Friday, September22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Melbourne Beach, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 7:19PM Friday September 22, 2017 8:02 PM EDT (00:02 UTC) Moonrise 8:19AMMoonset 8:09PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 335 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
.small craft should exercise caution tonight...
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas building to 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas building to 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely in the morning. Chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 8 to 11 feet with a dominant period 15 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 feet.
Tuesday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 335 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
Synopsis..Winds and seas will begin to increase late today and through the weekend as major hurricane maria moves northward to the east of the bahamas. Refer to the latest nhc forecast on the forecast track and intensity of maria.
Gulf stream hazards..SEas gradually building 7 to 9 feet north of sebastian inlet into late tonight. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday september 21st. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 19 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 13 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Melbourne Beach, FL
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location: 28.06, -80.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 221851
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
251 pm edt Fri sep 22 2017

Discussion
Higher rain chances through Saturday...

Hazardous boating and surf conditions this weekend...

current... Coastal troughing combined with an increase in onshore
winds and deepening moisture has promoted sct-nmrs showers and isold-
sct storms across ecfl today. Coverage will continue to increase
into the interior peninsula through late day. A few storms could
still be strong. Steering flow remains very weak so expect slow and
erratic cell movement. Storm concerns revolve around locally heavy
downpours, potentially leading to nuisance flooding in spots.

Lightning, gusty winds, and perhaps some small hail will be other
storm threats.

The 15z kxmr sounding shows additional moistening of the mid upper
levels as the pwat values have increased to 2.04 inches. Models
continue to indicate additional cooling aloft this afternoon (-8c to
-9c at 500 mb) across ecfl.

Tonight... Moist easterly flow will continue and will keep 40 pop
along the coast, except 50 pop for st. Lucie martin counties,
decreasing to 20 pop far interior. Min temps quite mild in the u70s
along the coast due to onshore flow and l m 70s further inland.

Previous extended forecast discussion...

sat-sun... Over the weekend, TC maria is still projected to move
nnw-n-nne along a track east of the bahamas and well east of the
fl peninsula having hurricane strength as it exploits the weakness
in the ridge and follows in the wake of the now diminishing tc
jose. This will locally support a brisk onshore low-level flow
e-ene for Sat becoming NE for Sun as the pressure gradient
temporarily tightens then gradually loosens. Expect a wave of
deeper atmospheric moisture overspreading the area into Sat in the
presence of greater instability due to some cooling in the mid-
levels. Breezy with scattered to numerous showers and storms, with
focus near the coast during the morning transitioning west of
i-95 late morning and afternoon. However, by sun, NE flow will
have tapped some drier air and convective activity will be
subsequently curbed with only isolated to widely scattered showers
and storms. Outlooked concern for coastal marine hazards with
building high surf and high threat of rip currents across weekend
due to shoreward propagating large swells. MAX temps in the upper
80s to near 90, with min temps low to mid 70s.

Mon-thu... As TC maria lifts farther north toward the mid-atlantic
waters early next week, backside flow will foster n-ne
trajectories and maintain the drier airmass keeping rain chances
generally below normal. Isolated to widely scattered convection
will give way to null pops by mid-week. The weakening pressure
gradient into mid-week will allow winds to become dampened to near
light at times. MAX temps will be near climo in the upper
80s near 90. Min temps in the low to mid 70s.

Dangerous surf and rip currents will continue at the beaches through
early next week.

Aviation
Vfr outside of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening. Activity should be over for the interior by sunset, and
a chance of showers will stick around for coastal sites through the
evening through Saturday morning. Some very brief MVFR ceilings are
also possible along the coastal terminals overnight tonight into
early Saturday.

Marine
Afternoon tonight... An increase in moisture and coastal
troughing has allowed for above normal shower isold lightning storm
chances across the local coastal waters. The deep moisture and
enhanced instability will promote a continued threat for scattered
convection into this evening and overnight. Waterspouts will be
possible with some activity. Ene E winds will increase to around 15
kts over the open atlc this afternoon and perhaps a bit stronger
this evening overnight over the gulf stream north of sebastian
inlet. Hurricane maria continues to gain latitude as it heads
northward.

Seas will again begin to slowly build late today, north of sebastian
inlet. Seas 5 to 7 feet are expected well offshore by late in the
day and up to 9 feet north of the CAPE very late overnight. A small
craft advisory will go into effect late this afternoon for the
offshore waters of volusia and brevard counties. This advisory will
need to expand to include all the waters during the day on Saturday.

Previous extended marine forecast discussion...

sat-sun... Hazardous boating conditions this weekend due to
increasing onshore wind flow and large swells coming in from tc
maria. E-ne winds 10-15 knots nearshore increasing to 15 to 20
knots, teamed with 15-20 knots for the offshore waters for sat.

Then gradually diminishing back from 15 to 20 knots early Sun to
10-15 knots all waters by Sun night. Seas 6-8 feet nearshore and
8-12 feet offshore sat, and then for Sun 7-10 feet nearshore and
10-12 feet offshore. Seas slower to subside. A high surf advisory
issuance will be likely.

Mon-tue... TC maria will track n-nne toward the waters well east
of the carolinas during the period pulling farther away from
greatly influencing the florida waters. Although winds will become
northerly around 10 knots, continued large swells will keep seas
slower to subside and remain at or above SCA criteria. Nearshore
seas 6-8 feet Mon and 5-7 feet tue. Offshore seas 7-10 feet mon
and 6-8 feet tue.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 76 85 75 86 40 60 20 20
mco 74 88 74 89 30 60 20 20
mlb 78 87 78 89 40 60 30 30
vrb 75 85 77 87 50 60 30 40
lee 73 90 73 90 20 60 20 20
sfb 74 88 74 89 40 60 20 20
orl 75 87 73 89 40 60 20 20
fpr 76 86 76 87 50 60 30 40

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm edt Monday for flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county
line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term... Sedlock
mid term... .Combs
aviation radar... Combs volkmer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 24 mi41 min 83°F4 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 25 mi44 min ENE 14 G 18 79°F 84°F1013.7 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 36 mi42 min E 21 G 27 80°F 84°F1012.8 hPa75°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 40 mi92 min 83°F4 ft
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 99 mi50 min ENE 5.1 G 6

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL5 mi69 minE 1310.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F73°F79%1011.5 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL12 mi67 minENE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F75°F84%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----NE11NE8NE5NE7NE5NE4E10CalmW3N4NW34N7N7N8NE9E11NE14NE15NE11E13E13
1 day agoE9E9E10E6E7E4E4E4E3NW3NW3NW3NE8NE9NE11NE12NE13NE11N11NE13N13--NE12NE12
2 days agoNE9E9NE10E6S4W4CalmCalmNW3CalmNW4NW4NW5N4N10NE9NE6NE14E9NE11NE13NE11E9NE11

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
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Fri -- 03:46 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:56 AM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:09 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 10:09 PM EDT     4.41 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.1210.40.30.81.62.63.64.34.64.33.62.61.60.90.60.81.52.43.344.44.2

Tide / Current Tables for Micco, Indian River, Florida
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Micco
Click for Map
Fri -- 06:34 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:03 PM EDT     0.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:57 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.40.40.30.30.20.10.10.10.10.20.30.40.40.40.40.30.30.20.20.20.20.30.30.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.