Monday, May27, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:07PM Monday May 27, 2019 1:22 AM EDT (05:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:25AMMoonset 1:04PM Illumination 43% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 453 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 453 Pm Edt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis..Occasionally breezy easterly winds will continue early this week, with winds gradually veering to the east- southeast for mid to late week. Seas of generally 2 to 4 feet are expected over the atlantic waters, and 1 to 2 feet over the gulf. Dry conditions are expected through early this week, with gradually increasing chances for showers and Thunderstorms starting on Wednesday across portions of the coastal waters.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 25, 2019 at 1200 utc... 6 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles southeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 8 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Ridge, FL
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location: 26.54, -80.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 262335
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
735 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

Aviation
PrevailingVFR through the TAF period. Breezy E ene winds this
evening will gradually decrease to 6-10 kt overnight before
picking back up again late tomorrow morning. A gulf breeze should
turn the wind direction more wsw at naples around 18-19z,
trending towards variable by 00z. Mainly sct cloud bases around
2.5-3 kft are expected through the forecast period with no rain.

Prev discussion issued 418 pm edt Sun may 26 2019
discussion...

key points:
*for the atlantic beaches, adequate onshore flow will continue to
support a high risk for rip currents through at least Monday.

After Monday, the beaches of palm beach county will experience
the highest potential for rip currents, though elevated rip-
current potential will exist for all atlantic beaches at times
through much of this week.

*generally dry conditions are expected into the middle of this
week. Thereafter, gradual veering of low-level flow to more east-
southeasterly will facilitate an influx of sufficient moisture
for gradually increasing precipitation chances -- especially from
late this week into next weekend. While widespread precipitation
is unlikely, an increase in moisture is expected later in the
week into next weekend.

*elevated fire-weather conditions may occur each afternoon from
Monday through Wednesday for interior sections of south florida
westward toward the gulf coast.

Technical discussion:
goes-16 total precipitable water loops indicate ample deep dry air
over the southwest north atlantic waters -- supported by differential
anticyclonic vorticity advection -- well east of a prominent
midlevel anticyclone elongated from the lower mississippi valley
to north florida. Easterlies throughout much of the troposphere
along the southern flank of the anticyclone continue advecting
this dry air across the forecast area. Meanwhile, the
aforementioned subsidence is maintaining a zonally elongated
surface ridge over the atlantic waters off the central fl coast,
which trails westward over the north gulf. The pressure gradient
surrounding this feature is maintaining occasionally breezy
easterly winds across the local area.

For early this upcoming week, another in a series of troughs is
forecast to deepen and amplify over the western and central states,
which will correspond to the maintenance of downstream ridging
across the southeast states and vicinity. As a result, the overall
surface pressure pattern and related sensible weather are not
forecast to undergo substantial modification across south florida.

This will maintain adequate onshore flow for continued rip-current
potential for the atlantic beaches, as addressed below. Meanwhile
the continued influx of dry air across the region, coupled with
occasionally breezy winds, will support elevated fire-weather
conditions across interior sections of south florida, also addressed
below.

By middle to latter portions of this week, the previously
mentioned trough is forecast to gradually develop east-
northeastward over the CONUS well north of the forecast area,
after phasing with a migratory, lower-latitude impulse. The
eventual progression of the phased disturbances will facilitate
localized weakening of the midlevel anticyclone. Meanwhile, the
southwestern north atlantic tropospheric subsidence will gradually
lessen build eastward as a downstream midlevel shear axis
advances eastward. In response to these developments, surface
ridging north of the area will tend to focus more eastward over
the southwest north atlantic, resulting in a tendency for low-
level flow to gradually veer to more east-southeasterly by late
week. This will foster a gradual influx of moisture for later
this week.

The increase in moisture is forecast to support slight chances for
precipitation as early as Wednesday over the coastal waters.

However, it should not be until late this week into the weekend when
additional moisture transport into the area supports further
increasing precipitation chances. This would especially be the case
if the southern extent of low-level meridional flow -- responding
to the passage of the phased midlevel disturbances -- encourages
additional moisture influxes for next weekend, as indicated by
some medium-range model guidance. Regardless, without stronger
forcing for ascent, the potential for widespread precipitation is
expected to remain low.

Otherwise, temperatures are not expected to deviate significantly
from normal readings into next weekend.

Marine...

occasionally breezy easterly winds are expected through early parts
of this week, before winds gradually become more east-southeasterly
later this week. Wave heights of generally 2 to 4 feet are
expected over the atlantic coastal waters, with wave heights of
generally 1 to 2 feet over the gulf coastal waters. Dry conditions
are expected through early this week, with gradually increasing
chances for showers and thunderstorms starting on Wednesday.

Beach forecast...

for all atlantic beaches, a high risk for rip currents remains in
effect through at least Monday. After Monday, elevated rip-
current potential is expected to persist at times through much of
this week. This will especially be the case for the beaches of
palm beach county. However, established rip-current channels will
further substantiate the elevated rip-current risk for all
atlantic beaches through the week, even as surface winds gradually
veer for mid to late week supporting a marginal decrease in the
onshore-flow component.

Fire weather...

the maintenance and reinforcement of a dry air mass across south
florida is expected to support minimum relative humidity as low as
the middle and upper 30s across interior sections westward toward
the gulf coast. These relative humidity values, combined with
occasionally breezy winds and adequately dry fuels may support
elevated fire-weather conditions each afternoon from Monday through
Tuesday, and possibly on Wednesday. However, without stronger
surface winds, critical fire-weather conditions are unlikely.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 75 85 73 86 0 0 0 0
fort lauderdale 77 84 75 85 0 0 0 0
miami 75 86 74 86 0 0 0 0
naples 73 92 72 90 0 0 0 0

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk through Monday evening for flz168-172-173.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Discussion... 90 cohen
marine... 90 cohen
beach forecast... 90 cohen
fire weather... 90 cohen
aviation... 34 spm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 5 mi41 min 79°F 81°F1020.2 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 31 mi59 min ENE 7 G 9.9 81°F 1019 hPa74°F
PEGF1 32 mi41 min ENE 11 G 14 81°F 1019 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 56 mi41 min NE 9.9 G 13 81°F 83°F1018.3 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL10 mi30 minE 610.00 miA Few Clouds80°F72°F76%1019.3 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL11 mi2.6 hrsE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F73°F79%1019.6 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL20 mi30 minE 78.00 miA Few Clouds80°F73°F79%1018.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL24 mi30 minENE 610.00 miA Few Clouds80°F72°F76%1018.9 hPa

Wind History from PBI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE12E13E12E10E9E8E12E10E9E12E9
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1 day agoE8E10E13E8E8E8E11E11E12E11E13E13E13E13E14NE13NE14
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Tide / Current Tables for Boynton Beach, Lake Worth, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for South Delray Beach, ICWW, Florida
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South Delray Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:10 AM EDT     2.23 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:50 AM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:03 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:41 PM EDT     2.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.91.31.72.12.22.21.91.61.20.80.60.60.711.41.822.11.91.71.310.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.