Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Tierra Grande, TX
March 28, 2024 10:13 AM CDT (15:13 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:22 AM Sunset 7:46 PM Moonrise 10:03 PM Moonset 8:08 AM |
GMZ230 Bays And Waterways From Baffin Bay To Port Aransas- 1059 Am Cdt Tue Apr 5 2022
Rest of today - Southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth.
Tonight - Southeast wind around 10 knots shifting south after midnight. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog in the evening. Areas of fog after midnight.
Wednesday - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Patchy fog in the morning.
Wednesday night - North wind 20 to 25 knots. Bays choppy to rough.
Thursday - Northeast wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.
Thursday night - Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Friday - North wind 10 to 15 knots shifting southeast in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Friday night - Southeast wind 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Bays choppy.
Saturday - South wind 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy.
Saturday night - Southeast wind around 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.
GMZ200 1001 Am Cdt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
winds will regain an east-southeasterly component through this afternoon. Onshore flow will strengthen on Friday in response to a low pressure system across the plains. A small craft advisory will likely be needed on Friday. Winds across the nearshore waters will weaken over the evenings hours while remaining elevated offshore as we head into the weekend. Moderate onshore flow Saturday through Sunday will become moderate to strong Monday. A cold front passes through Tuesday morning, shifting winds out of the north. Northerly winds become strong Tuesday night into Wednesday as a reinforcing surge of high pressure pushes through the coastal waters.
winds will regain an east-southeasterly component through this afternoon. Onshore flow will strengthen on Friday in response to a low pressure system across the plains. A small craft advisory will likely be needed on Friday. Winds across the nearshore waters will weaken over the evenings hours while remaining elevated offshore as we head into the weekend. Moderate onshore flow Saturday through Sunday will become moderate to strong Monday. A cold front passes through Tuesday morning, shifting winds out of the north. Northerly winds become strong Tuesday night into Wednesday as a reinforcing surge of high pressure pushes through the coastal waters.
Area Discussion for - Corpus Christi, TX
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FXUS64 KCRP 281113 AFDCRP
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 613 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Water vapor imagery this morning reveals a trough exiting off to our east as an upper ridge builds in to our west. At the surface, high pressure remains in control of the region. As we move through the day, the surface high will slide east lead which will allow for onshore flow to return. We will see a gradual increase in low level moisture through the day which may lead to some fog development tonight. However, confidence is low in our fog potential as winds will be increase in response to a deepening low across the Plains.
Breezy conditions are in store on Friday as southeasterly winds gust up to 35 MPH at times. This may open up a brief period of elevated fire weather concerns during the afternoon hours (See fire section for more).
Temps today will be a bit warmer with highs settling into the mid 70s along the coast to the mid 70s out west. Similar conditions are expected on Friday with highs a couple of degrees warmer. The return of onshore flow will keep our lows tonight 5-10 degrees warmer than what we will see this morning.
Lastly, maintained a moderate risk of rip currents through tomorrow for our Gulf-facing beaches. Swells at buoy 19 are hovering around 8s at a height of 5ft. Gerling-Hanson plots suggests this trend will continue. Onshore flow will likely not be strong enough today to nudge us into the high risk category but we will monitor trends.
LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Key Messages:
▶ High chance (60-85%) of at least 100 degrees max temperatures Monday over the Brush Country
▶ Next cold front Monday night into Tuesday morning
South Texas will remain under quasi-zonal flow positioned over the northern ridge centered over Central America. This will lead to rain- free fair weather days with temperatures warming through the weekend into Monday. In fact, there is a high chance (60-85%) that max temperatures will reach or exceed 100 degrees over the Brush Country on Monday; this is thanks to climatological max 850mb temperatures according to the NAEFS and ECENS.
Following the hot Monday, a deep upper trough and mid-level low over the SW CONUS will elongate and shift eastward across the Great Plains heading into the middle of next week. This will push a cold front through South Texas Monday night into Tuesday, bringing a very low (10-15%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over the Victoria Crossroads and cooler temperatures in its wake. There is also a low chance of elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country late Tuesday morning and afternoon as relative humidity drops below 20 percent and winds exceed 20 mph. A reinforcing surge of high pressure pushes through Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.
Positive mid-level vorticity will hang around as a cut-off mid-level low develops over northern Mexico, moves into South Texas beyond the forecast period. However, at first glance moisture will be below normal in wake of the aforementioned front
Wednesday's highs may drop down into the 70s across most of the area with lows Wednesday night dropping into the upper 40s over the northern Coastal Plains and to the mid 50s along the coast and Rio Grande Plains.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 610 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR conditions continue through this TAF cycle. Light and variable winds this morning will shift to the southeast through the afternoon. Winds will increase this afternoon with gusts from 20-25 knots possible. Winds will weaken late this evening.
However, CRP/LRD will remain elevated through the night.
MARINE
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Winds will regain an east-southeasterly component through the day today. Onshore flow will strengthen on Friday in response to a low pressure system across the Plains. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed on Friday. Winds across the nearshore waters will weaken over the evenings hours while remaining elevated offshore as we head into the weekend. Moderate onshore flow Saturday through Sunday will become moderate to strong Monday. A cold front passes through Tuesday morning, shifting winds out of the north. Northerly winds become strong Tuesday night into Wednesday as a reinforcing surge of high pressure pushes through the coastal waters.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Onshore flow will gradually return to the region today. This will allow for moisture to slowly increase as we head into the weekend.
Onshore flow will strengthen on Friday in response to a low pressure over the Plains. As winds increase to 25-30 knots (thanks for a 30- 40 knot LLJ), we may see a brief period of elevated fire concerns Friday across the Brush Country. This is all dependent on how efficient our moisture return is over the next couple of days. At this time, confidence is low in this conditions developing as the latest round of guidance has low probabilities for these stronger winds occurring while RHs are low.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 82 61 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 79 55 79 61 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 87 62 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 84 57 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 76 66 77 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 86 58 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 82 59 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 78 66 77 67 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 613 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Water vapor imagery this morning reveals a trough exiting off to our east as an upper ridge builds in to our west. At the surface, high pressure remains in control of the region. As we move through the day, the surface high will slide east lead which will allow for onshore flow to return. We will see a gradual increase in low level moisture through the day which may lead to some fog development tonight. However, confidence is low in our fog potential as winds will be increase in response to a deepening low across the Plains.
Breezy conditions are in store on Friday as southeasterly winds gust up to 35 MPH at times. This may open up a brief period of elevated fire weather concerns during the afternoon hours (See fire section for more).
Temps today will be a bit warmer with highs settling into the mid 70s along the coast to the mid 70s out west. Similar conditions are expected on Friday with highs a couple of degrees warmer. The return of onshore flow will keep our lows tonight 5-10 degrees warmer than what we will see this morning.
Lastly, maintained a moderate risk of rip currents through tomorrow for our Gulf-facing beaches. Swells at buoy 19 are hovering around 8s at a height of 5ft. Gerling-Hanson plots suggests this trend will continue. Onshore flow will likely not be strong enough today to nudge us into the high risk category but we will monitor trends.
LONG TERM
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Key Messages:
▶ High chance (60-85%) of at least 100 degrees max temperatures Monday over the Brush Country
▶ Next cold front Monday night into Tuesday morning
South Texas will remain under quasi-zonal flow positioned over the northern ridge centered over Central America. This will lead to rain- free fair weather days with temperatures warming through the weekend into Monday. In fact, there is a high chance (60-85%) that max temperatures will reach or exceed 100 degrees over the Brush Country on Monday; this is thanks to climatological max 850mb temperatures according to the NAEFS and ECENS.
Following the hot Monday, a deep upper trough and mid-level low over the SW CONUS will elongate and shift eastward across the Great Plains heading into the middle of next week. This will push a cold front through South Texas Monday night into Tuesday, bringing a very low (10-15%) chance of showers and thunderstorms over the Victoria Crossroads and cooler temperatures in its wake. There is also a low chance of elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country late Tuesday morning and afternoon as relative humidity drops below 20 percent and winds exceed 20 mph. A reinforcing surge of high pressure pushes through Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning.
Positive mid-level vorticity will hang around as a cut-off mid-level low develops over northern Mexico, moves into South Texas beyond the forecast period. However, at first glance moisture will be below normal in wake of the aforementioned front
Wednesday's highs may drop down into the 70s across most of the area with lows Wednesday night dropping into the upper 40s over the northern Coastal Plains and to the mid 50s along the coast and Rio Grande Plains.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 610 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
VFR conditions continue through this TAF cycle. Light and variable winds this morning will shift to the southeast through the afternoon. Winds will increase this afternoon with gusts from 20-25 knots possible. Winds will weaken late this evening.
However, CRP/LRD will remain elevated through the night.
MARINE
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Winds will regain an east-southeasterly component through the day today. Onshore flow will strengthen on Friday in response to a low pressure system across the Plains. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed on Friday. Winds across the nearshore waters will weaken over the evenings hours while remaining elevated offshore as we head into the weekend. Moderate onshore flow Saturday through Sunday will become moderate to strong Monday. A cold front passes through Tuesday morning, shifting winds out of the north. Northerly winds become strong Tuesday night into Wednesday as a reinforcing surge of high pressure pushes through the coastal waters.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 257 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Onshore flow will gradually return to the region today. This will allow for moisture to slowly increase as we head into the weekend.
Onshore flow will strengthen on Friday in response to a low pressure over the Plains. As winds increase to 25-30 knots (thanks for a 30- 40 knot LLJ), we may see a brief period of elevated fire concerns Friday across the Brush Country. This is all dependent on how efficient our moisture return is over the next couple of days. At this time, confidence is low in this conditions developing as the latest round of guidance has low probabilities for these stronger winds occurring while RHs are low.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 82 61 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 79 55 79 61 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 87 62 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 84 57 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 76 66 77 67 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 86 58 88 63 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 82 59 80 64 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 78 66 77 67 / 0 0 0 0
CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
TLVT2 | 5 mi | 55 min | 62°F | 30.20 | 57°F | |||
TAQT2 - 8775296 - Texas State Aquarium, TX | 6 mi | 55 min | 69°F | 30.19 | ||||
TXVT2 | 6 mi | 55 min | 64°F | 30.20 | 59°F | |||
NUET2 | 7 mi | 55 min | N 4.1G | 69°F | 30.19 | |||
VTBT2 | 8 mi | 55 min | NW 2.9G | 60°F | 71°F | 30.21 | 55°F | |
LQAT2 | 13 mi | 55 min | NW 1.9G | 65°F | 70°F | 30.20 | 60°F | |
PACT2 - 8775792 - Packery Channel, TX | 13 mi | 55 min | SSE 2.9G | 69°F | 68°F | 30.22 | ||
MHBT2 | 15 mi | 55 min | SSW 6G | 69°F | 70°F | 30.20 | 68°F | |
IRDT2 | 19 mi | 55 min | WSW 5.1G | 67°F | 69°F | 30.23 | ||
HIVT2 | 21 mi | 55 min | 69°F | 30.20 | 60°F | |||
RTAT2 - 8775237 - Port Aransas, TX | 21 mi | 55 min | SSE 5.1G | 69°F | 68°F | 30.22 | ||
PTAT2 - Port Aransas, TX | 22 mi | 73 min | S 6G | 67°F | ||||
UTVT2 | 22 mi | 55 min | 69°F | 30.17 | 60°F | |||
ANPT2 | 23 mi | 55 min | SSE 6G | 67°F | 67°F | 30.22 | ||
RCPT2 - 8774770 - Rockport, TX | 29 mi | 55 min | S 5.1G | 67°F | 70°F | 30.19 | ||
BABT2 - 8776604 - Baffin Bay; Point of Rocks, TX | 31 mi | 55 min | W 5.1G | 63°F | 72°F | 30.22 | ||
AWRT2 | 48 mi | 55 min | NNE 4.1G | 64°F | 67°F | 30.22 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KCRP CORPUS CHRISTI INTL,TX | 3 sm | 22 min | SW 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 66°F | 59°F | 78% | 30.24 | |
KNGP CORPUS CHRISTI NAS/TRUAX FIELD,TX | 9 sm | 17 min | S 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 55°F | 50% | 30.23 | |
KRBO NUECES COUNTY,TX | 13 sm | 18 min | SW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 66°F | 57°F | 73% | 30.25 | |
KRAS MUSTANG BEACH,TX | 20 sm | 18 min | S 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 61°F | 73% | 30.26 |
Nueces Bay
Click for Map
Thu -- 07:23 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:53 AM CDT 0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:07 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 07:45 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:09 PM CDT 0.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:03 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 07:23 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:53 AM CDT 0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:07 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 07:45 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:09 PM CDT 0.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 11:03 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Nueces Bay, Texas, Tide feet
12 am |
0.2 |
1 am |
0.2 |
2 am |
0.2 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.1 |
5 am |
0.1 |
6 am |
0.1 |
7 am |
0.1 |
8 am |
0.1 |
9 am |
0.1 |
10 am |
0.1 |
11 am |
0.1 |
12 pm |
0.2 |
1 pm |
0.2 |
2 pm |
0.2 |
3 pm |
0.2 |
4 pm |
0.3 |
5 pm |
0.3 |
6 pm |
0.3 |
7 pm |
0.3 |
8 pm |
0.3 |
9 pm |
0.3 |
10 pm |
0.3 |
11 pm |
0.3 |
Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:33 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:12 AM CDT 1.22 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:22 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 09:06 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 03:13 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:44 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:26 PM CDT -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 11:01 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:33 AM CDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:12 AM CDT 1.22 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 07:22 AM CDT Sunrise
Thu -- 09:06 AM CDT Moonset
Thu -- 03:13 PM CDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:44 PM CDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:26 PM CDT -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 11:01 PM CDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots
12 am |
-0.8 |
1 am |
-0.5 |
2 am |
-0.2 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.5 |
5 am |
0.8 |
6 am |
1.1 |
7 am |
1.2 |
8 am |
1.2 |
9 am |
1 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.5 |
1 pm |
0.4 |
2 pm |
0.2 |
3 pm |
0 |
4 pm |
-0.2 |
5 pm |
-0.3 |
6 pm |
-0.5 |
7 pm |
-0.7 |
8 pm |
-0.9 |
9 pm |
-1.1 |
10 pm |
-1.3 |
11 pm |
-1.2 |
Corpus Christi, TX,
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