Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
St. Lucie Village, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 7:37PM Sunday March 26, 2017 7:04 AM EDT (11:04 UTC) Moonrise 5:23AMMoonset 5:20PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 350 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
.small craft exercise caution for seas near inlets...
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..North winds 5 knots becoming east 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Wednesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 350 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge centered off the carolina coast today will weaken and settle south over the area early this week resulting in a decrease in winds. A moderate east swell will be the primary component of waves.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas up to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday march 24th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Lucie Village, FL
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location: 27.48, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 260854
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
454 am edt Sun mar 26 2017

Discussion
High rip current risk continues along area beaches today...

today/tonight... A well developed cut off low will move toward the
great lakes today and largely abandon its trailing cold front over
the central gulf of mexico. The system's dampening mid/upper level
trof axis will pass overhead the peninsula this afternoon and do
little more than briefly weaken the mean layer ridging that has been
prevalent for the past several days. Despite this temporary setback,
we expect little change in the overall weather pattern today
relative to Saturday, save for a small chance for brief rain showers
this afternoon across the interior and lighter surface winds.

With weaker surface flow expected today, expect both the east and
west coast sea breezes to develop and provide the focus for isolated
convection/showers from mid to late afternoon across the interior.

Expect a collision of the boundaries to take place around sunset
near/just west of lake county, so will maintain a low chance for
brief showers lingering into the evening here. Will leave
precipitation out of our coastal zones as early sea breeze
development and slightly lower temperatures in the maritime flow
keep convective triggers to a minimum.

Ocean conditions remain favorable for the development of strong and
dangerous rip currents along the beaches of east central florida.

While the threat for rip currents will be high all day, the greatest
risk is expected between 11:00 am and 3:00 pm due to tidal effects.

If you choose to enter the water today, do so only near a lifeguard
and never swim alone!
mon-sat... Weather looks rather tranquil through at least mid week
as low level ridge settles over the area and a weak front pushes
offshore to the north wed. With no significant frontal passages or
intrusions of cool air, high temperatures will be above normal in
the lower 80s coast and mid 80s interior. High pressure is
forecast to push offshore late in the week with a warmer southerly
flow developing, which could produce some upper 80s over the
interior.

The 00z GFS and ECMWF show a trough aloft digging into the
southwest us early in the week. The GFS moved it across the
southern states/tennessee valley late in the week, while the ecmwf
continued to lift it out farther to the north. Therefore, the gfs
shows a more southern track of the assocd sfc low and a more
distinct band of frontal moisture moving across Fri or Fri night.

The ECMWF takes most of the energy to our north with weakening
convergence along the frontal boundary resulting in lower rain
chances. Will continue to use a model blend of pops on fri-fri
night, which keeps chance values in the north and slight chance in
the south, but confidence is low.

Aviation
Brief opportunity for reduced vsbys (generally MVFR) before sunrise
today and again Monday morning across far inland terminals
(kmco/klee/kism) in any shallow mist/fog that develops. Expect a few
brief showers to develop along the inland-moving east coast sea
breeze from mid to late afternoon. Any impact on terminals would be
short in duration, and coverage looks low enough to keep precip
mention out of this package of tafs. OtherwiseVFR through late
tonight.

Marine
Today/tonight... A weaker high pressure over the waters will result
in diminished onshore flow between 10-15 knots; however, a moderate
9-10 period swell will maintain 4-5 ft combined seas over the
nearshore waters and up to 6 feet offshore. This will continue to
produce hazardous conditions near inlets for small craft during the
outgoing tide. Will continue cautionary statements where needed.

Mon-thu... High pressure ridge will settle over the waters by tue
while weakening. This will cause easterly winds to diminish to
around 10 knots Mon then become variable around 5 knots Tue with a
10 knot sea breeze near the coast in the afternoon. The ridge
will slide southeast wed-thu and produce a light westerly wind
wed and southerly on thu, increasing to 10-15 knots behind the sea
breeze Thu aftn. Boating conditions look mostly good, though a
persistent long period east swell will continue to produce rough
waves near inlets during the outgoing tide into tue.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dab 79 62 79 61 / 10 10 0 10
mco 83 61 83 62 / 20 10 0 10
mlb 80 64 80 60 / 10 10 0 0
vrb 80 63 80 60 / 10 10 0 0
lee 83 62 83 62 / 20 20 10 10
sfb 83 61 82 61 / 10 10 0 10
orl 82 62 82 62 / 20 10 0 10
fpr 80 62 80 59 / 10 10 0 0

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Ulrich
long term... .Kelly
aviation... Ulrich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 8 mi35 min 71°F5 ft
SIPF1 27 mi35 min ESE 13 71°F 1020 hPa
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 62 mi47 min E 14 G 17
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 66 mi47 min E 2.9 G 5.1 68°F 71°F1020.9 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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E16
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G21
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G13
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G16
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G20
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G24
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ago
E20
G25
NE20
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E17
G22
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G22
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G24
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G22
E16
G22
E15
G21
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G23
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G21
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G25
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E16
G23
E18
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G22
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G23
E20
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G24
E17
G22
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G25
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G21
2 days
ago
NW6
NW4
N2
N6
G11
N18
G24
E11
SE9
E14
NE21
NE19
G24
NE19
E26
NE23
G31
E24
G30
E26
E25
G32
E27
E24
E24
G29
E23
E21
E20

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL3 mi72 minE 310.00 miA Few Clouds63°F61°F93%1019.1 hPa
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL13 mi72 minN 010.00 miFair61°F59°F93%1019.3 hPa
Stuart, Witham Field Airport, FL21 mi70 minE 910.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F62°F73%1019.3 hPa

Wind History from FPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE9E15SE17SE18E17
G23
E14E16SE13SE13E13
G18
E11E9E7E6E8SE9E11SE11SE12E8SE9SE5E3E6
1 day agoE11E10E10E11
G20
E13E17
G25
E17
G24
E6E10E13E14
G19
E10E10E8E7E6E9E4E8E8E9SE5E6E7
2 days agoN4N7E12E10E14
G20
E15
G18
E11
G22
E10
G18
E10
G18
E9E7E11
G18
NE11
G17
E9E11E12E11
G21
E14
G21
E13
G20
E12E11E8E9E10

Tide / Current Tables for St. Lucie, Indian River, Florida
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St. Lucie
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:22 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:22 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:48 AM EDT     1.21 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:44 PM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:09 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.2-0-0.2-0.10.10.50.91.11.21.10.90.60.30-0.2-0.2-00.30.81.11.31.21

Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:31 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:22 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:12 AM EDT     0.84 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:54 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:34 PM EDT     0.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.60.40.20-0.1-0.10.10.30.50.70.80.80.70.50.30.1-0.1-0.100.20.50.70.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.