Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 5:59PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 8:12 AM EST (13:12 UTC) Moonrise 6:50AMMoonset 5:49PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 235 Am Est Tue Jan 16 2018
.small craft should exercise caution...
Today..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots nearshore and northeast 15 to 20 knots offshore. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..North northeast winds 10 to 15 knots nearshore and northeast 15 to 20 knots offshore. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots nearshore and north 15 to 20 knots offshore. NEarshore, seas around 2 feet. Offshore, seas 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet in the afternoon. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots nearshore and north 15 to 20 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 3 feet nearshore and 5 to 7 feet with occasional to 9 feet offshore. Period 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..NEarshore, north northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, seas around 2 feet. Offshore, north northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming around 10 knots in the evening, seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 3 feet in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night through Friday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..East northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 435 Am Cst Tue Jan 16 2018
Synopsis..Generally light east flow increases and shifts to northerly Tuesday evening behind a strong frontal passage. Strong offshore flow will continue through Wednesday night, then diminish and become more east to southeasterly later this week and over the weekend as high pressure builds east of the marine area.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican Bay, FL
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location: 26.21, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 161123
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
623 am est Tue jan 16 2018

Aviation
The northeast wind will continue through the day across south
florida. This may bring in some clouds at around sct040 today.

There may also be some isolated shra, but there is too much
uncertainty attm. The wind is forecast to become NW during the
early morning hours on Wednesday. Otherwise,VFR conditions
across south florida through the TAF period.

Prev discussion issued 425 am est Tue jan 16 2018
discussion...

latest wpc surface analysis depicts a 1033 mb high settled over
the mid-atlantic. Clockwise flow around this feature has been
responsible for the breezy north northeasterly winds experienced
this morning. Along the immediate east coast, winds have remained
sustained 10 to 20 mph with occasional higher gusts. This flow
pattern has allowed for a slightly deeper low level moisture
content and more mixing than 24-hours, keep minimums in upper 40s
west of lake okeechobee and lower 60s along the east coast metro
region. By this afternoon, north northeast flow will advect in
relatively dry air over the peninsula from the atlantic with the
06z GFS only showing between 0.50"-0.75" pwats. Thus,
precipitation chances remain very low. On Wednesday, a deep trough
of low pressure will begin to push eastward over the
appalachians. Mid range models prog an associated cold front,
draped southward from the center of this low pressure system, to
swiftly approach florida. This front will be mainly dry, with
tropical moisture sill located too far south of our region. As
this feature crosses south florida, winds will once again become
more northerly. Maximum temperatures this afternoon and Wednesday
afternoon are forecast in the low to mid 70s, a couple degrees
lower than seasonal norms.

Wednesday night through Friday: after the passage of the front
late Wednesday, northerly winds will advect a dry and cool airmass
southward across our cwa. Good radiational cooling should allow
temperatures to fall into the mid 30s west of lake okeechobee, low
40s for the rest of the interior, and low 50s along the east
coast metro region. Northerly flow will continue through the day
Thursday, keeping temperatures from rising above the mid 60s,
some 10 to 15 degrees below seasonal norms. By Friday, lower
level flow will veer to the northeast. Northeast flow typically
acts to moderate temperatures and increase moisture.

This weekend: both the GFS and ECMWF prog high pressure to slide
eastward over the atlantic, acting to veer winds easterly across
south florida. Shall this scenario play out, deeper moisture would
be allowed to slowly creep into our CWA and increase
precipitation chances. However, nearly a week out, confidence of
this particular pattern occurring is still only low to moderate.

Marine...

northeast winds will continue today, generally 15 to
20 kt with occasional gusts to 25 kt. Thus, hazardous boating
conditions will ensue, esepcailly over the atlantic waters near
the gulf stream. However, these winds will weaken slightly by
late afternoon. Hazardous conditions are expected over all the
waters again for the latter half of the week as winds and seas
increase behind another front Wednesday afternoon and night.

Beach forecast...

through this afternoon, gusty northeasterly winds will bring a
high rip current risk along the atlantic beaches. Winds become
more northerly on Wednesday, possibly lowering the risk back down
to moderate.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 72 58 71 49 10 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 73 59 73 49 10 10 10 10
miami 75 61 75 52 10 10 10 10
naples 76 53 68 41 0 0 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through this evening for flz168-172-173.

Am... Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for amz650-651-
670-671.

Small craft advisory until 7 am est this morning for amz630.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 27 jt
marine... 27 jt
aviation... 13
beach forecast... 27 jt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 6 mi42 min NNE 8 G 11 62°F1026 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 14 mi87 min 53°F 50°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 30 mi42 min NNE 7 G 9.9 53°F 62°F1026.4 hPa

Wind History for Naples, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Last
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N9
G14
NE9
G12
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N7
G11
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NW12
NW10
G14
N7
G11
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NE5
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NE4
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G12
NE6
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N6
1 day
ago
N9
G12
N9
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NE7
G12
N8
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N8
G12
NW17
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NW18
NW17
N7
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N5
G8
N6
G10
N8
G11
N8
G12
N7
G11
N10
G14
N8
G12
NE7
G10
N7
G12
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G12
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G15
N8
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2 days
ago
NW4
N4
G7
N10
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NW12
G15
NW17
NW20
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NW20
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NW18
G22
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G21
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G20
N10
G14
N12
G16
N10
G13
N10
G14
N10
G13
N12
G15
N11
G17

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL7 mi19 minNNE 810.00 miFair53°F50°F89%1026 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL24 mi19 minNNE 510.00 miFair51°F50°F96%1026.7 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE11NE9NE11NE10NE8N10
G15
N9NE8NE12NE10NE12NE13NE14
G23
NE11NE10NE10NE9NE5NE6NE6NE7NE7NE6N8
1 day agoNE11
G16
N8N8NE8N8N9
G15
N9N9N6N9N5N5N9N7N9N8N10
G17
NE9NE9N8N11NE8N11NE9
2 days agoNW6NW5NW7
G14
NW10
G16
NW12
G18
NW15
G22
NW11
G21
NW11
G17
NW8
G19
NW8
G16
NW12
G19
N9
G15
NW9
G17
NW6NW8N8N8NW8N8N6N7N7N8N8

Tide / Current Tables for Wiggins Pass, Cocohatchee River, Florida
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Wiggins Pass
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:02 AM EST     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:16 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 01:18 PM EST     1.65 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:48 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:57 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:58 PM EST     0.85 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.121.61.10.60.1-0.3-0.4-0.30.20.71.11.51.61.61.51.31.10.90.811.31.72

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:51 AM EST     -1.54 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:50 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:12 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:12 AM EST     1.12 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:30 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:44 PM EST     -0.19 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:49 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:58 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:51 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:18 PM EST     New Moon
Tue -- 09:53 PM EST     1.04 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-0.5-0.9-1.2-1.4-1.5-1.3-0.8-0.10.511.11.10.90.70.50.2-0.1-0.20.10.50.910.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.