Thursday, August24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Medulla, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 7:58PM Thursday August 24, 2017 6:41 AM EDT (10:41 UTC) Moonrise 8:47AMMoonset 9:06PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 353 Am Edt Thu Aug 24 2017
Today..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming north early in the afternoon, then becoming northwest around 10 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..North winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 353 Am Edt Thu Aug 24 2017
Synopsis..An area of low pressure lingering off the southwest florida coast will slowly lift north or northeast Friday into Saturday...bringing a greater chance for showers and Thunderstorms for the coastal waters. A more typical summertime pattern will return later this weekend into early next week as this low pulls away to the norheast. No headlines are in place at this time...but winds will periodically increase to around 15 knots and close to exercise caution criteria at times through the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Medulla, FL
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location: 27.97, -82.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 240751
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
351 am edt Thu aug 24 2017

Short term (today-Friday)
A strong mid upper-level low continues to lift away from north of the
new england region, with troughing extending across much of the
eastern half of the country and ridging to the west. This trough does
not quite extend south over florida, where weak ridging resides. At
the surface, the ridge axis remains across the central part of the
florida peninsula, with a weak trough located somewhere off the
southwest florida coast. Radar imagery early this morning shows
mostly dry conditions across the forecast area, but scattered
convection is found just south of our waters.

The weak high pressure aloft will generally remain in place for today
and Friday as the east coast trough continues to lift away. The
surface is where things get a bit more interesting. The trough
mentioned has been highlighted by the national hurricane center as
having a low chance for tropical development as it is rather ill-
defined. Nevertheless, it will likely help increase our rainfall
amounts as we will have lift associated with the trough along with
help from the sea breeze. Some higher rainfall totals will certainly
be possible, along with some localized flooding.

The overall set-up for Friday is similar to today, although models
tend to to show a better-defined low trough over the region for
Friday. Again, this feature will likely lead to increased rainfall
chances, with some higher amounts likely and localized flooding
possible.

Long term (Friday night-Wednesday)
Aloft - broad troughiness continues over the eastern u.S. As what
is currently tropical storm harvey resides in the western gulf...

please monitor national hurricane center forecasts for details...

through the weekend as weak ridging from the atlantic reaches to the
central gulf. After the weekend harvey is expected to move toward
the tx la coast as the ridge strengthens across fl and the gulf.

Surface - the period kicks off with a meandering frontal boundary
strung out along the gulf coast... With the aforementioned tropical
storm harvey near the tx coast and a weak surface trough located in
fl. The atlantic subtropical ridge stretches across the bahamas and
through the florida straits... Between the keys and cuba. These
features drift around nearly in place during the weekend. For the
start of the workweek the fl trough slides out over the atlantic and
deepens into a low that tracks along the eastern seaboard with the
frontal boundary sagging south into fl then lifting back north. The
subtropical ridge axis remains along the north side of cuba.

The frontal boundary to the north and the deepening surface trough
will be the main drivers for the sensible weather across the area.

Deep moisture... With model pwat values 1.8 to over 2 inches remains
in place which with some lift from the frontal boundary and
afternoon sea breeze circulations will support isolated-scattered-
numerous showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures will run above
normal for the lows while the highs will be around to just above
normal.

Aviation
MainlyVFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Winds
will remain rather light and variable overnight and into Thursday
morning, with the sea breeze then turning winds onshore at the coast
in the afternoon. All terminals will have a good chance for
thunderstorms at some point in the afternoon and evening, with vcts
in the forecast starting around 17-18z.

Marine
An area of low pressure lingering off the southwest florida coast
will slowly drift north or northeast Friday into Saturday, bringing a
greater chance for showers and thunderstorms for the coastal waters.

A more typical summertime pattern will return later this weekend into
early next week as this low pulls away to the northeast. No headlines
are in place at this time, but winds will periodically increase to
around 15 knots and close to exercise caution criteria at times
through the weekend.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns for the next several days as relative
humidity levels will remain above critical levels. No significant
visibility restrictions are expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 91 78 90 78 50 30 60 40
fmy 88 76 86 77 70 50 80 50
gif 92 75 91 75 60 20 70 30
srq 90 76 89 77 60 30 60 50
bkv 92 75 92 75 50 30 60 20
spg 90 79 89 79 50 30 50 50

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Short term aviation marine fire weather... 05 carlisle
mid term long term decision support... 09 rude


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 21 mi47 min ENE 2.9 G 2.9
MCYF1 21 mi41 min 89°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 22 mi53 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 29 mi41 min E 1.9 G 2.9 78°F 87°F1011.4 hPa (-0.0)
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 35 mi41 min ESE 4.1 G 8 80°F 88°F1011.5 hPa (-0.0)
PMAF1 36 mi41 min 76°F 86°F1010.5 hPa (-0.3)
MTBF1 37 mi41 min ESE 8.9 G 11 78°F 1011.3 hPa (-0.4)
CLBF1 39 mi107 min NE 1.9 G 1.9 78°F 1010.5 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 43 mi41 min E 5.1 G 7 78°F 88°F1011.3 hPa (-0.3)
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 43 mi107 min E 8 G 8.9 78°F 1011.8 hPa
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 47 mi107 min E 2.9 G 4.1 77°F 1011.5 hPa

Wind History for East Bay Causeway, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lakeland Regional, FL1 mi51 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F75°F100%1011.5 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL7 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair77°F75°F94%1012.2 hPa
Bartow Municipal, FL13 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair75°F0°F%1011.8 hPa
Winter Havens Gilbert Airport, FL16 mi48 minNE 310.00 miFair77°F73°F90%1011.6 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL17 mi66 minN 04.00 miFog/Mist77°F73°F89%1011.5 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL23 mi66 minENE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F78°F100%1011.5 hPa

Wind History from LAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4CalmNE3NE3NE5CalmNE4E4E7NE5E6E13
G18
SE84CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3
1 day agoE5E6E6E6E7E10
G15
E4E5E7N8NE5NE8NE9NE13E5E7E7E4E4E4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoE4E4E6E9E6E6SE6CalmE4E5E10E10E9E5E5E5E6E4E5E5E4CalmE5E4

Tide / Current Tables for CSX Rockport, Mckay Bay Entrance, Florida
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CSX Rockport
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:43 AM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:39 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:36 PM EDT     2.82 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:18 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.71.21.72.12.32.32.21.81.51.10.90.91.11.72.22.62.82.82.62.21.71.20.90.7

Tide / Current Tables for Pendola Point, Hillsborough Bay, Florida
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Pendola Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:51 AM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:15 AM EDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:47 PM EDT     2.73 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:00 PM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.81.21.622.22.32.11.91.51.211.11.31.72.12.42.72.72.62.21.71.30.90.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.