Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Key Largo, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:08PM Monday May 29, 2017 7:25 AM EDT (11:25 UTC) Moonrise 9:30AMMoonset 11:06PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 407 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Today..South southwest winds around 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Bay waters a light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night and Friday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 407 Am Edt Mon May 29 2017
Synopsis..Southeasterly flow will gradually become more dominant early this week, though speeds should generally be 15 kt or less. Seas will remain 4 feet or less through the week. Thunderstorm chances will increase for the latter half of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 29, 2017 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Key Largo CDP, FL
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location: 25.31, -80.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 290805
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
405 am edt Mon may 29 2017

Discussion
Short term (today through Wednesday)
deep layer ridging that has dominated south florida and brought
some heat records (see climate section below) will continue for
another day or two. The main change today should be a slightly
earlier sea-breeze intrusions, which should keep temperatures down
slightly from yesterday. Still though, maxima in the short term
will exceed 90 degrees most areas. Minima will be in the 70s. A
few thunderstorms are possible this and Tuesday afternoons,
mainly over the interior where the atlantic and gulf sea breezes
collide. There will be a slight better chance of activity
Wednesday afternoon.

Long term (Wednesday night through Sunday night)
upper ridge breaks down mid to late week as zonal flow aloft will
prevail. Surface high will also weaken and slide to the east,
putting south florida into a moist, southerly flow pattern. Pwats
will become above normal for this time of year, and most guidance
indicates rain chances will rise significantly accordingly. With
the main forcing being due to see-breeze collisions and subsequent
outflow boundaries interactions, thunderstorm chances will be
highest over the interior. At the moment, have high chance likely
pops over the interior, with chance pops even along the coasts.

Temperatures during the long term will be more regulated by
precipitation, so maxima will return to near normal near 90f,
with minima remaining above normal in the 70s.

Marine
Southeasterly flow will gradually become more dominant early this
week, though speeds should generally be 15 kt or less. Seas will
remain 4 feet or less through the week. Thunderstorm chances will
increase for the latter half of the week.

Aviation
The winds will be light and variable through the morning hours
before increasing from the east around 10 knots along the east
coast TAF sites. The winds over kapf TAF site will also remain
light and variable through the morning hours before going westerly
around 10 knots in the afternoon hours. Any showers or
thunderstorms that do develop this afternoon will be over the
interior areas and away from the TAF sites. Therefore, the taf
sites will remain dry along withVFR conditons today.

Fire weather
Upgraded fire weather watch to red flag warning for glades county due
to forecast 4 to 5 hours of relative humidity below 40 percent
this afternoon. For hendry county, the 4 hour threshold is
unlikely to be reached, and winds appear to be on track to remain
below 10 mph. Thus, have dropped the watch, but conditions will
continue to be closely monitored. On Tuesday, moisture will
increase some, so at this point it looks like relative humidity
thresholds will not be met after today through the remainder of
the week.

Climate
Sunday, miami set its all time record high temperature with 98
degrees. Although temperatures are expected to not reach as high
today or for the rest of the week, they are expected to be near
records. Here is information on records for today.

Monday record highs:
naples 96 2011 forecast high: 92
west palm beach 96 2000 forecast high: 92
fort lauderdale 95 1915 forecast high: 92
miami 94 1951 forecast high: 92
Tuesday record high minima:
naples 79 2012 forecast low: 75
west palm beach 79 1982 forecast low: 77
fort lauderdale 80 2008 forecast low: 80
miami 79 2011 forecast low: 79
Tuesday record highs:
naples 95 2011 forecast high: 92
west palm beach 96 1945 forecast high: 91
fort lauderdale 95 1924 forecast high: 89
miami 93 2012 forecast high: 91

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 92 77 91 78 10 0 0 0
fort lauderdale 92 80 89 80 10 0 10 0
miami 92 79 91 79 20 0 10 0
naples 92 75 92 75 10 10 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... Red flag warning from noon today to 8 pm edt this evening for
flz063.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 23 sk
marine... 23 sk
aviation... 54 bnb
fire weather... 23 sk
climate... 23 sk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 10 mi85 min 87°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 11 mi85 min 87°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 11 mi85 min 87°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 13 mi85 min 87°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 15 mi85 min 87°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 15 mi85 min 86°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 20 mi85 min 87°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 21 mi85 min 87°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 21 mi85 min WSW 2.9 G 4.1 82°F 82°F1016.7 hPa (-0.3)
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 21 mi85 min 88°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 21 mi25 min SW 6 G 6 82°F 82°F1017.7 hPa (+1.1)
TBYF1 26 mi85 min 89°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 29 mi85 min 88°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 30 mi85 min 88°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 30 mi43 min WSW 5.1 G 6 80°F 86°F1016.3 hPa
BKYF1 33 mi85 min 86°F
LRIF1 33 mi85 min 88°F
NRRF1 34 mi85 min 87°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 36 mi85 min 85°F
WWEF1 36 mi145 min 87°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 37 mi85 min 86°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 37 mi85 min 89°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 38 mi85 min 88°F
CWAF1 39 mi145 min 87°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 40 mi85 min 88°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 41 mi85 min 86°F
HREF1 43 mi85 min 85°F
SREF1 44 mi85 min 86°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 45 mi85 min 84°F
LONF1 - Long Key, FL 45 mi25 min S 2.9 G 4.1 83°F 88°F1017.2 hPa (+1.1)75°F
LBRF1 - Broad River Lower, FL 47 mi85 min 85°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Force Base, FL13 mi87 minN 010.00 miFair73°F72°F100%1016.5 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmSW8SW6NW5W7S9SW13SW13W13W10W10SW5SW4SW3SW3SW3S3S3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmW3CalmE5E9SE7SE9NW8
G15
S6SW7S3S3S6SW5SW5SW4W5W5W4W3CalmW5NW4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmNW3E3E5E7E9E8E4SE4SE4SE3CalmSE3E3--SE3CalmCalmE3S5CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Ocean Reef Harbor, Key Largo, Florida
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Ocean Reef Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 06:09 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:14 PM EDT     2.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:31 PM EDT     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.92.72.11.30.60-0.2-0.10.41.11.82.32.62.521.30.5-0.2-0.6-0.5-0.10.61.32.1

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:52 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:49 AM EDT     -1.91 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:22 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:46 AM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 01:29 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:54 PM EDT     -2.22 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:33 PM EDT     1.54 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.50.8-0.1-1.1-1.8-1.9-1.6-1.1-0.30.50.910.80.4-0.4-1.3-2-2.2-2-1.4-0.60.41.11.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.