Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sunny Isles Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 5:32PM Thursday November 15, 2018 6:18 PM EST (23:18 UTC) Moonrise 1:04PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ651 Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl From 20 To 60 Nm Excluding The Territorial Waters Of Bahamas- 419 Pm Est Thu Nov 15 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday evening...
Tonight..North northwest winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to north northwest 15 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Along the coast, seas around 2 feet. In the gulf stream, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet building to 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet after midnight. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. A chance of showers through the night.
Friday..North winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to north 15 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Friday night..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Sunday and Sunday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday through Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 419 Pm Est Thu Nov 15 2018
Synopsis.. Winds will begin to shift around to the northwest across the atlantic and gulf coastal waters as a cold front pushes through the area. Advisory conditions will overspread most of the coastal waters with cautionary conditions over the bay and lake waters. Marine conditions will slowly start to improve over the upcoming weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas will be building to 7 feet tonight behind the passage of the cold front and remain elevated through Friday. Conditions are expected to improve into the weekend. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream is not available at this time.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sunny Isles Beach, FL
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location: 25.93, -80.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 152047
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
issued by national weather service jacksonville fl
347 pm est Thu nov 15 2018

Drier, cooler air to end the week behind a cold front...

Discussion
The convection ahead of a cold front moving across south florida
has pushed into the atlantic. Some isolated convection does remain
around the coast, which some high resolution guidance keeps
suggesting that we may see additional activity flourish as the
cold front approaches from the west and the convection shifts over
the warmer gulf stream waters.

Overnight, drier and cooler air will overspread the southern
peninsula of florida. Aloft, a low to mid level deck of cloud
cover could persist which may linger into the day on Friday. This
will help temperatures cool into the upper 40s lower 50s west of
lake okeechobee and see temperatures over the east coast metro
dive into the lower to mid 60s tonight. On Friday, temperatures
will struggle to reach into the 70s over much of the area.

As surface high pressure builds back in over the gulf of mexico
Friday, it will help shift the winds out of the north which will
lead to another chilly overnight Friday night into Saturday
morning. As the weekend progresses, the surface high pressure will
build in over the eastern third of the nation which will allow an
eventual return to northeasterly and then easterly flow by the
conclusion of the weekend. With this shift in the flow, available
moisture will increase along with the chance of rain.

A mid-level trough will swing across the southeast on Wednesday
into Thursday, which could allow for a return of showers and
thunderstorms to south florida. All eyes will be on the
approaching thanksgiving holiday, which remains beyond this
forecast period, as the GFS features a potential cut off low that
begins to emerge from the pacific on its eastward journey towards
the gulf of mexico and possibly florida. This is still very far
out in time, well into the extended portions of the global
guidance, but does remind us we are entering the time of year
where severe weather potential could emerge for our region with
synoptic-scale systems.

Marine
Deteriorating marine conditions will overspread the waters as the
front clears through requiring a small craft advisory for the
atlantic and gulf waters into Friday. Biscayne bay and lake
okeechobee will experience cautionary conditions as well. Winds
and waves should begin to improve Friday into the weekend.

Beach forecast
The gulf beaches will see an elevated rip current risk on the
backside of the cold front with the focus eventually shifting
towards the atlantic beaches for the weekend and the wind shifts
out of the north to northeast and the risk of rip currents builds.

Prev discussion issued 108 pm est Thu nov 15 2018
aviation...

the majority of this morning's convection has pushed into the
atlantic ahead of the front this afternoon. Some additional
showers and storms may develop ahead of the front this afternoon.

Otherwise, low CIGS and shifting winds will be the main aviation
concerns through the period. Sub-vfr CIGS could persist from this
evening into the day on Friday.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 58 75 63 80 20 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 62 76 65 80 20 10 10 10
miami 61 76 63 80 20 0 10 10
naples 55 73 55 79 0 0 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 7 pm est Friday for amz650-651-670-
671.

Gm... Small craft advisory until 1 pm est Friday for gmz656-657-676.

Discussion... 02 rag
marine... 02 rag
aviation... 02 rag
beach forecast... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 11 mi55 min NW 9.9 G 15 81°F 1013.6 hPa70°F
PEGF1 11 mi37 min NW 20 G 24 80°F 1013.9 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 14 mi31 min NW 1 G 1.9 80°F 84°F1013.6 hPa
FWYF1 - Fowey Rocks, FL 23 mi19 min NNE 6 G 7 80°F 81°F1014.6 hPa (+0.9)
MDKF1 47 mi139 min 83°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 47 mi31 min NW 9.9 G 14 76°F 82°F1015.7 hPa

Wind History for Virginia Key, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hollywood, North Perry Airport, FL8 mi26 minNNW 1410.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F66°F67%1014.9 hPa
Miami, Opa Locka Airport, FL9 mi26 minNNW 16 G 2110.00 miOvercast79°F66°F67%1014.7 hPa
Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International Airport, FL10 mi26 minNW 13 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F69°F79%1014.1 hPa
Miami, Miami International Airport, FL11 mi26 minNNW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F71°F79%1014.2 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL19 mi26 minNW 910.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F68°F74%1014.8 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL22 mi26 minNW 12 G 2310.00 miPartly Cloudy77°F66°F69%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from HWO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6SE7SE5SE5SE5SE8SE6CalmSE3SE3CalmCalmN3CalmSW4SW5SW7NW7NW8NW9NW8NW7NW7N14
1 day agoSE5SE3CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmE3E4E8SE7E5SE9E11E9E12SE10SE8
2 days agoE3E5E34S10CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4SE8SE10SE11SE8S9SE11SE10S9SE10SE9

Tide / Current Tables for North Miami Beach, Newport Fishing Pier, Florida
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North Miami Beach
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Thu -- 01:13 AM EST     2.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:27 AM EST     1.08 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:54 AM EST     First Quarter
Thu -- 01:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:51 PM EST     2.76 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 08:12 PM EST     1.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.42.62.52.321.61.31.11.11.31.72.12.42.72.82.62.421.61.31.21.21.51.8

Tide / Current Tables for Miami Harbor Entrance, Florida Current
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Miami Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:40 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:38 AM EST     -0.89 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:46 AM EST     -0.75 knots Min Ebb
Thu -- 06:55 AM EST     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:59 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 09:54 AM EST     First Quarter
Thu -- 11:15 AM EST     1.50 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 01:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:15 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:15 PM EST     -0.81 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 05:31 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:18 PM EST     -0.78 knots Min Ebb
Thu -- 07:47 PM EST     -0.85 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 09:35 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:41 PM EST     1.31 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.10.6-0.3-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.7-0.6011.51.41.310.2-0.5-0.8-0.8-0.8-0.8-0.50.41.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.