Friday, February15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ruskin, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 6:21PM Friday February 15, 2019 2:16 PM EST (19:16 UTC) Moonrise 2:14PMMoonset 3:21AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 1006 Am Est Fri Feb 15 2019
This afternoon..South winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Southwest winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday night..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Tuesday..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 1006 Am Est Fri Feb 15 2019
Synopsis..Atlantic high pressure extending southwest across florida to the gulf of mexico this morning slowly drops south but continues to dominate the state and much of the gulf through midweek.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ruskin, FL
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location: 27.73, -82.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 151909
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
209 pm est Fri feb 15 2019

Short term (rest of today - Saturday)
Aloft - a low over the great lakes moves into southern quebec
while a trough over the bahamas exits east... Allowing zonal flow
to set up over the gulf of mexico region. Surface - atlantic high
pressure extending southwest across fl to the gulf of mexico
slowly drops south but continuing to dominate fl and much of the
gulf. Initially the axis of this high pressure stretches through
northern fl but shifts down to near south of the florida keys.

The atmosphere continues generally stable but does slowly moisten up
with model pwat values climbing into the 1.3 to 1.4 inch range
sat afternoon. The main impact from this increase will be late
night-early morning patchy fog and low clouds. Temperatures will
run on the warm side of normal by a couple of degrees or so.

Long term (Saturday night- Friday)
Zonal flow aloft and surface high pressure from the western atlantic
extending west across the southern peninsula at the start of the
period will maintain pleasant dry weather through Sunday with
warming temperatures. During next week an amplifying upper level
trough over the western southwestern u.S. Will support a building
downstream upper level ridge over the bahamas and florida with the
attendant surface ridge persisting from the western atlantic across
south florida. The building ridge will keep any low pressure areas
and cold fronts at bay well to the north of the forecast area
through the period with warm and increasingly humid conditions
expected under a deep layered south-southwest wind flow. Some
isolated showers (pops 20 percent) can't be ruled out each day along
the sea breeze circulations within the increasingly humid air mass,
but for the most part mainly rain-free conditions are expected.

Temperatures will run some 10 to 15 degrees above normal with lows
in the 60s, with daytime highs climbing to around 80 to the lower
80s along the coast, and mid to upper 80s inland with some near
record high temperatures possible in some locations.

Aviation
15 18z TAF cycle.VFR conditions with ci give way to MVFR mainly
br btwn 07-15z. Then br and any low clouds lift toVFR bkn at 4-5k
ft. SW winds less than 10kt become light and vrb to calm aft 01z.

Marine
Main concern will be fog; patchy land fog is expected later tonight
that may drift across parts of tampa bay; some sea fog will be
possible Sat afternoon through Sun as warm and moist southerly air
flows across cooler gulf waters.

High pressure from the atlantic dominates the gulf of mexico through
the middle of next week with gentle to moderate veering winds. A
cold front or two may approach but not reach the waters.

Fire weather
A dry air mass through the weekend will preclude any low rh concerns
but with enough moisture for patchy late night fog. Moisture will
slowly increase during next week with some low odds of showers as a
couple of fronts approach but not reach the area.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 61 76 66 78 10 0 0 0
fmy 60 79 65 81 0 0 0 0
gif 58 79 64 82 0 0 0 0
srq 59 74 65 75 0 0 0 0
bkv 54 78 64 80 10 10 0 0
spg 62 76 66 77 10 0 0 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 09 rude
mid term long term decision support... 57 mcmichael


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GCTF1 6 mi34 min 70°F 55°F
PMAF1 9 mi34 min 69°F 68°F1015.1 hPa
MTBF1 10 mi34 min W 6 G 7 69°F 1015.4 hPa58°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 11 mi28 min SSW 7 G 11 70°F 67°F1014.8 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 11 mi34 min SW 8 G 9.9 72°F 67°F1015.2 hPa
MCYF1 13 mi34 min 67°F
CLBF1 14 mi82 min W 5.1 G 6 74°F 1015.4 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 14 mi94 min S 4.1 G 8.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 14 mi34 min SE 8 G 8.9
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 27 mi34 min WNW 4.1 G 5.1 65°F 65°F1015.2 hPa
42098 28 mi46 min 66°F1 ft
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 35 mi82 min NW 5.1 G 7 67°F 1017.5 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 45 mi16 min WNW 4.1 G 4.1 69°F 66°F64°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 47 mi46 min SW 1.9 G 1.9 67°F 66°F1016 hPa

Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL10 mi20 minSSW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F55°F51%1014.5 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL11 mi23 minWSW 710.00 miFair73°F50°F44%1014 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL13 mi21 minS 610.00 miFair75°F57°F54%1014.6 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL17 mi23 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F52°F45%1014.5 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL19 mi23 minSW 810.00 miFair76°F51°F42%1014.3 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL20 mi21 minW 310.00 miFair77°F51°F42%1014.6 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL23 mi21 minW 510.00 miFair77°F50°F39%1015.2 hPa
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL24 mi23 minWSW 810.00 miFair73°F57°F57%1014.4 hPa

Wind History from MCF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7----N6N5N6N5N4NE4N3NE3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmE3CalmSE3SE4S7SW6S7S10
1 day agoNE6NE4NE7NE7NE5NE7NE5NE4N5NE5NE4--N5NE4N4N4NE5NE6E12E9E9NE9----
2 days agoS17
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SW19SW14SW9SW9S9SW7S7SW8SW6NW15
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N9N6N7NE8N4N7N9
G15
NE6NE8N9N9NE3

Tide / Current Tables for Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Shell Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:20 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:25 AM EST     -0.51 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 02:14 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:21 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:43 PM EST     1.88 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.70.3-0-0.3-0.5-0.5-0.3-0.10.30.60.8111.11.11.11.21.31.51.71.91.91.8

Tide / Current Tables for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:49 AM EST     -1.09 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:20 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 06:09 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:07 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:54 AM EST     0.93 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 02:15 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:17 PM EST     0.11 knots Min Flood
Fri -- 06:21 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:27 PM EST     0.58 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 10:31 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.9-1-1.1-1-0.8-0.5-0.10.30.70.90.90.80.60.40.20.10.10.30.40.60.60.40.2-0.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.