Friday, July21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 8:20PM Friday July 21, 2017 6:46 PM EDT (22:46 UTC) Moonrise 3:53AMMoonset 5:46PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 355 Pm Edt Fri Jul 21 2017
Tonight..South winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers through the night. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South southwest winds around 5 knots becoming east southeast late in the evening. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers through the night. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 340 Pm Cdt Fri Jul 21 2017
Synopsis..Weak high pressure will continue over the northern gulf through tonight then gradually build over the weekend. A light onshore flow will continue through Saturday before increasing and becoming more southwest to west Sunday into early next week. Winds and seas will be higher near isolated to scattered showers and Thunderstorms through the forecast period with the best coverage occurring during the morning hours. Stay tuned to noaa weather radio if threatening weather is approaching your area.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican Bay, FL
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location: 26.21, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 211949
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
349 pm edt Fri jul 21 2017

Discussion
Numerous thunderstorms developed today over south florida with a
moist and unstable air mass in place. The downdrafts from these
thunderstorms joined forces to create a large and strong cold
pool. In fact, the temperature fell to 72 degrees at miami
international airport with this convection, which is the coolest
temperature observed there since june 7th!
the cold pool has pushed the unstable air south and east out of
the area, temporarily stabilizing the atmosphere. The leftover
stratiform rainfall from this convective system is still falling
out over the east coast counties as of 3:45 pm edt, but will
gradually end by around 6 pm. It appears unlikely the air mass
will recover before nocturnal cooling sets in. Also, observational
data confirm model simulations of a dry saharan air layer (sal)
currently over cuba and the bahamas likely to overspread the
southern half of the region tonight. So pops overnight will be
kept under 20% for most areas.

Saturday, models indicate broadly confluent flow continuing over
the area and we should start the day without much convection
around, allowing diurnal destabilization. The sal moving in
tonight will likely still be in place over the southern part of
the peninsula in the morning before shifting west into the gulf
later in the day. With lower tropospheric confluence over the
region, plenty of heating during the morning and midday, and
gradually recovering moisture instability, will likely see
another round of showers and thunderstorms, particularly the
northern half of the area where the sal low precipitable water air
is less likely to be a factor.

Sunday and Monday, global models tend to hint at some slightly
drier air rotating over the area around the atlantic high, with
the axis of the atlantic ridge nearly overhead. So pops will be a
tad lower than previous days. But still some scattered showers and
a few thunderstorms will be possible, generally over the waters at
night and inland during the day.

Tuesday and beyond, the ridge axis shifts a little more
northeastward and weakens, as models hint at some mid level
troughing digging into the northeastern gulf. This should open the
door to slightly deeper moisture and broad low level confluence
over the region. Pops will generally be near climatology with the
typical diurnal pattern indicated.

Marine
Generally good boating conditions in store outside of
thunderstorms with winds under 15 knots and seas under 3 feet.

Brief locally higher winds and seas possible near any
thunderstorms.

Prev discussion issued 135 pm edt Fri jul 21 2017
aviation...

active convection is forecast to continue through the afternoon,
although it may become more spread out by the middle of the
afternoon. Even so, have kept tempo and vc for TS for the rest of
the afternoon, and into the evening. The stronger storms should
have past, but some isolated storms could still bring strong wind
gusts. Also, brief ifr conditions will be possible under heavy
showers and storms.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 77 90 78 92 10 50 30 30
fort lauderdale 79 90 79 93 10 50 30 30
miami 79 91 79 93 10 50 30 30
naples 77 90 77 93 10 40 20 30

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 22 ks
marine... 22 ks
aviation... 13


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 6 mi46 min S 6 G 8 89°F1017.4 hPa (-0.8)
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 14 mi61 min SSE 2.9 84°F 79°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 30 mi46 min NNE 1 G 1.9 85°F 90°F1017.1 hPa (-0.5)
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 48 mi106 min 88°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL7 mi53 minSW 410.00 miA Few Clouds86°F75°F70%1017.1 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL24 mi53 minN 010.00 miFair85°F73°F68%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4SW4CalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E3SE4CalmNW7N4SE8E4E5S6SE4S4SW4
1 day agoW6NW3CalmCalmNE3NE3SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3E4W10
G17
E7E3S4SW5W6CalmW7SW4
2 days agoSW3NW4N3CalmSE4SE4E4SE6SE4E4CalmCalmE3E3E43S6S8S9SW7W6NW5SW6W6

Tide / Current Tables for Wiggins Pass, Cocohatchee River, Florida
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Wiggins Pass
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:36 AM EDT     1.86 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:55 AM EDT     1.00 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:34 AM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:54 PM EDT     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.81.91.71.51.31.111.21.62.12.42.62.72.421.40.80.1-0.3-0.5-0.30.30.81.3

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:45 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:36 AM EDT     -0.09 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:25 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:08 AM EDT     1.20 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:13 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:46 PM EDT     -1.93 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:26 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:35 PM EDT     1.26 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.90.50.2-0-0.10.20.611.21.10.70.1-0.5-1-1.5-1.8-1.9-1.7-1.1-0.30.411.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.