Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian River Shores, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 5:29PM Saturday November 17, 2018 6:33 PM EST (23:33 UTC) Moonrise 2:18PMMoonset 1:17AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 327 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Tonight..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..East winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 327 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Synopsis..An area of high pressure north of florida will shift eastward during this weekend, allowing winds to veer onshore and weaken into Monday. A secondary high pressure area will build toward the southeast states into mid week gradually increasing the north to northeast flow by Wednesday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, november 15th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian River Shores, FL
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location: 27.73, -80.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 172012
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
312 pm est Sat nov 17 2018

Discussion
Tonight... Surface high pressure will extend from the southeast to
the mid atlantic with low level NE flow above the boundary layer and
a coastal trough setting up near the east coast with surface winds
becoming light northerly to the west of the trough axis. Should have
mostly clear skies inland and some marine stratocu brushing the east
coast. Lows will again be cool in the 50s inland and lower-mid 60s
along the barrier islands from the CAPE south.

Sunday... Surface high will move northeast from the mid atlantic with
the surface coastal trough near the coast breaking down by mid day
allowing low level onshore flow. Short range guidance hinting at
some returning showers across the atlantic though moisture depth in
the h8-h7 still looks relatively dry for much shower activity. Will
limit some low shower chances across the atlantic with land areas
dry. Highs will rebound back above normal in the upper 70s to lower
80s across the area.

Sunday night... Weak convergence associated with a coastal trough
just offshore along with onshore flow will result in low-topped
shower activity but mainly over the atlantic waters. Some showers
will approach the coast overnight Sunday into Monday morning, but
chances look pretty low for any making it on land given the strength
of the onshore flow along with the local airmass remaining quite
dry. Low temperatures will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Monday-Tuesday... Forecast soundings show the atmosphere remaining
dry and suppressed aloft on Monday keeping rain chances below
mentionable levels. A reinforcing frontal boundary and a subtle
piece of energy aloft will move through Monday night into Tuesday
but no precipitation in the forecast due to quite a bit of drier air
remaining below 700 mb. However, an increase in mid and upper cloud
cover can be expected especially across the north before drier air
begins to filter in late in the day on Tuesday. Highs on Monday
will be upper 70s along the volusia coast and low 80s elsewhere.

Increased cloud cover will keep temperatures in the mid 70s on
Tuesday north west of i-4. Upper 70s to near 80 can be expected to
the south.

Extended (slightly modified)... Dry conditions expected to persist
into Wednesday night as dry air mass settles in. Rain chances then
increase by late week as a potent mid-level shortwave moves through
along with potential surface low development across the gulf of
mexico. However, details remain uncertain with the gfs ECMWF showing
a lack of consensus. Temperatures will be near or slightly below
climo through Thursday before warming up a few degrees by late week
into the weekend.

Aviation
Vfr conds expected the next 24 hours with scattered stratocu
dissipating inland this evening but lingering for some cstl
terminals overnight. Onshore flow to 5-10 knots expected Sunday
with scattered stratocu cumulus expected.

Marine
Tonight... Ne ene winds this evening will veer to E late tonight to
around 10 knots. Seas 3-4 ft nearshore to 4-5 ft offshore.

Sunday... Easterly flow around 10 knots with a small shower chance
mainly for the NRN waters. Seas will remain 3-4 ft nearshore and up
to 4-5 ft offshore.

Monday-Tuesday... Light winds 5-10 kt will prevail through Tuesday
morning before turning northerly and increasing to 10-15 kt. For the
offshore waters, some lingering 5 ft seas can be expected near the
gulf stream on Monday before subsiding to 3-4 ft Monday night into
Tuesday. 3-4 ft seas can be expected in the nearshore waters each
day.

Wednesday-Thursday(previous)... No headlines are anticipated through
the holiday with seas around 2 to 3 ft near the immediate coast and
up to 4 ft well offshore. Winds and seas forecast to increase seas
to at least 5 to 6 ft late in the week as possible low pressure
moves associated with gulf wave develops and then moves out of the
local area.

Fire weather
High pressure north of the state will move offshore the mid atlantic
coast this weekend. Onshore winds will develop eventually bringing a
marine influence to the area into Sunday and Monday. A warming trend
will continue through early week with no rain chances expected into
midweek.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 59 78 61 79 10 10 10 10
mco 58 81 61 82 0 0 10 10
mlb 60 81 64 81 0 10 10 10
vrb 59 81 62 82 0 10 10 10
lee 56 80 60 81 0 0 10 10
sfb 58 81 61 82 0 0 10 10
orl 59 81 62 82 0 0 10 10
fpr 58 80 61 82 0 10 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term aviation... Volkmer
mid-long term dss... .Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 10 mi33 min NE 8.9 73°F 73°F1021 hPa (+1.0)
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 15 mi33 min 77°F3 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi33 min 77°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi33 min N 4.1 G 4.1 65°F 77°F1021.6 hPa (+0.9)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 54 mi23 min NE 5.8 G 9.7 75°F 1020.4 hPa58°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 79 mi33 min NNE 13 G 16 76°F 80°F1019.9 hPa (+0.9)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi40 minN 310.00 miA Few Clouds70°F57°F64%1019.6 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi40 minN 310.00 miFair68°F57°F68%1019.5 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5NW4NW6NW6NW7NW8NW7NW8NW8NW10NW8NW7NW6NW6N9N11N11N9
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1 day agoNW10NW6NW8NW4NW7NW7NW8NW7NW7NW7NW7NW7NW8NW8NW7NW11N10N15
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2 days agoE8SE6SE10SE11S6S7S6S6S4SW4S3CalmCalmSW3W13W10NW6W7NW6NW7NW9N6NW8NW11

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:16 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:45 AM EST     0.10 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:04 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:18 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 06:34 PM EST     0.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.1-0.1-000.10.10.10.10-0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-000.10.10.10.10.1-0-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian, Indian River, Florida
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Sebastian
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:17 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:56 AM EST     0.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:12 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:18 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:53 PM EST     0.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.