Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manasota Key, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 7:44PM Sunday March 26, 2017 1:31 AM EDT (05:31 UTC) Moonrise 5:31AMMoonset 5:29PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 834 Pm Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
Rest of tonight..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming west late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming west around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming north late in the evening, then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming west around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots toward morning. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Thursday..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 834 Pm Edt Sat Mar 25 2017
Synopsis..Strong high pressure over the western atlantic will continue to extend across the florida peninsula and eastern gulf of mexico for the next several days. A weak cold front will approach the waters on Sunday...however the front will dissipate before reaching the area. No hazards are expected through mid week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manasota Key, FL
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location: 26.94, -82.35     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 260018
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
818 pm edt Sat mar 25 2017

Update
Early evening satellite imagery is showing a broad cyclone
over the central mississippi river valley, dragging a
cold front through the northern gulf coast. Currently,
florida resides in the fairly dry and stable airmass ahead
of this system, with a band of cumulus clouds lined up
along the sea breeze boundary along and west of interstate
75. This band has been producing a few isolated sprinkles
over southwest florida, but otherwise rain free conditions
will continue overnight. Surface dew points are high enough
that a few isolated patches of fog will not be impossible,
but the coverage and confidence is too low to mention in the
forecast at this time.

The bigger forecast concern will be what will happen as
that front approaches on Sunday. The GFS is generally more
aggressive than the ECMWF or NAM with holding the front
together and producing rain chances mainly over the nature
coast during the afternoon. The 18z GFS has not
significantly changed from what the 12z solution showed,
so no updates to the forecast are planned beyond the tonight
period for the evening update. The slight rain chances over
southwest florida for the rest of this evening have been
dropped. Otherwise only minor adjustments were needed for
the evening update.

Aviation
MainlyVFR conditions will hold through the next 24 hours.

The possible exception will be if some patchy fog or low
stratus develops late tonight and into early Sunday morning
creating brief periods of MVFR or ifr conditions, although
confidence is not high enough to include in the tafs at this
time. A stronger sea breeze circulation is expected Sunday
afternoon, potentially impacting a few more sites than it
did today by turning the east winds onshore.

Marine
High pressure centered over the atlantic will continue to ridge into
the eastern gulf through the weekend, as a weak front washes out
over the northeastern gulf on Sunday. The surface ridge will then
shift west towards florida through mid week, with light winds and
seas continuing.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Tpa 65 80 64 81 / 10 10 0 0
fmy 63 83 61 84 / 10 10 10 10
gif 61 82 62 83 / 10 10 10 0
srq 63 77 61 80 / 10 10 0 0
bkv 60 82 58 83 / 10 10 10 0
spg 66 79 65 81 / 10 10 0 0

Tbw watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Update/aviation/marine... 18/fleming
upper air... 42/norman
decision support... 42/norman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VENF1 - Venice, FL 11 mi31 min E 4.1 G 6 69°F 69°F1019.9 hPa (+0.5)62°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 32 mi43 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 69°F 76°F1019.6 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi121 min NE 5.8 G 7.8 67°F 70°F

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Venice Municipal Airport, FL10 mi36 minE 510.00 miFair68°F62°F83%1020.7 hPa
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL19 mi38 minNE 310.00 miFair62°F59°F90%1020.8 hPa

Wind History from PGD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE5NE3NE5NE7NE3E4E7E14E11E10E11
G15
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1 day agoE9E8NE6E6NE7NE6NE7E11E13E14
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2 days agoNW5N6N7NW7N6N5NE8NE7E12NE14E10
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E10NE11NE9E8E11

Tide / Current Tables for Englewood, Lemon Bay, Florida
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Englewood
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:00 AM EDT     1.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:48 AM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:06 PM EDT     1.09 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:43 PM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.31.31.10.80.50.2-0-0.100.30.60.811.110.90.70.50.40.40.50.70.9

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current
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Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:27 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:56 AM EDT     -2.43 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:09 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:15 AM EDT     2.69 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:43 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:30 PM EDT     -1.59 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:05 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:12 PM EDT     2.59 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.50.5-0.6-1.6-2.2-2.4-2.1-1.4-0.21.12.12.72.51.80.8-0.3-1.1-1.5-1.5-1-0.11.12.12.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.