Friday, July21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellenton, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 8:26PM Friday July 21, 2017 6:49 PM EDT (22:49 UTC) Moonrise 3:53AMMoonset 5:51PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 336 Pm Edt Fri Jul 21 2017
Tonight..South winds around 10 knots then becoming around 5 knots toward morning. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Tuesday..North winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds around 5 knots then becoming north around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Wednesday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 336 Pm Edt Fri Jul 21 2017
Synopsis..Atlantic high pressure will remain over the gulf waters for the next several days...with an axis initially across south florida that meanders into central florida early week. The pressure gradient stays relaxed with benign winds and seas...expect higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellenton, FL
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location: 27.53, -82.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 211905
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
305 pm edt Fri jul 21 2017

Short term (this afternoon - Saturday)
Aloft - a low across northern fl this afternoon moves westward...

along or just off the central gulf coast while a ridge builds in
across south fl and cuba from the atlantic by late Sat afternoon.

Surface - a broad and relaxed ridge of high pressure in the atlantic
near 30 north 60 west reaches westward to the western gulf coast...

with an axis that meanders through southern fl. These features will
provide 1000-700mb southwesterly flow and ample moisture. Model pwat
values run 1.8 to over 2 inches.

The rest of this afternoon will be somewhat similar to yesterday.

However the upper low with it S cooler temperatures have helped to
fire convection earlier today and will support more robust storms.

Some small hail reports have already starting coming in. Except most
showers storms to push inland during the rest of the afternoon and
dissipate. Although a few of them may drift back toward the gulf or
form along outflow boundaries in the late afternoon or early evening
and end near sunset. Storms will form later tonight and again
push onshore in the morning then inland in the afternoon with
increased coverage... Thanks to the continued southwesterly flow.

The upper low pulls away to the west Sat with a little less
instability for the area... Lowering the chances of stronger
storms.

Long term (Saturday night-Friday)
High pressure ridge axis will remain across south florida through
Monday, then lift a bit north for the first half of next week,
then get pushed south again for the end of the week. This will
keep a west to southwest flow over the area for much of the
period, with the only exception being some E SE flow across the
southern zones early next week when the ridge axis shifts north.

Mainly scattered thunderstorms will be possible through the
period, with more morning storms possible near the coast, and then
transitioning inland in the afternoon. Waterspouts will also be
possible in the light SW flow. Nighttime temperatures will be warm
with lows in the mid 70s inland to around 80 near the coast.

Highs will be near normal with upper 80s to lower 90s.

Aviation
21 18z tafs. MainlyVFR conditions as vcnty tsra with few to sct cb
push inland through the afternoon... But may drift back toward the
coast around sunset as they dissipate. The best chances for brief
MVFR ifr conditions will be earlier in the afternoon. Winds are or
will shortly become SW to W for the afternoon then light and
variable overnight. Late night tsra on the gulf may begin to impact
coastal terminals aft sunrise.

Marine
A relaxed ridge of high pressure resides across the waters into next
week... With an axis that meanders across south and central fl. Winds
and seas remain benign although higher in the vicinity of
thunderstorms... With the most likely time during the overnight and
morning hours.

Fire weather
A moist air mass will continue with daily showers and thunderstorms
and also maintain relative humidity values above critical levels.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 79 89 78 90 20 30 20 50
fmy 76 90 77 92 10 30 10 20
gif 75 91 75 91 20 50 10 50
srq 78 90 77 90 10 30 20 40
bkv 74 90 74 89 20 40 30 50
spg 80 88 79 89 10 30 30 50

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 09 rude
long term decision support... 24 hubbard


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi49 min 82°F 92°F1016.7 hPa (+0.0)
MTBF1 11 mi49 min ESE 8.9 G 13 82°F 1017.6 hPa (+0.0)
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi55 min E 8 G 15 83°F 88°F1017.7 hPa
CLBF1 18 mi115 min SSW 5.1 G 7 87°F 1016.8 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 23 mi49 min NE 1.9 G 2.9 80°F 87°F1017.4 hPa (-0.3)
MCYF1 27 mi49 min 90°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 28 mi55 min SE 1.9 G 2.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 28 mi49 min N 1 G 2.9
VENF1 - Venice, FL 32 mi49 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 88°F 90°F1017.2 hPa (-0.5)75°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi79 min S 3.9 G 5.8 88°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi49 min E 7 G 9.9 83°F 89°F1017.3 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 46 mi115 min W 8.9 G 11 85°F 1018.2 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL10 mi56 minS 310.00 miFair87°F73°F63%1016.6 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi56 minE 1210.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity84°F73°F72%1017 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL23 mi1.9 hrsNNE 910.00 miThunderstorm in Vicinity83°F79°F89%1018.6 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW8W4NW4NE5E4CalmSE4SE5CalmE4NE5E4E4S5SE6S4CalmS3SW8SW9SW6SW6SW6S3
1 day agoE4CalmE3E7E6SE5SE6SE4E4E5E5SE3CalmCalmCalmSW33S3SW3N9W5SW6W7W10
2 days agoE8E3SE4SE5SE6SE4E4SE4E3E4E5E3CalmE3E3SE3SW5W5SW6SW76W7W8SE12
G18

Tide / Current Tables for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Florida
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Redfish Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:08 AM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:55 AM EDT     1.36 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:50 AM EDT     2.58 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:34 PM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.31.41.41.41.41.41.41.622.32.52.62.52.21.81.30.80.3-0-0.2-0.2-00.4

Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:03 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:44 AM EDT     -0.06 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 04:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:57 AM EDT     1.33 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:57 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:08 PM EDT     -1.98 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:08 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.51.20.70.30-00.10.50.91.21.31.20.7-0-0.8-1.4-1.8-2-1.9-1.5-0.9-0.10.71.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.