Sunday, September24, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Highland Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:58AMSunset 7:04PM Sunday September 24, 2017 2:32 AM EDT (06:32 UTC) Moonrise 9:51AMMoonset 9:14PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Highland Beach, FL
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location: 26.19, -77.19     debug

Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 240535 aad
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
135 am edt Sun sep 24 2017

Northeast winds of 5 kts or less will continue over all of south
florida TAF sites early this morning before increasing to around
10 knots during the day hours. The only exception to this is at
kapf TAF site where the winds will become westerly after 18z
today. Vcsh will continue for the east coast TAF sites until
14 15z then vcts until 00z. Kapf TAF site will see dry weather
until 18z then vcts until 00z today. The ceiling and vis will
remain in theVFR conditions, but could fall down into MVFR
conditions with any shower or thunderstorm passage.

Aviation... 54 bnb

Prev discussion issued 934 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

tonight's update mainly adjusts pops and the weather forecast for
the overnight and tomorrow morning. Have included latest hi-res
models in the forecast. Not much in the way of change, except
to pull pops back slightly in the interior overnight, and kept
higher pops along the atlantic coastal areas. Otherwise, only
minor adjustments to account for current conditions.

Prev discussion... Issued 736 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

with maria to the east, and a weak 500mb low to the west,
instability is forecast to keep shra and possibly isolated ts
going through the night and then day tomorrow. Have kept vcsh at
all sites through the night, and tomorrow, with a prob30 for tsra
from late morning through the end of the TAF period.

Prev discussion... Issued 716 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

thunderstorms linger over portions of central miami-dade and
broward counties, with other cells extending from big cypress
seminole through everglades city. Expect localized downpours and
lightning activity with any of these cells. This convection is
associated with the earlier afternoon sea breezes, and should
gradually dissipate through the rest of the evening hours.

However, enough deep moisture remains over the area for additional
showers and storms to form later tonight. Scattered thunderstorms
remain in the forecast through Sunday morning.

Prev discussion... Issued 349 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

short term (tonight-Sunday)... Satellite and model analysis show a
broad trough across the east half of the nation, which is
gradually transitioning into a closed upper level low. Model
solutions show this feature lingering around the northern gulf
coast through the rest of the weekend, along with an associated
area of showers and thunderstorms remaining across most of the
state through Sunday. Sounding data from mfl still shows pwat
values above 2 inches, which combined with daytime heating will
support afternoon convection again on Sunday, especially along sea
breeze boundaries.

Wpc keeps the eastern half of south florida under a marginal risk
for excessive rainfall this evening and again Sunday, which could
translate in localized urban street flooding, especially along
the east coast metro areas.

Long term (Sunday night-Thursday)... Hurricane maria continues to
move northward, and lifting north of the region by Monday. In its
wake, very dry air will filter into the region with showers becoming
scattered at best early next week. Even drier days are expected
for the second half of the work week with mainly isolated showers
each day.


hurricane maria continues to move north while remaining
east of florida and the central bahamas. An associated NE swell
across atlantic waters will bring seas building to 5-8 ft offshore
on broward and palm beach counties tonight, and swells 4-6 ft at
around 12-13 seconds from Sunday through midweek. A small craft
advisory remains in effect for the palm beach waters starting this
evening. Winds will diminish to around 10kts in the atlantic and
5-10kts in the gulf by Sunday, with prevailing winds becoming more
northerly through early next week.

Beach forecast...

northeasterly swells will result in strong rip currents along the
palm beaches, and will likely continue through much of the
upcoming week. A high risk for rip currents is now in effect for
palm beach county through Sunday, which will likely have to be
extended further south as we head into next week as the swells
from maria move in.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 76 91 76 93 10 20 10 20
fort lauderdale 78 91 77 92 30 30 30 20
miami 77 92 77 92 40 40 30 30
naples 76 90 77 89 20 10 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through this evening for flz168.

Am... Small craft advisory until 5 pm edt Monday for amz650-670.

Gm... None.

Update... 17 ar
discussion... 17 ar
marine... 17 ar
aviation... 54 bnb
beach forecast... 17 ar

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL155 mi3.6 hrsENE 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy0°F0°F%1010.2 hPa

Wind History from BCT (wind in knots)
Last 24hr--------------E5E5--NE10NE10NE12NE12NE10NE16NE11NE16NE10
1 day ago--------------CalmN4CalmE7SE8E8
2 days ago--------------N3CalmN7N3--NE12E5N11

Tide / Current Tables for Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas
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Pelican Harbour
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Sun -- 05:23 AM EDT     1.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:42 AM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:07 PM EDT     1.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Nassau, New Providence Island, Bahamas
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Sun -- 05:07 AM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:31 AM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:44 PM EDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:50 PM EDT     3.22 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.