Sunrise 6:46 AM   Sunset 7:41 PM Moonrise 2:14 PM   Moonset 2:55 AM

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AMZ075 Northern Bahamas From 24n To 27n- 1026 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2024
Today - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.Tonight - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Wed - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft atlc exposures, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Wed night - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Thu - S to sw winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Thu night - NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Fri - N to ne winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Fri night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat - NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

AMZ005
No data

FXUS62 KMFL 181911 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 311 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

New LONG TERM

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

The western Atlantic surface high continues to play the dominate roll in stable atmospheric conditions to wrap up the remainder of the week. As the high shifts eastward, the winds will veer and allow for a more distinct southeastward wind flow. With this assistance, it will allow for more tropical moisture and an increase in warm air. The warming trend will continue tomorrow afternoon with highs rising into the mid to upper 80s along the coasts with the potential for low 90s in the far SW interior. Far interior RH values will drop into the mid to upper 30%, but weak wind speeds should help keep the conditions from red flag/fire wx concerns.

LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Mid level ridging will slowly start to break down as the weekend progresses. At the same time, a surface area of high pressure will continue to shift eastward in the Atlantic. This will allow for dry conditions to remain in place during this time frame. Winds will slowly become more southerly across the area as the weekend progresses allowing for moderating temperatures on Saturday and Sunday. Highs on Saturday and Sunday will range from the mid to upper 80s along the coasts to the lower 90s across the interior and Lake Okeechobee region.

The weather pattern will start to change across South Florida early next week as a deepening mid level trough pushes across the Southeast and into the western Atlantic on Monday into Monday night. At the surface, a frontal boundary will push southeastward through Northern and Central Florida during the day on Monday.
This front will be weakening as it pushes further south and this may cause it to stall out just to the north of the area or right over South Florida heading into Monday night and into the middle of the week. With the frontal boundary nearby, this may provide just enough lift to support a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms during this time frame. The highest chances of showers and storms still look to remain over the Lake Okeechobee region and Palm Beach County.

With this being a rather weak front, uncertainty remains high in regard to the location of the frontal boundary stalling out and if it will remain in tact or not before actually getting to South Florida. A weaker frontal boundary will support lower chances of shower and thunderstorm development during this time frame. The latest forecast takes a blend of the forecast models and keeps a chance of showers and thunderstorms each afternoon across northern areas during the early and middle portion of the week. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses. High temperatures will generally remain on the warm side as they will rise into the mid to upper 80s along the coasts and into the lower 90s across the interior sections.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

VFR conditions expected at all TAF sites. Breezy E/SE winds continue this afternoon and early evening hours with some gusts reaching 15 KT. A gulf breeze may develop around 18Z at KAPF bringing SW winds until 00Z. Light and variable winds at all sites overnight.

MARINE
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

The winds will remain southeasterly and weaken to wrap up the week as the surface high continues to shift eastward. Seas will generally remain 2 feet or less.

BEACHES
Issued at 1214 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

A moderate rip current threat will linger along the Atlantic beaches today with a diminishing trend to close out the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 71 85 71 88 / 0 0 0 0 West Kendall 67 87 67 88 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 70 87 70 88 / 0 0 0 0 Homestead 70 85 69 86 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 71 84 70 85 / 0 0 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 70 85 70 86 / 0 0 0 0 Pembroke Pines 70 88 70 88 / 0 0 0 0 West Palm Beach 67 86 68 87 / 0 0 0 0 Boca Raton 69 86 70 87 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 69 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:55 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:14 AM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:30 AM EDT     1.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:36 PM EDT     3.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:49 PM EDT     1.14 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

Eleuthera Island (west coast)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:00 AM EDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:37 PM EDT     1.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:33 PM EDT     2.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Eleuthera Island (west coast), Bahamas, Tide feet

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