Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ocean Breeze Park, FL
April 18, 2024 1:35 PM EDT (17:35 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:51 AM Sunset 7:48 PM Moonrise 2:26 PM Moonset 3:10 AM |
AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1008 Am Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
This afternoon - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 13 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday night - South winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1008 Am Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic high pressure ridge axis will slip southward across the waters today, reaching south florida tonight where it will remain nearly stationary through the weekend. A weak cool front will cross the waters early next week.
Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, april 17th.
41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, april 17th.
41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 181407 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1007 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
New UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 849 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
No forecast changes needed this morning. The ridge axis has reached the Orlando metro area and will approach south Florida tonight. Winds have been light and variable this morning and will continue until the sea breeze develops in the afternoon, shifting winds onshore up to around 10mph, with gust up to 20mph along the coast. Mid-level clouds have begun to dissipate which will allow temperatures to climb well above normal today. Afternoon highs forecast to reach upper 80s to around 90 inland, low to mid 80s along the I-95 corridor, and upper 70s to low 80s for barrier islands. Overnight, minimum temperatures are expected to fall into the 60s, and around 70 on the barrier islands. Dry conditions continue.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 849 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
VFR conditions continue through the TAF period. Ridge axis near the MCO terminal continues to produce light and variable winds this morning for all terminals. Winds remain fairly light until the sea breeze develops, reaching coastal terminals around 17z, and the inland terminals after 21z, shifting winds to southeasterly around 10kts. Gust up to 20kts possible at the coastal terminals. Winds become light and variable again by tonight.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today/tonight...Considerable altocumulus clouds will overspread much of the area this morning from the NW assocd with a mid level shortwave trough traversing the area. There will be partial clearing during the day but some mid and high clouds will persist.
Low levels remain too dry for any measurable rain. The Atlc ridge axis will drop south across the area today and become nearly stationary across south FL tonight. Light south winds in vicinity of the ridge axis will increase out of the SE behind the sea breeze by early afternoon along the coast, spreading inland during the mid to late afternoon. Wind speeds will remain below 15 mph but gusts near 20 mph will be possible esp alg the coast. Despite the clouds, max temps will reach the upper 80s/near 90 over the interior and low to mid 80s coast. Only LEE has a chance to equal its record of 90F from 1990 but given the cloudy start there, this is probably a stretch. After sunset when the sea breeze circulation diminishes, winds will become south to southwest and decrease around 5 mph. Min temps in the low to mid 60s.
Friday-Sunday...Mid-level ridging will gradually flatten into the weekend, with flow aloft becoming quasi-zonal late Saturday into Sunday. At the surface, an area of high pressure located across the western Atlantic will slowly weaken, with the ridge axis remaining draped across southern Florida. As a result, dry conditions are forecast to persist through the remainder of this week and into the weekend, with PoPs remaining below 10 percent. However, some isolated showers may be possible Sunday afternoon due to increasing moisture locally out ahead of the next frontal passage, though this will be dependent on just how far inland the sea breeze pushes.
Confidence in this remains low at this time, so left out mention of it in the forecast for now. Will continue to monitor and reevaluate with each subsequent forecast package.
Winds are forecast to remain out of the west-southwest at 5 to 10 mph, with winds backing to out of the south-southeast Friday and Saturday afternoons as the east coast sea breeze develops and moves inland. While the sea breeze will develop on Sunday, the extent to which it will push inland is uncertain as winds aloft becoming increasingly stronger out of the west, which could keep the sea breeze pinned along the coast. Development of the sea breeze will be fueled by the temperature gradient between the Florida peninsula and the local Atlantic waters, with afternoon highs climbing into the upper 80s to mid 90s across east central Florida. For reference, temperatures are forecast to be 5 to 10 degrees above normal for this time of year. Overnight temperatures will fall into the 60s each night.
Monday-Wednesday...A weak cold front will approach the Florida peninsula early Monday, leading to increasing rain chances (PoPs 30- 50 percent). Isolated storms cannot fully be ruled out with the front, though confidence is not overly high at this time. The front is forecast to move southward and become diffuse through the day on Monday, with an area of high pressure building across the southeastern US late Monday night through Wednesday. Mostly dry conditions are then forecast into midweek as a result, though lingering moisture from the diffuse front and onshore flow could combine Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons to cause the development of some isolated showers across the southern portions of the forecast area (especially across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee counties).
Confidence in this remains low though, and will be dependent on this moisture moving slightly northward, and the models still remain in slight disagreement at this time on whether that will occur.
Partly cloudy skies are forecast on Monday, though skies are forecast to become mostly clear Tuesday and Wednesday as conditions dry out. The weak front will provide little relief from the heat, with temperatures on Monday remaining in the mid 80s to low 90s.
Slightly cooler on Tuesday north of the Cape and Orlando metro, with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s with areas southward still climbing into the upper 80s to low 90s. By Wednesday, temperatures will warm right back up into the mid 80s to low 80s across east central Florida. Overnight lows remaining in the 60s.
MARINE
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today/tonight...Atlc ridge axis will slip southward across the waters today and reach south FL overnight. This will produce a light S to SW flow across northern waters and maintain a SE flow across the south. Pressure gradient will support 5-10 knots. A sea breeze of 10-14 knots will develop near the coast by aftn, shifting winds out of the SE north of the Cape and enhancing the SE winds south of the Cape. Then after sunset, winds will become uniformly S/SW around 10 knots as the sea breeze circulation diminishes. Seas 2-3 feet mainly in an east swell. The sea breeze will produce a small wind chop in the intracoastal.
Friday-Monday...An area of high pressure will remain in place across the western Atlantic through the weekend, gradually weakening as a weak cold front approaches the Florida peninsula and local Atlantic waters on Monday. Dry conditions are forecast to persist through at least Sunday, with increasing rain chances forecast Sunday night into Monday. Isolated thunderstorms also cannot be ruled out.
Southerly winds will persist across the local waters through the weekend, with the development of the east coast sea breeze making winds slightly southeastward each afternoon across the waters immediately adjacent to the coast. By Monday, winds will become more southwesterly across the local waters. Wind speeds are forecast to remain generally between 5 to 15 knots, with some areas across the offshore waters reaching 15 to 20 knots Saturday and Sunday. Seas generally 2 to 4 feet through Monday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
An area of high pressure located across the western Atlantic will continue to provide dry conditions across east central Florida through the remainder of this week and into the weekend. Minimum RH values will remain in the 35 to 45 percent range across the interior west of I-95, with a few localized areas across the interior falling to 30 to 35 percent. Along the coast, minimum RH values will remain above critical values in the 40 to 55 percent range. Light southeasterly winds will become west-southwest tomorrow as the ridge axis shifts southward across the peninsula. The development of the east coast sea breeze and movement inland will cause winds to back to out of the east-southeast each afternoon. Wind speeds are forecast to remain below 15 mph through the remainder of the week.
Afternoon smoke dispersion will be fair to generally good today, improving to generally good to very good on Friday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 85 64 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 90 66 91 67 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 83 64 85 65 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 85 63 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 88 66 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 90 66 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 90 67 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 84 62 87 63 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1007 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
New UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 849 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
No forecast changes needed this morning. The ridge axis has reached the Orlando metro area and will approach south Florida tonight. Winds have been light and variable this morning and will continue until the sea breeze develops in the afternoon, shifting winds onshore up to around 10mph, with gust up to 20mph along the coast. Mid-level clouds have begun to dissipate which will allow temperatures to climb well above normal today. Afternoon highs forecast to reach upper 80s to around 90 inland, low to mid 80s along the I-95 corridor, and upper 70s to low 80s for barrier islands. Overnight, minimum temperatures are expected to fall into the 60s, and around 70 on the barrier islands. Dry conditions continue.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 849 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
VFR conditions continue through the TAF period. Ridge axis near the MCO terminal continues to produce light and variable winds this morning for all terminals. Winds remain fairly light until the sea breeze develops, reaching coastal terminals around 17z, and the inland terminals after 21z, shifting winds to southeasterly around 10kts. Gust up to 20kts possible at the coastal terminals. Winds become light and variable again by tonight.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today/tonight...Considerable altocumulus clouds will overspread much of the area this morning from the NW assocd with a mid level shortwave trough traversing the area. There will be partial clearing during the day but some mid and high clouds will persist.
Low levels remain too dry for any measurable rain. The Atlc ridge axis will drop south across the area today and become nearly stationary across south FL tonight. Light south winds in vicinity of the ridge axis will increase out of the SE behind the sea breeze by early afternoon along the coast, spreading inland during the mid to late afternoon. Wind speeds will remain below 15 mph but gusts near 20 mph will be possible esp alg the coast. Despite the clouds, max temps will reach the upper 80s/near 90 over the interior and low to mid 80s coast. Only LEE has a chance to equal its record of 90F from 1990 but given the cloudy start there, this is probably a stretch. After sunset when the sea breeze circulation diminishes, winds will become south to southwest and decrease around 5 mph. Min temps in the low to mid 60s.
Friday-Sunday...Mid-level ridging will gradually flatten into the weekend, with flow aloft becoming quasi-zonal late Saturday into Sunday. At the surface, an area of high pressure located across the western Atlantic will slowly weaken, with the ridge axis remaining draped across southern Florida. As a result, dry conditions are forecast to persist through the remainder of this week and into the weekend, with PoPs remaining below 10 percent. However, some isolated showers may be possible Sunday afternoon due to increasing moisture locally out ahead of the next frontal passage, though this will be dependent on just how far inland the sea breeze pushes.
Confidence in this remains low at this time, so left out mention of it in the forecast for now. Will continue to monitor and reevaluate with each subsequent forecast package.
Winds are forecast to remain out of the west-southwest at 5 to 10 mph, with winds backing to out of the south-southeast Friday and Saturday afternoons as the east coast sea breeze develops and moves inland. While the sea breeze will develop on Sunday, the extent to which it will push inland is uncertain as winds aloft becoming increasingly stronger out of the west, which could keep the sea breeze pinned along the coast. Development of the sea breeze will be fueled by the temperature gradient between the Florida peninsula and the local Atlantic waters, with afternoon highs climbing into the upper 80s to mid 90s across east central Florida. For reference, temperatures are forecast to be 5 to 10 degrees above normal for this time of year. Overnight temperatures will fall into the 60s each night.
Monday-Wednesday...A weak cold front will approach the Florida peninsula early Monday, leading to increasing rain chances (PoPs 30- 50 percent). Isolated storms cannot fully be ruled out with the front, though confidence is not overly high at this time. The front is forecast to move southward and become diffuse through the day on Monday, with an area of high pressure building across the southeastern US late Monday night through Wednesday. Mostly dry conditions are then forecast into midweek as a result, though lingering moisture from the diffuse front and onshore flow could combine Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons to cause the development of some isolated showers across the southern portions of the forecast area (especially across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee counties).
Confidence in this remains low though, and will be dependent on this moisture moving slightly northward, and the models still remain in slight disagreement at this time on whether that will occur.
Partly cloudy skies are forecast on Monday, though skies are forecast to become mostly clear Tuesday and Wednesday as conditions dry out. The weak front will provide little relief from the heat, with temperatures on Monday remaining in the mid 80s to low 90s.
Slightly cooler on Tuesday north of the Cape and Orlando metro, with afternoon highs in the low to mid 80s with areas southward still climbing into the upper 80s to low 90s. By Wednesday, temperatures will warm right back up into the mid 80s to low 80s across east central Florida. Overnight lows remaining in the 60s.
MARINE
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
Today/tonight...Atlc ridge axis will slip southward across the waters today and reach south FL overnight. This will produce a light S to SW flow across northern waters and maintain a SE flow across the south. Pressure gradient will support 5-10 knots. A sea breeze of 10-14 knots will develop near the coast by aftn, shifting winds out of the SE north of the Cape and enhancing the SE winds south of the Cape. Then after sunset, winds will become uniformly S/SW around 10 knots as the sea breeze circulation diminishes. Seas 2-3 feet mainly in an east swell. The sea breeze will produce a small wind chop in the intracoastal.
Friday-Monday...An area of high pressure will remain in place across the western Atlantic through the weekend, gradually weakening as a weak cold front approaches the Florida peninsula and local Atlantic waters on Monday. Dry conditions are forecast to persist through at least Sunday, with increasing rain chances forecast Sunday night into Monday. Isolated thunderstorms also cannot be ruled out.
Southerly winds will persist across the local waters through the weekend, with the development of the east coast sea breeze making winds slightly southeastward each afternoon across the waters immediately adjacent to the coast. By Monday, winds will become more southwesterly across the local waters. Wind speeds are forecast to remain generally between 5 to 15 knots, with some areas across the offshore waters reaching 15 to 20 knots Saturday and Sunday. Seas generally 2 to 4 feet through Monday.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 358 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
An area of high pressure located across the western Atlantic will continue to provide dry conditions across east central Florida through the remainder of this week and into the weekend. Minimum RH values will remain in the 35 to 45 percent range across the interior west of I-95, with a few localized areas across the interior falling to 30 to 35 percent. Along the coast, minimum RH values will remain above critical values in the 40 to 55 percent range. Light southeasterly winds will become west-southwest tomorrow as the ridge axis shifts southward across the peninsula. The development of the east coast sea breeze and movement inland will cause winds to back to out of the east-southeast each afternoon. Wind speeds are forecast to remain below 15 mph through the remainder of the week.
Afternoon smoke dispersion will be fair to generally good today, improving to generally good to very good on Friday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 85 64 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 90 66 91 67 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 83 64 85 65 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 85 63 87 64 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 88 66 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 90 66 91 66 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 90 67 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 84 62 87 63 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 21 mi | 39 min | 77°F | 2 ft | ||||
| SIPF1 | 44 mi | 50 min | 6 | 75°F | 77°F | 30.07 | ||
| LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL | 45 mi | 47 min | SE 6G | 77°F | 78°F | 30.13 | ||
| SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI | 75 mi | 35 min | E 8G | 74°F | 30.13 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSUA WITHAM FIELD,FL | 5 sm | 47 min | E 10G16 | 7 sm | A Few Clouds | 82°F | 30.13 | |||
| KFPR TREASURE COAST INTL,FL | 19 sm | 42 min | ESE 11 | 10 sm | Clear | 82°F | 63°F | 51% | 30.10 |
Jensen Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:15 AM EDT 0.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:09 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:08 AM EDT 0.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:51 PM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:25 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:31 PM EDT 0.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:15 AM EDT 0.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:09 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:08 AM EDT 0.99 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:51 PM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:25 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:31 PM EDT 0.96 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 0.9 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
South Fork
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:42 AM EDT 0.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:09 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:23 AM EDT 0.90 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:19 PM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:26 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:46 PM EDT 0.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:42 AM EDT 0.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:09 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:53 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:23 AM EDT 0.90 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:19 PM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:26 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 07:47 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:46 PM EDT 0.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.4 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.4 |
| 5 am |
| 0.6 |
| 6 am |
| 0.7 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.9 |
| 9 am |
| 0.9 |
| 10 am |
| 0.8 |
| 11 am |
| 0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.7 |
Melbourne, FL,
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