wide on Sunday, with the
remnants of fernanda possibly resulting in a return of reduced
cigs vsbys moving into windward areas Sunday afternoon and Sunday
night.

Airmet sierra remains in effect for mountain obscuration across
north thru east sections of all islands. These conditions will
likely hold in place through the night.

Marine
High pressure centered far NE of the islands will support trade
winds through the forecast period. However, the remnants of post-
tropical cyclone fernanda will pass between the islands and the
high Sunday night and Monday, which will likely cause trades
to ease. As the trough that marks the remnant of fernanda moves w
of kauai Monday night and Tuesday, a moderate to occasionally strong
trade flow will resume, and a small craft advisory will likely be
necessary for the windier zones.

A high surf advisory remains in effect through 6 am Monday for e
facing shores of most islands, due to the combined effects of a
fetch of strong trade winds upstream of the islands, and the
limited fetch directly associated with fernanda. Surf
observations support the continuation of the advisory, with some
windward locations reporting waves as high as 9 feet.

The largest high tides of the month will occur each afternoon
during the next couple of days. Note that these high tides,
combined with the elevated surf along E facing shores, may result
in coastal flooding in some areas through Monday.

Over the hawaiian offshore waters, there will be a slight chance
of thunderstorms through Monday as an upper trough and increased
moisture interact.

Hfo watches warnings advisories
High surf advisory until 6 am hst Monday for kauai windward-oahu
koolau-olomana-molokai windward-maui windward west-windward
haleakala-south big island-big island north and east.

Discussion... Houston
aviation... Jelsema
marine... Kinel


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
51201 - Waimea Bay, HI (106) 10 mi53 min 78°F4 ft
51207 15 mi60 min 79°F6 ft
51210 15 mi55 min 80°F6 ft
MOKH1 - 1612480 - Mokuoloe, HI 17 mi79 min E 9.9 G 13 80°F 82°F1015.3 hPa
51202 - Mokapu Point, HI (098) 21 mi51 min 80°F7 ft
OOUH1 - 1612340 - Honolulu, HI 24 mi55 min ESE 1.9 G 5.1 80°F 81°F1015.7 hPa (+0.9)
51211 24 mi55 min 81°F3 ft

Wind History for Mokuoloe, HI
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Last
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NE4
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wheeler Air Force Base / Oahu, HI13 mi1.9 hrsNE 310.00 miOvercast77°F68°F74%1013.7 hPa
Kaneohe, Marine Corps Air Station, HI16 mi2 hrsENE 8 G 177.00 miOvercast82°F73°F77%1013.6 hPa
Honolulu, Honolulu International Airport, HI21 mi62 minE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F68°F69%1014.8 hPa
Oahu, Kalaeloa Airport, HI24 mi62 minENE 510.00 miA Few Clouds80°F68°F67%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from HHI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE6CalmCalmSE4SE3E4E4CalmE3E6N4N4NE7E7E7E12E13--NE11----NE7NE3Calm
1 day agoSE3CalmNE4NE5W4N3CalmCalmW4W5W3NE5E4E12E13
G18
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G22
NE14NE13E11E11E14E7N5
2 days agoE6E9E10NE5SE3NE3E5NE3NE4E3E4E4NE6NE10
G21
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Tide / Current Tables for Laie Bay, Oahu Island, Hawaii
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Laie Bay
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:18 AM HST     1.31 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:01 AM HST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:24 AM HST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:34 AM HST     -0.41 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:10 PM HST     2.66 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:14 PM HST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:48 PM HST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:32 PM HST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.31.31.10.70.3-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.20.30.91.52.12.52.72.62.21.71.20.80.60.50.7

Tide / Current Tables for Haleiwa, Waialua Bay, Oahu Island, Hawaii
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Haleiwa
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:47 AM HST     0.71 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:02 AM HST     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:25 AM HST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:15 AM HST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:32 PM HST     2.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:15 PM HST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:49 PM HST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:30 PM HST     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.60.70.70.60.3-0-0.2-0.2-00.30.71.11.51.8221.71.20.70.3000.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
cpac_satellite

GOES Local Image of Hawaii    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Molokai, HI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.