Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
"Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 7:14PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 7:07 AM EDT (11:07 UTC) Moonrise 11:47AMMoonset 10:54PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ042 Hawk Channel From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From Craig Key To West End Of Seven Mile Bridge Out To The Reef- Hawk Channel From West End Of Seven Mile Bridge To Halfmoon Shoal Out To The Reef- 402 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
Today..Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Winds and seas higher in and near numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
Tonight through Wednesday night..Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night through Saturday..East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot. NEarshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northeast to east winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. NEarshore waters a light chop. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near "Islamorada, Village of Islands ", FL
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location: 25, -80.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 260833
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
433 am edt Tue sep 26 2017

Discussion
Short term (today-Thursday night)... With a generally light flow
remaining in place, expect sea breezes each afternoon which will
become the focal point for convection. Mfl sounding and model
moisture data do not show deep layer moisture over the area, with
shower storm coverage near normal values. Best chances of rain
remain over the interior today and Wed afternoon.

Global model solutions, mainly GFS and ecmwf, depict a deepening
mid upper lvl trough across most of the eastern half of the conus
starting Thursday. This will gradually veer winds to a more
southerly flow, bringing increasing deeper moisture from the
caribbean across south florida. Pops have been updated, along
with thunderstorm coverage becoming more widespread Thu thu night.

Temperatures will remain near seasonal normals, reaching upper
80s to lower 90s during the days, and 70s for overnight minima.

Long term (Thursday night-Monday)... A weak cold front boundary
reaches northern florida by Friday, which may stall near or just
north of the region over the weekend. Deeper moisture is expected
to remain in place with showers and thunderstorms likely Fri and
possibly sat. For Sunday and into early next week, GFS dries the
area faster than ecmwf, while the later depicts south florida
remaining in a highly moist and unstable environment. Model
solutions also show a weak low pressure developing between south
florida and the bahamas along the dissipating frontal boundary.

Therefore, rain chances will remain relatively high through the
weekend. Temperatures should remain near normals.

Marine
Hurricane maria will keep pushing a NE swell across the region
with seas of up to 8 feet in the gulf stream off palm beach
county. A small craft advisory remains in effect for those waters.

Winds will not be a factor for the rest of the week. Shower and
thunderstorm coverage will increase late this week.

Beach forecast
High risk of rip currents continue over all atlantic beaches and
a high surf advisory remains in effect for the palm beach county
coastline as the swell from hurricane maria continues.

Aviation
Light and variable winds will continue overnight with a couple
isolated showers moving slowly northeast over the peninsula. Aft
26 1600z, expecting southerly winds to increase to around 10 kt.

Sea breeze interaction should spark vcts conds along a much of the
east coast metro between 16 1800-17 0000z and have included
mention in the latest package. Winds and shower storm activity
should dwindle by evening.

West palm beach 92 75 91 75 50 20 40 20
fort lauderdale 89 76 89 76 50 30 50 30
miami 89 77 90 76 50 30 60 20
naples 90 76 90 75 30 20 40 30

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for
flz168-172- 173.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for flz168.

Am... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Wednesday for amz650-670.

Gm... None.

Discussion marine beach forecast... 17 ar
aviation... Jt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 6 mi128 min 88°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 8 mi128 min 87°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 8 mi68 min W 5.1 G 7 79°F 85°F1011.8 hPa
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 13 mi128 min 87°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 13 mi128 min 86°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 13 mi188 min 87°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 13 mi188 min 87°F
TBYF1 15 mi128 min 89°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 16 mi188 min 89°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 16 mi188 min 87°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 16 mi128 min 87°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 17 mi128 min 86°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 18 mi128 min 86°F
BKYF1 18 mi128 min 87°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 18 mi188 min 87°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 20 mi188 min 87°F
WWEF1 27 mi188 min 87°F
LRIF1 28 mi128 min 88°F
NRRF1 31 mi128 min 86°F
CWAF1 33 mi188 min 87°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 36 mi188 min 83°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 36 mi188 min 87°F
VCAF1 - 8723970 - Vaca Key, FL 37 mi50 min NW 6 G 7 83°F 88°F1011.1 hPa
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 37 mi128 min 86°F
SREF1 39 mi128 min 87°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 41 mi128 min 86°F
HREF1 41 mi128 min 85°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 47 mi68 min SSW 13 G 14 80°F 85°F1012.3 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Vaca Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Florida Keys - Marathon International Airport, FL33 mi75 minN 310.00 miFair81°F75°F85%1011 hPa

Wind History from MTH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmSE3S5SE5S5S5SE6SE6S5S6S5S3S6S5S3SW4SW6SW54S5CalmN3N7
1 day agoE4Calm3NE6E4SE5S4S3S5CalmNW4CalmSE3E3CalmCalmCalmS3S6S4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoNE3N7N7N6NE9NE8N8NE10NE94NW3NE5E4NE4NE9E5E3E4E3CalmCalmSE5CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Tavernier Creek, Hwy. 1 bridge, Hawk Channel, Florida
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Tavernier Creek
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:28 AM EDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:12 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:53 AM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:10 PM EDT     1.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:25 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.51.51.31.10.80.60.40.40.50.70.91.21.41.51.51.31.10.90.70.60.60.70.9

Tide / Current Tables for Long Key, east of drawbridge, Florida Current
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Long Key
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:45 AM EDT     0.69 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 03:57 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:38 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:27 PM EDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:18 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.70.50.3-0-0.4-0.9-1.1-1-0.7-0.30.20.60.80.80.70.50.1-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.4-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.