Wednesday, August23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian River Shores, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:52PM Wednesday August 23, 2017 4:22 AM EDT (08:22 UTC) Moonrise 7:42AMMoonset 8:22PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1037 Pm Edt Tue Aug 22 2017
Tonight..East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Wednesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Saturday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..West winds 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1037 Pm Edt Tue Aug 22 2017
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge will remain north of the waters through mid week. A weak frontal boundary is forecast to sag southward into central florida this weekend. A tropical or subtropical low may develop along this stalled frontal boundary offshore the florida atlantic coast, then move northeast.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday august 20th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian River Shores, FL
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location: 27.73, -80.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 230801 aaa
afdmlb
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service melbourne fl
400 am edt Wed aug 23 2017

Discussion
Today... An inverted trough tropical wave axis will move westward
across the southern fl peninsula through this afternoon with
increasing low level east-southeast flow. Deeper moisture with pwat
values to 2.1 to 2.3 inches will overspread central and SRN portions
of the forecast area supporting scattered to numerous showers and a
chance of lightning storms. Scattered showers isolated storms will
move onshore the treasure coast this morning and then push westward
into the interior by this afternoon. Lowest coverage of convection
is expected across northern lake and northern volusia counties. Will
have pops from far 30 percent north to 60-70 percent (likely) for
srn sections. Some of the heavier showers and stronger storms will
contain locally heavy rain, gusty winds to 30-40 mph and cloud to
ground lightning strikes. A continuing east swell at the beaches
will contribute to a moderate risk of rip currents at the beaches.

High temperatures will reach around 90 for southern areas and lower
to mid 90s across the NRN interior.

Tonight... The low level tropical wave axis will move off the fl west
coast tonight with a feed of deep moisture continuing across the
southern peninsula. Lingering scattered showers isolated storms will
continue across east central fl into the evening hours. Low level
south-southeast winds will focus some showers and low thunderstorm
chances across okeechobee county and coastal sections past late
evening into the overnight hours. Will keep highest pops across
okeechobee county and the treasure coast in the scattered range.

Lows will be in the mid to upper 70s.

Thu-fri... The t-wave over central south fl will round the WRN flank
of the bermuda ridge and work its way up the west fl coast on thu,
drawn north by a frontal trof digging into the deep south. The wave
will then work its way acrs central fl on Fri as the frontal trof
pushes into the W atlc. While rap40 analysis shows a closed (albeit
weak) circulations in the h100-h85 lyr, any organization will be
slow due to its close proximity to land. Nevertheless, deep tropical
moisture will pool within the trof, pushing pwat values into the
2.00"-2.25" range, with portions of the treasure coast approaching
2.50" at times.

Given the tropical nature of this airmass, mid lvl temps will be
quite warm... H70 btwn 10-11c and h50 btwn -5 -6c. Overall
instability will be high enough to generate tsras with CAPE values
largely btwn 1000-2000 j kg... But not high enough for a significant
svr wx threat. Primary threat will be prolonged pds of heavy rain
that will pose a flooding threat... ESP south of the i-4 corridor.

Highest precip chances will be over the treasure coast lake-o region
with likely pops extending into osceola S brevard counties... No less
than 50pct over the remainder of the cwa. Extensive cloud cover and
rain cooled air will keep MAX temps in the u80s l90s... Min temps in
the m u70s.

Sat-tue... Considerable uncertainty in the extended as whatever weak
system that develops from the t-wave pulls into the open atlc.

Adding into the mixture is the potential redevelopment of t.C.

Harvey that GFS begins to bring into the fl panhandle early next
week... While ECMWF keeps it stalled just south of the arklatex.

Ecmwf GFS models do indicate the t-wave dvlpg a broad sfc low off
the NE fl coast on Sat that becomes trapped beneath a large sfc
ridge extending from the mid atlc to the upr midwest. With its track
bcmg little more than a general meandering off the NE fl coast for
much of the weekend. Models diverge on Mon with GFS bcmg more
progressive with the system, kicking it up the carolina coast, while
ecmwf keeps the system meandering off the E fl coast well into tue.

Will keep higher than avg pops into early next week... Anticipate no
less than 50pct areawide thru mon, trending blo 50pct on tue. Max
temps with a few deg of avg (u80s l90s), min temps a few deg abv avg
(m u70s).

Aviation
Deep moisture will overspread east central fl into the afternoon
hours with scattered to numerous showers and isolated storms
developing with daytime heating. Initial convection will move
onshore the coast from kmlb-ksua this morning and then push westward
into the interior from mid day through the afternoon hours. Have
included vcsh vcts most terminals at this time. MainlyVFR conds
outside of convection expected.

Marine
Today... Southeast winds will increase to near 10 knots across the
nrn waters this afternoon and 10-15 knots across the SRN waters
south of sebastian inlet. Seas 3-4 ft. Scattered to numerous showers
and isolated storms expected in association with a tropical wave.

Tonight... Se-s flow to 10-15 knots on the east side of the wave axis
expected with a high coverage of showers and scattered storms
continuing across the water through the night time hours. Seas
around 3 ft near shore to 4 ft well offshore.

Thu-thu night... Marginal boating conditions as a weak tropical wave
over central south fl pulls up the west fl coast and generates a
gentle to moderate S SE breeze thru the day, bcmg S SW overnight.

Seas 2-3ft nearshore and 3-4ft offshore. Sct nmrs shras and t-storms.

Fri-fri night... Variable winds as the t-wave dvlps a weak sfc
circulation as it transits the central fl peninsula. Winds south of
the circulation center will be a gentle to moderate S SW breeze,
backing to the E NE on the north side of the circulation. Winds
diminishing aft sunset as the center pushes offshore near cape
canaveral. Seas 2-3ft nearshore and 3-4ft offshore... Subsiding to
2-3ft areawide aft sunset. Sct nmrs shras and t-storms.

Sat-sun... Variable winds continue as the circulation pulls into the
w atlc. Gentle to moderate N NE breeze from CAPE canaveral
northward, backing to a light to gentle S SW breeze along the
treasure coast. Seas 2-3ft areawide on sat, building to 3-4ft north
of the CAPE Sat night. Nrly swells dvlpg on the backside of the low
by Sun evng will push combined seas to 4-6ft from the cape
northward. South of the cape, seas holding at 3-4ft.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 91 75 89 77 20 20 50 30
mco 93 76 91 76 40 20 50 30
mlb 89 77 88 77 50 40 60 30
vrb 89 76 87 76 60 40 60 40
lee 95 77 93 76 30 10 50 30
sfb 94 75 92 76 30 10 50 30
orl 93 77 92 76 40 10 50 30
fpr 89 76 87 76 70 40 70 40

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Volkmer
long term... .Bragaw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 15 mi52 min 84°F3 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi61 min 85°F3 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi52 min ESE 2.9 G 5.1 81°F 85°F1016 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 54 mi42 min SSE 5.8 G 7.8 83°F 82°F1015.5 hPa77°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 79 mi52 min SE 5.1 G 6

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi29 minNW 310.00 miFair77°F75°F94%1013.9 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair76°F75°F100%1013.6 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE8NE6NE7E9E12E13NE9E11NE11E11NE11E11NE12NE8E5E7E3E5SE6SE6SE3E5SE3NW3
1 day agoNW3E5E4CalmE6E11E13
G18
E10E11E11E7E9E13E9E9NE6E5NE5E4E6E5NE5NE5NE5
2 days agoN3W3CalmCalmCalmNE3E4SE5E5SE6E9E5E9E8E6CalmE5E4E6E3E3E4E4NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
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Wed -- 12:38 AM EDT     0.23 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:49 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:49 PM EDT     0.18 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:03 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.20.20.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.100.10.20.20.20.1-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-00.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian, Indian River, Florida
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Sebastian
Click for Map
Wed -- 06:32 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:03 PM EDT     0.45 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:54 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.50.40.30.20.10-0-00.10.20.30.40.40.40.40.20.10-0-000.10.20.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.