Sunrise 6:59 AM   Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 2:34 PM   Moonset 3:14 AM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight - E ne winds 5 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Fri - E se winds 5 kt becoming W sw in the afternoon. NEar shore, gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 ft. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Fri night - N nw winds 5 kt becoming E ne after midnight. Seas 0 to 1 ft. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Sat - E se winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S sw in the afternoon. Seas 0 to 1 ft. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Sat night - SW winds 5 kt becoming E se late in the evening. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Sun - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Sun night - S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Mon night - NEar shore, nw winds 5 to 10 kt becoming N ne after midnight. Well offshore, N ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Tue - NEar shore, E ne winds around 5 kt becoming se in the morning, then becoming W sw in the afternoon. Well offshore, E ne winds around 10 kt becoming N in the evening. Seas less than 2 ft near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Tue night - N winds 5 to 10 kt becoming E ne after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

GMZ600 319 Pm Cdt Thu Apr 18 2024
Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate onshore flow prevails through Saturday night. A cold front will move through the marine area by Sunday night with offshore flow becoming prevalent into early next week.

FXUS62 KMFL 182304 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 704 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 702 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

No notable forecast changes made with the evening update. The dry and benign weather continues tonight with near average low temperatures expected (ranging from the lower 60s near the Lake to the low 70s near the east coast).

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

The western Atlantic surface high continues to play the dominate roll in stable atmospheric conditions to wrap up the remainder of the week. As the high shifts eastward, the winds will veer and allow for a more distinct southeastward wind flow. With this assistance, it will allow for more tropical moisture and an increase in warm air. The warming trend will continue tomorrow afternoon with highs rising into the mid to upper 80s along the coasts with the potential for low 90s in the far SW interior. Far interior RH values will drop into the mid to upper 30%, but weak wind speeds should help keep the conditions from red flag/fire wx concerns.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Mid level ridging will slowly start to break down as the weekend progresses. At the same time, a surface area of high pressure will continue to shift eastward in the Atlantic. This will allow for dry conditions to remain in place during this time frame. Winds will slowly become more southerly across the area as the weekend progresses allowing for moderating temperatures on Saturday and Sunday. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will range from the mid to upper 80s along the coasts to the lower 90s across the interior and Lake Okeechobee region.

The weather pattern will start to change across South Florida early next week as a deepening mid level trough pushes across the Southeast and into the western Atlantic on Monday into Monday night. At the surface, a frontal boundary will push southeastward through Northern and Central Florida during the day on Monday.
This front will be weakening as it pushes further south and this may cause it to stall out just to the north of the area or right over South Florida heading into Monday night and into the middle of the week. With the frontal boundary nearby, this may provide just enough lift to support a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms during this time frame. The highest chances of showers and storms still look to remain over the Lake Okeechobee region and Palm Beach County.

With this being a rather weak front, uncertainty remains high in regard to the location of the frontal boundary stalling out and if it will remain in tact or not before actually getting to South Florida. A weaker frontal boundary will support lower chances of shower and thunderstorm development during this time frame. The latest forecast takes a blend of the forecast models and keeps a chance of showers and thunderstorms each afternoon across northern areas during the early and middle portion of the week. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses. High temperatures will generally remain on the warm side as they will rise into the mid to upper 80s along the coasts and into the lower 90s across the interior sections.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 702 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period.
E-SE winds early this evening will trend light and variable tonight before becoming SErly around 10kts on Friday. KAPF will likely see a shift to the W-SW by early Friday afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

The winds will remain southeasterly and weaken to wrap up the week as the surface high continues to shift eastward. Seas will generally remain 2 feet or less.

BEACHES
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

A moderate rip current threat will linger along the Atlantic beaches today with a diminishing trend to close out the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 71 85 71 88 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 67 87 67 88 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 70 87 70 88 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 70 85 69 86 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 71 84 70 85 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 70 85 70 86 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 70 88 70 88 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 67 86 68 87 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 69 86 70 87 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 69 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Naples
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Thu -- 04:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:00 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:24 AM EDT     2.24 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:10 PM EDT     1.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:01 PM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Naples, Naples Bay, north end, Florida, Tide feet

Cocohatchee River, U.S. 41 bridge, Florida, Tide feet

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