Thursday, July20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Breeze Park, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:16PM Thursday July 20, 2017 6:44 PM EDT (22:44 UTC) Moonrise 2:47AMMoonset 4:37PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 351 Pm Edt Thu Jul 20 2017
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 351 Pm Edt Thu Jul 20 2017
Synopsis..Favorable boating conditions will continue into early next week as the axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge extends across central and south florida and generates a light to gentle southerly breeze. Moisture will remain sufficient to allow for scattered to numerous showers and storms to form each day.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday july 17. 45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Breeze Park, FL
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location: 27.25, -80.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 201952
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
352 pm edt Thu jul 20 2017

Discussion
Currently tonight...

another round of high pops, sparked by high moisture sfc heating and
minimal convective inhibition allowed diurnal convection to dvlp
over the treasure coast lake-o region before noon, and over the
space coast i-4 corridor by early aftn. W SW flow aloft was pinning
the east coast sea breeze over the coastal counties, while making
much further inland progress. Outflow boundaries generated by
coastal convection will work their way inland and eventually merge
with the west coast sea breeze. This will result in nmrs shras tsras
dvlpg btwn the fl turnpike and i-95 through late aftn early evng.

The early start to convection will allow sufficient time for dvlpg
convection to consume the available energy by sunset. Given the
persistent westerly steering flow, anticipate lingering areas of
debris rain with isold embedded tsras well into the evng. The 6km
wrf model clears east central fl from precip by 00z, the while the
hrrr anticipates an area of debris rain lingering over the treasure
coast lake-o region through 03z. Will split the difference and
continue likely shras slgt chc tsras thru 02z. Bcmg mostly clear to
partly cloudy overnight min temps in the l m70s.

Fri-fri night...

an h85-h50 anticyclone centered over the midsouth will push acrs the
oh tn river valleys, forcing a mid lvl cut-off low over the carolina
coast to retrograde around its SE flank and into the deep south
where it will weaken and gradually fill in. The bermuda ridge axis
will remain suppressed over south fl NRN bahamas as this takes
place. As a result, a light to moderate W SW flow will continue to
dominate the column, maintaining a favorable pattern for diurnal
convection across the east central peninsula.

Slightly lower pwat values along and north of i-4 will push pops
down to 40pct, but high moisture over the treasure coast lake-o
region will keep likely pops (60-70pct) in the fcst. MAX temps near
avg along the coast (u80s l90s) and slightly abv avg interior
(l m90s). Min temps abv avg in the m70s.

Sat-sun...

mid-level low will continue to retrograde further into the gulf of
mexico over the weekend allowing the low-level atlantic ridge to
shift back a bit to the north. On Saturday, a fairly deep layer
(although light) southwest to westerly flow should delay the
atlantic sea breeze and also not allow it to move quite as far
inland. Plenty of moisture over the area along with forecast
soundings progging 500-mb temps of approximately -8 c will support
the usual round of afternoon showers and storms. Have chance pops
everywhere but slightly higher chances for the southern half of the
area where higher pwats are forecast to be.

Not much change in the pattern for Sunday. More than sufficient
moisture remains over the area but have the higher (40-50%)
shower storm chances slightly farther north than on Saturday where
better lift is forecast to be. This looks roughly to be from central
okeechobee to vero beach northward at this point. 30-40% chances
south of this line.

Highs will be low 90s with lows in the lower to mid 70s.

Extended... (prev disc)
the bermuda ridge is shown shifting back to the N during the weekend
and remaining in place well into next week over the forecast area as
it stretches wwd across most of the gulf of mex. An east coast
trough stretching nwd along the mid atlc coast wl keep upstream
conditions somewhat unsettled through at least the middle of next
week. Seasonal moisture values with pwat 1.6 to 1.8" and numerous
afternoon boundary interactions justify a typical range of sct pcpn
chcs in the forecast each aftn. Seasonal temps in the m70s with
highs in the l90s are expected.

Aviation Thru 21 18z.

Sfc winds: coastal sites... Thru 21 02z E SE 8-12kts... Btwn 21 02z-
21 05z bcmg S SW AOB 3kts. Interior sites... Thru 21 24z N NE 3-6kts
bcmg E NE 5-8kts... Btwn 21 00z-21 03z bcmg S SE 3-6kts... Btwn 21 03z-
21 06z... Bcmg vrbl blo 3kts.

Vsbys wx cigs: thru 21 00z... Nmrs MVFR shras ifr tsras... Slgt chc
lifr +tsras with sfc g35kts. Btwn 21 00z-21 02z... E of kmlb-kobe
nmrs MVFR shras chc ifr tsras... W of kmlb-kobe chc MVFR shras slgt
chc ifr tsras. Aft 21 16z... E of kmlb-kobe MVFR shras ifr tsras
lkly... W of kmlb-kobe chc MVFR shras ifr tsras.

Marine
Tonight-fri... Bermuda ridge axis will remain surpressed over south
fl and the north bahamas as a weak sfc low lvl trough over north fl
and the SE coast weakens and fills in. A light to gentle southerly
wind component will prevail... Shifting btwn E SE and W SW as per the
sea breeze land breeze circulation. Favorable boating conditions
will continue with seas AOB 2ft nearshore and 2-3ft offshore. High
moisture and SW flow aloft will continue to support scattered late
night early morning showers and storms, mainly over the gulf stream.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 74 92 74 92 30 40 20 50
mco 72 94 75 93 40 40 20 50
mlb 75 91 74 90 60 50 30 50
vrb 75 91 74 90 60 60 30 50
lee 75 95 77 93 30 40 20 50
sfb 74 95 76 93 30 40 20 50
orl 74 94 76 93 40 40 20 50
fpr 75 91 73 90 60 60 30 50

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... ... ... ..Bragaw
mid term... ... ... ... .Combs
aviation impact wx... Glitto


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 21 mi45 min 84°F2 ft
SIPF1 44 mi30 min SW 8 78°F 1018 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 45 mi45 min SSW 1.9 G 2.9
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 75 mi45 min E 7 G 8 83°F 1018.3 hPa (-0.9)
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 80 mi45 min W 1.9 G 2.9 83°F 1017.6 hPa (-0.7)74°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL5 mi58 minS 65.00 miThunderstorm Light Rain79°F73°F84%1018.3 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL19 mi52 minSSE 510.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity82°F75°F82%1017.9 hPa

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4CalmCalm--E7SE6SE3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3W4W4SE7E4E8E8SE8--S6S6
1 day agoE4E4Calm--SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4--4E7SE97--S5SE10
2 days agoS53CalmCalmS5S3S4SW3CalmCalmS3S3CalmCalmS3S6E8SE3CalmSW11
G22
S5SE4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Jensen Beach, Indian River, Florida
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Jensen Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:51 AM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:31 AM EDT     1.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:16 PM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:23 PM EDT     1.27 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.30.20.10.20.50.811.11.110.70.40-0.3-0.4-0.3-00.40.71.11.31.21.1

Tide / Current Tables for South Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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South Fork
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:23 AM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:43 AM EDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:47 PM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:37 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:33 PM EDT     1.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60.40.20.10.10.30.60.811.110.70.40.1-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.20.10.50.91.11.11

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.