Monday, June18, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Buckhead Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:28AMSunset 8:19PM Monday June 18, 2018 1:11 PM EDT (17:11 UTC) Moonrise 10:40AMMoonset 11:53PM Illumination 27% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 1036 Am Edt Mon Jun 18 2018
Rest of today..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms late in the evening. A slight chance of showers through the night.
Tuesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers late in the evening.
Wednesday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop. Showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1036 Am Edt Mon Jun 18 2018
Synopsis.. High pressure building into the area from the atlantic will produce east winds less than 15 knots through Tuesday, then becoming less than 10 knots on Wednesday as the high shifts south of the area. Wind becomes southwest to west 10 knots or less Thursday and Friday. Showers and Thunderstorms will be most numerous over the atlantic waters during the night and morning hours through Tuesday, and lake okeechobee and the gulf waters in the afternoon and evening with locally gusty winds and rough seas. By the latter part of the week, most of the showers and Thunderstorms will be over the atlantic waters during the afternoon and evening hours.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 16, 2018 at 1200 utc... 4 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles southeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles east southeast of lake worth. 15 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buckhead Ridge, FL
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location: 27.16, -81.1     debug

Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 181511 aaa
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
1111 am edt Mon jun 18 2018

Light flow as high pressure builds in is allowing the sea breezes
and associated convection to develop this morning. Storms will be
closer to the summer pop up variety compared to the last week.

Boundary interactions will be key for storms today, particularly
over the interior and southwest florida this afternoon. Forecast
is on track with no additional updates anticipated through midday.

Prev discussion issued 804 am edt Mon jun 18 2018

light flow will continue with the sea breeze expected to develop
later this morning into the afternoon. Some morning showers
possible along the east coast with sub-vfr conditions possible.

Convection expected to increase for this afternoon inland and
could linger into the evening. Short-fused amendments will likely
be necessary as conditions change today.

Prev discussion... Issued 407 am edt Mon jun 18 2018

today and tonight: high pressure continues to dominate the
overall pattern across florida and the southeastern u.S.,
especially in the mid to upper levels, with a low level trough
approaching the area from the NE already beginning to produce a
few showers over the atlantic and along the palm beach county
coast early this morning. As the morning progresses, scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms will gradually become more
common over the east coast metro areas, especially closer to
midday. The influence of the low level trough will be most felt
over the interior and gulf coast this afternoon, as daytime
heating and the gulf seabreeze pushing inland early this afternoon
should set the stage for numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms moving sw. A few of these storms could be strong
with wind gusts of 40-50 mph as there should be enough instability
for stronger cells. East coast areas should see some improvement
as the afternoon progresses as the drier air with the trough moves
in and the convection generally shifts away from the area. Some
of the showers and storms could linger over western areas and the
gulf of mexico waters into the early evening, shortly after
sunset, before dissipating. It should be another hot day over the
interior and gulf coast areas before the showers and storms move
in, with highs in the lower to the mid 90s and heat index values
100-105f. East coast metro areas will have highs generally around
90 with heat index close to 100.

Tuesday and Wednesday: models continue to be consistent with the
overall pattern of drier air moving into the region from the
atlantic. The drier air will be most noticeable from palm beach
county across to lake okeechobee, glades and hendry counties, and
less so for areas to the south. Therefore, pops will have quite a
large range on Tuesday, ranging from less than 20% from west palm
beach to lake okeechobee and glades county to 60-70% percent over
the southern everglades, with the naples area as well as metro
miami fort lauderdale in the 30-40% range. Timing of precipitation
on Tuesday should follow a typical east flow diurnal pattern of
morning midday east coast and afternoon evening interior and gulf
coast. Warmer and drier air aloft should cut down on the potential
for strong storms, although one or two are not out of the question
over southern areas. Wednesday appears to be the driest day of
the week with the dry air more entrenched area- wide. Still, being
june it's hard to have a totally dry day and scattered
showers isolated thunderstorms should still develop mainly during
the afternoon hours as the overall wind flow weakens and both the
atlantic and gulf seabreezes should push well inland. Wednesday
will also be the hottest of the two days with lower to mid 90s
common away from the coasts and heat index values slightly over
100 degrees.

Thursday through next weekend: models show the high pressure area
over the southeast u.S. Weakening and shifting south to over
florida and the western atlantic. This will help to shift the
surface and low level ridge south of the area, leading to a more
westerly low level wind pattern and favoring most of the
convection over the interior and east coast beginning Thursday and
lasting into the first part of the weekend. Moisture levels will
be near normal for this time of year, which translates to mainly
daytime afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms away from
the gulf coast, and less coverage near the gulf coast. Models hint
at an atlantic ridge building back over florida late next weekend,
which could bring a surge of higher moisture from the southeast,
but still plenty of time to look at trends as the new week
progresses. With the west wind pattern, the hottest temperatures
could shift to the eastern areas with lower 90s possible along
with heat index values over 100f.


east wind 10-12 knots today and Tuesday, decreasing on Wednesday
and shifting to SW W Thursday and Friday at 10 knots or less.

Therefore, outside of showers and thunderstorms which will be most
numerous today and Tuesday, generally good boating conditions
expected as seas should be generally 2 feet or less.

Beach forecast...

the rip current risk should stay at low levels through the week,
maybe approaching moderate Tuesday at the atlantic beaches.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 88 76 88 77 30 10 20 10
fort lauderdale 88 78 87 79 50 20 30 10
miami 90 78 88 79 50 20 30 20
naples 92 78 92 77 60 30 30 20

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 02 rag

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VENF1 - Venice, FL 72 mi72 min E 7 G 8.9 86°F 87°F1020.1 hPa (+0.0)71°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Okeechobee County Airport, FL15 mi37 minENE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F71°F59%1019.6 hPa

Wind History from OBE (wind in knots)
Last 24hrN6N6N6E6E8E6E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE5NE5NE3E4E4
1 day agoCalmS5S5SW4CalmCalmE3CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN6N4
2 days agoS7SE6E4W11

Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
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Mon -- 12:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:26 AM EDT     1.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:18 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:49 PM EDT     1.15 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:41 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Mon -- 12:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:06 AM EDT     1.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:19 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:29 PM EDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:41 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.