Friday, May26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican Bay, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 8:13PM Friday May 26, 2017 3:17 AM EDT (07:17 UTC) Moonrise 6:31AMMoonset 8:19PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 929 Pm Edt Thu May 25 2017
Rest of tonight..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east northeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Period 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots becoming north northeast after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..North winds around 5 knots becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday night..NEarshore, west northwest winds 5 to 10 knots in the evening becoming variable winds less than 5 knots. Offshore, north northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east northeast in the morning. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..NEarshore, variable winds 5 knots or less becoming south southwest around 5 knots in the morning...then becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Offshore, southeast winds around 5 knots becoming west northwest in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday night..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southwest after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..South southwest winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Destin Fl To Pascagoula Ms Out 60 Nm Including Mobile Bay- 1018 Pm Cdt Thu May 25 2017
Synopsis..A broad surface ridge of high pressure will settle over the north central and eastern gulf through early next week. South to southwest flow develops tonight and continues through early next week. Higher winds and waves will occur during the afternoon and evening hours due to a seabreeze circulation. Shower and Thunderstorm activity returns along a stalled front Sunday...continuing into the middle of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican Bay, FL
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location: 26.21, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 260524 aad
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
124 am edt Fri may 26 2017

Aviation
The winds will remain light and variable earlier through this
morning before going easterly along the east coast TAF sites
around 10 knots this afternoon. Kapf winds will also be light and
variable through this morning before going westerly around 10
knots this afternoon. The weather should remain dry through this
morning before some showers develop this afternoon over the taf
sties. Any storms that do develop will remain over the interior
areas of south florida this afternoon. Therefore, vcsh will be
added for all of the TAF sites after 17z today. The ceiling and
vis will also remain inVFR conditions today over all of the taf
sites.

Aviation... 54 bnb

Prev discussion issued 853 pm edt Thu may 25 2017
update...

went ahead and removed thunderstorms from the forecast for the
overnight hours. With the lack of convective activity, other than
a lone shower over palm beach county, hard to keep them in for the
remainder of the night. Also, made adjustment to pops to account
for latest hrrr run and current activity. Slowly brought slight
chance pops down the east half, mainly along the coast, as the
front continues to make its way south. The latest hrrr run shows
mostly isolated shower activity, if any at all. It keep most of
the showers offshore, but kept some showers in the forecast to
account for error in the model run. Also, given the lower wind
speed over the gulf,and that the latest marine model lowers the
rip current risk for the gulf overnight, dropped the moderate risk
for the gulf coast beaches. No other significant changes made to
the forecast at this time.

Prev discussion... Issued 757 pm edt Thu may 25 2017
update...

the frontal boundary is progressively moving southeastward over
south florida this evening. Coverage of rain has decreased over
the past few hours. For this update, lowered pops over land areas
of SE florida for tonight through 09z based on latest radar trends
and the latest hrrr forecast. Hrrr still shows scattered showers
forming along the boundary over the extreme southeast portion of
the peninsula and offshore, so maintained 30-40 percent rain
chances Friday beginning at 09z. Southeast portions of the
peninsula will see scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
Friday morning. The highest rain chances will migrate to southern
interior areas early Friday afternoon due to daytime heating.

Prev discussion... Issued 734 pm edt Thu may 25 2017
aviation...

a weak cold front is currently moving across south florida this
evening, and will continue to slowly move through during the
overnight hours. The front may stall along the far southern edge
of the peninsula. The forecast is forVFR conditions through the
night, with showers all but over across the area. A few isolated
are persisting into the evening hours near pbi. Otherwise, the
wind is forecast to be light and variable overnight,although it
may have a west northwest tendency. Tomorrow, the wind will pickup
out of the northwest, before yielding to a sea breeze for all taf
sites by the afternoon hours.

Prev discussion... Issued 334 pm edt Thu may 25 2017
discussion...

a broken line of thunderstorms pushing across south florida is
located just ahead of a cold front this afternoon. The front is
forecast to slow down and become stationary over the extreme
southern part of the peninsula tonight into early Friday.

Showers storms should decrease in coverage this evening and will
mainly be confined to the far southern part of south florida and
marine areas. For Friday, northern portions of south florida will
see drier conditions with lower relative humidity, but southern
areas will still see a risk for a few showers and thunderstorms
especially during the afternoon.

The front will wash out by Saturday as high pressure builds into the
region for the weekend. Above normal temperatures are expected this
weekend, and heat indices will likely be near 100 degrees by
Saturday for portions of south florida. An afternoon thunderstorm
or two cannot be ruled out over interior south florida this
weekend as converging sea breezes could spark some isolated
activity. However, for the most part, Saturday through Monday
should feature hot weather, relatively light winds and only slight
rain chances.

Rain chances should then increase somewhat by the middle of next
week as the high pressure begins to shift eastward and weaken.

This will allow for a flow of somewhat moister air over the
region.

Marine...

winds and seas will be decreasing this evening, becoming
light overnight. Relatively benign marine conditions are then
expected to persist Friday through the weekend and into early next
week. Sea breezes will develop each day over the holiday weekend, so
winds could be as high as 10 kts with gusts to 15 kts for a few
hours in the late morning to early afternoon right near the coast.

Another exception to the benign conditions would be near any
thunderstorms, where locally enhanced winds and seas could occur.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 74 92 76 92 10 10 0 0
fort lauderdale 79 91 78 92 30 10 10 10
miami 78 92 78 93 30 10 10 10
naples 74 90 74 89 0 10 0 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 13
discussion... 98 abh
marine... 98 abh
aviation... 54 bnb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 6 mi48 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 83°F1014.7 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 14 mi153 min N 1.9 71°F 69°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 30 mi48 min SE 1.9 G 2.9 75°F 84°F1014.5 hPa

Wind History for Naples, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL7 mi25 minE 310.00 miFair76°F69°F79%1014.4 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL24 mi25 minN 010.00 miFair72°F66°F84%1014.5 hPa

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW12SW11SW12SW10SW10SW14SW14SW16
G35
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NW7W6NW8NW7N6N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoS7S8S10S9S10S12S17
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2 days agoSE5E4E4SE5SE5SE3SE8S13
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S13S12S14S12S11S11S5S4S4S5S5S6

Tide / Current Tables for Wiggins Pass, Cocohatchee River, Florida
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Wiggins Pass
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:28 AM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 08:11 AM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:25 PM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:00 PM EDT     -0.75 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.41.8221.91.61.20.90.80.91.422.52.72.72.421.40.7-0-0.5-0.8-0.50.1

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:13 AM EDT     1.42 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:28 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT     -0.15 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 07:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:17 AM EDT     1.38 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 02:02 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:35 PM EDT     -1.96 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.41.310.70.40.1-0.1-0.10.10.51.11.41.30.80-0.7-1.3-1.7-1.9-1.9-1.7-1-0.20.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.