Tuesday, January22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stuart, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 5:55PM Tuesday January 22, 2019 8:12 AM EST (13:12 UTC) Moonrise 7:49PMMoonset 8:26AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 406 Am Est Tue Jan 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Today..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..South winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday..North winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 406 Am Est Tue Jan 22 2019
Synopsis..High pressure over the eastern seaboard will build into the west atlantic today. A moderate to fresh east-northeast breeze will prevail through midday, becoming east southeast by Sunset. Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue through midweek as winds veer to the south. Another cold front will approach central florida Wednesday night and cross the area Thursday, forcing winds to veer to north-northwest through late week.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast to east winds 15 to 20 knots with seas 6 to 8 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday january 21st. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 19 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stuart, FL
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location: 27.2, -80.26     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 220848
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
348 am est Tue jan 22 2019

Discussion
Today-tonight...

full latitude ridge axis extending ERN canada to the NW carib will
continue to dominate the LCL wx pattern as deep lyr E SE flow over
the central CONUS pushes it into the W atlc. The airmass assocd with
the ridge remains very dry with pwat values off the 22 00z raobs
btwn 0.25"-0.50"... H100-h70 mean rh arnd 50pct... H85-h50 avg
dewpoint depressions arnd 30c. Furthermore, a 25-30c subsidence
inversion in the h90-h70 lyr continues to smother any meaningful
vertical motion. A couple of coastal sites have reported brief pds
of -dz as a few streamers of marine stratocu have pushed onshore,
but only trace precip recorded. Not enough to include pops in the
fcst.

With the ridge axis passing overhead, h100-h85 winds have veered to
the E ne... Allowing ocean modified air to stream onshore. Winds will
cont to veer to E SE thru the day, the SE overnight as the ridge
pushes seaward. Winds bcmg breezy by midday as the fl peninsula
gains the backside of the ridge with ocnl sfc g20-25mph... Temps
recovering to near climo avg today with aftn maxes in the l m70s.

Warm moist air advection pattern overnight with winds shifting to
se... Min temps 10-15f abv avg with interior counties holding in the
m50s... Coastal counties in the u50s l60s.

Wed-fri...

high pressure off the mid atlc coast will move out to sea.

Regional winds will deepen out of the SE with continued temperature
and moisture recovery area wide. Highs will make it well into the
70s, with even a few 80s inland. Instability and moisture will
lead to an isolated morning or afternoon shower developing in a
marginally unstable environment. A deep trough will sweep across
the gulf and SE states, accompanied by a cold front late wed.

Initial impacts in the form of developing chc of showers, and
even a storm wl commence from west to east late Wed night. Rain
chcs should become likely area wide before daybreak thu, with the
main front and ascd pcpn band pushing south of the area by thu
evening. Post frontal drying on Fri will bring clearing and
cooler conds Fri and into sat.

Weekend... Avbl guidance keeps a somewhat progressive pattern over
the SRN conus. Confidence regarding rain chcs remains lower than
normal Sunday, as the european model develops low pressure across
the SE gulf and tracks over the bahamas late Sunday into mon.

Latest GFS is much more muted with any development in the same
area during the weekend.

Extended... Broadly cyclonic flow appears to be the main feature
over the eastern CONUS the first half of next week. This should
lead to temperatures generally at to below normal along with at
least one frontal passage, and a mentionable rain chc ascd with
approach and passage of the front.

Aviation Thru 23 12z.

Sfc winds: thru 22 13z... Coastal sites E NE 5-8kts... Interior sites
n NW 3-6kts. Btwn 22 13z-22 16z... Coastal sites bcmg E NE 9-14kts
with sfc g18-22kts... Interior sites bcmg E NE 8-13kts. Btwn 23 00z-
23 03z... Bcmg coastal sites bcmg E SE 8-12kts... Interior sites bcmg
e SE 6-9kts
wx vsbys cigs: thru 22 13z... Coastal sites sct-bkn040-060. Btwn
22 13z-22 19z... Sct040 AOA sct-bkn120. Btwn 22 19z-23 01z... Sct-
bkn040-060 AOA bkn120. Aft 23 01z... Coastal sites bkn-ovc040-060
interior sites sct-bkn040-050 AOA bkn-ovc120.

Marine
Today-tonight... Poor to hazardous conds today as the LCL atlc gains
the backside of a strong high pres ridge moving off the eastern
seaboard. Moderate to fresh E NE breeze this mrng bcmg a moderate to
fresh E breeze by midday, veering to E SE thru sunset, then veering
to SE overnight... Bcmg a fresh to strong breeze over the offshore
leg with ocnl gusts near gale force. At daybreak, seas 4-6ft over
the shelf waters and 5-7ft over the gulf stream, building to 5-6ft
over the shelf waters and 6-8ft over the gulf stream by early aftn.

Dominant pds arnd 7sec. Thru 21z... SCA for the treasure coast out to
60nm and brevard waters btwn 20-60nm thru 21z... Aft 21z expanding to
include volusia waters btwn 20-60nm. Small craft exercise caution
elsewhere.

Wed-sat ... High pressure and ascd brisk gradient winds over the
mid atlc early Wed will keep likelihood of headlines in place for
hazardous winds seas through midweek. Another frontal passage will
bring another period of strong winds Thursday. Combination of
winds seas and swell will produce 5-7 ft seas over the outer
waters and gulf stream segments. Some improvements are likely late
week and into this weekend as broader post frontal high pressure
transits just north of the waters.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 69 59 76 64 10 10 20 50
mco 73 57 79 66 0 0 20 50
mlb 72 63 77 69 10 10 20 40
vrb 73 62 77 68 10 10 20 40
lee 72 55 78 62 0 0 10 60
sfb 71 56 77 65 0 0 20 50
orl 72 56 76 65 0 0 20 50
fpr 72 62 76 69 10 10 20 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Thursday for sebastian inlet
to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet
20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-
60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 4 pm est
Thursday for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line
20-60 nm.

Short term... Bragaw
long term... .Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 24 mi42 min 73°F5 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 42 mi42 min ESE 20 G 24 69°F 73°F1028 hPa
SIPF1 47 mi57 min E 16 67°F 67°F1029 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 75 mi72 min ENE 19 G 21 67°F 1027.7 hPa (+1.4)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 77 mi60 min E 13 G 17 71°F 1025.9 hPa55°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL2 mi82 minE 12 G 167.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F53°F60%1027.1 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL22 mi79 minE 12 G 1810.00 miPartly Cloudy66°F54°F65%1026.9 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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NW7NW7NW5NW5NW8NW6NW8NW8
2 days agoCalmS5S5S5SE10SE10S10
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--S7S5--S7S7S8S10S7S8S7S7S8
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Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Stuart
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:11 AM EST     -0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:26 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:35 AM EST     1.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:43 PM EST     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:48 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:50 PM EST     1.07 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.80.40.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20.30.81.11.110.70.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.20.20.71

Tide / Current Tables for Seminole Shores, Florida
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Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:05 AM EST     -1.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:24 AM EST     3.62 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:25 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 02:37 PM EST     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:48 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:39 PM EST     3.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-0.7-1-0.8-0.112.23.13.63.53210.1-0.5-0.6-0.10.71.82.73.33.432.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.