Thursday, April27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Buckhead Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 7:54PM Thursday April 27, 2017 12:43 PM EDT (16:43 UTC) Moonrise 6:55AMMoonset 8:26PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 929 Am Edt Thu Apr 27 2017
Rest of today..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Tonight..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters light chop.
Friday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop.
Saturday through Sunday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Lake waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 929 Am Edt Thu Apr 27 2017
Synopsis..Light to locally moderate southeast winds will continue through much of the week. Southeast winds will gradually increase over the weekend to moderate and occasionally fresh speeds as low pressure develops over the central u.s. And high pressure strengthens over the western atlantic.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of apr 25, 2017 at 1200 utc... 7 nautical miles east of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buckhead Ridge, FL
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location: 27.16, -81.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 271314 aab
afdmfl
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service miami fl
914 am edt Thu apr 27 2017

Update
The fog that been occurring over the interior and west coast metro
areas has burned off this morning leaving only some low level
clouds. These low cloud should burn off through the morning hours.

Therefore, the fog wording will be remove from the zones in the
morning update for the interior and west coast metro areas.

High pressure over the western atlantic waters will build into the
florida peninsula tonight into Friday. This will allow for the
wind flow to swing from a southerly direction this afternoon to a
easterly direction tonight into Friday. Both the east and west
coast sea breezes will also develop and push inland today focusing
any showers over the interior areas this afternoon. However, the
coverage will be few and far this afternoon, as drier air has
worked into the area from the south. Therefore, there will only be
silent 10 percent pops over the interior areas for this afternoon
with less than 10 percent over the metro areas.

The winds will remain southeast at 10 to 15 knots over the
atlantic waters today leading to a moderate risk of rip currents
along the east coast beaches of south florida. Rest of south
florida waters will see winds around 10 knots mainly from the
southerly direction.

Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes
are planned.

Update 54/bnb

Prev discussion /issued 737 am edt Thu apr 27 2017/
aviation...

easterly winds around 10 mph will increase to around 15 mph over
the east coast TAF sites today, as the ceiling and vis will remain
in theVFR conditions. Kapf TAF site will see light southeast
winds this morning before swinging to an westerly direction this
afternoon around 10 mph. There could still be some fog around at
kapf TAF site through 13z with vis and ceiling dropping down into
ifr conditions. After 13z today the ceiling and vis should be back
intoVFR conditions. The weather will also remain dry over all of
south florida TAF sites today.

Aviation... 54/bnb
prev discussion... /issued 318 am edt Thu apr 27 2017/
discussion...

convection remains just beyond the coastal waters over the western
bahamas this morning. Outflow boundaries from this convection
could reach towards south florida today, promoting the potential
for some showers. Otherwise, it is expected to be a fairly warm
day with the southeasterly flow push inland from the atlantic and
a gulf sea breeze developing and pushing inland this afternoon.

Expect most of the rain chances to be confined along the east
coast and over the atlantic waters.

Deep layered high pressure builds in on Friday, promoting a drier
day with sunshine and summer-like warmth to kick off the weekend.

The next frontal system will progress across the central united
states late in the weekend and makes its way towards the sunshine
state Monday into Tuesday. There is some difference in timing
between different global guidance. Went ahead and broad-brushed
much of next week's forecast due to this uncertainty in timing.

The front will have plenty of moisture ahead of it to promote
showers and potentially thunderstorms. As of right now, the front
will also pack the ability to have some showers and thunderstorms
along with it.

As the first front exits mid to late next week, the next system
emerges over the region. This could too pack a bit of a punch and
the forecast continues to carry showers and some thunderstorms
through the end of the forecast period. This is still quite a bit
away being late in the extended... So confidence is low and the
different models are providing slightly different solutions as
well. It will be worth monitoring the forecast trend with these
frontal systems over the next week or so.

Marine...

winds and seas should remain below headline criteria heading into
the weekend. Some showers could be possible today with those
chances dropping for tomorrow. During the weekend, the approaching
frontal system will allow winds and seas to build which could
introduce headlines later in the weekend for mariners.

Prev discussion... /issued 219 am edt Thu apr 27 2017/
aviation...

for the east coast TAF sites, light southeast winds will persist
through mid morning. A sct/bkn low cloud deck continues to push
ashore from the atlantic, giving periodic ceilings around 1500 ft
agl to mia and opf. Expect these clouds to shift northward over
the next several hours. South southeast winds will increase aft
27/1400z, generally 12-15 kt, then decrease back to around 10 kt
aft 28/0000z. A gulf sea breezy may develop, bringing southwest
winds to kapf during the afternoon. Otherwise, expect sct low
clouds with bases around 3500 ft agl andVFR conds to prevail
through tonight.

Preliminary point temps/pops
West palm beach 89 76 88 77 / 10 10 10 10
fort lauderdale 88 78 88 78 / 10 10 10 10
miami 89 77 90 77 / 10 10 10 10
naples 88 74 92 73 / 10 10 10 0

Mfl watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Update... 54/bnb
discussion... 02/rag
marine... 02/rag
aviation... 54/bnb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 68 mi44 min SSE 8 G 8.9 79°F 78°F1016.7 hPa76°F
VENF1 - Venice, FL 72 mi44 min SSE 9.9 G 11 78°F 78°F1014.4 hPa (+1.0)73°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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G14
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Okeechobee County Airport, FL15 mi49 minSSE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F69°F55%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from OBE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7S9S9
G14
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S8S8S8S6S4S5S5S4S3CalmCalmCalmS6S5
G8
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1 day agoW7
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SW5W6SW7W3W3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS6SE9
2 days agoSW15
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W9W8W7SW5SW7W6W5W4W3CalmCalmCalmW3W6W7W11
G15
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G19

Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:16 AM EDT     1.37 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:57 AM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:29 PM EDT     1.28 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:16 PM EDT     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.41.31.10.80.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.10.30.711.21.31.10.70.3-0.1-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20.30.8

Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Stuart
Click for Map
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 12:06 PM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:19 PM EDT     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.10.90.60.30-0.2-0.2-0.10.20.611.11.10.90.60.2-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.10.30.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.