Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fisher Island, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 5:33PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 2:18 PM EST (19:18 UTC) Moonrise 12:24PMMoonset 11:34PM Illumination 42% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1056 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Rest of today..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers through the night. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds increasing to 11 seconds in the afternoon. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..North northwest winds 15 to 20 knots along the coast to north 15 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Along the coast, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. In the gulf stream, seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet building to 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet after midnight. Period 8 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Friday night..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night..East northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Sunday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1056 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis..Southerly wind flow will continue across the atlantic and gulf coastal waters today. This wind flow will then shift to the southwest tonight out ahead of a frontal boundary that will be moving through Thursday. Showers and Thunderstorms will remain in the forecast through the frontal passage with the main concerns for mariners being gusty winds, locally higher seas, lightning, and low visibilities due to heavy rainfall. The gulf offshore waters could see seas building to 6 to 8 feet on Thursday and Thursday night.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas will be building to 7 feet Thursday and Thursday night behind the passage of the cold front. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 10, 2018 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east of port everglades. 8 nautical miles east of lake worth. 10 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fisher Island, FL
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location: 25.77, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 141749
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
1249 pm est Wed nov 14 2018

Aviation
The winds will remain southeast over the east coast TAF sites this
afternoon before going to a light and variable conditions this
evening, except for kpbi TAF site where the winds will go more to
a southwest direction late tonight. Kapf TAF site will be
southwest this afternoon before going light and variable this
evening then southwest around 5 knots late tonight. The weather
will be mostly dry at most of the TAF sites until 06z tonight then
vcsh, except kpbi where vcsh will dominate through tonight.

Ceiling and vis will be inVFR conditions, but could fall down
into MVFR conditions with any shower passage.

Aviation... Baxter fell

Prev discussion issued 1024 am est Wed nov 14 2018
update...

a cold front over the southeastern united states will continue to
move southward through the florida peninsula and into lake
okeechobee early Friday morning. This will weaken the high
pressure over south florida today and allow for the wind flow to
be more southerly bringing in some tropical moisture to the area.

The best coverage will be over lake okeechobee region today into
this evening where the sea breezes and lake breeze collide.

Therefore, the highest pops will be over the northern interior
areas this afternoon.

The 500 mb temps this morning from the mia sounding was around -4c,
and the forecast short term models are showing only -4c in the
southern areas to -6c over the northern areas this afternoon.

Therefore, will remove thunder wording from the southern areas and
keep only isolated coverage over the northern areas for this
afternoon. The primary impacts from the storms will be lightning
strikes.

Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes
are planned.

Update... 54 bnb
prev discussion... Issued 640 am est Wed nov 14 2018
aviation...

active weather ahead of an approaching cold front is possible
through tomorrow. A line of shra is already moving across the
atlantic coast, and should be out of the TAF areas around 12-13z.

Behind this line, there is uncertainty as to how much shra will
impact the coasts. There is a slight chance of a tsra across the
entire area, but too uncertain to include in tafs at this time.

Otherwise,VFR, with possible ifr, under any +shra. The front is
progged to move into the area Thursday.

Aviation... Fell baxter
prev discussion... Issued 342 am est Wed nov 14 2018
discussion...

scattered showers continue to affect portions of the atlantic
waters as well as the east coast metro areas early this morning.

These showers will slowly progress towards the north northwest as
the morning progresses. A ridge of high pressure at the surface
will slowly begin to move off to the east as a cold front moves in
from the northwest. The chances of showers and thunderstorms will
continue today especially during the afternoon and early evening
hours. High temperatures today will remain on the warm side once
again as they will rise into the mid 80s across the east coast
metro areas to near 90 across the northwestern interior sections.

The frontal boundary will slowly continue to progress towards the
region later on Wednesday night and throughout the day on
Thursday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop on Thursday and into Thursday night out ahead of the
approaching cold front. Stronger thunderstorms are not expected
out ahead of this cold front as most of the dynamics and
instability will remain off to the north of the area. Both of the
gfs and the ECMWF show the front moving through later on Thursday
night and drier air will begin to move into the region during the
day on Friday.

Dry conditions are expected across many areas through the first
portion of the weekend. As the second half of the weekend and the
early portion of next week approaches, a warmer air mass will
return to south florida along with increasing low level moisture
as well. This will allow for an increasing chance of showers and
thunderstorms during this time frame. High temperatures during the
early portion of next week should range from the lower 80s across
the east coast metro areas to the mid 80s across interior and
western sections.

Marine...

south to southeasterly wind flow will continue across the atlantic
and gulf coastal waters on Wednesday. This wind flow will then
shift to the southwest out ahead of a frontal boundary that will
be moving through later in the week. Showers and thunderstorms
will remain in the forecast through the frontal passage with the
main concerns for mariners being gusty winds, locally higher seas,
lightning, and low visibilities due to heavy rainfall.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 72 84 59 74 30 40 20 10
fort lauderdale 76 84 64 74 20 40 20 10
miami 74 84 61 75 20 40 20 10
naples 70 80 56 72 40 50 0 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 54 bnb
discussion... 55 cwc
marine... 55 cwc
aviation... 54 bnb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 3 mi31 min E 6 G 8 82°F 83°F1016.1 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 13 mi19 min ESE 9.9 G 11 81°F 81°F1016.6 hPa (-2.1)
PEGF1 22 mi37 min SSE 1.9 G 5.1 83°F 1016.2 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 22 mi37 min ESE 4.1 G 7 85°F 1016.4 hPa74°F
MDKF1 36 mi139 min 82°F
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 39 mi139 min 84°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 40 mi79 min 83°F
THRF1 41 mi139 min 82°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 41 mi139 min 83°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 44 mi139 min 82°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 44 mi139 min 84°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 45 mi139 min 82°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 47 mi79 min 83°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 48 mi79 min 80°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 48 mi79 min 83°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi79 min 80°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 49 mi79 min 81°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi26 minSE 13 G 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F73°F72%1016 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL12 mi26 minESE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F75°F67%1016.3 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL17 mi26 minE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F73°F65%1016.4 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL17 mi26 minSE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F72°F61%1015.8 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL21 mi26 minESE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F77°F82%1015.8 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL23 mi23 minENE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F75°F76%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE12SE11SE10SE7SE6SE3SE5SE5SE3E5E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmE6SE7E8SE10SE10SE13
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2 days agoNE9NE9NE9NE7NE9NE8E9E9NE8E9E8E8E7E7E9E7E7E9E12SE12SE12E13E14SE10
G19

Tide / Current Tables for Miami, Causeway (east end), Florida
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Miami
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Wed -- 01:31 AM EST     2.02 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:38 AM EST     0.71 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:23 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:13 PM EST     2.17 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:24 PM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:33 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.8221.81.61.20.90.70.70.91.11.51.822.22.11.91.61.310.90.91.11.3

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
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Wed -- 01:44 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:53 AM EST     -1.03 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:04 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:29 AM EST     1.62 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 12:23 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:22 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:27 PM EST     -0.90 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:41 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:51 PM EST     1.37 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:33 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.7-0.2-0.9-1-0.9-0.8-0.6-0.10.91.61.61.41.10.3-0.5-0.9-0.9-0.8-0.8-0.50.31.11.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.