Monday, June24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Clarke Shores, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:18PM Monday June 24, 2019 1:38 PM EDT (17:38 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 11:46AM Illumination 53% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 1105 Am Edt Mon Jun 24 2019
Rest of today..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south southeast. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..West northwest winds around 5 knots becoming east. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Tuesday night..South southeast winds around 5 knots becoming west southwest after midnight. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late in the evening.
Wednesday..North northwest winds around 5 knots becoming east northeast in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Wednesday night..East winds around 5 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters smooth. Slight chance of showers late in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers through the day. Slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers late in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Showers likely after midnight.
Friday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1105 Am Edt Mon Jun 24 2019
Synopsis.. Generally favorable boating conditions are expected early this week. By middle to latter parts of this week, chances for showers and Thunderstorms will be increasing. Winds are mostly expected to be from the east to south at 5 to 10 knots, with seas of 3 feet or less.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 22, 2019 at 1200 utc... 4 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 8 nautical miles east of lake worth. 11 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Clarke Shores, FL
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location: 26.65, -80.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 241557 aaa
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
1157 am edt Mon jun 24 2019

Update
Little overall change has been made to the ongoing forecast, with
the heat advisory remaining in effect for collier and mainland
monroe counties for today.

Amid widespread insolation, visible satellite imagery indicates
boundary-layer cumulus fields becoming increasingly agitated over
interior south florida, where diabatic surface heating has been
strongest thus far -- removed from the core of the inland-
spreading marine layer. Flanking sea-breeze boundaries, coupled
with ascent along boundary-layer circulations and rolls should
foster sustained convective development in the 1230pm-200pm time
frame. Convective initiation should principally occur over
interior sections of south florida, though 5-10 kt westerlies in
the 925-850 mb layer may tend to focus modestly boosted
convergence and initial convective development eastward to some
extent. The light northerly component to midlevel winds will
foster an overall southward motion to evolving convection. While
deep shear is very weak, cell clustering will tend to occur in
response to the high efficiency for cold-pool- flanking
convergence boundaries to foster subsequent convective growth amid
rich boundary-layer moisture -- e.G., lowest 100-mb mean mixing
ratio around 15 g kg.

A comparison of the 12z miami observed sounding today to that from
yesterday suggests that once updrafts become sustained, they may
be comparatively more robust than those yesterday. Specifically,
within the 800-600 mb layer, lapse rates have increased by around
0.5 c km, in association with an influx of a relatively shallow
elevated mixed layer (eml). This EML will offer comparatively
stronger upward parcel accelerations. While the EML appears to be
surmounted by a small layer of static stability just below the
500-mb level that could temporarily restrict parcel accelerations,
overlying steep lapse rates higher in the troposphere should offer
adequate midlevel buoyancy for deep convective updrafts. The
presence of 20-25 kt of flow in the upper troposphere could also
facilitate convective sustenance. Dry air in the midlevels --
coupled with the aforementioned of steep midlevel lapse rates
layers -- will favor dcape around 1000 j kg where insolation is
greatest. As a result, collapsing convective cores could produce
strong wind gusts, and an isolated damaging wind gusts cannot be
ruled out. Small hail, heavy rain, and frequent lightning will
also be possible.

Prev discussion issued 725 am edt Mon jun 24 2019
aviation...

generallyVFR outside of morning ground fog haze and
afternoon evening showers & storms. Sea breezes are expected to
develop and push inland later today, helping to spur convection.

Terminals could see bouts of sub-vfr conditions around convection.

High storm chances are over southern portions of the area today.

Prev discussion... Issued 311 am edt Mon jun 24 2019
discussion...

today through Tuesday...

deep layer high pressure centered to our west will remain the
dominant influence on our weather once again today. The low-level
synoptic wind flow will remain weak enough for both sea breezes
to develop and move inland, bringing a focus for showers and
thunderstorms to mainly the interior and western portions of the
east coast metro areas. Mid-level temperatures remain on the cool
side of climatology and indications are that a few stronger storms
will be possible again today. Frequent lightning, small hail, and
gusty winds will be possible with the stronger storms.

Hot temperatures remain the main story over the next few days, as
highs climb into the mid to upper 90s away from the coasts. This
will send heat index values soaring up above 100 degrees by late
morning, with many areas remaining in the 100-106 degree range
through the afternoon. It appears that collier and mainland monroe
counties should again reach heat advisory criteria of 108 degrees
for two hours or more, so an advisory is in effect for these areas
today. Regardless of whether or not your area is in an advisory, be
sure to slow down and take breaks if you're spending time outdoors.

Wednesday and beyond...

the deep layer ridge gradually retrogrades away from florida
allowing the steering flow to become more easterly with time. This
will bring us back into a diurnal shower thunderstorm cycle with
overnight morning atlantic showers followed by afternoon interior
and west coast thunderstorms. A deeper feed of moisture looks to
work into the area by late week in association with a trough of low
pressure suggesting we may end the week on a wetter note. Better
rain chances are likely to continue into the weekend with
temperatures trending closer to normal for this time of year.

Marine...

generally benign boating conditions are expected through
the period. The potential for showers and thunderstorms increases
around midweek and continues into the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 94 78 93 77 10 10 20 20
fort lauderdale 93 79 92 79 10 10 20 10
miami 95 79 94 79 20 20 30 10
naples 93 78 92 78 0 10 10 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... Heat advisory until 7 pm edt this evening for flz069-070-075.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... Cohen rag


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 3 mi50 min Calm G 6 91°F 83°F1018.2 hPa
PEGF1 39 mi56 min E 6 G 8 88°F 1017.3 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 56 mi38 min WSW 8 G 8.9 85°F 1017.8 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL4 mi45 minNW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy93°F73°F54%1017.1 hPa
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL19 mi1.9 hrsW 108.00 miA Few Clouds93°F75°F56%1017.6 hPa

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Last 24hrE8E9E10E10SE9SE8SE9S8S7S6S4S3SW3SW5S4SW6SW5SW4SW7SW7W9W9W11NW7
1 day ago6E10E7E9E7SE5SE7S4SE5S4S4S4S4S4S4S3SW3SW4W4NW5CalmCalm34
2 days ago3E5SE9SE9SE9SE11SE10S8S8S7S5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW5SW5SW6W6SW8W6Calm3

Tide / Current Tables for West Palm Beach Canal, Florida (2)
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West Palm Beach Canal
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:57 AM EDT     2.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:43 AM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:24 PM EDT     2.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:57 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.82.12.32.21.91.51.10.70.50.40.611.41.8221.81.51.20.80.60.50.6

Tide / Current Tables for Palm Beach, Florida
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Palm Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:57 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:25 AM EDT     0.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:46 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:24 PM EDT     2.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:39 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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22.32.52.321.51.10.70.50.50.71.21.622.22.221.61.20.80.60.50.71.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.