Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Bay Village, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:05PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 1:03 AM EDT (05:03 UTC) Moonrise 3:53AMMoonset 4:51PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 931 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers through the night.
Wednesday..South southwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 30 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..South southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Along the coast, west winds 5 to 10 knots. In the gulf stream, southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west around 5 knots in the morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 931 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
Synopsis..Surface high pressure near bermuda will maintain moderate south-southeast flow into Tuesday. Boating conditions will deteriorate ahead of a frontal boundary on Wednesday, with gusty south-southwest winds continuing into Thursday. The front will also bring an increasing chance of showers and Thunderstorms over the local waters mid to late week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 20, 2017 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east of port everglades. 14 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 18 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Bay Village, FL
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location: 25.85, -80.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 230011
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
811 pm edt Mon may 22 2017

Update The last few visible satellite images this evening show
very well the story of the afternoon. Skies remain nearly clear
along both coast, with a line of storms stretching from the west
side of lake okeechobee through hendry and central/east collier
counties where the seabreezes have collided. Coverage and
intensity is already on the downswing, and expect convection to
generally diminish by 10-11pm tonight. A few outflow boundaries
may kick off a shower or two through this evening along the
collier coast. Otherwise, once convection diminishes expect
another muggy night under partly cloudy skies.

Aviation Tsra will linger over western interior through 23/02z,
but likely will remain away from any terminals. Will keep vcsh
mention at kapf through this time for some of the towering cu
currently visible on satellite. Light S or sse flow at all sites
after 04z, increasing to 10-12kts after 14z. Seabreezes should
reach all sites tomorrow, though kpbi-ktmb-kopf will be later,
16z-17z and kapf may not become wsw until 19z. For now, tsra
development looks to remain inland of all sites and have kept it
out of the tafs.

Prev discussion /issued 348 pm edt Mon may 22 2017/

Marginal to slight risk of severe weather Wednesday through
Thursday...

discussion...

tonight through Tuesday... High pressure over the western atlantic
waters will move east through Tuesday allowing for a cold front
over the tennessee valley to move into the southeastern united
states. This will allow for the steering flow over south florida
to swing to more of a southerly direction on Tuesday. The east and
west coast sea breezes will also develop each day and push
inland. Therefore... The best chance of showers and thunderstorms
this afternoon and again on Tuesday afternoon will be over the
western interior areas of south florida with emphasis shifting to
the eastern interior areas on Tuesday as steering flow veers.

Wednesday through Thursday... A trough of low pressure across the
rockies will move southeast and amplify as it moves into the
tennessee valley by middle of this week. This in turn will allow for
the front over the southeastern united states to move southward into
northern florida, and allow for the steering flow over south florida
to be south/southwest bringing in deep tropical moisture to the
area. Therefore, numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms should
develop over south florida Wednesday though Thursday with the
consensus of the models signaling front passing by to our north or
dissipating across the region by late Thursday.

A mid to upper level jet 100 to 130 knots will be moving around the
base of the trough through georgia/northern/central florida middle
of this week or around Wednesday night into the early half of
Thursday, as a low level jet of 50 knots will be moving through
north and central florida during the same period. Only model
bringing low level jet of 50+ knots as far south as the lake okee
region is the NAM as this time. This all means increasing chances of
rain Wednesday through Thursday. There is certainly a potential for
a few strong or even severe thunderstorms. The question is when. One
possibility is ahead of the trough on Wednesday afternoon where we
will likely be exposed to good daytime heating and may be slightly
steeper low/mid level lapse rates than normal. Overnight is when the
best upper level dynamics will be passing by to the north but it
does not stretch far enough south to make up for weakening low level
frontogenetical forcing and lack of heating even into Thursday when
it will be cloudy and wet. Certainly there is a marginal to slight
slight risk of severe weather at best but it is not a slam dunk at
this time. Will continue to monitor as the next two days progress.

The primary potential impacts at this time are a few strong storms
Wednesday afternoon with may be some small hail and strong winds and
again showers and storms with wind gusts in excess of 40-50 mph
overnight Wednesday into the early part of Thursday. One or two
tornadoes cannot be ruled particularly late Wednesday and Wednesday
night when NAM shows 0-1 km helicities in the 200-300 range across
southwest florida coast and the lake okeechobee region. But again
that is against limiting factors mentioned earlier.

Extended forecast... Through Monday... The trough of low pressure will
continue to move east into the western atlantic waters late this
week into this weekend, as low level high pressure ridge builds back
across the region. Typical summertime like pattern should be
settling across the area with sea breezes developing and pushing
inland each day with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
developing each afternoon with the best coverage over the interior
areas.

Marine... Increasing winds of 15 to 20 knots generally from the ssw
and then wsw Wednesday through early part of Thursday will result in
small craft exercise caution conditions across much of the local
south florida waters if not periods of small craft advisory
conditions. Boating conditions will improve once again late this
week outside local thunderstorms which will increase Wednesday and
Thursday in coverage as well.

Preliminary point temps/pops
West palm beach 76 91 75 90 / 10 30 20 50
fort lauderdale 77 89 78 90 / 10 20 20 40
miami 76 89 78 91 / 10 10 20 50
naples 74 89 77 87 / 10 20 20 50

Mfl watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 88/alm
aviation... 88/alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 8 mi45 min SE 6 G 8.9 80°F 85°F1016.5 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 17 mi39 min SSE 8.9 G 12 80°F 1017 hPa71°F
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 18 mi63 min SE 15 G 16 80°F 81°F1017.6 hPa (+0.3)
HCEF1 - Highway Creek, FL 44 mi123 min 86°F
LSNF1 - Long Sound, FL 45 mi63 min 84°F
LBSF1 - Little Blackwater, FL 46 mi123 min 85°F
TCVF1 - Trout Cove, FL 48 mi123 min 85°F
DKKF1 - Duck Key, FL 49 mi123 min 85°F
BWSF1 - Blackwater Sound, FL 49 mi123 min 84°F

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL6 mi70 minSSE 510.00 miA Few Clouds79°F68°F69%1017.5 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL7 mi70 minSSE 310.00 miFair79°F70°F74%1017.7 hPa
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL11 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair79°F68°F69%1018 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale / Hollywood International Airport, FL15 mi70 minSSE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy80°F70°F71%1017.3 hPa
Miami, Kendall-Tamiami Executive Airport, FL20 mi70 minN 010.00 miFair77°F68°F74%1017.3 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL24 mi70 minSSE 610.00 miFair82°F68°F63%1017.7 hPa

Wind History from MIA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6E5E3CalmSE4SE4E5SE8SE6E7E9SE13SE10SE11
G20
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1 day agoSE11SE8SE8SE6E5E5E9E9SE11E10E10E11E12
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2 days agoE12SE14SE12E10E13E10E8SE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Miami, 79th St. Causeway, Florida
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Miami
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:46 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:20 AM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:08 PM EDT     -0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:59 PM EDT     2.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.40.100.30.81.41.92.22.11.81.40.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.20.311.72.22.42.21.9

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:12 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:46 AM EDT     1.91 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:12 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:05 AM EDT     -1.69 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 02:33 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:48 PM EDT     2.35 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:55 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.4-1.1-0.311.81.91.81.40.3-0.9-1.5-1.7-1.6-1.4-0.70.61.92.32.42.11.2-0.1-1.1-1.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.