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Marine Weather and Tides Buckhead Ridge, FL Version 3.4

What's New / NOTES 6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported. 5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive. 5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

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Sunrise 7:26AM

Sunset 6:46PM

Tuesday October 24, 2017 7:15 AM EDT (11:15 UTC)

Moonrise 10:35AM

Moonset 9:32PM

Illumination 18%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts

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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 432 Am Edt Tue Oct 24 2017 Today..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. Wind and waves higher near showers and scattered Thunderstorms. Tonight..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north northwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Lake waters a moderate chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the evening...then scattered showers after midnight. Wednesday..North northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers in the morning. Isolated showers in the afternoon. Wednesday night..North northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. Thursday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. Friday and Friday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Saturday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 432 Am Edt Tue Oct 24 2017 Synopsis..Showers and Thunderstorms will increase today and tonight ahead of a cold front which will move down the florida peninsula today. The front will move through south florida and the local waters late tonight and early Wednesday. Following the passage of the front, wind and seas will increase over all local waters Wednesday and Wednesday night with likely small craft advisory conditions. Wind and seas will gradually subside Thursday and Friday, but still remain at moderate levels. Showers and Thunderstorms increase again over the local waters Saturday as low pressure moves north over the region. Gulf stream hazards..SEas building to 7 feet on Wednesday and Wednesday night. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of oct 21, 2017 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 13 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 13 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 11 nautical miles east of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buckhead Ridge, FL

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Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL

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Fxus62 kmfl 240815 afdmfl area forecast discussion national weather service miami fl 415 am edt Tue oct 24 2017 Showers and a few thunderstorms today and tonight... First cold front of the season moves through late tonight... Discussion Short term (today through Thursday): large and deep longwave trough over the eastern half of north america will be the driving force behind a cold front which will move through south florida late tonight early Wednesday morning, bringing the first shot of cooler and drier air of the season to our region. Before that happens, however, plenty of deep moisture will remain in place as the cold front currently across north florida slowly moves down the peninsula today. Areas of showers and embedded thunderstorms will affect south florida through tonight, with one pre-frontal round of precipitation this morning affecting primarily gulf coast SW florida as well as coastal sections of SE florida, then transitioning to the main area of showers and thunderstorms with the actual front this afternoon and tonight, aided by diurnal heating and sea breeze convergence. The front will move rather slowly today as the main piece of energy rotating around the deep eastern north american trough will not push into the southeast u.S. Until late tonight. This delay in the arrival of the mid upper trough and associated dynamics forcing, along with modest forecast CAPE values in the 1500-1800 j kg range this afternoon during peak heating, should result in thunderstorms ahead of the front to be mainly below strong levels. Some gusty winds to 30-40 mph may accompany the most vigorous convection, with the main threat being locally heavy rainfall and flooding as the band of moisture moves slowly through the area ahead of the front. By the time the upper dynamics forcing arrive, the front will be pushing through the area with cooler low level air overspreading the area by daybreak Wednesday. A few strong thunderstorms could set up over the atlantic waters early Wednesday right ahead of the front, but should not affect land areas before the frontal passage. At this point we can say with reasonably high confidence that the frontal passage will essentially end the wet season, with the last day being today. Skies will be slow to clear behind the front on Wednesday even as cooler and drier air rushes in, as initial push will be shallow with the 850 mb and 700 mb troughs lagging behind. This sets up an overrunning pattern with light precipitation lingering for 4-8 hours after the frontal passage. Due to the clouds and cold air advection (haven't used that term in a discussion in quite a while), temperatures will likely remain steady or even fall a few degrees during the first part of the day and not recover until afternoon (maybe even late afternoon SE areas). Therefore, high temperatures will likely be several degrees cooler than MOS as it typically does not handle cold air advection overrunning patterns in south florida too well from a temperature perspective. Wednesday will feel quite a bit cooler for south floridians after months of heat and high humidity. Highs will probably end up in the 70s all areas, but not after much of the day struggling to reach 70 degrees. Coolest period will be Wednesday night Thursday morning as skies clear and north winds continue to filter down cool air. Most areas away from the immediate coasts will dip into the 50s, with upper 40s in the normally colder areas west of lake okeechobee and interior collier county. Immediate east coast and urban cores, particularly mia and fll, may stay in the 60-62f range. These temperatures would be the coolest in south florida since april 8th. Thursday will be a mostly sunny and mild day with highs in the upper 70s. Even though winds will become NE during the day, moisture recovery will be slow and humidity levels will remain low. Long term (Friday through Monday): temperatures moderate on Friday as winds become e, but still mostly below late october norms for lows with readings mainly in the 50s and 60s, except near 70 along the east coast. A few showers return to the forecast, but Friday will be the last mostly dry day before deep tropical moisture surges back into south florida Friday night and Saturday from the western caribbean in association with an area of low pressure which as of this time has a 50% chance of tropical cyclone formation through 5

days. This northward transport of deep moisture will be aided by another deep and strong mid upper level trough over the eastern u.S. Which will send another cold front into the gulf of mexico and approach florida late this upcoming weekend. Models have struggled somewhat over the past couple of days with respect to the evolution and timing of the northward movement of the western caribbean low, but appear to be converging towards a general solution of an elongated south north trough across the straits of florida, eastern gulf of mexico and florida peninsula on Saturday, then shifting east of the area on Sunday as the main low in the vicinity of cuba and the western bahamas gets driven east by the deep mid-latitude trough and frontal system. This system bears watch as it remains to our south this week and gradually moves north, but right now the main potential impact to south florida as this early stage appears to be heavy rainfall and possible flooding Saturday and early Sunday. The next cold front then is progged by the majority of the available guidance to sweep through on Sunday, which would usher in another shot of cool air and below normal temperatures to south florida to end the weekend and begin next week. Marine Decent marine conditions outside of showers and thunderstorms most of today, but deteriorating tonight as the cold front moves through the local waters and thunderstorms affect mainly the atlantic waters late tonight. Seas are expected to build to 8 feet over the outer gulf of mexico waters on Wednesday behind the front, and to 7 feet in the gulf stream off the east coast. Winds will gust to 25 to 30 knots on Wednesday. These conditions will likely necessitate a small craft advisory with this afternoon's forecast package. Wind and seas will gradually subside on Thursday and Friday but still remain at moderate levels. Conditions again deteriorate this weekend as showers thunderstorms spread across all waters Saturday and early Sunday, along with increasing wind and seas by Sunday. Fire weather The season's first surge of cooler and drier air will drop relative humidity values into the 35 to 40 percent range western areas on Wednesday and area-wide on Thursday. For the time being it looks like marginal red flag conditions at best, without considering the erc values which in all likelihood will remain below critical levels. Humidity levels recover Friday through Sunday. Prev discussion issued 127 am edt Tue oct 24 2017 aviation... the winds will be south southeast around 5 to 10 knots today over most of the TAF sites. The only exception to this is at kapf taf site where the winds will become southwest this afternoon. The weather should remain dry over the east coast TAF sties through early this morning, before vcsh conditions between 12z and 17z. After 17z today, the weather will be dominated by showers with any a chance of a few thunderstorms until 00z. Therefore, vcsh between 12z and 17z, then shra with vcts until 00z. Kapf taf site will have vcsh until 12z then shra with vcts until 17z, then vcsh for the afternoon hours. The vis and ceilings will in theVFR conditions early this morning, but should fall down into MVFR conditions after 12z today due to the showers and thunderstorms. Aviation... 54 bnb Preliminary point temps pops West palm beach 84 70 76 55 70 70 40 0 fort lauderdale 85 70 74 59 70 70 40 10 miami 85 69 74 60 70 70 40 10 naples 83 63 75 56 70 30 0 0 Mfl watches warnings advisories Fl... None. Am... None. Gm... None. Discussion... ..59 molleda marine... ... ... 59 molleda fire weather... 59 molleda

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL	68 mi	46 min	SSW 2.9 G 4.1	79°F	83°F		1014.2 hPa	73°F
VENF1 - Venice, FL	72 mi	76 min	S 9.9 G 11	79°F	80°F		1012.9 hPa (-0.4)	75°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Okeechobee County Airport, FL	15 mi	21 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Overcast	72°F	71°F	100%	1013.2 hPa

Wind History from OBE (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida

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North Fork Click for Map Tue -- 02:13 AM EDT     1.24 feet High Tide Tue -- 07:26 AM EDT     Sunrise Tue -- 09:06 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide Tue -- 11:31 AM EDT     Moonrise Tue -- 02:47 PM EDT     1.29 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:43 PM EDT     Sunset Tue -- 09:35 PM EDT     0.84 feet Low Tide Tue -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

12am	1am	2am	3am	4am	5am	6am	7am	8am	9am	10am	11am	12pm	1pm	2pm	3pm	4pm	5pm	6pm	7pm	8pm	9pm	10pm	11pm
1.1	1.2	1.2	1.2	1.1	1	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.7	0.9	1.1	1.2	1.3	1.2	1.2	1.1	1	0.9	0.8	0.8	0.9

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Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida

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Stuart Click for Map Tue -- 01:56 AM EDT     1.10 feet High Tide Tue -- 07:26 AM EDT     Sunrise Tue -- 09:08 AM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide Tue -- 11:31 AM EDT     Moonrise Tue -- 02:34 PM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide Tue -- 06:43 PM EDT     Sunset Tue -- 09:40 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide Tue -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonset Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

12am	1am	2am	3am	4am	5am	6am	7am	8am	9am	10am	11am	12pm	1pm	2pm	3pm	4pm	5pm	6pm	7pm	8pm	9pm	10pm	11pm
1	1.1	1.1	1.1	1	0.9	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.7	0.8	1	1.1	1.1	1.1	1	1	0.9	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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Weather Map

IR Satellite Image from GEOS GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.