Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellenton, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 5:38PM Saturday November 17, 2018 5:33 AM EST (10:33 UTC) Moonrise 2:27PMMoonset 1:25AM Illumination 69% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 302 Am Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Today..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming north around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 302 Am Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Synopsis.. High pressure will remain across the waters through early Monday, with winds continuing to lighten and turning to the northeast and east as the high center shifts to the northeast. A weak front then pushes through the area Monday night and Tuesday, with winds just backing a bit to the north and northeast. Ridging returns thereafter.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellenton, FL
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location: 27.53, -82.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 170802
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
302 am est Sat nov 17 2018

Discussion
After a chilly start to the day with temperatures in the 30s and 40s
across much of the forecast area, we'll begin to moderate this
afternoon as surface high pressure settles over the deep south.

Northerly winds will become more northeast during the day allowing
temps to moderate a bit compared to Friday. Highs today will range
from the lower 70s across the nature coast with upper 70s across far
sw florida under mainly clear skies. Lows tonight into Sunday morning
will be about 10 degrees warmer than this morning... Closer to
climatological norms.

Surface ridging will continue across the area through Monday as
conditions moderate with E NE winds in place, and aloft generally
w SW flow remains across the area. A weak front then moves into the
area Monday night Tuesday and a secondary boundary moving through
Wednesday. More uncertainty is present near the end of the forecast
period where the GFS and euro disagree with respect to the strength
of a shortwave trough low across the gulf potentially approaching the
area thanksgiving day and into Friday. For now, will keep low end
scattered pops in the forecast but will have to see how things play
out over the next few days with subsequent model runs. Highs will
linger in the mid 70s to lower 80s through the period, with lows in
the 50s and 60s.

Aviation
Vfr conditions through the period with mainly clear skies. North ne
winds 5-10 knots can be expected throughout the day.

Marine
High pressure will remain across the waters through early Monday,
with winds continuing to lighten and turning to the northeast and
east as the high center shifts to the northeast. A weak front then
pushes through the area Monday night and Tuesday, with winds just
backing a bit to the north and northeast. Ridging returns thereafter.

Fire weather
High pressure will be in place across the area through the weekend
with conditions moderating as winds turn to the northeast and east.

Humidities should remain above critical values for Saturday afternoon
though will drop to around 40 percent. Humidity will remain above
critical levels through the period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 74 58 79 63 0 0 0 10
fmy 78 60 83 63 0 0 0 0
gif 75 57 81 60 0 0 0 10
srq 75 58 80 62 0 0 0 10
bkv 73 50 79 54 0 0 0 0
spg 72 62 78 65 0 0 0 10

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... 11 mckaughan
decision support... 05 carlisle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi33 min 52°F 74°F1020.7 hPa (+0.0)
MTBF1 11 mi33 min NE 16 G 18 58°F 1020.9 hPa (+0.0)46°F
GCTF1 17 mi33 min 56°F 47°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi33 min NE 9.9 G 14 55°F 76°F1020.8 hPa (+0.0)
CLBF1 18 mi99 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9 52°F 1020.2 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 23 mi33 min NE 7 G 9.9 53°F 72°F1021.2 hPa (+0.4)
42098 24 mi33 min 75°F3 ft
MCYF1 27 mi33 min 76°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 28 mi45 min N 7 G 8
VENF1 - Venice, FL 32 mi33 min NE 8.9 G 11 52°F 74°F1020.3 hPa (+0.0)50°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi63 min NE 12 G 18 61°F 77°F1020.5 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi33 min NNE 8 G 11 53°F 73°F1021.5 hPa (+0.4)
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 46 mi99 min NE 8.9 G 9.9 51°F 1021.8 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL10 mi40 minNE 610.00 miFair50°F46°F89%1019.9 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi40 minNNE 1310.00 miFair57°F48°F74%1020.3 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL23 mi97 minNNE 510.00 miFair48°F42°F82%1021 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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E12SE11SE4W6W6S3S5SE6SE5SE5SE7N13N9NW13
G18
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G17

Tide / Current Tables for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:26 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:32 AM EST     -0.49 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 04:01 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:03 AM EST     0.69 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:05 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:23 PM EST     -0.74 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 02:27 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:21 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:37 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:52 PM EST     1.11 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 11:23 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.3-00.30.60.70.60.40-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.5-0.20.30.711.110.60.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.