Friday, June23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Homestead Base, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 8:17PM Friday June 23, 2017 1:07 PM EDT (17:07 UTC) Moonrise 5:06AMMoonset 6:54PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 938 Am Edt Fri Jun 23 2017
Rest of today..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters light chop.
Saturday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night through Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 938 Am Edt Fri Jun 23 2017
Synopsis.. An atlantic high pressure area will keep an east to southeast wind across the south florida coastal waters through the weekend. It will also keep a somewhat drier weather pattern in place for the next several days, although some shower and Thunderstorm activity may still be possible. The chances for showers and Thunderstorms will increase again next week. Overnight easterly wind surges remain possible the next few days.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 22, 2017 at 1200 utc... 10 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east of port everglades. 14 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Homestead Base, FL
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location: 25.44, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 231425 aaa
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
1025 am edt Fri jun 23 2017

Update
Generally dry conditions continue to reign over south florida,
though some pockets of moisture have allowed atlantic showers to
develop and push ashore. Raised pops to include mention of showers
through the morning hours. This afternoon will be generally dry
for the east coast metro with the convective focus over inland
south florida and metro southwest florida later in the day.

Showers should be the predominant convection though some could
grow enough to produce some lightning strikes. Updated zones have
been sent to show this change. Have a wonderful day!

Prev discussion issued 738 am edt Fri jun 23 2017
aviation...

morning showers that have developed over the atlantic could affect
the east coast terminals over the coming hours. They should
diminish and transition westward with a focus over inland south
florida and southwest florida later today. Currently, apf has
showers mentioned but thunderstorms cannot be ruled out and could
be added in the coming issuances. Southeasterly to easterly flow
should prevail with variable gustiness around convection.

Prev discussion... Issued 328 am edt Fri jun 23 2017
discussion...

high pressure looks to continue to dominate the weather pattern
through the weekend. A
a bermuda high is forecast to remain in place through Sunday
night. Along with this surface high, there is a high centered
over the region at 500mb. Models are indicating that both the
surface and 500mb highs will begin to weaken on Sunday.

However, even with the highs in place, enough moisture, with
pwats forecast to rise to just below 2 inches over the western
interior today, and diurnal heating will occur to allow for a
chance of mainly afternoon convection for the next several
afternoons. With the east to southeast flow, the areas with the
best chances will be the gulf coast, western interior and western
lake regions.

Taking a look at 500mb temperatures, the GFS has -5c to -4c and
the ECMWF is very similar, possibly even slightly warmer at times.

Given this, will keep most of the activity for today as a slight
chance to a chance of showers, with a slight chance
thunderstorms for much of the area west of the southeast metro
area. Beyond today, went ahead and kept scattered showers and
thunderstorms in the interior, but that may also end up being
limited to a slight chance of thunderstorms, if the models
continue to show warm temperatures at 500mb.

For the beginning of the week, both the ECMWF and the GFS have a
500mb trough digging across the eastern us. They also have the
bermuda high retreating to the east, ahead of a cold front that
will move into the north florida Sunday night. This front is not
progged to make it too much further then north central florida.

It will mainly effect additional moisture and convective activity
south of it. This has caused pops to begin to rise Monday and
Tuesday, as the front stalls. Models are showing the front will
dissipate during the middle of the week, as high pressure builds
in from the north, slides east, and takes residence as a
replacement bermuda high by the end of the week. As it does this,
it will keep showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for mainly
the afternoon and early evening hours through the end of next
week.

Marine...

a bermuda high will keep seas smooth to slight through the
weekend. The wind is forecast to continue to be east to southeast
around 10 to 15 kts through the weekend. While the chances of
showers and thunderstorms are lower this weekend, they are still
possible across the coastal waters. The chance of convective
activity will pick up again next week.

With the forecast wind, there is a moderate to high risk of rip
currents for the atlantic beaches. Given yesterdays observations
of strong rip currents at the east coast beaches, have kept the
high risk of rip statement out through the day today. The wind is
forecast to weaken after today, which should allow for the risk
to drop down to moderate after today.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 89 79 90 79 20 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 90 81 90 81 20 10 10 10
miami 90 80 91 80 20 10 10 10
naples 92 77 91 77 50 20 30 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for flz168-172-
173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 02 rag and 99 mac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 14 mi127 min 85°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 16 mi67 min ESE 15 G 16 82°F 83°F1018.2 hPa (+0.5)
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 16 mi67 min 86°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 17 mi127 min 85°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 19 mi127 min 86°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 19 mi127 min 85°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 20 mi127 min 85°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 22 mi49 min E 9.9 G 15 84°F 85°F1017.2 hPa
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 23 mi67 min 86°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 24 mi67 min 86°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 26 mi67 min 86°F
TBYF1 29 mi67 min 88°F
MLRF1 - Molasses Reef, FL 30 mi67 min SE 14 G 15 83°F 83°F1017.3 hPa (+0.0)
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 31 mi67 min 86°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 32 mi127 min 85°F
LRIF1 32 mi67 min 86°F
NRRF1 32 mi67 min 88°F
WRBF1 - Whipray Basin, FL 33 mi127 min E 6 86°F
BOBF1 - Bob Allen, FL 34 mi67 min 86°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 34 mi127 min 85°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 35 mi67 min 85°F
BKYF1 35 mi67 min 85°F
WWEF1 35 mi127 min 85°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 37 mi67 min 86°F
CWAF1 38 mi127 min 86°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 39 mi67 min 84°F
HREF1 39 mi67 min 85°F
MUKF1 - Murray Key, FL 40 mi67 min 85°F
LRKF1 - Little Rabbit Key, FL 41 mi127 min 85°F
JKYF1 - Johnson Key, FL 41 mi127 min 84°F
SREF1 41 mi67 min 86°F
PKYF1 - Peterson Key, FL 42 mi67 min 86°F
LBRF1 - Broad River Lower, FL 43 mi127 min 86°F
LMRF1 - Lostmans River, FL 45 mi67 min 86°F
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 47 mi67 min SE 11 G 14 84°F 1018 hPa (+0.5)73°F
CNBF1 - Cannon Bay, FL 49 mi67 min 86°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL4 mi69 minE 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F77°F75%1017.6 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL15 mi74 minESE 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F73°F61%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from HST (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9
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E11NE8E11E9E10E7E10E10E10E9E13E8E7E6E8E6E9E10E10
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1 day agoSE11
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SE10SE10SE11SE10SE7E6E8E6E4E6E4E6E5E8E7E7E9E13
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2 days agoE12E13
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--E5SE12

Tide / Current Tables for Turkey Point, Biscayne Bay, Florida
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Turkey Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:23 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:32 AM EDT     1.90 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:43 PM EDT     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:32 PM EDT     New Moon
Fri -- 11:16 PM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.30.90.40.1-0.1-0.10.30.91.51.81.91.71.30.80.3-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.20.41.11.72

Tide / Current Tables for Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current
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Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:18 AM EDT     -2.13 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:41 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT     1.36 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 09:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:20 PM EDT     -2.79 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:54 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT     2.19 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:32 PM EDT     New Moon
Fri -- 11:09 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.7-2.1-2-1.5-0.70.311.41.30.8-0.1-1.3-2.3-2.8-2.7-2.1-1.10.11.222.221.30.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.