Thursday, January17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fisher Island, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 5:53PM Thursday January 17, 2019 11:45 AM EST (16:45 UTC) Moonrise 2:35PMMoonset 3:20AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 1048 Am Est Thu Jan 17 2019
Rest of today..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Saturday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West southwest winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Monday..North northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1048 Am Est Thu Jan 17 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure dominates the weather pattern across the local south florida waters. Northerly winds will become more northeasterly to easterly as we move throughout the remainder of the week. Seas in the atlantic, particularly in the gulf stream will continue to build to 4 to 6 feet, highest seas in northern gulf stream offshore palm beach with a northerly swell. Seas in the gulf waters will be 2 to 3 feet. Seas will gradually subside beginning Thursday through the end of the week before increasing late Saturday ahead of the next cold front.
Gulf stream hazards..6 foot seas with northerly swell. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fisher Island, FL
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location: 25.77, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 171351 aab
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
851 am est Thu jan 17 2019

Update
High pressure will remain over the florida peninsula keeping the
weather dry over south florida today. Therefore, no changes are
planned in the forecast for today.

Update 54 bnb

Prev discussion issued 558 am est Thu jan 17 2019
aviation...

vfr conditions will prevail throughout the period. Winds
today will veer from northeasterly this morning becoming easterly
this afternoon around 8-10 kts for the east coast terminals. For
kapf, light nne flow this morning with a gulf breeze developing and
moving in around 20z. Overnight tonight, winds will relax becoming
light and variable.

Prev discussion... Issued 328 am est Thu jan 17 2019
discussion...

today through Saturday...

a gradual warming trend is expected to continue through Saturday
with winds veering around to the southeast as surface high
pressure over the SE CONUS slides off to the east. Low
temperatures will start out in the low to mid 40s across inland
sw florida to the upper 50s across the east coast metro area
this morning before warming into the 70s this afternoon. By
Saturday, high temperatures will climb into the upper 70s to low
80s across the area with Saturday night lows in the 60s.

Sunday through Wednesday...

a cold front will push through the region on Sunday morning,
bringing the next good chance for showers and thunderstorms and
ushering in another shot of cool air. Both the GFS and ECMWF are
in fairly good agreement with the arrival of the front, with the
ecmwf only about 6 hours behind the gfs. Both models have been
trending earlier than previous runs, and therefore temperatures
for Sunday and especially Sunday night have been lowered a touch
to reflect that trend. Low temperatures on Sunday night are now
forecast in the low 40s across inland SW florida to the low 50s
along the immediate east coast. Monday will be the coolest day
with highs in the low 60s near lake okeechobee to near 70 across
the southern tip of the peninsula. A gradual warming trend will
once again set in through around midweek when the next cold front
approaches the area. Model timing differences are much more
noticeable (> a day) for the arrival of the second front, so we'll
just have to keep tabs on it until it gets closer in time.

Marine...

generally light NE winds will gradually become SE over the next
couple of days before becoming S and strengthening on Saturday
ahead of the next cold front. Slightly elevated seas will be
possible in the gulf stream today. Otherwise, low seas are
expected until Saturday night into Sunday as the front pushes
through the area. Breezy NW winds are expected in the wake of the
front on Sunday.

Beach forecast...

a high risk of rip currents is forecast for palm beach and broward
county beaches today due to lingering swell. A moderate risk of
rip currents is forecast for miami-dade county.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 75 59 77 62 10 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 75 63 77 65 10 10 10 10
miami 76 62 78 65 10 10 10 0
naples 75 56 77 60 0 0 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk until 7 pm est this evening for flz168-172.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 54 bnb
discussion... 32 mm
marine... 32 mm
aviation... 33 kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 3 mi45 min NW 4.1 G 6 73°F 72°F1023.1 hPa (+0.8)
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 13 mi45 min N 8.9 G 8.9 69°F 74°F1024 hPa (+1.0)
PEGF1 22 mi51 min NNW 6 G 7 71°F 1023.6 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 22 mi45 min NW 5.1 G 9.9 71°F 1023.8 hPa (+1.4)57°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 40 mi105 min 65°F
TRRF1 - Taylor River, FL 47 mi105 min 63°F
CANF1 - Cane Patch, FL 48 mi105 min 65°F
LMDF1 - Little Madeira, FL 48 mi105 min 65°F
BDVF1 - Broad River, FL 49 mi105 min 65°F
WIWF1 - Willy Willy, FL 49 mi105 min 63°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL8 mi52 minNNW 310.00 miA Few Clouds73°F55°F55%1023.6 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL12 mi52 minN 410.00 miFair74°F55°F52%1023.9 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL17 mi52 minNNE 610.00 miFair74°F55°F52%1023.4 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL17 mi52 minNNW 410.00 miFair72°F54°F53%1024.1 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL21 mi52 minN 510.00 miFair72°F57°F61%1023.4 hPa
Homestead Air Reserve Base, FL23 mi49 minNNE 510.00 miFair74°F57°F56%1023.3 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9NW6NW6N4NW6NW4NW5NW5N7N6N4N5N7N5NW4N4N5NW5NW5NW3NW4N3N4NW3
1 day agoNW9NW7N9N8NW7N6N8N9N6NW7N6N8N5NW6NW8NW6NW8NW8NW4NW6NW7N10N9NW9
2 days agoNW95NW765NW553NE4N53N4Calm4NW4NW3NW4NW6NW6N9N7N8NW11
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Tide / Current Tables for Miami, Causeway (east end), Florida
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Miami
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:19 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:57 AM EST     1.89 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:56 AM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:00 PM EST     1.83 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.20.611.51.81.91.81.410.60.30.20.30.611.41.71.81.71.40.90.4-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:28 AM EST     1.86 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 03:19 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:21 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:07 AM EST     -1.07 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 12:24 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:44 PM EST     1.55 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:52 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:21 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 08:57 PM EST     -1.45 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.21.31.81.81.71.30.4-0.5-1-1.1-1-0.9-0.40.61.41.51.41.10.4-0.7-1.3-1.4-1.4-1.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.