Wednesday, June20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Jensen Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 8:19PM Wednesday June 20, 2018 9:28 AM EDT (13:28 UTC) Moonrise 12:38PMMoonset 12:29AM Illumination 46% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 415 Am Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 415 Am Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge will shift south of the local waters today and remain there through the weekend. This will provide a gentle south to southwest wind flow with continued benign sea conditions. However, increasing moisture will bring a return to offshore moving storms in the afternoon and evening by late week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday june 19th. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jensen Beach, FL
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location: 27.24, -80.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 201256
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
856 am edt Wed jun 20 2018

Update
A tight moisture gradient residing across east central florida
will make for a challenging pop forecast, particularly along and
to the north of the interstate 4 corridor. Currently, the area
resides in a relatively weak pressure pattern between surface
ridging near lake okeechobee and a surface trough over north
florida. Convection is off to an early start this morning over the
nature coast where weak surface convergence between the two
features is combining with deeper moisture. Both the hrrr and
local WRF show this activity diminishing before showers and
isolated storms start to develop along the i-4 corridor later this
afternoon. More rigorous boundary collisions, aided by the east
coast sea breeze, should lead to the greatest coverage late this
afternoon and toward sunset. Still, despite the increase in
coverage compared to recent days, mid-level ridging will keep a
lid on the convections intensity, with lightning, wind gusts of 30
to 40 mph and brief heavy rainfall being the primary threats.

With that in mind, will carry 40-50% along the interstate 4
corridor, tapering to 10% across the space and treasure coasts
where rain-free conditions are expected.

The strongest solar insolation of the year (summer solstice occurs
Thursday morning at 6:07 am) and mainly cloud-free conditions
will allow temps to warm quickly this morning, reaching 91-93f
most locations away from the coast before showers provide some
relief over the interior. Temps will be several degrees higher
than in recent days along the coast, particularly north of
melbourne, where light westerly flow will delay the sea breeze
this afternoon.

Aviation
Chances for afternoon and early evening thunderstorms return to
the forecast today along and north of the interstate 4 corridor
(kdab-ksfb-kmco-kism-klee) as moisture deepens compared to the
past several days. Best coverage should hold until mid to late
afternoon, so vcts beginning 19-20z should suffice. Dry air will
keep thingsVFR and rain-free from ktix south.

Marine
Today-tonight... Ridge axis shifts south of the area today, with a
light to gentle S SW breeze becoming S SE into the afternoon and
increasing up to 10-15 knots as sea breeze forms and shifts
inland. Winds will then veer to the SW into tonight, becoming 5-10
knots nearshore and remaining up to 10-15 knots offshore. Seas
will range from 1-2 feet nearshore and up to 2-3 feet offshore.

A few storms may push offshore of coastal areas north of the cape
this afternoon and early evening producing brief gusty winds.

Otherwise, greatest convective coverage should remain across inland
areas.

Hydrology
The st johns river above lake harney near geneva is forecast to
remain above action stage and below flood stage as it levels out
through late this week and into the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 92 75 92 76 40 20 50 30
mco 93 75 94 76 40 30 50 20
mlb 90 75 93 76 10 10 40 30
vrb 90 74 92 74 10 10 40 30
lee 93 75 93 76 50 30 50 20
sfb 94 75 94 76 50 30 50 20
orl 93 75 94 76 50 30 50 20
fpr 90 72 93 74 10 10 40 30

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Ulrich blottman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 21 mi28 min 83°F1 ft
SIPF1 44 mi43 min SW 7 81°F 81°F1016 hPa
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 76 mi28 min SE 7 G 8.9 81°F 1016.1 hPa (+1.4)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 80 mi34 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9 85°F 1015.6 hPa71°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL4 mi38 minN 07.00 miA Few Clouds84°F71°F66%1015.9 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL19 mi35 minS 410.00 miFair82°F73°F74%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNE7E10E8E8E12E8E8E7SE7SE5----CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoE5----E5E5--E10E12E10E10E90E6----E5E7E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmE5E7E7E7E8E7E8E8E7E6E5----E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3E4E5

Tide / Current Tables for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:06 AM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 11:56 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:40 PM EDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-00.20.50.81.11.21.10.90.70.40.1-0.1-0.100.30.60.91.11.110.80.60.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for Seminole Shores, Florida
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Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:28 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:52 AM EDT     3.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:52 AM EDT     First Quarter
Wed -- 08:17 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:37 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:28 PM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:43 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.533.12.92.31.60.80.2-0.1-00.41.11.92.52.92.92.51.91.20.60.20.10.40.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.