Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 8:21PM Saturday June 24, 2017 6:27 AM EDT (10:27 UTC) Moonrise 6:03AMMoonset 8:01PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 401 Am Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
Today..Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Sat Jun 24 2017
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge axis will extend across central florida today, then gradually break down as a weak frontal trough approaches from the north and stalls over central florida.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday june 22nd. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Beach, FL
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location: 27.59, -80.36     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 240842
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
442 am edt Sat jun 24 2017

Discussion
Today... Deep layer high pressure, at the sfc and aloft, will
remain over the area. This will keep the atmosphere suppressed
with warm temps aloft, around +10c at 700 mb and -5c at 500 mb.

However, the low level ridge axis has shifted south in the last
24 hrs and is now located across cent fl. This places the best
moisture convergence (on the north side of a ridge) across our
northern sections so this is where the highest pops (40 percent)
are drawn. The west coast sea breeze should push inland faster
across the north sparking scattered showers and perhaps a few
storms during the afternoon. The east coast sea breeze will also
develop with quicker inland penetration across the south so rain
chances will be lowest along the immediate treasure coast. A
collision should occur this evening (6-9 pm) east of the I 4
corridor but inland from the coast, resulting in the best chance
for a band of deep convection. Steering flow will be weak so storm
motions should be driven largely by propagation along boundaries.

This will promote locally heavy rain ESP assocd with boundary
collisions. Highs will reach the low 90s interior with a few mid
90s possible and upper 80s at the coast.

Lingering showers and isolated storms should persist across
northern sections late into the evening and possibly into the
overnight.

Sunday... The center of the deep ridge begins to shift into the
atlantic as a mid upper level trough develops over the eastern conus
and its associated frontal boundary moves toward north florida.

Moisture pooling ahead of the weak front should enhance shower and
storm chances a bit compared to Saturday, though the lingering ridge
aloft will still keep things somewhat suppressed. Initial isolated
activity expected to develop along the sea breeze before showers and
storms become scattered across inland areas. Lowest chances (20-30%)
confined to the space and treasure coasts where the sea breeze will
move inland quicker. Expect the best chance (50%) for storms along
the i-4 corridor later in the day as boundary interactions
intensify. Steering motion appears quite weak, so excessive rainfall
is a concern with some of the mid late afternoon activity.

Monday-Tuesday... Deep moisture pooling along and ahead of the
surface boundary combined with added instability aloft courtesy of
the trough will lead to high afternoon shower storm coverage both
afternoons. While the focus for the highest rain chances will remain
over inland areas, expect shower and storms to develop closer to the
coast. Steering flow appears to remain quite weak, so will need to
watch for heavy rain in some areas. While cloud cover may limit
surface destabilization, cooling aloft should still enhance the
threat for a few strong storms with frequent lightning and gusty
winds. Increase cloud cover will temper highs closer to their late
june averages, upper 80s most areas.

Wednesday-Friday... The surface boundary is expected to wash out over
the area as high pressure builds to our north. Onshore flow will
commence from mid to late week with moisture levels remaining high
enough to support a scattered coverage of showers and storms. Though
the highest coverage of afternoon activity will be across inland
areas, the elevated maritime flow should support onshore-moving
showers from time to time.

Aviation
MainlyVFR through 12z then patchy MVFR CIGS possible 13z-16z mco
north but confidence is low so will not mention in tafs. Scattered
tsra should develop this afternoon focused on northern terminals
(mco sfb dab) where moisture is higher. A late day early evening
(22z-24z) sea breeze collision should occur near or to the east
of mco sfb. Will refrain from adding a tempo group for now and
maintain vcts for the next TAF package.

Marine
Today... Atlc ridge axis draped across central fl and adjacent atlc
will produce a southerly flow turning SE near the coast in a sea
breeze this afternoon. A small (2 ft) east swell will be the
primary contribution to wave height in addition to a small wind
chop. Combined seas up to 4 ft well offshore (beyond 20 nm)
volusia and brevard coasts.

Sunday-Wednesday... Atlantic high pressure will shift to the east of
the area as a weak front approaches and stalls over the waters early
next week. Winds will remain 10 knots or less outside of
thunderstorms, with seas generally 2-3 ft. Higher coverage of
showers and storms expected, especially Monday and Tuesday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 90 74 90 75 40 20 40 30
mco 93 75 91 75 40 20 50 30
mlb 90 76 90 76 20 10 30 20
vrb 90 75 89 75 20 10 20 20
lee 92 76 91 75 40 40 50 40
sfb 93 75 91 75 40 20 50 30
orl 92 76 91 75 40 20 50 30
fpr 90 74 89 75 20 10 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Kelly
long term... .Ulrich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 8 mi27 min 77°F2 ft
SIPF1 19 mi27 min S 4.1 77°F 1018 hPa (+0.0)
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 58 mi39 min SSE 7 G 8 77°F 82°F1018.5 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 64 mi27 min S 9.7 G 12 80°F 80°F1018 hPa (-0.4)77°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 70 mi39 min SE 13 G 15 82°F 82°F1017.6 hPa77°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL5 mi34 minN 09.00 miFair74°F72°F94%1017.1 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL6 mi34 minN 07.00 miFair73°F72°F96%1017.1 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE6SE10SE13SE13SE13SE13
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1 day agoSE6SE8SE11SE12SE15SE12SE14SE16SE13
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2 days agoS6S5S10SE18
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Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
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Sat -- 12:12 AM EDT     0.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:51 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:23 PM EDT     0.92 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:12 PM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.90.80.60.30.1-0.1-0.100.20.50.80.90.90.80.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3-0.10.30.6

Tide / Current Tables for Vero Beach (ocean), Florida
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Vero Beach (ocean)
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:19 AM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:20 AM EDT     4.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:37 PM EDT     -1.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:02 PM EDT     4.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.10.1-0.4-0.30.41.42.63.543.93.22.10.9-0.2-0.9-1-0.50.61.93.144.44.13.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.