Monday, October15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ruskin, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 7:01PM Monday October 15, 2018 7:37 PM EDT (23:37 UTC) Moonrise 12:28PMMoonset 11:15PM Illumination 39% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 327 Pm Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Tonight..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 327 Pm Edt Mon Oct 15 2018
Synopsis..Surface ridge of high pressure positioned north of the coastal waters will produce a prevailing light to moderate east and southeast flow...with afternoon sea breezes and evening surges expected through the period.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ruskin, FL
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location: 27.73, -82.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 151832
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
232 pm edt Mon oct 15 2018

Short term (tonight - Tuesday)
The upper wave pattern will feature a low pressure system closing
off over the desert SW and four corners region with a subtropical
ridge positioned over the gulf of mexico and southeast u.S. With a
trough deepening over the great lakes and new england. For west-
central and southwest florida, increasing moisture depth
will gradually lead to more afternoon cumulus. The surface
ridge axis positioned north of the peninsula will maintain a
southeast-east flow across the region tonight and Tuesday.

Above normal MAX min temperatures to continue during the
period.

Long term (Tuesday night - Monday)
A positively tilted upper level trough and closed low from the four
corners region extending northeast to the great lakes an
northeastern states will maintain downstream mid upper level ridging
across the gulf and florida through the period as a frontal boundary
stalls out across the northern gulf coast through Wednesday. At the
surface high pressure over the atlantic with the ridge axis north of
the area will continue to support an east-southeast wind flow over
the forecast area with a weak onshore sea breeze component
developing along the coast each afternoon. Dry air aloft and
subsidence from the upper ridge should keep rain chances on the low
side (pops 20 to 30 percent) through Wednesday with only isolated to
widely scattered showers or storms expected, otherwise hot and humid
conditions under partly cloudy skies will be the rule.

During Thursday and Friday a back-door type front will move into the
north-central peninsula as strong surface high pressure builds
toward the mid atlantic coast. With the front sinking into the
region and the high to the north bridging across it a breezy
northeast to easterly wind flow will develop across the region as
the pressure gradient tighten some. Moisture accompanying this front
will support increasing rain chances (pops in the 40 to 60 percent
range) across the forecast area, especially across the nature coast
closest to the front where scattered to numerous showers and
isolated storms can be expected, while lower rain chances (pops 20
to 40 percent) will reside across southwest florida.

During Friday night into Saturday the front to the north or its
remnants will wash out as some slightly drier air temporarily moves
in from the south with lower rain chances (pops 20 to 30 percent)
expected on Saturday. On Sunday models continue to advertise a
stronger cold front approaching from the north and moving into the
forecast area during Sunday afternoon and night as a strong upper
level trough pushes east-southeast toward the mid atlantic coast.

Sufficient moisture accompanying this next front should lead to some
scattered showers and isolated storms over the region through the
period as the front moves into and eventually stalls out across the
south-central peninsula on Monday as it becomes parallel to the
upper level flow. High pressure building quickly toward the mid
atlantic coast on Monday will bridge across the front and produce a
breezy northeast to easterly wind flow across the forecast area as
the gradient tightens.

Temperatures will remain well above normal through late in the week
with some near record highs possible. Overnight lows will range from
the lower to mid 70s over inland areas, to the mid and upper 70s
along the coast with daytime highs climbing into the upper 80s to
lower 90s each afternoon. During late in the weekend and into early
next week temperatures are forecast to drop back to seasonal levels
as some cooler drier air advects into the area in the wake of the
front.

Aviation
East and southeast flow will prevail across the terminals this
afternoon and this evening becoming light overnight into Tuesday
morning.VFR conditions expected across most terminals with some
possibility of MVFR vsby cig around sunrise with increasing dew
points and light flow generating some patchy ground mist around lal
and rsw-fmy.

Marine
Surface ridge axis positioned over the mid atlantic region will
maintain a prevailing southeast and east flow across the area. Weak
sea breeze circulations will generate a variable onshore wind along
the immediate coast and bays during the afternoon and evening.

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected over
the coastal waters each day starting Wednesday as additional
moisture moves into the area and the ridge axis gradually shifts
south over the peninsual as a trough of low pressure pushes off the
eastern u.S.

Fire weather
There are no fire weather concerns as moisture and relative humidity
will remain well above critical levels through the period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 76 90 75 91 10 0 0 10
fmy 76 91 76 91 20 30 20 40
gif 75 90 74 92 10 0 0 10
srq 76 89 76 89 10 0 20 30
bkv 74 90 72 92 10 0 10 10
spg 77 90 77 90 10 0 10 10

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 10 lamarre
long term decision support... 57 mcmichael
upper air public service... 19 hurt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GCTF1 6 mi37 min 88°F 74°F
PMAF1 9 mi37 min 84°F 86°F1017.3 hPa (+0.4)
MTBF1 10 mi37 min WNW 7 G 7 84°F 1017.4 hPa (+0.3)75°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi37 min NNW 6 G 8 85°F 85°F1017.5 hPa (+0.4)
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 11 mi37 min NW 5.1 G 8
MCYF1 13 mi37 min 85°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 14 mi49 min E 2.9 G 4.1
CLBF1 14 mi103 min WNW 4.1 G 6 91°F 1016.4 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 27 mi37 min N 8.9 G 9.9 83°F 85°F1017.7 hPa (+0.0)
42098 28 mi37 min 84°F1 ft
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 35 mi103 min N 8 G 8.9 84°F 1018.1 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 45 mi37 min N 12 G 13 83°F 84°F78°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 47 mi67 min NNW 7.8 G 7.8 84°F1017.4 hPa

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL10 mi41 minN 410.00 miA Few Clouds85°F74°F72%1017.5 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL11 mi44 minNW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy87°F75°F70%1016.6 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL13 mi42 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F69°F59%1017.3 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL17 mi1.7 hrsE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy90°F73°F59%1017.6 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL19 mi44 minNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F75°F74%1017.3 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL20 mi42 minN 010.00 miFair82°F73°F74%1017.6 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL23 mi42 minE 310.00 miFair88°F69°F55%1018.3 hPa
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL24 mi44 minNNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds84°F75°F77%1016.5 hPa

Wind History from MCF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5NE4E10E10E10
G16
SE7SE8E7E5E5E4E5E6SE6SE7S8S6SE4E7CalmE4E6E6N4
1 day agoNE4NE4E8E11E13E11E9E9E8E7E8E8E7E10SE10SE8S7S6S4S3W3N4N7N6
2 days agoN9N6N7N4N4N4NE3CalmNE4NE4NE4NE3N5E4NE8E7CalmN5E4NW3NE6E8E6NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 05:36 AM EDT     2.14 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 01:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:09 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:05 PM EDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.51.61.822.12.121.81.51.20.90.60.40.40.40.50.711.21.31.41.51.4

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:22 AM EDT     0.67 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:32 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:13 AM EDT     -0.84 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 01:28 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:31 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:17 PM EDT     0.65 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:20 PM EDT     0.05 knots Min Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.30.50.70.60.50.2-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.4-0.20.10.40.60.60.60.50.30.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.