Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tierra Verde, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:18AMSunset 6:05PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 12:43 PM EST (17:43 UTC) Moonrise 9:06PMMoonset 9:26AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 928 Am Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft exercise caution...
This afternoon..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Tonight..South winds around 20 knots with gusts to around 35 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy. Showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northwest winds around 15 knots. Gusts around 30 knots early in the morning. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 928 Am Est Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis..High pressure exits to the east as a cold front approaches from the west with a tightening gradient that will increase winds to around 20 knots today with some gusts to gale force later tonight and Thursday. The front traverses the waters tonight and Thursday with showers and some strong Thunderstorms along with a wind shift as robust to strong winds continue, high pressure settles into the western gulf coast Thursday night then moves east...with veering and diminishing winds through the end of the week and into the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tierra Verde, FL
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location: 27.61, -82.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 231726
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
1226 pm est Wed jan 23 2019

Aviation
Vfr will continue at all terminal sites through 05z tonight
with occasional broken CIGS in the 040-050 range. After 05z
prevailing MVFR CIGS vsbys will develop as an area of
shra tsra approach from the gulf along and ahead of a cold
front, with local ifr conditions possible between 08-14z as
shra tsra impact the area. Southeast winds in the 14 to 16
knot range with gusts up to 28 knots this afternoon will
become south after 04z with speeds further increasing into
the 18 to 23 knots with gusts up to 35 knots possible with
even higher gusts in the vicinity of tsra.

Prev discussion issued 915 am est Wed jan 23 2019
update...

surface high pressure moving offshore the mid atlantic coast
combined with a shortwave trough cold front approaching from
the west will support a breezy southerly wind flow across
the forecast area the remainder of today with warm and
increasingly muggy conditions as dew points climb into the
60s. 12z RAOB data shows a strong subsidence inversion around
850mb with very dry air noted above the inversion which
will keep rain out forecast today with moisture pooling
below the inversion supporting intervals of clouds sun.

Warm air advection will support warmer temperatures across
the region with highs climbing into the upper 70s to even
some lower 80s during the afternoon. With winds in the 30 to
35 knot range off the deck via RAOB data will bump up winds
into the breezy range (15 to 20 mph) in a mid morning
update as mixing should allow some of these stronger winds
to mix down to the surface during the afternoon, otherwise
the rest of the forecast is on track with no other changes
planned at this time.

Marine...

surface high pressure moving offshore the mid atlantic
coast combined with an approaching cold front to the west
will support southeast to south winds around 20 knot with
higher gusts over the offshore waters the remainder of
the day where small craft headlines are posted. Closer
to shore winds will increase into the 15 to 20 knot range
during the late morning and into the afternoon as stronger
winds aloft mix down to the surface. Given this will post
exercise caution headlines for the near shore waters as
well as the tampa bay and charlotte harbor waters in the
late morning update. Other than this the rest of the
forecast is on track with no other changes expected at
this time.

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Beach hazards statement through Thursday evening for
coastal manatee-coastal sarasota.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory until 7 pm est this evening for
waters from bonita beach to englewood fl out 20 to 60
nm-waters from englewood to tarpon springs fl out 20
to 60 nm-waters from tarpon springs to suwannee river
fl out 20 to 60 nm.

Aviation... 57 mcmichael


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTBF1 8 mi50 min SSE 20 G 24 72°F 1021.7 hPa57°F
CLBF1 9 mi110 min ESE 7 G 13 77°F 1021.8 hPa
PMAF1 9 mi50 min 75°F 62°F1021.9 hPa
42098 11 mi44 min 63°F3 ft
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 12 mi50 min SE 8 G 13 71°F 62°F1022.1 hPa
GCTF1 16 mi50 min 73°F 58°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 19 mi50 min SSE 13 G 18 74°F 62°F1022.1 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 26 mi50 min ESE 14 G 23 73°F 61°F1021.7 hPa
MCYF1 26 mi50 min 63°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 27 mi50 min ESE 14 G 22
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 27 mi50 min E 8.9 G 16
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 32 mi74 min SE 14 G 16 67°F 65°F1022.2 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 38 mi110 min SE 17 G 21 70°F 1023.1 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 40 mi44 min ESE 16 G 20 75°F 63°F1021.6 hPa (-0.9)60°F

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Albert Whitted Airport, FL12 mi51 minSE 17 G 2310.00 miFair72°F59°F64%1021 hPa
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL17 mi51 minSE 16 G 2210.00 miFair79°F61°F54%1021.3 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL20 mi48 minESE 1710.00 miA Few Clouds75°F58°F56%1022.3 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL21 mi51 minSE 17 G 2410.00 miFair75°F59°F58%1021.8 hPa

Wind History from SPG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE12E11E8E11E12SE9E12E10E8SE7E5SE5E7E7SE12SE11SE12E12E13SE15SE9SE12SE15SE17
G23
1 day agoN12NE10E9E6NE9E12NE13NE15NE17E21E19E17NE15NE14NE12NE12NE11NE12E14E13E13E10E8E12
2 days agoNW10
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N12NW10
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N11NW7N9N9N8N11N8NE9NE13N10N10N10NE9NE12NE12NE10

Tide / Current Tables for Mullet Key Channel (Skyway), Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:08 AM EST     1.41 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:54 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:39 AM EST     -2.35 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:25 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:37 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:50 PM EST     1.81 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:30 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:04 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:27 PM EST     -0.58 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:06 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:35 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.30.7-0.1-1-1.8-2.3-2.3-2-1.4-0.60.31.11.71.81.510.3-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.30.20.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.