Tuesday, October16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Melbourne, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:52PM Tuesday October 16, 2018 9:23 PM EDT (01:23 UTC) Moonrise 1:09PMMoonset 11:57PM Illumination 50% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 343 Pm Edt Tue Oct 16 2018
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Sunday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 343 Pm Edt Tue Oct 16 2018
Synopsis..A gentle to moderate onshore breeze will remain in place through mid week as the high pressure ridge axis remains north of the area. Deteriorating boating conditions expected late this week as onshore winds and seas increase as a weakening frontal boundary moves into the waters Thursday night into Friday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday october 16th. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Melbourne, FL
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location: 28.11, -80.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 161849
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
249 pm edt Tue oct 16 2018

Discussion
Another well above normal day temperature-wise here in east central
florida with temperatures in the upper 80s low 90s. As of 245 pm,
sanford broke a record high at 93 degrees. Melbourne is also on
pace to break a record warm minimum with a low of 81 degrees.

Through tonight... Besides the possibility of a stray shower or two
across the far interior, dry weather will prevail thanks to dry
airmass and high pressure overhead keeping the atmosphere
suppressed. East winds 10-15 mph will become light after sunset
into the overnight. Lows will be in the low to mid 70s with a couple
spots in the upper 70s along the coast.

Wednesday... Same story but different day. No change in the pattern
with mid and upper-level ridging overhead resulting in another day
of dry conditions and well above normal high temperatures. Low-
level ridge axis remaining just north of the area will promote a
se ese wind around 5-10 mph in the morning. Winds will back to a
more ese E direction with speeds around 10 mph as the east coast sea
breeze develops and moves inland during the afternoon.

A few locations will approach record high territory again,
especially melbourne, daytona, sanford, and vero beach where records
are a bit lower (please refer to climate section below). Highs will
be upper 80s near 90 along the coast and low 90s inland.

Wed night-thu night... Frontal boundary across north florida will sag
a little further south during the period and wash out. Surface high
pressure influence across the area will weaken and slide further
south and east into the western atlc, though mid-level ridging will
remain stout across the central fl peninsula. A nerly surge
following the boundary will press southward with onshore winds
continuing through the period. The overall airmass remains rather
dry though there is some gradual moistening late in the period.

Greatest rain threat on Thu with some potential isolated thunder
will be near north of i-4 with pops 30-40pct. Elsewhere chances
generally closer to 20pct. The lingering threat continues Thu night
with 30-40pct chances across the coastal counties and adjacent
coastal waters with decreasing chances interior south of i-4.

Highs Thu will range from the mid 80s volusia coast to around 90
across the central SRN interior. Overnight lows persistent and in
the l-m70s, perhaps a few u70s along the immediate space treasure
coasts and adjacent barrier islands.

Previous extended forecast discussion...

Friday-Saturday... Breezy to windy onshore flow Friday will veer and
weaken into Saturday afternoon in advance of the next front
approaching north florida by Saturday evening. Moisture levels will
support onshore moving scattered showers and isolated storms both
days with slightly higher coverage on Friday. Highs will be mainly
in the mid 80s Saturday and then warm a few degrees to the mid-upper
80s Saturday.

Sun-tue... A stronger frontal boundary will move through the area
Sunday turning low level winds to the northeast through the day and
then veering to the east Monday with breezy to windy conditions
expected. Isolated to scattered showers and few storms will move
onshore through the period. Locally heavy rainfall may be possible
where showers train onshore along the coast. Increased marine
cloudiness and maritime airmass will limit high temperatures to the
lower to mid 80s. Breezy onshore flow will continue into Tue with
isolated showers north to scattered showers central and south. Highs
will remain in the lower to mid 80s.

Aviation
Vfr with ese winds at 10 kts through sunset becoming light and
variable near midnight. Slight chance for patchy fog and MVFR
vsby CIGS after 08z for klee, but confidence remains low to
include in TAF for now.

Marine
Tonight... Sse-se winds will be around 10 kt and approaching 15 kt
south of sebastian inlet with seas remaining in the 2-3 ft range.

Wednesday... Surface ridge axis dropping a little farther south
will result in a more southerly wind direction across the far
northern waters in the morning but otherwise directions will be
se ese. As the sea breeze circulation develops winds will back to
a more ese E direction in the afternoon. Speeds are forecast to be
10 kt or less north of sebastian inlet and 10-15 kt to the south.

Seas of 2-3 ft can be expected.

Wed night... Weak front will slide southward from north fl into north-
central fl overnight. Onshore winds over the open atlc generally
around 10 kts but likely a bit less along further away from the
volusia coast. Seas 2-3 ft near shore to 3 ft offshore.

Previous extended marine forecast discussion...

thu-sun... East winds around 10 knots will increase behind a frontal
boundary from the ene to 15-20 knots across the north into late thu
afternoon and the remainder of the waters Thu night. Seas will
elevate to SCA levels Thu night into Friday. Ese winds Sat will veer
to the southeast Sat afternoon ahead of the next front Sunday with
seas 4-5 ft nearshore to 5-6 ft offshore. Mariners should expect
hazardous conditions on the atlantic Thursday night through Friday
night.

Climate
Record highs for today and Wednesday oct. 17
date temp year date temp year
dab 16-oct 91 1936 17-oct 90 1925
mco 16-oct 95 1925 17-oct 95 1925
sfb 16-oct 92 1971 17-oct 90 1952
mlb 16-oct 90 1959 17-oct 90 1975
vrb 16-oct 92 2009 17-oct 90 1974
fpr 16-oct 91 2009 17-oct 93 1906
record warm lows for today and Wednesday oct. 17
date temp year date temp year
dab 16-oct 77 1933 17-oct 76 1998
mco 16-oct 74 1959 17-oct 74 1989
sfb 16-oct 74 2017 17-oct 72 1959
mlb 16-oct 79 2007 17-oct 75 2007
vrb 16-oct 78 2007 17-oct 79 1990
fpr 16-oct 78 2016 17-oct 77 1985

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 73 90 72 85 10 10 10 40
mco 73 93 73 90 10 10 10 20
mlb 77 90 75 88 10 10 10 20
vrb 74 89 74 88 10 10 10 20
lee 76 92 74 89 10 10 10 30
sfb 73 92 73 88 10 10 10 30
orl 75 93 75 90 10 10 10 30
fpr 73 88 74 87 10 10 10 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Combs
mid term... .Sedlock
aviation... Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 19 mi39 min ESE 11 82°F 82°F1020 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 21 mi24 min 83°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 21 mi36 min SE 6 G 9.9 81°F 84°F1020.8 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 36 mi34 min ESE 9.7 G 14 83°F 1019.9 hPa76°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 44 mi24 min 83°F3 ft

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melbourne International Airport, FL1 mi31 minESE 810.00 miFair83°F73°F74%1019.3 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL8 mi88 minSSE 810.00 miFair82°F76°F83%1019.4 hPa

Wind History from MLB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6E10SE9SE9SE8SE6SE6SE6SE5SE5E5SE7SE10SE9SE10SE11SE10SE13SE10SE11E9SE8SE7E8
1 day agoE12E11E10E9E7SE7SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmS3SE7E8E9E9E9E11E10E12E10E9E9E8
2 days agoE7E8E7E8E8E6E7E4E5E3E4E7E9E7E9E11E10E13E13NE12E13E11E13E13

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
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Tue -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:24 AM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:49 AM EDT     1.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:02 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tue -- 02:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:12 PM EDT     3.88 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:35 PM EDT     1.60 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.63.63.32.82.21.71.31.21.51.92.63.23.73.93.83.42.92.41.91.61.61.92.3

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:13 AM EDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:37 AM EDT     1.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 02:01 PM EDT     3.93 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:02 PM EDT     First Quarter
Tue -- 02:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:23 PM EDT     1.53 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.53.73.63.32.72.11.61.21.21.522.73.33.83.93.83.42.82.31.81.51.61.92.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.