Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ruskin, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 7:21PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 2:16 PM EDT (18:16 UTC) Moonrise 11:59AMMoonset 10:57PM Illumination 36% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 953 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
This afternoon..East winds around 5 knots becoming west and increasing to around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northwest winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..North winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest early in the afternoon, then becoming west around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday..North winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 953 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
Synopsis..As hurricane maria continues to pull away from the region over the western atlantic ocean and high pressure remains to our north and west, we will maintain weak gradient flow with light and variable to light north/northwest winds much of the week. Dry conditions are expected through at least mid week with a gradual return of moisture and increasing rain chances Friday into the weekend. High pressure also looks to build in north of the waters over the weekend with a sustained easterly flow pattern setting up.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ruskin, FL
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location: 27.73, -82.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 261731
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
131 pm edt Tue sep 26 2017

Aviation
Some isolated to widely scattered shra tsra may impact kpgd,
kfmy, klal, and krsw terminals between 20-24z and have
included vcts at these sites, otherwiseVFR will prevail.

Some brief ifr vsbys from patchy fog may also impact kpgd
and klal between 09-13z Wednesday morning, otherwiseVFR
will continue. West winds in the 7 to 10 knot range this
afternoon will become light and variable after 02z tonight,
then becoming west at 6 to 8 knots Wednesday afternoon as
the sea breeze redevelops and moves inland.

Prev discussion issued 943 am edt Tue sep 26 2017
update...

weak high pressure to the northwest and hurricane maria
moving slowly north over the atlantic east of the mid
atlantic coast will allow some drier mid level air to
filter into the forecast area the remainder of the day.

This drier air should keep overall rain chances below
normal, however adequate low level moisture combined with
daytime heating should result in isolated to widely
scattered shower storm development over inland locations
along the sea breeze during the afternoon and across
southern most locations where better moisture will reside
while mainly dry conditions are expected from the bay area
north into the nature coast. Afternoon temperatures will
climb toward 90 along the coast prior to the onset of the
sea breeze, with lower 90s expected over inland areas.

High-res model output and ongoing forecast concurs with
this so a morning update will not be required at this time.

Marine...

light winds and slight seas are being observed over the gulf
waters early this morning, and little change to current
conditions expected through the afternoon with a weak
pressure pattern supporting an onshore sea breeze
component around 10 knots developing along the coast during
the afternoon. Ongoing forecast is on track with no changes
expected in the next forecast issuance around 10 am.

Hydrology...

while moderate to major flooding continues on the
withlacoochee river in pasco and hernando counties, the
river is slowly receding. As the water routes farther
downstream, minor flooding is still forecasted to begin
over the next couple of days in northern citrus county. The
withlacoochee river has not flooded in some of these
locations within the last 10+ years. Elsewhere, levels
continue to recede along most of west central florida's
rivers. With no widespread rainfall expected over the next
several days, additional flooding is not expected to occur.

Most of the flooding that occurred from hurricane irma
resulted in the worst flooding many places have seen in the
last 50-70 years. For example, the official crest on the
peace river at arcadia of 19.20 feet was the 3rd highest on
record and the worst flooding since 1933.

Tbw watches warnings advisories...

fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Aviation... 57 mcmichael


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi47 min 83°F 85°F1011.9 hPa
MTBF1 10 mi47 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 83°F 1012.7 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 11 mi47 min SSE 2.9 G 5.1 88°F 85°F1012.9 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi47 min SW 4.1 G 5.1 84°F 85°F1012.6 hPa
MCYF1 13 mi47 min 83°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 14 mi53 min SSW 5.1 G 7
CLBF1 14 mi83 min WSW 5.1 G 7 85°F 1012.2 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 14 mi53 min SSW 5.1 G 8
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 27 mi47 min W 8 G 9.9 83°F 85°F1012.8 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 35 mi83 min W 7 G 8 84°F 1013.9 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 45 mi77 min W 8 G 8.9 84°F 86°F1013 hPa (-0.8)77°F

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL10 mi19 minSW 510.00 miA Few Clouds92°F77°F62%1012.5 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL11 mi24 minSSE 510.00 miA Few Clouds89°F72°F57%1011.6 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL13 mi42 minS 410.00 miOvercast88°F69°F55%1012.5 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL17 mi24 minSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F73°F58%1012.2 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL19 mi24 minNNE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F73°F56%1012 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL20 mi42 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F73°F56%1012.5 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL23 mi62 minNW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy90°F71°F55%1013.2 hPa
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL24 mi24 minW 1010.00 miFair83°F77°F82%1011.6 hPa

Wind History from MCF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4W7W6W5NW5W3W3NW3NW4N3N4NE3E4CalmCalmCalmE3CalmE3S5S5S5SW5SW5
1 day agoE5S8SW4N6N4N3N3NE3NE4E6SE5CalmCalmNE5E5E7E7E8E8E7E5S4SW4SW5
2 days agoE8E8E11SE12E10E12E9E6E6NE4NE5NE6NE3NE3NE4E7NE6E7E10E10E10E9SE6S4

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:39 AM EDT     2.11 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:37 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:25 PM EDT     1.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:57 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.21.31.51.722.12.121.81.51.20.90.60.50.50.60.811.21.41.51.51.41.4

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:21 AM EDT     0.75 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:33 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:57 AM EDT     -0.82 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 12:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:54 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:15 PM EDT     0.63 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:29 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:42 PM EDT     -0.10 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 11:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.30.60.70.70.50.2-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.8-0.7-0.5-0.300.30.50.60.60.50.30.1-0.1-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.