Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian River Shores, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:51PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 7:18 AM EDT (11:18 UTC) Moonrise 4:16AMMoonset 4:53PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 339 Am Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through late Wednesday night...
Today..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet building to 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 339 Am Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Synopsis..A southward moving cool front will stall over the lower central peninsula later today. Behind the boundary, a surge of strong and gusty northeast winds and building seas will bring a return of hazardous boating conditions north of sebastian inlet today, and then all of the local waters from tonight through much of the remainder of the week.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots will build hazardous seas to 9 to 10 feet today continuing above advisory levels through mid-late week. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday october 15th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian River Shores, FL
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location: 27.73, -80.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 170834
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
433 am edt Tue oct 17 2017

Discussion
Chance for flooding rain for volusia and brevard counties...

High risk of rip currents from daytona beach to cocoa beach...

today-tonight... A cool front will be making its advance southward
down the peninsula today aided by a somewhat pushy large surface
high pressure reaching across the south and mid-atlantic as well as
as an upper short wave slowly endeavoring to make its way eastward.

By tonight, the frontal boundary will become nearly stationary in
vicinity of lake okeechobee or just south. In the interim, loosely
organized convection will work its way south along and ahead of the
boundary with showers and isolated storms likely for much of east
central florida. Behind the boundary resides additional intrigue as
a low-level surge of maritime NE winds 20-25 knots noses in across
the coastal waters north of sebastian inlet, with particular aim at
volusia and north brevard counties. This will facilitate resupply of
moisture today and tonight in the presence of already high pwat air
and augmented by coastal convergence and a measure of upper
divergence for added lift and focus. After inspection of pqpf multi-
persectives, have decided to continue the flood watch for the
aforementioned areas through tonight with a chance for 1-3 inches
and local 3-5 inches in spots. Pops categorical here. Conditions
will also become breezy along the coast, especially north of
sebastian inlet. The wind surge will also promote a rough surf and
increased threat of rip currents. A high risk has been noted for
volusia and north brevard beaches. Cloud cover and precipitation
today will keep daytime temperatures lower in the u70s north
forecast area to l m80s south forecast area.

Midweek... The frontal boundary which slipped swd over the
peninsula Tue will wane into a remnant trough over the south to
central atlc coast of fl coast wed. High pressure situated over
the NE seaboard will remain situated over the same general area
through the end of the work week, with continued onshore winds
over the fl peninsula. Lingering moisture and sfc convergence wl
keep a good chance of showers and a few storms in the forecast
into thu, while shifting to the coast and southern areas during
the day.

Extended... Fully developed high pressure along the NE to mid atlc
seaboard will continue a general onshore flow pattern with
eventual airmass drying indicated as higher upstream moisture over
the atlc basin undergoes subsidence related drying late Thu into
fri. A strong marine influence will keep any temperature extremes
moderated with 20 to 30 percent chc precip is indicated by guid
during fri-sat with best chances remaining mainly along the
coastal areas. Expect highs in the l-m80s and lows in the 70s.

General winds will veer back to a sly component sun-mon bringing a
return to a warmer, moist airmass with a stronger front
approaching from the north indicated around early next week.

Aviation
Aviation Vcsh cuurently for all sites north and west of kvrb with
ifr MVFR conditions in tempo groups due to 2-4 sm shra bkn015-025.

G18-22kt still possible. Vcsh included from 10-14z sites southward.

After 14z, kdab likely to realize periods of 02015g22kt with 2sm
+shra ovc020.

Marine
Today-tonight... Post frontal wind surge will prompt SCA conditions
north-south successively during the period. NE winds 20-25 knots
will work through the volusia county waters starting this morning,
then down the brevard county waters this afternoon. Seas will
respond up to 6-8 feet nearshore and 8-10 feet offshore across the
northern legs by tonight. South of here small craft should exercise
caution until winds seas fully deteriorate into Wednesday. In
general, a period of hazardous boating conditions ensues.

Wed-late week... Ongoing advisory conditions with winds and choppy
seas will prevail mid to late week with headlines for winds and
seas continuing for a long period due to winds and swell. A long
duration of onshore winds will keep higher seas area wide with
tapering to the outer waters by the weekend and early next week.

Rough surf and rip currents with minor beach erosion at high tide
will remain an issue at least into the weekend.

Hydrology
The middle and upper saint johns river basin remains in flood with
only a slight decrease in river levels forecast over the next
several days. Locally heavy rain may occur at times, especially
along the coast. A flood watch remains in effect for volusia and
northern brevard counties through 4 am Wednesday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 79 72 81 72 80 70 60 40
mco 80 71 84 71 60 40 50 20
mlb 82 74 83 74 70 70 60 40
vrb 82 73 84 73 70 60 60 40
lee 80 69 83 69 50 30 30 20
sfb 80 70 83 70 70 50 50 20
orl 80 70 83 72 60 40 50 20
fpr 83 73 84 71 70 60 60 40

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... Flood watch through late tonight for coastal volusia county-
inland volusia county-northern brevard county.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 am edt Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am this morning to 4 am edt
Thursday for volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet
0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-
60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 4 am edt
Thursday for sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term... Sharp
long term... .Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 10 mi34 min N 13 77°F 77°F1016 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 15 mi49 min 83°F3 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi58 min 82°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi49 min NNW 7 G 12 75°F 82°F1017.3 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 54 mi39 min N 16 G 18 79°F 84°F1015.3 hPa73°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 79 mi49 min NW 5.1 G 6 78°F 84°F1015.5 hPa73°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi26 minN 510.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F73°F100%1015.6 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi26 minNNW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F75°F100%1015.4 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmW4N5NE3S5NE6E7E9E9E5NE4E3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmNW5N5
1 day agoNE8NE10E11--SE11E11E7E10E8E8E9E6E4E3E3E4E4E5SE4CalmCalmNW3CalmCalm
2 days agoE13
G21
E11E15E15E11
G18
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G20
E12E12NE10E8E8NE6NE7NE7NE9E6NE8NE6NE4NE6NE5NE5N3

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
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Tue -- 03:43 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:45 AM EDT     0.17 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:00 PM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:52 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:21 PM EDT     0.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.100.10.20.20.10.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.10.20.20.2

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian, Indian River, Florida
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Sebastian
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:31 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:16 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:05 AM EDT     0.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:55 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:25 PM EDT     0.47 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.30.20.20.20.20.30.40.40.50.50.40.40.30.20.20.20.20.30.40.40.50.50.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.