Monday, October23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sarasota, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:34AMSunset 6:54PM Monday October 23, 2017 8:02 PM EDT (00:02 UTC) Moonrise 9:51AMMoonset 8:52PM Illumination 15% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 248 Pm Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
Tonight..South winds around 15 knots then becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and early morning, then becoming west toward morning. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to around 20 knots toward morning. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday..North winds around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday night..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 248 Pm Edt Mon Oct 23 2017
Synopsis..An approaching cold front will bring periods of showers and a few Thunderstorms today. Winds will shift to the northwest tonight through Tuesday as the front slowly drops southward and then will increase Tuesday night into Wednesday, with advisories likely needed. Winds will then slowly relax through the end of the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sarasota, FL
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location: 27.35, -82.55     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 232350
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
750 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017

Aviation
Brief MVFR ifr conditions will continue to impact the
northern terminal sites through early Tuesday morning, and
through early afternoon across the southern terminals as
shra and a few tsra continue to impact the region ahead of a
cold front. Outside of the convectionVFR will prevail.

South to southwest winds in the 7 to 10 knot range tonight
will gradually shift to the northwest and north after 10z
from ksrq north to ktpa, kpie, and klal, and after 14z
across the southwest terminals as the cold front moves south
through the region.

Prev discussion issued 251 pm edt Mon oct 23 2017
short term (tonight - Tuesday)...

the shortwave over the southeast has continued to lift
northeast so far today, taking the greatest height falls
and lift north of our forecast area. At the surface, the
cold front is continuing its slow trek southward, while high
pressure just offshore of new england continues to extend
southward toward the state. Radar imagery through the early
afternoon hours has shown much of the heavier shower
activity remaining over the gulf, with just a few areas of
light rain surviving over land until the past hour or so,
when a few heavier showers held on around the tampa bay
region.

The forecast for the rest of the day remains a tough one
regarding precip timing and coverage. Most model guidance
continues to show rather high rain chances given what is out
there now. The hrrr, in particular, is showing a more
organized line that moves into the nature coast this evening
and then becomes more diffuse as it sinks southward.

Although the main upper energy is lifting away, there is
still abundant moisture in place and we have gotten some
heating, so will leave at least a chance for rain in the
forecast for all areas through the first part of tonight
before gradually trimming pops back as we head toward
daybreak and the first front keeps slipping south.

Winds will have turned northwest except for about the
southern third of the forecast area by around daybreak
Tuesday. Another strong shortwave will drop southward
through the day, pushing the front even farther. Counties
from roughly highlands southwestward into hardee desoto and
charlotte lee will likely remain on the cloudy side with
some periodic showers while the rest of the area dries up
and mostly sunny skies return. Temperatures will range from
the upper 70s lower 80s to mid 80s as we start to transition
to a cooler day on Wednesday.

Long term (Tuesday night - Monday)...

cold front will be exiting the southern zones Tuesday
evening with a secondary boundary associated with the main
trough moving quickly south during the night bringing
increasing northerly flow and the real shot of cooler drier
air. A few lingering showers will be possible during Tuesday
evening south and east of a line from about winter haven to
venice then skies will gradually clear. However, late
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning some stratocumulus is
expected to develop over the eastern gulf associated with
the strong cold air advection and this could affect coastal
areas. Otherwise, surface high pressure will move across the
gulf and southeast states Wednesday and Thursday with
mainly clear skies and cooler drier conditions. During
Friday and Saturday the high will shift out into the
atlantic ocean with a more east to northeast flow bringing
moderating temperatures and moisture. Global models are
still depicting slightly different scenarios late in the
week through the weekend, but the overall trend has
continued to bring some deeper moisture back into the region
along with the chance of a few showers ahead of the next
mid upper level trough and associated surface cold front.

This front is expected to move across the region Sunday
followed by another shot of cool dry air for early next
week.

Marine...

an approaching cold front will bring periods of showers and
a few thunderstorms today. Winds will shift to the
northwest tonight through Tuesday as the front slowly drops
southward and then will increase Tuesday night into
Wednesday, with advisories likely needed. Winds will then
slowly relax through the end of the week.

Fire weather...

a cold front will slowly move southward through the area
tonight into Tuesday, with a chance for showers and a few
thunderstorms in the forecast. A secondary cold front will
move through the area Tuesday night, with much cooler and
drier air then filtering into the region for Wednesday and
Thursday. A few areas generally north of the i-4 corridor
could see relative humidity values of 35% or even slightly
lower for Wednesday afternoon and then those values are
forecast to expand southward for Thursday afternoon. Low-
level moisture returns for Friday into the weekend. No
significant fog is expected for the next few days.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 72 81 61 72 40 10 10 0
fmy 73 83 64 75 40 40 30 10
gif 71 82 58 72 40 30 10 0
srq 72 82 63 72 40 20 10 0
bkv 67 80 55 72 40 10 10 0
spg 72 80 63 73 40 10 10 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Aviation... 57 mcmichael
short term marine fire weather... 05 carlisle
long term... 69 close


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 20 mi45 min 78°F 80°F1012.9 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 20 mi63 min S 11 G 13 82°F 82°F1013.9 hPa (-0.0)77°F
MTBF1 22 mi45 min SW 12 G 14 78°F 1013.5 hPa
CLBF1 28 mi69 min NE 1 G 2.9 73°F 1013.2 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 29 mi45 min WNW 7 G 9.9 1014.6 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 35 mi45 min WSW 15 G 18 75°F 80°F1014.6 hPa
MCYF1 40 mi45 min 81°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 41 mi51 min W 7 G 8.9
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 41 mi57 min W 4.1 G 8
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 46 mi45 min SSE 13 G 16 73°F 79°F1014.4 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL3 mi70 minS 610.00 miOvercast82°F75°F82%1013.4 hPa
Venice Municipal Airport, FL20 mi68 minS 810.00 miA Few Clouds82°F77°F84%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7SE8SE11SE10SE8SE7SE9SE7SE9SE8SE10SE9SE11S14SE11S12S15S16
G23
S14S12S13--S6W13
G20
1 day agoE11E8E8E8E10E9E8E6E9E7E8E9E8SE11E12SE13SE12
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2 days agoE11E10E7NE8E8E6E9E8E8E7E7E6E10E11
G16
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G21
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Tide / Current Tables for Sarasota, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Sarasota
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:46 AM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:04 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:18 PM EDT     1.59 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:02 PM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
22.22.32.221.61.20.80.50.20.10.20.50.91.21.51.61.61.51.41.31.31.41.6

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:21 AM EDT     1.22 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:09 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:32 AM EDT     -1.42 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:30 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:57 PM EDT     1.27 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:53 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:42 PM EDT     -0.36 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:30 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.91.21.10.70.1-0.6-1.1-1.4-1.4-1.2-0.8-0.30.30.81.11.31.10.80.4-0-0.3-0.3-0.20.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.