Sunday, November19, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Wabasso Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 5:29PM Sunday November 19, 2017 3:48 AM EST (08:48 UTC) Moonrise 7:36AMMoonset 6:39PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 305 Am Est Sun Nov 19 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through late Monday night...
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..North winds around 20 knots and gusty becoming northeast after midnight. Seas building to 4 to 6 feet and higher in the gulf stream with a dominant period 6 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..Northeast winds around 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Showers likely.
Wednesday..North winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Thursday..South winds 5 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 305 Am Est Sun Nov 19 2017
Synopsis..A fast moving cold front will push into the local atlantic waters by early afternoon and continue southward into the evening. Winds and seas will build once again from late this afternoon through Monday due to a surge of moderate to fresh northeast to east winds behind the recent front. Winds and seas will then gradually decrease through Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..North winds will increase during the afternoon to 15 to 20 knots north of the volusia-brevard county line. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday november 16th. 45 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 35 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 29 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 13 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wabasso Beach, FL
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location: 27.74, -80.4     debug

Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 190802 cca
area forecast discussion... Updated to correct wwa
national weather service melbourne fl
302 am est Sun nov 19 2017

A cold front will move through east central florida today with a
small shower threat...

Marine conditions will deteriorate behind the front tonight...

Periodic unsettled weather conditions return Tue thru Thu with
potential lightning storms and higher rain chances...

current... 915 mhz CAPE wind profilers show deepening southwest flow
above the surface ahead of an approaching cold front. Evening
regional sounding data and water vapor imagery continue to show dry
air across the mid upper levels of the atmosphere. Conditions
continue to be precipitation free over ecfl with light variable to
calm surface winds. Temperatures mainly in the 50s with a few l60
degree readings along the space treasure coasts early this morning.

Will monitor for some shallow, patchy fog, but boundary layer winds
may be too much to overcome for formation, outside of prone and low-
lying areas.

Today-tonight... A weakening upper trough approaching the eastern
seaboard will push a weak cold front southward across east central
florida today. By sunrise, the boundary should lie across the
northern peninsula, then move into our northern zones i-4 by early
afternoon. This feature should lie around the treasure coast by
early evening, then continue to push towards southern fl and the fl
straits overnight. The flow aloft remains mainly zonal, but any
mentionable mid-level energy will remain well north of the area.

Pwat values under 1 inch will slowly recover in upwards of 1.60
inches associated with a narrow band of moisture along the front
itself. Precip chances will range from 20 to 30 percent from vero
beach-southern osceola county northward from 15z thru 00z. Overall
rainfall amounts will remain rather light. Low end precip chances
will continue mainly south from melbourne after 00z with chances
continuing to decrease southward through the evening and overnight.

Surface high pressure will build into the area from the north and
west late overnight.

Early morning winds will become southwesterly and increase to 8-13
mph while veering toward the west thru the day ahead of the front,
then the wind component will sharply veer to wnw NW behind the
boundary becoming nnw N thru the night with speeds remaining
somewhat elevated at 5-10 mph. Increasing clouds from the north to
south will occur with the approach of the boundary. Skies will
improve again from this evening-overnight, again from the north to
south across ecfl.

Temperatures will range from the m70s along north of i-4 to
u70s l80s southward toward lake okeechobee. Both cooler drier air
will filter southward down the peninsula overnight with m-u40s north
of i-4 and generally 50s elsewhere, except some l60s possible along
the treasure coast.

Mon-mon night... The area of high pressure over the southeast u.S.

Will push eastward and off of the mid atlc coast Mon night. N ne
winds will veer easterly through the day. The previous front remains
stalled across the fl straits into Mon night, but deep layer
moisture will begin to return overnight with some showery
precipitation developing over the coastal waters and potentially
along the treasure coast. Highs in the low to mid 70s. Milder lows
generally in the 60s, except u50s north of i-4.

Tuesday... An inverted trough with a weak surface low over the
northeastern gulf of mexico will support a southerly flow with
additional moisture. The weak surface low is forecast to move across
north florida during the afternoon and evening. This combined with
the enhanced moisture and impulses of shortwave energy aloft will
lead to high rain chances areawide. Rain chances taper off gradually
farther south as distance from the weak surface low increases. Will
keep a slight chance for thunderstorms.

Wednesday-Friday... Guidance generally agrees that multiple pieces of
mid upper level energy will shift down the rockies plains and carve
out the base of a larger scale trough over the gulf. Will continue
to chance pops from mid to late week as consensus suggests multiple
opportunities for precipitation, particularly on Thursday.

Saturday-Sunday... A brief, weak ridge of high pressure will build
across the region providing a dry weekend with a return to
seasonable temperatures.

Aviation Continued mainlyVFR. Stronger wind speeds above the
surface may limit fog formation this morning. SW W flow around 10
kts today ahead of a cold front will veer to NW N behind it later
today tonight. Brief MVFR shower potential along a narrow band of
moisture associated with the front. Skies becoming mclear tonight
again behind the boundary (from north to south).

Marine Today-tonight... Sw W winds ahead of an approaching cold
frontal boundary. This feature will reach the northern waters by
early afternoon, then continue to slide southward and should
approach sebastian inlet by around 7pm 00z tonight. Winds will veer
nw N behind this feature through late evening and then nne ne
overnight. Wind speeds will approach 15-20 kts over the open atlc,
north of the CAPE from mid-late afternoon and continue to spread
southward over the waters into the evening. While cautionary
statements may be necessary offshore, north of the CAPE later in the
afternoon, will go ahead and initiate an small craft advisory for
both marine legs, north of volusia-brevard county line at 7pm 00z,
then spread southward across the remainder of the waters at
10pm 03z. Winds will reach 20 kts in the advisory with frequent
higher gusts, but seas will be slower to respond. Expect seas over
the gulf stream to reach 6-7 ft over the gulf stream by daybreak mon
morning. The north wind (opposing the gulf stream) and developing
shorter period seas this evening overnight will also make for rough
small craft boating. A narrow band of light, showery precipitation
will accompany the front.

Monday... The small craft advisory continues thru Mon night as winds
continue to veer toward the east and approach 20 kts sustained with
higher gusts likely. Seas build to 5-7 feet over the gulf stream and
5-6 ft near shore.

Tuesday... Poor to hazardous boating conditions as seas of 5-6 feet
in the offshore waters will continue to build to 7-8 feet. Winds and
seas gradually diminish through the day on Tuesday, but high rain
chances along with a few thunderstorms will keep conditions less
than favorable.

Wednesday-Friday... Guidance indicates multiple weak troughs or lows
in vicinity of our waters. Some increase in winds possible on
Thursday if the low pressure becomes better organized. Expect winds
to be generally from the north to northwest with seas 3-5 feet until
Friday when seas build due to increasing winds.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 75 49 72 61 30 10 10 10
mco 78 51 77 60 30 10 10 10
mlb 81 56 75 66 20 20 10 10
vrb 81 60 76 66 20 20 10 10
lee 75 47 74 59 30 10 10 10
sfb 77 50 76 61 30 10 10 10
orl 77 52 75 62 30 10 10 10
fpr 81 61 76 65 10 20 10 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 7 pm this evening to 4 am est Tuesday
for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 4 am est Tuesday
for sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian
inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line
to sebastian inlet 0-20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to
sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term aviation... Sedlock
long term impact weather... Johnson

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 9 mi34 min W 5.1 66°F 66°F1015 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 16 mi49 min 74°F3 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 54 mi39 min W 9.7 G 12 72°F 76°F1013.6 hPa62°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi56 minWSW 310.00 miFair61°F60°F97%1013.9 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL17 mi56 minWNW 310.00 miFair60°F60°F100%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
Last 24hrW4W5CalmCalmCalmN4Calm4S7E7SE8E9E7SE8SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmS5S3SW5SW3W3
1 day agoN7NW5NW4NW5NW6N12
2 days agoCalmW4W5W7W5N10

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Sun -- 04:56 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:25 AM EST     0.21 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:52 PM EST     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:39 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 11:38 PM EST     0.11 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian, Indian River, Florida
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Sun -- 04:51 AM EST     0.08 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:46 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:36 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:29 AM EST     0.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:17 PM EST     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:39 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:34 PM EST     0.40 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.