Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bradenton Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:50AMSunset 5:39PM Thursday November 15, 2018 2:57 AM EST (07:57 UTC) Moonrise 1:17PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 843 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.small craft exercise caution late tonight...
Rest of tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming west around 15 knots late in the evening, then becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas building to 4 to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Thursday night..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..North winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 843 Pm Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis..A cold front will move across the waters later tonight with showers and a few Thunderstorms continuing along and ahead of it. Winds will shift to the northwest and north and increase toward small craft levels over the offshore waters late tonight through Thursday as the front moves through the waters. The front will move south of the waters Thursday night as high pressure builds in over the northern gulf on Friday and into the upcoming weekend with diminishing winds and subsiding seas expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bradenton Beach city, FL
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location: 27.47, -82.69     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 150100
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
800 pm est Wed nov 14 2018

Update
A cold front moving southeast through the florida panhandle
and eastern gulf of mexico is on track to push south into
the florida peninsula overnight, with a robust squall line
positioned ahead of the front, just now entering the
coastal waters early this evening. Scattered to numerous
thunderstorms are developing over the florida peninsula
ahead of this storm, and are continuing to lift north
through the forecast area this evening. Storms were a bit
slower in developing this afternoon than were previously
forecast, and hrrr and other short range models are showing
a the squall line breaking apart as it approaches the coast
overnight. As a result, the rain forecast for the overnight
hours was dialed back slightly from what was previously
advertised.

Otherwise, the forecast looks on track, and no significant
changes were needed for the evening update.

Aviation
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to move
north through the area overnight, causing periods of
MVFR-ifr conditions. Widespread MVFR ceilings will spread
across the area overnight as a cold front passes south into
the area. On Thursday, periods of MVFR ceilings will
continue throughout much of the day under breezy northwest
winds.

Marine
Showers and thunderstorms will continue and winds will
increase overnight as a strong cold front pushes southeast
into the coastal waters. Winds are expected to reach
advisory levels offshore overnight, and cautionary levels
nearshore. Winds will turn to the northwest and then north
behind the front tonight and Thursday, and will hold around
cautionary levels. Winds will gradually subside Friday
through the upcoming weekend as high pressure builds in from
the northwest.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 68 70 50 67 50 20 0 0
fmy 71 77 55 72 40 20 0 0
gif 68 73 46 68 40 20 0 0
srq 69 72 54 69 40 20 0 0
bkv 66 67 42 66 60 20 0 0
spg 69 70 54 67 50 20 0 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... High rip current risk from 5 am est Thursday through
Thursday evening for coastal charlotte-coastal
hillsborough-coastal lee-coastal manatee-coastal
sarasota-pinellas.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory from 11 pm this evening to 5 pm est
Thursday for waters from bonita beach to englewood fl
out 20 to 60 nm-waters from englewood to tarpon
springs fl out 20 to 60 nm-waters from tarpon springs
to suwannee river fl out 20 to 60 nm.

Update aviation marine... 18 fleming
upper air... 99
decision support... 99


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 13 mi40 min 71°F 79°F1015.2 hPa
MTBF1 14 mi40 min NNW 16 G 19 70°F 1015.4 hPa67°F
42098 15 mi58 min 78°F7 ft
CLBF1 18 mi64 min NNW 7 G 14 72°F 1014.6 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 20 mi46 min NNW 8 G 13 69°F 80°F1015.3 hPa
GCTF1 23 mi40 min 71°F 68°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 24 mi88 min NNW 21 G 27 73°F 78°F1015.5 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 28 mi40 min NNW 19 G 21 71°F 79°F1015.3 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 30 mi58 min NNW 22 G 24 73°F 80°F1014.9 hPa (-0.9)73°F
MCYF1 34 mi40 min 80°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 35 mi58 min WNW 5.1 G 8
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi46 min NNW 21 G 25 70°F 79°F1015.8 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 48 mi124 min NNW 22 G 24 70°F 1016.1 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL9 mi65 minNNW 93.00 miRain Fog/Mist72°F71°F97%1014.5 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL21 mi65 minNW 1310.00 miOvercast70°F68°F93%1014.4 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3NE3E3E6NE7E9E9E12E10E11SE13
G16
E12SE11SE4W6W6S3S5SE6SE5SE5SE7N13N9
1 day agoE4E4E5E4SE6SE7SE8SE7S9S12S12S13SW8S9S5SW5S4W4SE3CalmCalmE3E3E3
2 days agoE6E7E6E7E6E8SE11SE12
G19
SE11SE11S9SW10SW8SW11S8SW6S7SW4S6S5S5CalmSE3E4

Tide / Current Tables for Cortez, Sarasota Bay, Florida
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Cortez
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:03 AM EST     1.85 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:54 AM EST     First Quarter
Thu -- 12:45 PM EST     0.32 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:38 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:35 PM EST     1.56 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.71.81.81.81.71.51.210.70.50.40.30.40.70.91.21.41.51.61.51.41.3

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:00 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 04:04 AM EST     0.48 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:27 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:54 AM EST     First Quarter
Thu -- 10:37 AM EST     -1.04 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 01:16 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 02:39 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:39 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:22 PM EST     1.06 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 10:37 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-00.20.40.50.40.2-0.2-0.6-0.9-1-1-0.9-0.6-0.30.20.60.9110.80.50.2-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.