Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
St. Lucie Village, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 6:20PM Saturday February 24, 2018 10:53 PM EST (03:53 UTC) Moonrise 12:59PMMoonset 1:54AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 922 Pm Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 10 knots towards daybreak. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 922 Pm Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis..A strong high pressure ridge centered over the western atlantic will generate a gentle to moderate south-southeast breeze over the coastal waters tonight, becoming more southerly by Sunday. This persistent flow will keep a moderate east swell over the local atlantic.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday february 22nd. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Lucie Village, FL
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location: 27.48, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 250119
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
820 pm est Sat feb 24 2018

Update
The strong deep layer western atlantic ridge continues to dominate
the local weather pattern this evening. Surface to h850 center has
shifted a bit to the e-se over the past 24 hours, resulting in a
slight veering of winds locally to more of a southerly component.

This should keep any small shower chances confined to the immediate
treasure coast overnight. Otherwise, another mild to warm night is
on tap with mins a few degrees either side of 65f. Could see some
shallow mist over the northern western interior late tonight, and
like last night, near any recent smoldering burns, since prescribed
burn activity has been on the uptick this month.

Aviation MainlyVFR with spotty mifg br producing occasional MVFR
visibilities over the north interior aerodromes 09z-13z.

Marine A moderate to gentle se-sse breeze will continue on the
back side of the atlantic ridge overnight. Speeds averaging 10-13kt
with seas around 3ft near shore and 4-5ft well offshore.

Update aviation... Cristaldi
impact wx... Smith

Prev discussion issued 245 pm est Sat feb 24 2018
Sunday... The mid level ridge will continue across the SRN peninsula
with low level flow veering to southerly. Low level moisture depth
will be similar to Saturday though higher moisture levels will be
near the treasure coast and allow for isolated showers mainly across
areas from brevard and osceola county south to the treasure coast as
east coast sea breeze develops. Highs will range from 83 to 85
across the coastal counties and 84 to 87 across the interior.

Sun night-mon night... Initially, high pressure over the western atlc
with associated ridging lies across the central fl peninsula. A weak
boundary across the gulf coast states makes slow progress southward
into the central fl peninsula (potentially) late Mon night. This
east-west boundary will force the high pressure further into the
western atlc with associated ridge axis forced across the southern
fl peninsula. Aloft, mid-level ridging remains rather flat with axis
across the southern fl peninsula and extending westward into the the
gomex. While pwat values will be between a modest 1.20-1.40 inches,
any mid upper level support with the surface boundary remains
severely lacking. Cannot force myself to go higher (just yet) than
20pct during any period of this timeframe. Feel most areas will
either stay dry or just will not see much more than a sprinkle or
brief light shower. Temperatures remain well above climo.

Previous... Tue-fri... Ongoing migration of pattern to zonal aloft with
a weakening surface front moving across central fl on tue. Ascd
moisture looks marginal at best to produce no more than isold rain
chc due to lack of forcing mechanism. Temps wl remain at to above
normal to close out the month. Broad ridging is shown trying to re-
establish over the state from mid to late week with continued rather
dry and warm conditions to begin the month of march. A more
pronounced front may make it south into the area around Friday,
bringing cooler conditions for the weekend.

Aviation
Forecasting predominantlyVFR conditions across the area today. A few
light showers are possible across the northern terminals through this
evening. Any shower activity will end after sunset. Model guidance is
once again hinting at the possibility of patchy MVFR fog, so have
included tempo groups at kdab and the northern interior terminals.

Marine
Tonight... Se S winds overnight up to 10-15 knots expected around the
atlantic ridge with seas 3-4 ft near shore and 4-5 ft offshore.

Sunday... S winds around 10 knots will become SE near the coast in
the afternoon. Seas will subside a bit further, around 3 ft
nearshore to 3-4 ft offshore by late afternoon.

Sun night... Weak frontal boundary remains quasi-stationary across
the deep south north of the local coastal waters as surface ridging
remains in place (east-west oriented) across the central fl
peninsula. Serly winds will veer sswrly north of at least sebastian
inlet and S sse points further southward. Wind speeds AOB 15 kts.

Seas 3-4 ft near shore and 4-5 ft offshore (north of sebastian
inlet). Shower chances remain isolated.

Previous (modified)... Mon-thu... Weakness created by surface boundary
over N to central fl will bring lighter winds to the local marine
area early in the week with veering to S to SW component on Monday.

A modest wind shift to n-ne on tue, should the boundary make it this
far south, will veer direct onshore into midweek. Headlines are not
anticipated at least the first half of the week.

Climate Melbourne and vero beach still have a shot at breaking or
tying their record warm low for today, february 24th. An additional
warm minimum temperature record or two could be possible on Sunday,
february 25th, mainly for coastal sites.

February 24 february 25
daytona beach 68-1962 66-1928
orlando intl 68-1962 68-1912
sanford 70-1962 67-2011
melbourne 72-1979 70-2001
vero beach 71-1962 70-2001
ft. Pierce 70-1949 69-2001
temperatures still forecast to remain well above normal through the
remainder of the month, and a record warm february looks on track
for orlando, melbourne, sanford and vero beach, with daytona beach
and fort pierce likely coming in second warmest.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 66 84 66 83 10 10 20 20
mco 66 87 66 85 10 10 20 20
mlb 70 83 68 83 10 20 20 10
vrb 68 84 67 83 20 20 20 20
lee 66 86 66 84 20 10 20 20
sfb 66 86 66 85 10 10 20 20
orl 68 87 67 85 10 10 20 20
fpr 67 83 67 83 20 20 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 8 mi53 min 75°F3 ft
SIPF1 27 mi53 min SSE 15 74°F 75°F1022 hPa (+0.0)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 62 mi53 min SE 14 G 17 76°F 77°F1022.7 hPa (+0.3)68°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 66 mi53 min SE 9.9 G 14 73°F 75°F1022.8 hPa (+0.3)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 71 mi43 min SSE 14 G 18 75°F 74°F1021.6 hPa68°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL3 mi60 minSE 810.00 miFair72°F66°F84%1021.7 hPa
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL13 mi60 minSE 810.00 miFair73°F66°F79%1021.7 hPa
Witham Field Airport, FL21 mi2.1 hrsSE 37.00 miClear73°F66°F78%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from FPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE11E13CalmCalmSE7SE6SE9SE8SE9SE11SE13SE13
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1 day agoE6E5E6SE9E10E11E10E12E13E12E13E14E16
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2 days agoE11E8E8E7SE9E9E8E8E5E8E13E14SE14E13E14SE12SE14SE12E9E11E7E7E7E6

Tide / Current Tables for St. Lucie, Indian River, Florida
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St. Lucie
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:53 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 03:44 AM EST     1.03 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:38 AM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:58 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:55 PM EST     1.00 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:18 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 11:08 PM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.50.81110.80.60.50.30.20.20.30.50.80.910.90.80.50.30-0.2-0.2

Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:13 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:53 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 06:07 AM EST     0.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:50 PM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 12:58 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:16 PM EST     0.68 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:18 PM EST     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.1-0.10.10.30.50.60.70.70.60.50.30.20.10.10.20.30.50.60.70.70.60.40.20.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.