Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Miami, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:16PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 11:26 PM EDT (03:26 UTC) Moonrise 11:39AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 42% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 948 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 5 knots becoming south after midnight. Bay waters smooth.
Wednesday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the day.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..South southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West southwest winds 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South southwest winds around 5 knots becoming west 5 knots after midnight. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday and Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 knots. Bay waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 948 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Synopsis..High pressure across central and northern florida will gradually weaken through late week. Light southeasterly winds will continue into Wednesday, before becoming southwest for the end of the week. Showers and Thunderstorms will become more numerous over the atlantic waters Thursday into Saturday, especially during the late afternoon and evening each day.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 19, 2018 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east of port everglades. 12 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 14 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Miami, FL
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location: 25.73, -80.24     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 200013
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
813 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018

Update
Isolated showers and storms have been dwindling along the gulf
coast of mainland monroe and southern collier. Any remaining
activity should continue to diminish through midnight. For this
update, lowered pops slightly for southwest florida for the first
half of the night.

Recent short term models continue to indicate the possibility for
isolated shower thunderstorm activity later in the night toward
the early morning hours for far southern portions of the area and
the atlantic waters. Wouldn't be surprised to see an isolated
shower or storm over miami-dade and the adjactent atlantic waters
towards daybreak. Therefore, went with pops around 20 percent
after 2am on through the morning hours.

Prev discussion issued 735 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018
aviation... Limited shra tsra this eve well away from any taf
sites, though outflows may briefing bring a few within vcnty kapf
through 02z. Winds become light vrb overnight, with offshore flow
likely at most sites. Atlc ridge axis more overhead on wed, so
flow should be lighter and a little more SE for atlc sites.

Coverage remains isold again, so no mention of precip in tafs at
this time.

Prev discussion... Issued 417 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018
discussion... As expected, scattered thunderstorms formed this
afternoon over southern-interior portions of south florida. Expect
this activity to wind down around sunset.

Relatively dry air for this time of year in the mid to upper
levels of the troposphere will remain in place through Wednesday
as a mid-upper level ridge continues to be located over the
northeastern gulf and southeastern u.S. As a result, forecast rain
chances Wednesday are only 40-50 percent over interior areas and
30 percent or less for coastal areas. As the afternoon progresses,
scattered showers and storms will concentrate more over the
interior as both the atlantic and gulf sea breezes should
penetrate farther inland. By Thursday, the flow becomes more
westerly and the pattern of showers and thunderstorms will change
to become more numerous over the eastern half of the area and
lesser over western areas gulf coast. Moisture levels on Thursday
should be a little higher than Wednesday due to a combination of
mid-upper level moisture advecting in from the northeast due to
the weakening ridge... And a westward moving tropical wave over
the caribbean, which will mainly pass south of our latitude. As a
result, rain chances on Thursday will be a little higher over
interior and eastern areas, especially with the flow pushing the
storms toward the east coast during the late afternoon hours. Some
of the activity could last into the evening hours.

Max temperatures will show a slight upward trend, especially for
Thursday for eastern and interior areas due to the sw-w winds. Increasing
humidity levels will cause the heat index to top 100f most areas.

Friday through the upcoming weekend: for Friday and Saturday,
models show a weak mid upper level high over florida with the low
level ridge axis to our south. This should result in a fairly deep
but light westerly flow, favoring scattered showers and
thunderstorms over the eastern half of the area from the afternoon
well into the evening hours, with the gulf coast showing lower
pops in the prevailing westerly flow. By Sunday, models agree that
the atlantic ridge will build into florida from the east,
switching the deep flow to east southeast and increasing moisture
levels as well. As a result, showers and thunderstorms appear to
be likely to end the weekend and start next week. Temperatures
will continue to show an upward trend Friday and Saturday, with
some mid 90s possible into parts of the SE florida metro area and
near 90 to lower 90s elsewhere. Heat index values may approach or
even exceed 105f over parts of the area Friday and Saturday,
something to keep an eye on over the coming days.

Marine... Light winds below 10 kts will prevail over all waters
through Wednesday morning, becoming south to southwest 8-12 knots
late Wednesday through Friday. Over the gulf waters, winds will
become west to southwest near 10 knots during the afternoons near
the coast, then become more consistently west to southwest 5 to 10
knots Thursday through Saturday. A few thunderstorms mainly in
the evening over the gulf waters tonight, then showers and
thunderstorms becoming more likely over the atlantic waters
Wednesday through Saturday, especially from late afternoon through
midnight.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 75 91 76 91 10 20 20 40
fort lauderdale 78 91 78 90 10 30 30 50
miami 77 91 78 92 20 30 30 50
naples 77 91 77 90 20 20 20 30

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 98 abh
discussion... 98 abh
marine... 98 abh
aviation... 88 alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 4 mi38 min E 5.1 G 7 83°F 87°F1015.1 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 12 mi26 min ESE 9.9 G 9.9 82°F 84°F1016 hPa (+0.7)
PEGF1 25 mi44 min ESE 4.1 G 6 83°F 1015.4 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 26 mi32 min ESE 4.1 G 6 82°F 1015.8 hPa71°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 35 mi146 min 89°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 36 mi86 min 89°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 37 mi146 min 90°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 39 mi146 min 92°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 40 mi146 min 88°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 40 mi146 min 90°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 42 mi86 min 88°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 43 mi86 min 87°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 43 mi86 min 88°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 44 mi86 min 91°F
TPEF1 - Tarpon Bay East, FL 44 mi146 min 88°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 44 mi86 min 88°F
NRRF1 45 mi86 min 88°F
LRIF1 46 mi86 min 90°F
BNKF1 - Butternut Key, FL 47 mi86 min 88°F
TBYF1 47 mi86 min 88°F
GBIF1 - Gunboat Island, FL 48 mi86 min 87°F
HREF1 48 mi86 min 86°F
GBTF1 - Garfield Bight, FL 49 mi86 min 90°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL7 mi33 minESE 710.00 miA Few Clouds81°F73°F77%1015.4 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL11 mi33 minE 410.00 miFair78°F72°F82%1015.3 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL13 mi33 minENE 310.00 miFair80°F72°F76%1015.8 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL19 mi33 minE 410.00 miFair81°F72°F74%1016.1 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL19 mi90 minE 610.00 miFair81°F73°F79%1015.5 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL24 mi33 minESE 510.00 miA Few Clouds81°F73°F77%1015.5 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3N3N3N3N3CalmCalmCalmNW44NW54N4E14
G18
E11E8E10E954E9E8SE6E7
1 day agoE6E5E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3E5NE7NE6E9NE3W8W33E7
G15
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2 days agoSE3E5E3E3E5CalmCalmCalmCalmNE4SE3SE5E13W35E8E12
G17
NE10E8NE7E8E4E9E8

Tide / Current Tables for Dinner Key Marina, Florida
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Dinner Key Marina
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Tue -- 12:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:45 AM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:38 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:14 PM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:02 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.72.12.121.61.10.60.2-0-00.20.71.31.821.91.71.30.80.40.1-00.1

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:56 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:34 AM EDT     -1.63 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 09:15 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:33 PM EDT     2.02 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:25 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:13 PM EDT     -1.46 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:37 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.221.1-0.1-1-1.4-1.6-1.6-1.3-0.311.8221.50.5-0.6-1.1-1.4-1.5-1.4-0.70.51.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.