Sunday, September24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naples Manor, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:21PM Sunday September 24, 2017 2:53 AM EDT (06:53 UTC) Moonrise 10:10AMMoonset 9:33PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 935 Pm Edt Sat Sep 23 2017
Rest of tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and east 10 to 15 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers through the night. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..NEarshore, north northeast 5 knots after midnight. Northwest winds around 5 knots. Offshore, northeast after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening...then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..NEarshore, south winds 5 knots in the morning. Winds west southwest in the afternoon. Offshore, southeast winds 5 to 10 knots in the morning. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..North northwest winds 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Tuesday..North northwest winds around 5 knots becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday and Wednesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West northwest winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1014 Pm Cdt Sat Sep 23 2017
Synopsis..High pressure ridging into the marine area from the northeast will continue through most of the period, with light to occasionally moderate easterly flow continuing over the marine area. Winds and seas highest on Sunday, before subsiding early to middle next week. Light offshore flow is expected to develop in the wake of a frontal passage around midweek, with northerly winds and seas then building into the latter part of the week and weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples Manor, FL
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location: 26.06, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 240535 aad
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
135 am edt Sun sep 24 2017

Aviation
Northeast winds of 5 kts or less will continue over all of south
florida TAF sites early this morning before increasing to around
10 knots during the day hours. The only exception to this is at
kapf TAF site where the winds will become westerly after 18z
today. Vcsh will continue for the east coast TAF sites until
14 15z then vcts until 00z. Kapf TAF site will see dry weather
until 18z then vcts until 00z today. The ceiling and vis will
remain in theVFR conditions, but could fall down into MVFR
conditions with any shower or thunderstorm passage.

Aviation... 54 bnb

Prev discussion issued 934 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017
update...

tonight's update mainly adjusts pops and the weather forecast for
the overnight and tomorrow morning. Have included latest hi-res
models in the forecast. Not much in the way of change, except
to pull pops back slightly in the interior overnight, and kept
higher pops along the atlantic coastal areas. Otherwise, only
minor adjustments to account for current conditions.

Prev discussion... Issued 736 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017
aviation...

with maria to the east, and a weak 500mb low to the west,
instability is forecast to keep shra and possibly isolated ts
going through the night and then day tomorrow. Have kept vcsh at
all sites through the night, and tomorrow, with a prob30 for tsra
from late morning through the end of the TAF period.

Prev discussion... Issued 716 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017
update...

thunderstorms linger over portions of central miami-dade and
broward counties, with other cells extending from big cypress
seminole through everglades city. Expect localized downpours and
lightning activity with any of these cells. This convection is
associated with the earlier afternoon sea breezes, and should
gradually dissipate through the rest of the evening hours.

However, enough deep moisture remains over the area for additional
showers and storms to form later tonight. Scattered thunderstorms
remain in the forecast through Sunday morning.

Prev discussion... Issued 349 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017
discussion...

short term (tonight-Sunday)... Satellite and model analysis show a
broad trough across the east half of the nation, which is
gradually transitioning into a closed upper level low. Model
solutions show this feature lingering around the northern gulf
coast through the rest of the weekend, along with an associated
area of showers and thunderstorms remaining across most of the
state through Sunday. Sounding data from mfl still shows pwat
values above 2 inches, which combined with daytime heating will
support afternoon convection again on Sunday, especially along sea
breeze boundaries.

Wpc keeps the eastern half of south florida under a marginal risk
for excessive rainfall this evening and again Sunday, which could
translate in localized urban street flooding, especially along
the east coast metro areas.

Long term (Sunday night-Thursday)... Hurricane maria continues to
move northward, and lifting north of the region by Monday. In its
wake, very dry air will filter into the region with showers becoming
scattered at best early next week. Even drier days are expected
for the second half of the work week with mainly isolated showers
each day.

Marine...

hurricane maria continues to move north while remaining
east of florida and the central bahamas. An associated NE swell
across atlantic waters will bring seas building to 5-8 ft offshore
on broward and palm beach counties tonight, and swells 4-6 ft at
around 12-13 seconds from Sunday through midweek. A small craft
advisory remains in effect for the palm beach waters starting this
evening. Winds will diminish to around 10kts in the atlantic and
5-10kts in the gulf by Sunday, with prevailing winds becoming more
northerly through early next week.

Beach forecast...

northeasterly swells will result in strong rip currents along the
palm beaches, and will likely continue through much of the
upcoming week. A high risk for rip currents is now in effect for
palm beach county through Sunday, which will likely have to be
extended further south as we head into next week as the swells
from maria move in.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 76 91 76 93 10 20 10 20
fort lauderdale 78 91 77 92 30 30 30 20
miami 77 92 77 92 40 40 30 30
naples 76 90 77 89 20 10 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through this evening for flz168.

Am... Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Monday for amz650-670.

Gm... None.

Update... 17 ar
discussion... 17 ar
marine... 17 ar
aviation... 54 bnb
beach forecast... 17 ar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 5 mi68 min 76°F 76°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 5 mi53 min NE 2.9 G 5.1 85°F1010.1 hPa (-0.5)
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 41 mi53 min NE 7 G 9.9 78°F 88°F1010.3 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL6 mi60 minNNE 610.00 miFair78°F75°F93%1010 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE6NE4NE3N4N5NE7NE10NE9NE10NE7NE11
G16
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1 day agoNE4CalmNE4NE4NE5N4NE7N6NE6NE6N5NW11N5W12NW8NW11E12E9NE4NE5E6NE7NE6NE5
2 days agoNE6NE4NE5NE5NE5NE5E7E6CalmNW4W5NW6W6N6N6NW4CalmNE4NE8NE8NE7NE5NE4NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida
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Naples
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:21 AM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:12 AM EDT     0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:19 PM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:57 PM EDT     1.15 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.72.22.72.92.92.62.11.610.60.40.50.91.422.52.72.72.421.61.21.11.3

Tide / Current Tables for Marco, Big Marco River, Florida
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Marco
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:35 AM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:16 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:27 AM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:31 PM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:38 PM EDT     1.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.72.12.32.42.21.91.510.60.30.40.61.11.51.9221.91.71.51.31.11.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.