Wednesday, November22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ruskin, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 5:36PM Wednesday November 22, 2017 3:29 PM EST (20:29 UTC) Moonrise 10:14AMMoonset 9:07PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 301 Pm Est Wed Nov 22 2017
Tonight..Variable winds around 5 knots becoming east around 10 knots in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds around 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots becoming east toward morning. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds around 10 knots becoming southeast late in the morning, becoming northwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 301 Pm Est Wed Nov 22 2017
Synopsis..An area of low pressure developing over the central gulf of mexico will move east northeast across the florida peninsula Thursday and Thursday night and into the atlantic ocean on Friday. Wind speeds are expected to increase to cautionary levels over the northern gulf waters Thursday as this low pressure moves into the region. Sufficient moisture combined with this storm system will continue to support scattered to numerous showers and isolated Thunderstorms over the waters into Friday night. Pleasant dry weather will return to the waters on Saturday as high pressure builds in over the region.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ruskin, FL
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location: 27.73, -82.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 221953
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
253 pm est Wed nov 22 2017

Short term (tonight through Thursday)
Mid upper level trough will continue to amplify over the gulf of
mexico helping to develop an area of low pressure over the central
gulf of mexico. This low will drift east northeast along the stalled
boundary that extends into north florida on Thursday. Deep moisture
and forcing will move into the region late tonight and Thursday
leading to increasing clouds and rain chances from northwest to
southeast during the period. Mid-level temperatures will be cool
enough, -10c to -12c, to allow for enough instability for a few
thunderstorms to develop. Overall it looks rather cloudy and
damp for thanksgiving day, especially across northern and central
florida where the rain should arrive late tonight Thursday
morning, while further to the south and east over the southern
interior and southwest florida most of the rain will not arrive
until midday afternoon. Temperatures tonight will remain in the
60s with highs on Thursday only climbing to near 70 northern
nature coast to near 80 degrees over the southern interior and
southwest florida.

Mid term long term (Thursday night-Wednesday)
A closed upper low sits over northern quebec with deep troughing
extending south along the east coast into the central gulf of
mexico. Not a lot of change is expected through the period as the
trough moves slowly eastward into the western atlantic by the
beginning of next week. Upper ridging moves in behind this trough
and extends from the gulf of mexico over the southeast u.S. On the
surface, models are in good agreement with a developing area of
low pressure in the gulf of mexico that will move eastward along a
frontal boundary to influence the weather late Thursday into
Friday. High rain chances (50-70% pops) can be expected over the
region as this low moves across florida. High pressure builds into
the area behind this low for the remainder of the period bringing
clearing conditions to the region. Temperatures will be slightly
below average through the middle of next week as the high pressure
filters in cooler air in the wake of the low pressure and frontal
boundary.

Aviation
Vfr conditions will prevail into early tonight. Late tonight into
Thursday clouds and showers, and a few thunderstorms, will
overspread the area from northwest to southeast with some
MVFR local ifr conditions anticipated at times.

Marine
A developing area of low pressure in the central gulf of mexico
will move east northeast across florida Thursday into Friday. This
will bring an increase in winds over the gulf waters, mainly from
tampa bay north tonight and Friday, with periods of cautionary
level winds possible. Conditions will improve Friday night into
Saturday as high pressure builds back in over the gulf.

Fire weather
Relative humidity values will remain above critical levels with no
fire weather issues expected through the week as plentiful moisture
remains across the region. Some patchy fog will be possible late
tonight into early Thursday, especially across southwest florida.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 67 75 66 75 50 90 70 60
fmy 67 80 67 77 20 70 40 50
gif 64 77 64 75 30 80 60 60
srq 66 77 65 74 30 80 60 60
bkv 63 74 61 73 60 90 70 60
spg 67 75 66 74 40 90 60 60

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 69 close
mid term long term decision support... 74 wynn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi41 min 73°F 73°F1012.1 hPa
MTBF1 10 mi41 min N 4.1 G 5.1 73°F 1012.8 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 11 mi47 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9 77°F 72°F1013.2 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi41 min SW 4.1 G 4.1 73°F 71°F1012.9 hPa
MCYF1 13 mi41 min 73°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 14 mi59 min N 1 G 2.9
CLBF1 14 mi95 min Calm G 1.9 80°F 1011.9 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 14 mi71 min NE 1 G 2.9
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 27 mi41 min NNW 6 G 6 71°F 69°F1013.2 hPa
42098 28 mi29 min 73°F1 ft
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 35 mi95 min N 2.9 G 5.1 72°F 1014 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 45 mi29 min WNW 8 G 8.9 73°F 73°F1012.7 hPa (-1.4)70°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 47 mi59 min ENE 1.9 G 3.9 75°F

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL10 mi91 minW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F69°F69%1013.2 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL11 mi36 minN 010.00 miFair76°F66°F72%1012.2 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL13 mi34 minSSW 310.00 mi0°F0°F%1012.9 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL17 mi36 minSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F64°F66%1012.8 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL19 mi36 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F63°F58%1012.8 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL20 mi34 minNE 410.00 miFair82°F64°F55%1012.9 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL23 mi54 minENE 310.00 miFair82°F62°F51%1013.5 hPa
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL24 mi36 minW 810.00 miFair79°F66°F67%1012 hPa

Wind History from MCF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE8E8E6E5E3CalmSE4SE3CalmNE3NE4E4E7E6E6E5E5E7E7E733W4NW4
1 day agoE9E10E10E9E13E11E13E11E10E9E9E8E10E10E9E9E8E8SE7S7SE13SE8E6E8
2 days agoNW6NW5N8N8N9N8NE8NE7NE8NE8NE8NE8NE7NE7NE7NE5NE7NE8E9E12E10E9E9E11

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:38 AM EST     2.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:49 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:56 PM EST     1.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:07 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:44 PM EST     1.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.71.92.12.121.71.30.90.50.2-0-0.100.30.60.91.21.31.41.31.31.21.21.3

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:32 AM EST     0.74 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:27 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:12 AM EST     -1.11 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 10:13 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:16 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:41 PM EST     0.84 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:00 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:10 PM EST     -0.11 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:07 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:27 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.70.50.2-0.2-0.6-1-1.1-1-0.8-0.5-0.10.30.60.80.80.70.50.20-0.1-0.10.10.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.