Friday, July28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wabasso Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 8:14PM Friday July 28, 2017 9:06 AM EDT (13:06 UTC) Moonrise 10:53AMMoonset 11:04PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 406 Am Edt Fri Jul 28 2017
Today..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 406 Am Edt Fri Jul 28 2017
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge over central florida will shift southward ahead of a trough that will push into north florida this weekend. This will produce and increasing offshore wind flow and a higher chance for storms pushing off the coast, especially Sunday and early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday july 28th. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wabasso Beach, FL
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location: 27.74, -80.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 280739
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
339 am edt Fri jul 28 2017

Discussion
Today-tonight... Ridge axis shifts south of the area, as frontal
boundary moves into the southeast united states today. A deep W sw
flow will exist across the region, and while overall pw values
remain around 1.8-2.0 inches, model guidance shows much drier air
moving in from the west between 700-500mb. This mid level dry air
and slight warming of temps aloft has lead to lower MOS pops across
the region this afternoon, especially across northern portions of
east central florida. Greatest chance for showers and storms is
forecast toward the treasure coast (around 40 percent) where
greatest moisture resides and lake sea breeze boundary collisions
are favored. Farther north and inland rain chances will be below
normal, generally ranging from 20-30 percent. Isolated stronger
storms will be possible, especially with any boundary interactions
near the east coast. Main threats will be frequent lightning
strikes, strong downburst winds and locally heavy rainfall.

Limited convection and offshore flow will contribute to high
temperatures in the mid 90s over much of the region, even along the
coast where east coast sea breeze is delayed into mid late
afternoon. Heat index values will continue to range from 100-105
most areas.

Saturday... Mid-upper trough (rather strong for late july) will dig
over the eastern CONUS and drive a frontal boundary into the
southeast states. This will cause the axis of the atlantic surface
ridge to be suppressed south of the state. Southwest winds will
increase and prevent the east coast sea breeze. This will allow max
temps to reach the mid 90s over most of the area. When combined with
surface dew points in the mid 70s, heat indices will continue in
the 100-105 range.

The GFS continues to have an uneven moisture distribution. The
model shows precipitable water starting off below normal, 1.6 to 1.7
inches, then shows a modest increase across the north in the
afternoon. Yesterday it indicated higher moisture in the south.

Rather warm mid level temps and the lack of an east coast sea
breeze suggest a low pop day. MOS values are below 20%, so will
just go with an areawide slight chance for afternoon showers storms.

Sunday-Friday... The trough aloft along the eastern seaboard is still
shown digging far enough south to shove a frontal boundary to near
the florida georgia border on Sunday. The 00z GFS even showed a weak
wind shift reaching our far northern sections late Sun and into mon.

Pre-frontal moisture band will start to affect the area on Sunday
and raise pops sharply after several days with below normal storm
coverage. The models show that even after the main trough lifts out
early next week, a piece of it will persist over the southeast
states and keep a deep moist southwest flow over the area through at
least mid week.

The increased rain chances and cloudiness will take a bite out of
the sizable MAX temps of late, with MOS showing highs in the upper
80s to around 90 degrees by Mon and continuing through the rest of
the period. Weakening and retrograding of the trough aloft is
indicated late in the week, which should allow the atlantic ridge
to build back north with a decrease in deep moisture. Plan to
keep rain chances around 60% through mid week then taper back to
40-50% after that.

Aviation Drier mid level air forecast to move into the region
should keep shower storm coverage more isolated over northern
portions of east central florida into this afternoon. Greater rain
chances will exist toward brevard county and the treasure coast with
boundary interactions that occur with the stalled east coast sea
breeze. Tempo ifr MVFR conditions will occur with any showers and
storms that develop, but due to lower convective coverage for much
of the area will only mention vcts in the tafs for now.

Marine
Today-tonight... High pressure ridge axis shifts south of the waters.

W SW winds up to 10-15 knots will become more southerly into the
afternoon and early evening due to sea breeze development. Seas will
generally range from 1-3 feet. A few stronger offshore moving storms
will be possible today, mainly mid to late afternoon from the cape
southward.

Weekend... Axis of atlantic surface high pressure ridge will get
suppressed south of the state. This will produce an increased
southwest wind flow. Speeds look to mainly be 10-15 knots, but
could be 15-20 knots well offshore. Seas will still only
marginally increase to 2 feet along the coast and up to 4 feet
well offshore.

Coverage of afternoon storms moving offshore on Sat will be low, but
then a pronounced increase is indicated on Sunday.

Mon-tue... The GFS shows a weak frontal trough sagging into our
northern waters. This should keep the pressure gradient light
there while southwest winds around 10 knots hold on in the south.

Seas 2 feet at the coast and up to 3-4 feet well offshore. High
moisture over the area will continue to fuel scattered-numerous
showers and storms (during both the day and night).

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 94 76 94 77 20 10 20 20
mco 95 76 94 77 20 10 20 20
mlb 94 77 95 78 30 20 20 20
vrb 93 76 95 77 40 20 20 20
lee 94 77 93 78 20 10 20 20
sfb 95 78 95 78 20 10 20 20
orl 95 78 94 79 20 10 20 20
fpr 93 75 95 77 40 30 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Weitlich
long term... .Lascody


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 9 mi37 min SW 5.1 81°F 1016 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 16 mi67 min 80°F1 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 46 mi46 min 82°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 48 mi49 min SW 6 G 8 82°F 83°F1016.4 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 54 mi47 min SW 7.8 G 9.7 82°F 82°F1016.1 hPa78°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 80 mi49 min NW 2.9 G 2.9

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi74 minSW 410.00 miFair80°F77°F90%1015 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL17 mi74 minSSW 310.00 miFair80°F78°F94%1015 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5W6CalmSE8SE11SE13SE11E13SE14SE12SE13SE8SE8SE9SW4S4S6SW3S3CalmS4S3SW4SW5
1 day agoS7W54E8E10SE10E12SE14E14SE13SE10SE9SE9SE7SE8S5S4S4SW3S5CalmCalmS5SW6
2 days agoSW6W53NE7E8E8E7E7SE10SE10SE10SE7SE7SE8S6S4S6S5S3CalmSW3CalmSW3S6

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:25 AM EDT     0.17 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:32 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:40 PM EDT     0.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:01 PM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-00.10.10.20.20.10-0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-000.10.20.20.10.1-0-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian, Indian River, Florida
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Sebastian
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:26 AM EDT     0.39 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:28 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:53 PM EDT     0.37 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:13 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:50 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.20.30.40.40.30.30.20.10-0-00.10.20.30.30.40.30.30.20.20.10.10.10.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.