Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sarita, TX

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 8:31PM Thursday June 21, 2018 1:57 AM CDT (06:57 UTC) Moonrise 1:47PMMoonset 1:18AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ230 Bays And Waterways From Baffin Bay To Port Aransas- 1028 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 20 2018
Rest of tonight..Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Showers likely and isolated Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Showers likely in the morning. Isolated Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..South wind 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Saturday..South wind 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy.
Saturday night..South wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy.
Sunday..South wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy.
Sunday night..Southeast wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast wind around 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to choppy. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Southeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
GMZ200 1028 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 20 2018
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters.. Tropical moisture will continue to filter into the region tonight as a coastal trough gradually moves farther inland. As a result, periods of showers and Thunderstorms can be expected again tonight into Thursday morning. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms will be possible again on Thursday, with a moderate southeast wind. Showers and Thunderstorms will taper off Thursday evening with quiet conditions expected Friday and Saturday. A moderate onshore flow is expected over the weekend. Deeper moisture will move back into the region Sunday into Monday with a chance of showers and storms returning to the middle texas coastal waters.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sarita, TX
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location: 27.26, -97.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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Fxus64 kcrp 210544
afdcrp
area forecast discussion
national weather service corpus christi tx
1244 am cdt Thu jun 21 2018

Discussion
Allowed high risk of rip currents to expire, but will maintain a
moderate risk for the gulf facing beaches through Thursday.

Updated aviation discussion for the 06z tafs.

Aviation
Tropical moisture will continue to linger across south texas for
a majority of the period. Ceilings will be predominantly MVFR, but
with any shower activity, CIGS and visibility could lower to ifr
and briefly to lifr at times. Although the 00z sounding is a bit
drier than last night, pwats are still in the realm of 2.35
inches. So still expecting a some showers associated with a
surface low to affect mainly the ali and crp area early this
morning.

Current radar trends has some lighter showers across the brush
country, but with the low center shifting a bit more westward,
thinking some light showers could possibly make it to the lrd area
a bit later this morning, therefore have included vcsh.

Otherwise, the majority of showers are offshore and making their
way into the northern coastal bend. Could see some of light showers
make their way into vct area, but confidence is not too high
given the more stable environment. Additionally, some development
on the western edge of the main offshore cluster and development
further south of baffin bay is likely fill in and make its way
into crp area, resulting in light to moderate rainfall through the
morning. Some additional development south of ali may continue to
form and make its way around ali as well early this morning.

Although, not as active as the previous day, will still maintain
some shower activity through at least the late morning hours across
the eastern terminals, but expecting the shower activity to
decrease towards the afternoon evening.

Previous discussion issued 408 pm cdt Wed jun 20 2018
short term (tonight)...

showers and thunderstorms have been ongoing for most of the
day across south texas. The heaviest rainbands set up along
the coastal bend this morning where we saw rainfall rates of
2-4" per hour resulting in multiple flash flood warnings and a
flash flood emergency for port aransas. We have seen 5-10" fairly
widespread across eastern portions of the CWA with pockets of
rainfall approaching 15". Activity waned a bit this afternoon but
has recently begun to redevelop across the brush county and over
the gulf waters where there has been a few breaks in the clouds.

Expect showers and thunderstorms to continue through the evening
with potential for another round of heavy rainfall early
tomorrow, although this will not be as strong as what we have seen
the last couple of nights. H85 moisture transport remains
efficient through the period with an area of low level moisture
convergence setting up along the coast tonight early tomorrow
morning that will cause the uptick in activity. We are looking
at the potential for an additional 1-3" tonight through tomorrow
afternoon. Any additional rainfall will quickly lead to flash
flooding.

Low temps will be right around average tonight with lows in the
mid 70s out west to the low 80s along the coast.

Long term (Thursday through Wednesday)...

although the mid level low is expected to drift southwest into
mexico Thursday, a mid level trough axis will extend to the
northeast across coastal plains Thursday morning and slide to the
west into the brush country during the afternoon. Moisture levels
will not be near record values on Thursday but will still be plenty
high with precipitable water values from 2.3 to 2.5 inches during
the morning hours. Expect scattered showers isolated thunderstorms
to occur in convergence axis near the coastal plains on Thursday
morning with activity moving inland into the brush country in the
afternoon. Will continue with likely pops for the coastal areas
Thursday morning. Showers and storms will be capable of producing 2
to 3 inches per hour. Any rainfall over saturated grounds would lead
to flooding, so the flash flood watch has been extended to 18z
Thursday.

Rain chances will quickly diminish to only a slight chance over
southern areas for Thursday night as the mid level trough axis
continues to move southwest into mexico and moisture decreases over
the area. Will hold on to slight chance pops over the coastal areas
on Friday for possible isolated activity. An upper level ridge will
build into the region Friday into Saturday with temperatures back to
slightly above normal levels. An area of low pressure will form over
the central high plains on Saturday in advance of a weak short wave
trough. This will lead to an increase in onshore flow with winds
approaching SCA levels at times over the weekend. The ridge will
weaken by Sunday with an inverted mid level trough axis moving into
south texas. Enough moisture will arrive by Sunday for slight chance
pops. Better moisture will be in place by early next week for Monday
into Tuesday as the mid level trough axis moves inland. Will show
low end chance pops for the coastal bend Monday and Tuesday. Rain
chances will decrease slightly for Wednesday as the mid level trough
axis moves away from the region and an upper ridge builds back.

Preliminary point temps pops
Corpus christi 83 75 87 77 92 90 70 60 20 20
victoria 83 74 89 75 93 90 60 60 10 20
laredo 89 75 92 77 101 70 50 60 20 10
alice 84 75 90 75 96 80 60 60 20 20
rockport 83 78 88 79 89 90 70 60 20 20
cotulla 88 75 94 76 101 60 30 40 10 10
kingsville 85 76 89 77 96 90 70 60 20 20
navy corpus 84 79 87 80 87 90 70 60 20 20

Crp watches warnings advisories
Tx... Flash flood watch through Thursday afternoon for the following
zones: aransas islands... Bee... Calhoun islands... Coastal
aransas... Coastal calhoun... Coastal kleberg... Coastal
nueces... Coastal refugio... Coastal san patricio... Duval...

goliad... Inland calhoun... Inland kleberg... Inland nueces...

inland refugio... Inland san patricio... Jim wells... Kleberg
islands... Live oak... Nueces islands... Victoria.

Coastal flood advisory until 1 pm cdt Thursday for the following
zones: aransas islands... Calhoun islands... Coastal
aransas... Coastal calhoun... Coastal nueces... Coastal
refugio... Coastal san patricio... Kleberg islands... Nueces
islands.

High rip current risk until midnight cdt tonight for the
following zones: aransas islands... Calhoun islands...

kleberg islands... Nueces islands.

Gm... None.

Kw 92... Aviation


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BABT2 - 8776604 - Baffin Bay; Point of Rocks, TX 9 mi46 min ESE 9.9 G 12 77°F 82°F1009.3 hPa
IRDT2 20 mi40 min E 12 G 16 77°F 82°F1009.8 hPa
MQTT2 - 8775870 - Malaquite Beach (Corpus Christi), TX 29 mi46 min ESE 14 G 15 79°F 82°F1009 hPa
PACT2 - 8775792 - Packery Channel, TX 31 mi46 min SE 7 G 9.9 78°F 81°F1009.7 hPa
RSJT2 - 8777812 - Rincon del San Jose; Potrero Lopeno SW, TX 32 mi46 min Calm G 1 76°F 79°F1008.4 hPa
TAQT2 - 8775296 - Texas State Aquarium, TX 39 mi40 min 79°F 82°F1008.2 hPa
NUET2 40 mi40 min ESE 13 G 16 80°F1009.3 hPa
RTAT2 - 8775237 - Port Aransas, TX 48 mi46 min ESE 6 G 8.9 77°F 82°F1009.5 hPa
PTAT2 - Port Aransas, TX 48 mi58 min SE 11 G 13 77°F 82°F1009.5 hPa (+0.9)77°F
ANPT2 48 mi40 min SE 8 G 9.9 77°F 82°F1008.6 hPa
PMNT2 49 mi40 min 76°F 82°F1008.1 hPa

Wind History for Baffin Bay, TX
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kingsville, Naval Air Station, TX22 mi2 hrsE 510.00 miOvercast77°F75°F94%1008.4 hPa

Wind History from NQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE6S7CalmCalmSE6SE7S13W3CalmS6SW6SW5W4SW755E11SE12
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1 day agoSE11SE11SE12SE11SE9SE12S13S6SW7SW5S5CalmSW4SE6SE6SE4E7SE5SE4SE6E4E3SE5SE6
2 days agoSE3E3CalmNE4CalmE4N3NE3CalmNE4NE4E10E11E6E7SE9SE11SE10SE12SE5SE6SE9S8S13

Tide / Current Tables for Corpus Christi, Texas
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Corpus Christi
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Thu -- 02:16 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:22 AM CDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:34 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:24 AM CDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:45 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:47 PM CDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:27 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.70.70.60.50.60.60.80.91.11.11.110.90.70.60.40.30.30.30.50.70.81

Tide / Current Tables for Packery Channel, Texas
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Packery Channel
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:16 AM CDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:33 AM CDT     0.03 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:33 AM CDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:03 AM CDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:45 PM CDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:08 PM CDT     0.04 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:27 PM CDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:04 PM CDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-000000000-000000000-0-0-0.1-0.1-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of SouthCentralPlains    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Corpus Christi, TX (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Corpus Christi, TX
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.