Monday, May22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Malabar, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 8:10PM Monday May 22, 2017 5:31 PM EDT (21:31 UTC) Moonrise 3:11AMMoonset 3:50PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 301 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
Tonight..South winds 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of offshore moving showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday..North winds 5 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 feet.
Saturday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out 60 Nm- 301 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
Synopsis..Winds will veer to the south-southeast as a high pressure ridge shifts south across the region. Winds will then continue to veer to the south-southwest and increase through mid week with a greater chance for offshore moving storms. A few strong storms into early evening north of sebastian inlet and again on Wednesday into Thursday areawide as a frontal boundary approaches the waters.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday may 21st. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Malabar, FL
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location: 27.99, -80.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 221847
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
247 pm edt Mon may 22 2017

Discussion
Tonight and Tuesday... East and west coast sea breeze boundaries
were moving slowly inland at this hour and the features have
served as the main development area for some early showers.

Further development of showers and storms will occur into the
evening with the main chance of locally stronger storms around
the time of breeze collision late this afternoon. The i-4
corridor including volusia and eventually brevard county remain in
an area expecting to see at least scattered storms into this
evening.

During tue, the combination of destabilized upr level, suitable
moisture and sfc boundaries will produce a round of sct storms in
the afternoon, with north and inland locations most likely for
coverage over the eastern peninsula. Lingering cloud cover may
delay instability and speed of warmup to produce optimal diurnal
pcpn and coverage has been capped ATTM to no higher than 40
percent beginning around mid day and continuing through the
afternoon.

Tue night-thu night... A vigorous upper trough over the central conus
will deepen and move southeastward toward the deep south thru wed-
wed night, then across the fl peninsula on Thu advancing
northeastward up the eastern seaboard overnight. This will push a
surface cool front into the fl panhandle early on Wed with this
boundary pressing slowly southward into north-central fl late
overnight on Wed and across ecfl late Thu morning/afternoon. Pwat
values will flirt with 1.60-1.90 inches during this time ahead of
the front. The pressure gradient will tighten ahead of the front
with breezy/gusty swrly winds on wed/thu across much of the area.

For precip, lingering convective activity will generally wind down
tue evening, but cannot rule out at least a schc overnight. Late
overnight Tue and towards Wed morning there is a potential for
additional showers/storms north of i-4 potentially from an
approaching late night squall line from the north. Medium range
models show this area of pcpn sagging southward during the day on
wed, perhaps initially on a weakening trend. During the
afternoon/early evening there may develop another squall line north
of the area (ahead of the surface front) that will push thru ecfl
during the evening/overnight Wed into Thu morning. Wishful
thinking/hoping suggests up to 1-2 inches areawide with locally some
higher amounts across the area on Wed into Thu before everything is
said and done. The SPC has all of ecfl in a slight risk for severe
storms for Wed morning-thu morning. Threats will include locally
heavy downpours, small hail, frequent lightning, and damaging
straight-line winds. An isolated tornado or two will also be in play.

Conditions will begin to dry over the area (from north to south) thu
afternoon into Thu evening. Lows generally mild ranging from the
u60s to l70s, except a brief cooler period Thu overnight with values
generally in the 60s areawide. Highs mainly in the 80s, but may see
some l90s southward with thinner cloud cover here initially on wed.

Previous extended forecast discussion...

fri-memorial day weekend... Trough aloft will lift out Fri and
abandon the frontal boundary, which oozes into south florida and
washes out. High pressure ridge will build from the gulf of mexico
across the area Fri and extend into the atlantic through memorial
day.

Drying looks sufficient for no pops on Fri except maybe close to
lake okeechobee. Moisture return looks limited through the memorial
day weekend, so any boundary driven showers/storms during the
afternoon will have low coverage and favor interior sections.

Outlook for the beaches on the upcoming holiday weekend:
the axis of a high pressure ridge is forecast to extend from the
gulf of mexico across the florida peninsula into the atlantic.

This will provide rather light winds and there are no sources of
long period swell indicated. While rip currents can still occur,
they shouldn't be nearly as active as the last 2 memorial day
weekends (3 fatalities in 2016 and 4 in 2015). The chance for
afternoon lightning storms looks low at this time.

Aviation
Local showers and storms occurring along boundaries will focus
toward the central and coastal areas through this evening. Tempo
ifr/MVFR conditions will occur with any showers and storms that
develop. A little less coverage of showers and storms on Tuesday
afternoon, however some tempo reductions to cloud and vsby wl
occur in affected locations areawide.

Marine
Tonight and tue... Gradient winds wl increase up to 15-20 knots
offshore of volusia/brevard counties tonight, increasing seas up
to 4 feet.

Tuesday... Low pressure moving along stalled out front to the
north on Tue will increase southwest winds with speeds up to 15-20
knots well offshore. Winds/seas will be higher briefly near
showers and storms moving offshore.

Tue night-sat... A slow-moving late season cool front will move from
the gulf coast states into ecfl on thu, then wash out across the
southern fl peninsula on fri. Swrly winds will veer west thru the
day on thu, then NW Thu night with onshore flow returning again fri
afternoon and sat. There will be a period of wind speeds 15-20 kts
tue evening offshore, then winds will increase Wed night-thu to 20-
25 kts and gusty. The pressure gradient decreases fairly rapidly
behind the front with improving boating conditions fri-sat as high
pressure settles into the area.

Seas generally 3-5 ft building to 6-8 ft well offshore late
overnight wed-thu, then subsiding to AOB 3 ft areawide on fri-sat.

Expect a few periods of scattered-numerous showers/scattered storms
wed-thu ahead of the front. The convection will be fast-moving off
of the east coast wed-thu. Some strong storms will occur.

Preliminary point temps/pops
Dab 71 88 72 86 / 50 40 50 80
mco 71 90 72 87 / 50 40 20 80
mlb 72 91 73 90 / 40 30 20 70
vrb 71 93 75 91 / 20 30 30 60
lee 73 87 75 84 / 30 40 40 80
sfb 72 91 73 85 / 50 40 30 80
orl 72 89 74 86 / 50 40 30 80
fpr 70 92 72 92 / 20 30 30 60

Mlb watches/warnings/advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Pendergrast
long term... .Sedlock
aviation... Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 11 mi32 min SE 16 79°F 1016 hPa (-2.0)
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 28 mi41 min 80°F3 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 29 mi44 min ESE 8.9 G 16 83°F 83°F1016.3 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 36 mi32 min 80°F3 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 41 mi32 min SE 14 G 16 79°F 79°F1016.1 hPa (-2.7)73°F
41116 42 mi92 min 80°F2 ft
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 98 mi50 min SW 8 G 13

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL9 mi39 minESE 15 G 2310.00 miA Few Clouds85°F70°F61%1014.6 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL17 mi94 minSE 1410.00 miFair85°F70°F62%1015.6 hPa

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Micco, Indian River, Florida
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Micco
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:00 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:21 AM EDT     0.34 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:25 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:00 PM EDT     0.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.10.10.10.20.20.30.30.30.30.20.10-0.1-0.1-0.1-00.10.20.30.40.40.30.2

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:14 AM EDT     3.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:36 AM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:49 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:56 PM EDT     3.79 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.411.82.63.23.53.42.921.10.3-0.2-0.30.21.12.12.93.63.83.52.81.910.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.