Wednesday, January23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Melbourne, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:56PM Wednesday January 23, 2019 6:34 AM EST (11:34 UTC) Moonrise 8:57PMMoonset 9:17AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 411 Am Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday afternoon...
Today..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tonight..South winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Friday..North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Saturday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 411 Am Est Wed Jan 23 2019
Synopsis..High pressure building offshore the eastern u.s. Coast will slide east over the western atlantic. A strong cold front will approach central florida tonight and cross the area early Thursday. Gusty southeast to south winds today and west on Thursday will decrease late Thu afternoon but poor to hazardous boating conditions will remain through the evening hours.
Gulf stream hazards..Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots with seas 7 to 9 feet today and tonight. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday january 21st. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 27 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 19 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Melbourne, FL
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location: 28.11, -80.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 230900
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
400 am est Wed jan 23 2019

Discussion
Warmer today then inclement weather developing overnight...

Some storms early Thursday will accompany a cold front...

currently... Brisk gradient winds out of the southeast have
remained gusty along the coast and beaches overnight, and some
spotty showers have been occurring along the coast and inland with
increasing moisture.

Today... Marine sourced cloud bands will continue to press ashore
at least through mid day as winds slowly veer sly during the
period. Higher gusts will develop during the morning as a modest
inland inversion lifts and partly sunny conditions develop. Expect
good temperature recovery to u70s or 80 deg this aftn with some
isold showers mainly at the coastal counties and atlc waters.

General destabilization will begin late in the day with approach
of gulf disturbance.

Tonight... Will be watching upstream shortwave with the likelihood
of increasing showers and storms along the fl west coast and
northern peninsula in the evening, with the showers and some
storms approaching the forecast area overnight and in the pre-
dawn hours. Strengthening wind fields and destabilized environment
ascd with the approaching wave front will lead to an unfolding
threat of a locally strong storm or two early Thu morning across
the i-4 corridor with showers likely to spread well south into the
area before sunrise roughly from osceola county to the space
coast and points north. Expect mild overnight readings in the 60s
with breezy conditions, especially near showers and storms.

Thu-fri night... A cold front extending from the NE u.S. Will be over
east central fl early Thu morning. Active weather (showers and
thunderstorms) will be pushing south through the morning but models
indicate that much of the energy associated with this trough will
move north and away from the local area as the morning progresses.

So chances for showers and thunderstorms will decrease in the
morning, as the front moves towards the treasure coast by late
morning early afternoon. By Thu afternoon, weather conditions will
continue to improve from north to south, capping temperatures to
near 70 for orange northern brevard north, while the rest of the
forecast area will be able to rise to the mid to upper 70s.

By Thu night, lingering clouds and perhaps a few showers are
possible for the treasure coast while the rest of east central fl,
will be clearing. Winds will veer from the northwest during the
overnight hours, allowing for temps to drop to the low to mid 40s
north of i-4, with mid to upper 40s for the space and treasure
coast.

As the front continues to move south, an area of high pressure will
move towards the southeast u.S. On Fri and Fri night, veering winds
from the north by midnight fri. Temps will have another chance to
drop a few degrees below Thu night Fri morning and no rain chances.

Sat-tue... High pressure will remain over northern fl through at
least Sun night. In the meantime, GFS and the euro (slightly less
obvious) indicate the development of a low pressure over the nw
gulf of mexico on Sun and moving to the east. GFS is being more
aggressive with this, as it brings the low to south fl and keys on
Monday while the euro brings an disorganized area of high
moisture. Showers will be possible with this system but timing of
beginning end remains to be seen as the main two models disagree
on this system. By Monday night, the low is forecast to be over
the NW bahamas and weather coverage should decrease through the
night and tue. However, enough moisture will remain over east
central fl for the occurrence of showers through the end of the
period.

Aviation
Forecast sites will see sfc wnd g20kt during the day with
primarilyVFR conds. Coastal sites may experience brief -shra
with sfc vsby 3-5sm and CIGS nr fl 035-045 near morning to
afternoon shower activity. Overnight expect incrsg shra with isold
ts. MVFR to briefly ifr conds developing mnly aft 23 04z.

Marine
Today and tonight... Gradient winds and associated seas will
remain well within advisory conditions as disturbed weather
approaches the area on Thursday. SE winds 20 to 25 knots will veer
more to sly component by evening with some reduction in winds.

Winds and seas will be locally higher in showers and a few storms
late tonight and into early Thursday.

Thu-fri night... South winds by Thu morning over the atlantic waters
will keep hazardous boating conditions as a cold front makes its way
through. As the day progresses, winds will veer and by Thu afternoon
these could be below advisory criteria (ie 20 knots) from the west.

However, seas will take a few extra hours to subside below 7 feet
across the outer waters of east central fl. Breezes will remain
gentle to moderate with brief fresh northerly breezes on fri
morning, mainly for the outer waters.

Sat-sun... North to northeast light to gentle breezes are expected
across the east central fl waters during the weekend. Seas 3-5 ft on
sat and 2-3 ft on Sunday.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 77 66 71 43 20 70 90 10
mco 79 65 71 45 10 70 90 10
mlb 79 67 73 47 20 50 90 20
vrb 79 69 75 49 20 40 80 20
lee 79 64 69 40 10 80 90 10
sfb 78 64 71 43 20 70 90 10
orl 78 65 71 45 10 70 90 10
fpr 78 70 75 49 20 40 80 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory until 4 pm est Thursday for flagler beach
to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-sebastian inlet to
jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-
60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20
nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short term... Pendergrast
long term... .Negron


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 19 mi50 min SE 18 70°F 70°F1025 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 21 mi35 min 65°F6 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 21 mi47 min SE 11 G 15 68°F 65°F1026.2 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 36 mi45 min SSE 21 G 27 70°F 9 ft1025.5 hPa62°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 44 mi35 min 72°F8 ft
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 97 mi47 min ENE 6 G 8

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL1 mi42 minSE 710.00 miFair68°F55°F63%1024.5 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL8 mi99 minSE 16 G 2110.00 miA Few Clouds69°F60°F76%1024.8 hPa

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW9NW9NW8N9N12N12N17N18
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2 days agoW14W11W18
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Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:07 AM EST     -1.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:16 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:19 AM EST     4.13 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:38 PM EST     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:56 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:38 PM EST     3.91 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.40.2-0.6-1-0.80.11.32.53.64.143.32.31.10.1-0.6-0.6-0.10.923.13.83.93.4

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:55 AM EST     -0.98 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:13 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:08 AM EST     4.19 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:17 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:26 PM EST     -0.64 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:54 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:56 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:27 PM EST     3.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.20.1-0.7-1-0.60.31.62.83.84.243.22.10.9-0-0.6-0.50.11.12.33.33.93.93.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.