Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manalapan, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 5:24PM Saturday November 17, 2018 2:11 PM EST (19:11 UTC) Moonrise 2:05PMMoonset 1:05AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manalapan, FL
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location: 26.3, -77.3     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 171744
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
1244 pm est Sat nov 17 2018

Aviation Bkn-ovc fl050-060 cloud deck hard to scatter out
this afternoon for kfxe southwards, so will keep prevailing
through at least this evening. Other sites will occasional bkn
cigs at same level. Ne-ene winds 8-10kts through remainder of
afternoon, diminishing with sunset, likely becoming nne or nw
overnight for east coast. Repeat conditions for tomorrow with
winds more solidly ene-e.

Prev discussion issued 916 am est Sat nov 17 2018
update... High pressure across the southern us will remain the
dominant weather influence across south florida today. The
influence of this ridge sliding east will veer our winds around to
the northeast once daytime heating breaks the low level
inversion.

More of an onshore flow component will bring warmer temps today,
reaching into the upper 70s and low 80s across the area. The
persistent cloud cover across the southern tip of the peninsula
will remain, but the first few morning vis satellite images and
models suggest it will be more partly than mostly cloudy today.

No significant changes to the ongoing forecast for what will be
a nice late fall day for south florida.

Prev discussion... Issued 208 am est Sat nov 17 2018
discussion...

a fairly quiet weather pattern is set up for at least a good part
of the week, with a warming trend.

Both the GFS and ECMWF are in fairly good agreement with the
overall pattern. Basically, near zonal flow at 500mb over the
area, and a surface high slowly passes to the north of the area
today, and moves off the mid- atlantic coast tomorrow. This will
allow the wind to become northeasterly today and should maintain a
northerly to northeasterly direction for the next several days,
as the high becomes somewhat elongated, stretching back over the
southeast us.

By Tuesday, models have the a very subtle cold front push through
the area. It does not look to be really noticeable, but the
1000-500mb thickness does slightly drop and models do show a
slight chance of some showers for Tuesday. Also, temperatures may
be a couple degrees cooler on Tuesday, although still generally
in the 80s. Behind this boundary, high pressure will build again
for a day or two.

Where this front may come more into play is for the end of the
week. Models are indicating a low forming over the northwestern
gulf, and pushing the front back to the north as a weak warm
front. They are indicating this may bring enough instability and
moisture to the area for a chance of showers for thanksgiving day,
through the weekend. There may be enough instability to bring a
few thunderstorms as well. However, currently those are forecast
to be over the atlantic waters.

Marine... With high pressure to the north, the wind across the
south florida waters should keep a moderate breeze out of the
north to northeast through most of the week. Seas are forecast to
subside today, becoming 1 to 2 for the gulf, and 2 to 4 feet for
the atlantic waters. By the beginning of the week, the gulf waters
will run up to a foot, and the atlantic 1 to 3 feet. The weather
is forecast to be generally dry, although some isolated showers
can not be ruled out, especially for the atlantic. For the second
half of the week, rain chances increase, as well as a slight
chance of thunderstorms, again, especially for the atlantic
waters.

Looking a a convergence line off the southeast florida coast, and
a weak low level wind flow, can not rule out a waterspout. This
would be a low risk, as the wind above 5000ft is out of the west
to west southwest and a little strong to support anything more
than a slight chance of a spout forming.

With the moderate breeze out of the northeast, the risk of rip
currents for the atlantic waters will be elevated through the
week, with the weekend having at least a moderate risk.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 61 81 63 83 10 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 70 82 71 83 0 10 10 10
miami 67 82 69 83 0 10 10 10
naples 63 83 66 83 0 10 0 10

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 88 alm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 94 mi71 min NE 14 G 16 75°F 1018.7 hPa (-1.7)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL149 mi24 minENE 1510.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F59°F51%1018.3 hPa

Wind History from BCT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN13
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2 days agoE10E10E10SE5SE5CalmSE5SE4SE5----------------SW6SW6SW6NW16NW10--N10

Tide / Current Tables for Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas
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Pelican Harbour
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Sat -- 01:03 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:06 AM EST     3.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:28 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:15 AM EST     1.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:19 PM EST     3.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:17 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:44 PM EST     1.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.733.132.82.41.91.61.41.51.82.22.633.23.22.92.521.61.31.21.4

Tide / Current Tables for Nassau, New Providence Island, Bahamas
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Nassau
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Sat -- 01:06 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:58 AM EST     2.75 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:27 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:58 AM EST     0.96 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:04 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:12 PM EST     2.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:20 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:23 PM EST     0.73 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.92.32.62.72.62.31.81.41.111.11.41.82.32.62.82.72.41.91.410.70.81

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.