Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Melbourne Beach, FL
March 29, 2024 10:10 AM EDT (14:10 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:13 AM Sunset 7:39 PM Moonrise 10:53 PM Moonset 8:34 AM |
AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 355 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am edt this morning - .
Today - North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday - Southwest winds 5 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Tuesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 355 Am Edt Fri Mar 29 2024
Synopsis - A fresh to strong north to northeast breeze will continue to produce hazardous boating conditions across portions of the local atlantic today. Northeast winds gradually diminish this afternoon, but a lingering swell will continue to produce poor to hazardous boating conditions across the gulf stream waters through tonight. High pressure will build into the region through early next week with dry weather and improving boating conditions.
Gulf stream hazards - Northerly winds 15 to 20 knots, with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday, march 29th.
36 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Friday, march 29th.
36 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 21 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMLB 291304 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 904 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
...New UPDATE, MARINE, PREV FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION, PREV HYDROLOGY, PREV DISCUSSION...
UPDATE
Issued at 903 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
A dry, post frontal airmass has settled across east central Florida, and the 10Z XMR sounding has indicated a PWAT of 0.53". Visible satellite shows clear skies across the local area with scattered stratocu contained to the Atlantic waters. North to northeast winds increase to around 10 mph this afternoon, becoming gusty along the southern Brevard and Treasure Coasts. Slightly below seasonal temperatures are generally forecast with highs ranging the mid 70s to low 80s. Areas along the Volusia coast are forecast to remain slightly cooler in the low 70s. The current forecast remains on track.
MARINE
Issued at 903 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Currently-Tonight (modified previous)... Poor to hazardous boating conditions this morning will gradually improve into the afternoon and overnight. North to northeast winds at 15-25kts this morning are forecast to weaken to 15-20kts by late morning, and then to 5-10kts as winds veer onshore overnight. Seas are expected to build to 4-7ft nearshore and up to 7-9ft over the offshore (20-60nm) waters into the afternoon. Seas then subside to 4-5ft nearshore and 6-7ft offshore and over the Gulf Stream overnight. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through tonight for the local Atlantic waters with the exception of nearshore Volusia county and nearshore Brevard county waters (the SCA there ends at 10am).
PREV FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 451 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Currently-Today... Fire sensitive conditions are forecast today.
Drier and cooler air will continue to filter in across east central Florida as high pressure builds to the northwest over the Deep South. North-northeast winds at 12-18 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph along the coast this morning are expected to weaken into the late afternoon at around 10 mph. Minimum RH values are forecast to drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s across the interior west of I-95 and into the low to mid 40s along the coast this afternoon.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 903 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
VFR prevailing through the period. North winds increase to around 12 kts this afternoon, veering northeast. Occasional wind gusts between 15-20 kts at coastal terminals.
PREV HYDROLOGY
Issued at 451 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
North-northeast winds at 10-15mph into this afternoon are currently forecast to cause river levels along the St. Johns River at Astor to rise to or just above Action Stage of 2.0 feet today.
River levels should then fall below Action Stage late this weekend as winds continue to decrease and become onshore.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 451 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Currently-Tonight... Local radar imagery shows dry conditions and GOES-16 Nighttime Microphysics shows mostly clear skies across east central Florida this morning. Northeasterly flow remains in place over central Florida as high pressure builds over the Deep South.
Current temperatures are in the mid to upper 50s across much of east central Florida with the exception of the Treasure Coast where temperatures are in the upper 50s to mid 60s with dew point temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.
A 1024mb high is forecast to build to the northwest over the Deep South and bring cooler and drier air to the region. Breezy north- northeast winds at 12-20 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph along the coast this morning are expected to weaken into the late afternoon at around 10 mph. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the mid 70s to low 80s with dew points dropping into the low 40s to mid 50s this afternoon. Additionally, a High Risk for dangerous rip currents exists at the local beaches today. Entering the surf is not advised.
The quiet and dry weather will continue overnight with light and variable winds under clear skies. Low temperatures are forecast to drop into the upper 40s to low 50s north of I-4 and the mid 50s to near 60 degrees to the south.
Saturday-Sunday...The bottom line up front is that this weekend looks very pleasant, with no rain, lots of sunshine, and a warming trend into the 80s. Models place us on the eastern periphery of a building mid level ridge over the central U.S. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to be centered atop the Southeast states. All of this works in favor of keeping rain out of the forecast both Saturday and Sunday. Surface winds will remain light and easterly Saturday, gradually veering southeast behind a developing east coast sea breeze late in the afternoon. Light southerly winds Sunday will back more onshore behind the sea breeze. The breeze may keep daytime highs a few degrees cooler at the coast this weekend.
Efficient radiational cooling is expected to drop temperatures into the 50s Saturday and Sunday morning, with Saturday being the coolest of both mornings. A handful of locations north of Interstate 4 could fall into the upper 40s for a couple of hours prior to sunrise Saturday. As previously mentioned, temperatures rebound quickly into the 70s/80s each afternoon, with most spots reaching 80 degrees on Sunday. The warmest readings will be over the interior, where diurnal maxes are reached before the afternoon/early evening sea breeze arrives.
Monday-Thursday...Surface high pressure starts to lose its grip on the weather pattern early next week, sliding eastward Monday into Tuesday. A mid level ridge axis propagates east across the Gulf of Mexico into Tuesday, flattening out ahead of an approaching cold front on Wednesday. The warming trend ramps up Monday and Tuesday, with highs reaching well above normal values, especially on Tuesday, thanks to low-level southerly warm air advection. Record warmth appears possible Tuesday, though the daily record highs for April 1st are a couple to a few degrees warmer than current forecast values. South winds are going to be breezy Tuesday as well, with a stronger west coast sea breeze that may keep the east coast breeze pinned closer to Interstate 95.
The timing of Wednesday's front, based on the latest guidance, appears favorable for pre-frontal scattered showers and isolated lightning storms to form. Convection would be taking advantage of modest daytime instability (MUCAPE 700-1000 J/kg) and increasing 850mb flow to around 40 kt. Some limiting factors to more robust convection occurring could include marginal 850mb temps around -7C, increasing cloud cover, and largely unidirectional flow. For now, likely PoPs were kept out of the forecast, with 40-50 percent from Melbourne northward. As confidence increases in rain chances, higher PoPs will need to be introduced, especially across the northern half of the forecast area. Outside of shower or storm activity ahead of the front, southwest winds will become quite gusty, perhaps approaching low-end Wind Advisory criteria (35-40 mph gusts).
Lingering rain showers come to an end early Thursday morning across the far south, with significantly drier and cooler moving in behind the cold front. Thursday's afternoon highs are around 10 degrees cooler than Wednesday's, resetting in the 70s to low 80s, accompanied by breezy northwest winds.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 73 52 78 55 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 77 54 81 58 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 76 58 77 58 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 78 57 79 56 / 0 10 0 0 LEE 77 53 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 77 52 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 77 55 81 58 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 78 55 78 56 / 0 10 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for AMZ552.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ570-572-575.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 904 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
...New UPDATE, MARINE, PREV FIRE WEATHER, AVIATION, PREV HYDROLOGY, PREV DISCUSSION...
UPDATE
Issued at 903 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
A dry, post frontal airmass has settled across east central Florida, and the 10Z XMR sounding has indicated a PWAT of 0.53". Visible satellite shows clear skies across the local area with scattered stratocu contained to the Atlantic waters. North to northeast winds increase to around 10 mph this afternoon, becoming gusty along the southern Brevard and Treasure Coasts. Slightly below seasonal temperatures are generally forecast with highs ranging the mid 70s to low 80s. Areas along the Volusia coast are forecast to remain slightly cooler in the low 70s. The current forecast remains on track.
MARINE
Issued at 903 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Currently-Tonight (modified previous)... Poor to hazardous boating conditions this morning will gradually improve into the afternoon and overnight. North to northeast winds at 15-25kts this morning are forecast to weaken to 15-20kts by late morning, and then to 5-10kts as winds veer onshore overnight. Seas are expected to build to 4-7ft nearshore and up to 7-9ft over the offshore (20-60nm) waters into the afternoon. Seas then subside to 4-5ft nearshore and 6-7ft offshore and over the Gulf Stream overnight. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through tonight for the local Atlantic waters with the exception of nearshore Volusia county and nearshore Brevard county waters (the SCA there ends at 10am).
PREV FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 451 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Currently-Today... Fire sensitive conditions are forecast today.
Drier and cooler air will continue to filter in across east central Florida as high pressure builds to the northwest over the Deep South. North-northeast winds at 12-18 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph along the coast this morning are expected to weaken into the late afternoon at around 10 mph. Minimum RH values are forecast to drop into the upper 20s to mid 30s across the interior west of I-95 and into the low to mid 40s along the coast this afternoon.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 903 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
VFR prevailing through the period. North winds increase to around 12 kts this afternoon, veering northeast. Occasional wind gusts between 15-20 kts at coastal terminals.
PREV HYDROLOGY
Issued at 451 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
North-northeast winds at 10-15mph into this afternoon are currently forecast to cause river levels along the St. Johns River at Astor to rise to or just above Action Stage of 2.0 feet today.
River levels should then fall below Action Stage late this weekend as winds continue to decrease and become onshore.
PREV DISCUSSION
Issued at 451 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Currently-Tonight... Local radar imagery shows dry conditions and GOES-16 Nighttime Microphysics shows mostly clear skies across east central Florida this morning. Northeasterly flow remains in place over central Florida as high pressure builds over the Deep South.
Current temperatures are in the mid to upper 50s across much of east central Florida with the exception of the Treasure Coast where temperatures are in the upper 50s to mid 60s with dew point temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.
A 1024mb high is forecast to build to the northwest over the Deep South and bring cooler and drier air to the region. Breezy north- northeast winds at 12-20 mph with gusts to 25-30 mph along the coast this morning are expected to weaken into the late afternoon at around 10 mph. Afternoon highs are forecast to reach the mid 70s to low 80s with dew points dropping into the low 40s to mid 50s this afternoon. Additionally, a High Risk for dangerous rip currents exists at the local beaches today. Entering the surf is not advised.
The quiet and dry weather will continue overnight with light and variable winds under clear skies. Low temperatures are forecast to drop into the upper 40s to low 50s north of I-4 and the mid 50s to near 60 degrees to the south.
Saturday-Sunday...The bottom line up front is that this weekend looks very pleasant, with no rain, lots of sunshine, and a warming trend into the 80s. Models place us on the eastern periphery of a building mid level ridge over the central U.S. At the surface, high pressure is forecast to be centered atop the Southeast states. All of this works in favor of keeping rain out of the forecast both Saturday and Sunday. Surface winds will remain light and easterly Saturday, gradually veering southeast behind a developing east coast sea breeze late in the afternoon. Light southerly winds Sunday will back more onshore behind the sea breeze. The breeze may keep daytime highs a few degrees cooler at the coast this weekend.
Efficient radiational cooling is expected to drop temperatures into the 50s Saturday and Sunday morning, with Saturday being the coolest of both mornings. A handful of locations north of Interstate 4 could fall into the upper 40s for a couple of hours prior to sunrise Saturday. As previously mentioned, temperatures rebound quickly into the 70s/80s each afternoon, with most spots reaching 80 degrees on Sunday. The warmest readings will be over the interior, where diurnal maxes are reached before the afternoon/early evening sea breeze arrives.
Monday-Thursday...Surface high pressure starts to lose its grip on the weather pattern early next week, sliding eastward Monday into Tuesday. A mid level ridge axis propagates east across the Gulf of Mexico into Tuesday, flattening out ahead of an approaching cold front on Wednesday. The warming trend ramps up Monday and Tuesday, with highs reaching well above normal values, especially on Tuesday, thanks to low-level southerly warm air advection. Record warmth appears possible Tuesday, though the daily record highs for April 1st are a couple to a few degrees warmer than current forecast values. South winds are going to be breezy Tuesday as well, with a stronger west coast sea breeze that may keep the east coast breeze pinned closer to Interstate 95.
The timing of Wednesday's front, based on the latest guidance, appears favorable for pre-frontal scattered showers and isolated lightning storms to form. Convection would be taking advantage of modest daytime instability (MUCAPE 700-1000 J/kg) and increasing 850mb flow to around 40 kt. Some limiting factors to more robust convection occurring could include marginal 850mb temps around -7C, increasing cloud cover, and largely unidirectional flow. For now, likely PoPs were kept out of the forecast, with 40-50 percent from Melbourne northward. As confidence increases in rain chances, higher PoPs will need to be introduced, especially across the northern half of the forecast area. Outside of shower or storm activity ahead of the front, southwest winds will become quite gusty, perhaps approaching low-end Wind Advisory criteria (35-40 mph gusts).
Lingering rain showers come to an end early Thursday morning across the far south, with significantly drier and cooler moving in behind the cold front. Thursday's afternoon highs are around 10 degrees cooler than Wednesday's, resetting in the 70s to low 80s, accompanied by breezy northwest winds.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 73 52 78 55 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 77 54 81 58 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 76 58 77 58 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 78 57 79 56 / 0 10 0 0 LEE 77 53 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 77 52 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 77 55 81 58 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 78 55 78 56 / 0 10 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for AMZ552.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ570-572-575.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 24 mi | 44 min | 71°F | 3 ft | ||||
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 25 mi | 52 min | N 5.1G | 66°F | 76°F | |||
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL | 37 mi | 40 min | NNW 16G | 65°F | 30.11 | 62°F | ||
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 40 mi | 44 min | 72°F | 5 ft | ||||
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL | 99 mi | 64 min | NNE 7G |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMLB MELBOURNE INTL,FL | 6 sm | 17 min | NNW 08 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 57°F | 64% | 30.12 | |
KCOF PATRICK AFB,FL | 13 sm | 15 min | NNW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 70°F | 59°F | 69% | 30.10 |
Canova Beach
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:04 AM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:34 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:50 AM EDT 3.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:15 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:38 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:34 PM EDT 3.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:04 AM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 09:34 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 10:50 AM EDT 3.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:15 PM EDT -0.07 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:38 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:34 PM EDT 3.32 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:53 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Canova Beach, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
3.2 |
1 am |
2.6 |
2 am |
1.9 |
3 am |
1.2 |
4 am |
0.7 |
5 am |
0.4 |
6 am |
0.6 |
7 am |
1.1 |
8 am |
1.8 |
9 am |
2.5 |
10 am |
3 |
11 am |
3.2 |
12 pm |
2.9 |
1 pm |
2.3 |
2 pm |
1.6 |
3 pm |
0.8 |
4 pm |
0.2 |
5 pm |
-0.1 |
6 pm |
0 |
7 pm |
0.5 |
8 pm |
1.3 |
9 pm |
2.1 |
10 pm |
2.8 |
11 pm |
3.3 |
Micco
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:00 AM EDT 0.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:49 AM EDT 0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:34 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 12:57 PM EDT 0.30 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:38 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT -0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:00 AM EDT 0.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:15 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 07:49 AM EDT 0.17 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:34 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 12:57 PM EDT 0.30 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:38 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT -0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:52 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Micco, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.3 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
0.3 |
3 am |
0.3 |
4 am |
0.3 |
5 am |
0.2 |
6 am |
0.2 |
7 am |
0.2 |
8 am |
0.2 |
9 am |
0.2 |
10 am |
0.2 |
11 am |
0.3 |
12 pm |
0.3 |
1 pm |
0.3 |
2 pm |
0.3 |
3 pm |
0.2 |
4 pm |
0.2 |
5 pm |
0.1 |
6 pm |
0 |
7 pm |
-0 |
8 pm |
-0 |
9 pm |
-0 |
10 pm |
0.1 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
Melbourne, FL,
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