Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 7:20PM Monday September 25, 2017 2:57 PM EDT (18:57 UTC) Moonrise 11:03AMMoonset 10:14PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 1026 Am Edt Mon Sep 25 2017
Rest of today..NEarshore, south southeast winds 5 knots becoming southwest. Offshore, east southeast winds 5 knots becoming south southwest. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..West southwest winds 5 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..South winds 5 knots becoming west southwest. Seas less than 1 foot. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..NEarshore, west winds 5 knots becoming north northwest after midnight. Offshore, northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms through the night.
Wednesday..North winds around 5 knots becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots becoming north northeast in the morning. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..East northeast winds around 5 knots becoming southwest 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..South southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1004 Am Cdt Mon Sep 25 2017
Synopsis..High pressure ridging into the marine area from the northeast will continue through early Wednesday, but begin to break down during the middle part of the week as a cold front approaches from the northwest. The front will likely drift south over the coastal waters late in the week. Scattered to numerous showers and a few Thunderstorms over the marine area today and tonight, decreasing in coverage mid week, before increasing once again late in the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican Bay, FL
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location: 26.21, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 251752
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
152 pm edt Mon sep 25 2017

Aviation
Convective coverage is limited compared to previous days, mainly
along the sea breeze boundaries this afternoon. Convective
coverage will increase inland as the sea breezes advance and
boundary collisions occur. Activity should diminish this evening
with light winds expected.

Prev discussion issued 1041 am edt Mon sep 25 2017
update...

south florida is in a drier pocket of air this morning, which has
helped to minimize convection. Hurricane maria continues well to
our northwest with minimal influence over the weather. Main
concern continues to be the marine hazards along the atlantic
coast and waters. No additional updates expected through noon.

Have a great Monday morning!
prev discussion... Issued 412 am edt Mon sep 25 2017
discussion...

today through Wednesday: the florida peninsula will be in between
hurricane maria, as it continues its northward track well to our
east, and a broad upper level low over the northern gulf coast. This
low is expected to briefly merge into the larger circulation around
maria early this week, leaving a trailing upper level trough across
the state. West to occasionally northwest flow around these features
will bring drier air into much of the state, leaving a moisture
gradient across south florida.

Both seabreezes will develop the next few afternoons, though the
wind direction will mean a late start to the east coast seabreeze
as it remains relatively near the coast. Expect showers and a few
storms to develop along the seabreezes during the afternoons,
favoring the east coast late in the day. Overall rain chances will
remain below normal the next few days. If the dry air is able to
penetrate far enough south, wouldn't be surprised if areas near
the lake remain completely dry on some days.

Late week: hurricane maria is forecast to brush the outer banks mid
week before racing off to the northeast across the open atlantic. As
it does, the upper level low that briefly merged with the larger
circulation around the storm will be left behind across the
northeastern gulf north florida late week. Midlevel flow, while
fairly light, will tap into deeper moisture, bringing pwats back
over 2" across the region late week. Both the GFS and ECMWF are
showing the potential for weak surface low development off to our
northeast along the moisture boundary as the upper level low lifts
out this weekend.

Regardless, a shift back to a wetter pattern is expected across
south florida to end the week. Showers and storms increase in
coverage across the region by Thursday, driven by the inland
movement of both the gulf and atlantic seabreezes. Depending on
exactly how and where the boundary sets up, more numerous activity
is expected Friday into next weekend with the potential for some
heavy rainfall.

Marine... Northeast swells from hurricane maria are already making
their ways through the local atlantic waters, expected to peak
around 5-6ft later today. This will continue to lead to seas of 7-
8ft off the palm beach county coast, with lower amounts in the
remainder of the local atlantic. Both swells and seas are expected
to linger through much of the week.

A small craft advisory remains in effect through through late
Wednesday, and may need to be extended beyond that in the coming
days. The rest of the atlantic waters will reach cautionary criteria
through much of the week.

Winds are expected to be light and seabreeze driven through the
week, with no boating concerns in the gulf waters.

Beach forecast... Long period northeasterly swell potentially
reaching 5-6ft the next few days at periods of 12-13 sec will
create the potential of 10+ foot breakers along the palm beach
county coast. A high surf advisory remains in effect for coastal
palm beach county highlighting the threat of coastal erosion and
dangerous surf conditions through much of the week. In addition a
high risk for rip currents will be in place at all atlantic
beaches through much of the week.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 76 91 74 91 20 30 20 20
fort lauderdale 77 90 76 89 20 30 20 30
miami 77 90 76 90 20 40 20 30
naples 76 89 76 89 10 20 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Wednesday evening for flz168-172-
173.

High surf advisory until 8 pm edt Tuesday for flz168.

Am... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt Wednesday for amz650-670.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 02 rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 6 mi39 min W 7 G 8.9 88°F1011.5 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 14 mi72 min 91°F 76°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 30 mi39 min W 1.9 G 1.9 92°F 89°F1011.2 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 48 mi177 min 86°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL7 mi64 minW 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F75°F63%1011.5 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL24 mi64 minWNW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F72°F56%1011.3 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW4E9CalmW7CalmW4NE6CalmE5E6E5E3E4E4E4NE4E4E4E6E44CalmW8W11
1 day agoNE7N6SW5NE12N4NE7NE10NE6NE5NE3NE5NE6NE4NE3N3N3NE4NE3NE7NE7E9E6S4Calm
2 days agoN5W12NW8NW11E12E9NE4NE5E6NE7NE6NE5NE5NE6NE4NE3N4N5NE7NE10NE9NE10NE7NE11
G16

Tide / Current Tables for Wiggins Pass, Cocohatchee River, Florida
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Wiggins Pass
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:04 AM EDT     2.23 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:29 AM EDT     0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:38 PM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:19 PM EDT     1.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.61.92.22.22.221.71.30.90.70.50.50.71.21.51.81.91.91.81.61.41.31.2

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:00 AM EDT     0.98 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:40 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:02 AM EDT     -0.93 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 12:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:23 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:01 PM EDT     0.86 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:33 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:26 PM EDT     -0.20 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 11:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:47 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.810.80.4-0.2-0.6-0.8-0.9-0.9-0.9-0.6-0.20.30.70.90.80.50.30.20.1-0.1-0.2-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.