Sunday, October22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Anna Maria, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 6:55PM Sunday October 22, 2017 6:38 PM EDT (22:38 UTC) Moonrise 9:00AMMoonset 8:10PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 302 Pm Edt Sun Oct 22 2017
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Monday..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..South winds around 15 knots then becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots in the late evening and early morning, then becoming west toward morning. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Showers likely. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming north around 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to around 20 knots toward morning. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening.
Wednesday..North winds around 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday night..North winds around 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots toward morning. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 302 Pm Edt Sun Oct 22 2017
Synopsis..Southeast winds will increase over the waters after midnight resulting in the need for small craft exercise caution statements. The first significant cold front of the year is forecast to move into our waters Monday night and Tuesday. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms will move across the waters ahead of the front beginning in our northern waters on Monday and continuing southeast through the waters Monday night and early Tuesday. Winds will shift to the northwest behind the front and may reach small craft advisory levels Tuesday night and Wednesday. High pressure will build back over the waters on Thursday then move northeast into the atlantic on Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Anna Maria, FL
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location: 27.52, -82.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 221856
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
256 pm edt Sun oct 22 2017

Short term (tonight - Monday)
Isolated showers have begun to develop mainly over the interior from
highlands county northward through sumter county. A larger area of
rain with embedded showers is over the eastern gulf but remaining
outside our coastal waters. The showers over the interior will
likely increase in coverage and intensity through the remainder of
the afternoon and spread westward across the nature coast and
possibly into the tampa bay area.

The ridge of high pressure responsible for our recent warm and
increasingly humid airmass will finally begin to weaken and move out
into the atlantic tonight. A deepening upper-level trough will be
approaching the eastern states tonight and Monday, supporting our
first significant cold front of the season. The front is forecast to
reach the eastern gulf late Monday, with a swath of showers and some
thunderstorms moving across our region ahead of it during the day.

Right now it looks like best chances for storms will be north of the
i-4 corridor during the afternoon hours. The best dynamics will be
well north of our region, so an organized severe weather threat
seems unlikely. It will be another warm and humid day, however, with
temperatures in the 80s and dew points in the lower to middle 70s.

Long term (Monday night-Sunday)
First shortwave trough axis will be moving away from the region
Monday night with the main trough deepening over the eastern u.S.

Tuesday into Wednesday before moving out into the atlantic ocean
Thursday. Meanwhile at the surface a cold front will move into the
nature coast during Monday night and then slowly southeastward
across the forecast area exiting the southern zones Tuesday evening.

Deep moisture will continue across the region ahead of the boundary
and with some upper level support we will see scattered to numerous
showers and a few thunderstorms Monday night into Tuesday. Behind
the front northerly flow will usher in much cooler drier air as
surface high pressure moves across the gulf and southeast states
Wednesday and Thursday. During Friday and Saturday the high will
shift out into the atlantic ocean with a more easterly flow setting
up bringing moderating temperatures and moisture. Global models are
still depicting different scenarios late in the week into next
weekend, but it does look like deeper moisture will return along
with the chance of a few showers as the next mid upper level trough
moves across the central and eastern conus.

Aviation
MainlyVFR next 24 hours. Winds will gradually shift from easterly
overnight to southeasterly toward Monday morning, then southerly by
mid-day. Some showers and perhaps even a few thunderstorms will be
possible starting mid-day Monday.

Marine
Southeast winds will increase over the waters after midnight
resulting in the need for small craft exercise caution
statements.

The first significant cold front of the year is forecast to
move into our waters Monday night and Tuesday. We will
likely see numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms
ahead of the front beginning in our northern waters on
Monday and continuing southeast through the waters Monday
night and early Tuesday. Winds will shift to the northwest
behind the front and may reach small craft advisory levels
Tuesday night and Wednesday. High pressure will build back
over the waters on Thursday then move northeast into the
atlantic on Friday.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns through Monday. We could see some near-
critical humidities behind the cold front on Wednesday and Thursday
as much drier air moves in. It currently looks like winds will
remain below 15 mph during that time.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 76 83 73 81 10 60 60 30
fmy 75 86 74 83 10 40 60 60
gif 74 85 72 81 0 60 60 50
srq 75 85 73 82 10 60 70 40
bkv 74 84 69 80 10 60 60 30
spg 76 83 73 81 10 60 70 40

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... Jillson
mid term long term decision support... Close


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 12 mi51 min 86°F 81°F1016.2 hPa
MTBF1 12 mi51 min SSE 5.1 G 6 84°F 1016.9 hPa
CLBF1 15 mi105 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 85°F 1015.9 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi51 min SE 1.9 G 4.1 1017.2 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 25 mi51 min SE 5.1 G 8 85°F 80°F1016.9 hPa
MCYF1 32 mi51 min 81°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 32 mi51 min SSW 5.1 G 6 80°F 79°F1016.9 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 33 mi57 min SE 2.9 G 5.1
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 33 mi57 min ESE 5.1 G 7
VENF1 - Venice, FL 34 mi39 min SSE 6 G 7 83°F 81°F1017.1 hPa (-0.4)75°F
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 44 mi105 min SSE 7 G 8 85°F 1014.5 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL13 mi46 minESE 510.00 miFair84°F71°F65%1016.3 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi46 minSSE 610.00 miFair84°F75°F74%1016.1 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE12E11E11E8E8E8E10E9E8E6E9E7E8E9E8SE11E12SE13SE12
G18
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1 day agoNE12E12E11E10E7NE8E8E6E9E8E8E7E7E6E10E11
G16
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2 days agoE9E12E8E12NE7NE6NE6NE6NE5NE7NE5NE7NE8NE6NE8E13
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NE12
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G23
E12E13
G19
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G19
E15
G19
E12

Tide / Current Tables for Anna Maria Key, pier, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATIONSorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:47 AM EDT     1.25 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:00 AM EDT     -1.83 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:49 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:11 PM EDT     1.47 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:54 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:55 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:56 PM EDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 09:10 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:02 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.210.4-0.4-1.1-1.6-1.8-1.7-1.2-0.60.10.81.31.51.410.5-0-0.4-0.5-0.4-00.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.