Thursday, January17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Burnt Store Marina, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 5:59PM Thursday January 17, 2019 3:32 AM EST (08:32 UTC) Moonrise 2:42PMMoonset 3:30AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 856 Pm Est Wed Jan 16 2019
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north around 10 knots in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming northwest late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light to moderate chop.
Thursday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming northwest late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east around 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds around 20 knots becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 to 8 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..North winds around 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Monday..North winds around 20 knots becoming northeast around 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 856 Pm Est Wed Jan 16 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure building in north of the waters will gradually settle into the northeastern gulf through the rest of the week, with light winds and slight seas continuing. Conditions will start to deteriorate late Saturday ahead of the next cold front, with winds turning to southerly and increasing to near cautionary levels. Winds will continue to increase behind the front, with a period of advisory level winds and seas expected Sunday and Sunday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burnt Store Marina, FL
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location: 26.76, -82.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 170750
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
250 am est Thu jan 17 2019

Short term (today - Friday)
Generally zonal flow will hold aloft of florida through the
rest of the week, while a weak shortwave crossing the
southeastern states Friday stays north of florida. At the
surface, weak high pressure over northern florida will
gradually settle south into the florida peninsula tonight
and Friday, with quiet and sunny conditions continuing.

After a cool start to the morning today with some frost
possible mainly over the nature coast, sunny skies will lead
to moderating temperatures through the rest of the week.

Generally, highs are expected to range from the upper 60s
to mid 70s today, then low 70s to around 80 on Friday. Low
temperatures tonight will still be cool, but not as extreme
as the previous couple of days, generally bottoming out in
the 40s to mid 50s.

Long term (Friday night - Wednesday)
Zonal flow aloft at the end of the week will give way as a
strong shortwave trough digs into the southeastern conus
and gulf of mexico during the weekend. At the surface, this
pattern will support a strong area of low pressure lifting
northeast from the lower mississippi river valley through
the mid-atlantic coast, dragging a cold front through the
gulf of mexico Saturday, and the florida peninsula Saturday
night.

Southerly winds ahead of this front will lead to warmer than
normal conditions Saturday afternoon, with building
moisture. Showers and thunderstorms will develop in this
warm and moist prefrontal environment, with scattered to
numerous coverage expected across the area Saturday night
and Sunday, with the highest chances farthest to the north.

Strong cold air advection behind the front will lead to
temperatures barely increasing from the morning lows on
Sunday, then dropping rapidly Sunday night. Low
temperatures will approach freezing over the nature coast
Monday morning, while falling into the upper 30s and 40s
farther south. As high pressure builds into the area Monday
then pushes east into the atlantic on Tuesday, cool
temperatures will hold across the area Monday and Monday
night, then will start to moderate back to near normal on
Tuesday.

The next cold front will arrive on Wednesday, with another
round of showers or storms possible starting late Tuesday.

Aviation
Vfr conditions are expected to hold through the next 24
hours.

Marine
High pressure over the northeastern gulf of mexico will
gradually settle south into the waters through Saturday,
with light winds and slight seas continuing. The pressure
gradient will begin to increase ahead of an approaching
front late Saturday, and will continue to increase Saturday
night and Sunday as the front pushes southeast through the
waters. A period of advisory level winds and seas are
expected Saturday night through Monday morning, subsiding
early next week as high pressure builds back in.

Fire weather
A few hours of critically low humidity will be possible over
the nature coast this afternoon, and from around interstate
4 north on Friday afternoon. However, light wind speeds will
prevent red flag conditions from developing.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 69 52 74 58 0 0 0 0
fmy 75 54 79 58 0 0 0 0
gif 73 51 76 57 0 0 0 0
srq 70 49 74 56 0 0 0 0
bkv 70 40 75 49 0 0 0 0
spg 68 55 72 61 0 0 0 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Frost advisory until 8 am est this morning for coastal
citrus-coastal hernando-coastal levy-inland citrus-
inland hernando-inland levy-inland pasco-sumter.

Gulf waters... None.

18 fleming


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 13 mi51 min NNE 6 G 8 50°F 64°F1022.9 hPa
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 26 mi99 min NE 8.9 G 11 53°F 1023.7 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 30 mi33 min NNE 5.1 G 7 47°F 67°F1023.2 hPa (-1.5)44°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 45 mi51 min ENE 7 G 9.9 52°F 64°F1022.7 hPa

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL12 mi40 minNE 610.00 miFair42°F37°F85%1023.9 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL16 mi40 minNE 510.00 miFair47°F41°F80%1023.3 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL22 mi40 minNE 310.00 miFair47°F41°F80%1022.9 hPa

Wind History from PGD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4NE4N5N5N5N8NE8N7N7N10N8N9N9N9N9N7N4N4NE4N6N6N5N5NE6
1 day agoN7CalmN4N7N6N11N11
G19
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NW9N10N10N7NW8N7N6N7N6N5N7N6N6N6
2 days agoN8N6N6N6N8N7N8NW9NW9NW5NW5N6W6NW5NW9NW10NW11N8N11N9N8N7N11N9

Tide / Current Tables for Pineland, Pine Island, Florida
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Pineland
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:29 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:53 AM EST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:58 PM EST     0.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:42 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:06 PM EST     0.90 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:59 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 09:44 PM EST     1.73 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.80.50.1-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3-00.30.60.80.90.90.90.90.90.91.11.31.51.71.71.6

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current
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Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:49 AM EST     -2.65 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:29 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 05:39 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:18 AM EST     2.27 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 02:42 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:50 PM EST     0.14 knots Min Flood
Thu -- 05:59 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:25 PM EST     1.76 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:19 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-2-2.5-2.6-2.4-1.7-0.70.41.322.32.21.81.30.70.30.10.40.81.41.71.71.20.3-0.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.