Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Jensen Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:28PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 4:14 PM EST (21:14 UTC) Moonrise 9:16AMMoonset 8:10PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 332 Pm Est Tue Nov 21 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 knots becoming southwest 5 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East winds 10 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 332 Pm Est Tue Nov 21 2017
Synopsis..Winds and seas will continue to subside this evening as the remnants of a front will linger across the area. Low pressure will develop along the front, over the eastern gulf of mexico, and eventually move east across florida by late week, keeping rain chances elevated through Friday.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 6 feet into this evening. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday november 20th. 45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 28 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jensen Beach, FL
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location: 27.24, -80.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 212050 aaa
afdmlb
area forecast discussion... Amended marine discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
350 pm est Tue nov 21 2017

Increased rain chances late this week...

Discussion
Rest of today tonight... Rain chances will steadily decrease from
south
to north as a pseudo-warm front stalls near the interstate 4
corridor and mid upper level forcing shifts into the atlantic.

Will hold onto scattered pops (30-40%) from cocoa to lake kissimmee
northward over the next several hours before dropping everyone to
slight chance (20%) during the overnight. The threat for thunder
looks low as cloud cover and rain has stabilized the near surface
environment and the best lift shifts northeast of the area. Over
the treasure coast and okeechobee county, rain chances have been
removed as drier and more stable air has advected in from south
florida.

Main forecast concern overnight is for fog, as ample low-level
moisture and light surface winds will make for a nearly saturated
near-surface environment. MOS guidance, the local wrf, and hrrr
have been waffling back-and-forth on visibility reductions,
likely as a result of cloud cover uncertainties toward sunrise.

For now, have included patchy fog wording nearly everywhere (save
for the immediate treasure coast) with enhanced coverage north
and west of interstate 4.

Wednesday... The warm front will become stationary over the area,
providing weak low-level convergence that should generated
isolated afternoon showers. Models indicate additional mid upper
level energy traversing the eastern gulf before sunset, but
likely too late to initiate deep convection over the area. With
that in mind, pops have been lowered to 20-30% across the area,
with 30% confined to the the interior where daytime heating
should be maximized in the light northeast flow. Daytime highs
near their mid november averages (mid upper 70s).

Thu-fri (previous)... Mid level S W trough crossing the gulf of
mexico is forecast to induce a weak low across the eastern gulf,
along the stalled boundary extended across the area. Latest gfs
takes this low farther north across north fl Thursday, while the
ecmwf remains more consistent with a slower and farther southward
progression across the state into late week. Regardless, rain
chances will remain high across the area Thursday, up to 60-70
percent, with isolated storms developing. Cold mid level
temperatures and a more disturbed flow aloft, may lead to a few
stronger storms, but cloud cover and limited instability should
keep any severe potential low. Base of trough shifts across the
state Friday, keeping rain chances elevated, and also keeping the
potential for isolated storms across much of the region.

Sat-mon (previous)... Mid to upper level troughing across the
eastern u.S. Will gradually push eastward and offshore into early
next week. Low will shift east and drag front south of the area by
early Saturday with drier air ending rain chances across the area
into the weekend. Another dry reinforcing cold front will then
cross the area into late weekend early next week. Highs will range
from the low to mid 70s Saturday to mid to upper 60s Monday
behind reinforcing surge of cooler air. Lows in the low to mid 50s
Saturday night will drop to the 40s to low 50s over much of the
region into Sunday night.

Aviation
Warm front lifting north will continue to be the focus for
scattered shra north and west of kmlb through sunset. Front is
expected to stall overnight, which when combined with low-level
moisture and light winds, should generate patchy fog. Greatest
chances and lowest visibilities are likely to be found in the
ksfb-klee-kism-kmco corridor. Confidence is lower elsewhere.

Marine
Rest of today tonight... Most recent observations from buoy
41009 indicate winds and seas are beginning to subside below
small craft advisory criteria. Will cancel the SCA that was in
effect and continue exercise caution criteria for the outer
waters through this evening. Seas will subside to 3 to 5 feet
with winds at or below 10 knots.

Wednesday... Stalled frontal boundary will remain over the waters
with gentle northeast winds 5-10 knots from mid to late afternoon.

Seas 3 to 5 feet. Lower rain coverage expected compared to
Tuesday.

Thursday-Saturday... Unsettled weather pattern to persist through
mid to late week with rain chances remaining elevated as weak low
develops over the eastern gulf, along stalled boundary across the
region, and shifts eastward through florida. Wind direction across
the waters will highly depend on where boundary stalls and where
low crosses the state, but overall wind speeds expected to remain
below 15 knots for the most part with seas 3-5 feet. Northerly
surge as front shifts south across the waters late week may build
seas up to 6 to 7 feet Friday and Saturday, mainly across volusia
waters and offshore.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 62 76 64 74 20 30 50 70
mco 62 79 64 76 20 30 30 60
mlb 63 79 67 79 20 20 30 60
vrb 63 80 66 79 10 20 30 60
lee 61 78 64 74 20 30 40 60
sfb 61 78 63 76 20 30 40 60
orl 63 78 64 76 20 30 30 60
fpr 63 80 65 80 10 20 30 60

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 10 pm est this evening for flagler
beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-volusia-
brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Ulrich lascody


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 21 mi44 min 75°F5 ft
SIPF1 44 mi29 min SE 6 74°F 76°F1015 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 45 mi44 min SE 5.1 G 6 78°F 79°F1014.3 hPa70°F
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 76 mi74 min N 1 G 1.9 77°F 1014.4 hPa (-1.0)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 80 mi32 min SE 6 G 8.9 79°F 1013.1 hPa68°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL4 mi27 minESE 67.00 miPartly Cloudy82°F71°F70%1013.9 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL19 mi21 minESE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F69°F72%1013.5 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE11
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1 day agoW5W5SW5SW5W3CalmNW5N7N10
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2 days agoSE5SE4SE3CalmS3SW3CalmCalmCalmW4W4W4W4CalmCalmCalmW4W5W8W10W10W10W10W10

Tide / Current Tables for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:33 AM EST     0.26 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:15 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 12:29 PM EST     1.32 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:01 PM EST     0.58 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:10 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.31.210.80.60.40.30.30.40.70.91.21.31.31.21.10.90.70.60.60.60.80.91.1

Tide / Current Tables for Seminole Shores, Florida
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Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:54 AM EST     0.42 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:13 AM EST     3.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:15 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:26 PM EST     0.90 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:09 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 09:14 PM EST     3.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.10.60.40.61.222.83.43.73.63.12.51.81.20.911.31.92.533.33.22.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.