Sunday, January21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Patrick Shores, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 5:55PM Sunday January 21, 2018 7:57 AM EST (12:57 UTC) Moonrise 10:08AMMoonset 10:07PM Illumination 23% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 342 Am Est Sun Jan 21 2018
Today..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..East winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 10 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 342 Am Est Sun Jan 21 2018
Synopsis..High pressure over the southeast will weaken and shift offshore into early next week. Light winds this morning will freshen slightly as a gentle to moderate east breeze develops by tonight and becomes southeast Monday. A weak cool front will reach the local atlantic waters Tuesday night and weaken as it sags into south florida through late Wednesday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday january 21st. 39 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 18 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Patrick Shores, FL
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location: 28.21, -80.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 210946
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
446 am est Sun jan 21 2018

Discussion
Today... A potent mid upper level shortwave trough will push
across north florida this morning before shifting offshore this
afternoon. Forced ascent ahead of the trough will continue to
spread considerable mid and upper level stratus across the area,
with enough moisture present to squeak out light precip (mainly
aloft). Radar imagery, especially composite, will continue to show
considerable returns, though most of this will be aloft (virga)
with little reaching the ground given the continued presence of
dry air between 925-750mb. An enhanced area of convergence lift
just to the north of i-4 could bring light showers to volusia lake
counties through late morning, otherwise sprinkles look in order
elsewhere. Subsident NW flow on the backside of the trough axis
will gradually scour out the cloud cover this afternoon, ending
any chance for sprinkles light showers.

Surface high pressure to our north will veer winds to the east,
though the chilly shelf waters off the volusia brevard coast will
likely keep winds backed more to the NE there. Temps will be a
smidge warmer than Saturday, ranging from the upper 60s over
volusia, low-mid 70s elsewhere.

Tonight... Model soundings indicate considerable drying aloft with
little cloud cover, though some low cumulus will likely push
ashore south of the cape. Agreement between MOS guidance and local
models support patchy fog mainly across the interior. As winds
veer to the east and begin drawing in higher dew points, will need
to watch for marine fog developing over the cold shelf waters of
brevard volusia. Feel that the sst dp spread will remain high
enough to preclude this from happening tonight, but it is still
worth mentioning. Overnight lows in the mid upper 50s, low 60s
along the coast south of the cape.

Mon-tue... The low-level anticyclone elongated e-w just north of the
bahamas will retreat farther seaward as the next storm system
gathers over the plains. Peninsular fl will maintain a maritime se
flow around the S W periphery of the sfc ridge. This will ensure
another warm day for Mon with MAX temps u70s l80s. Although rain
chances will be too low to mention during the day, modest conditioning
will take place in the pre-frontal atmosphere even as winds veer
to the S overnight. A significant upper low and associated sfc
cyclone will drive toward the great lakes while locating a cold
front across the deep south and fl panhandle by first thing tue
morning. Converging moisture ahead of the front will work to
become sufficient to introduce a chance of showers north and west
of interstate 4 Mon night, with a slight chance elsewhere except
for the treasure coast. Min temps in the 60s. Then for tue, the
front will make its southward advance through central fl to
eventually clear south fl by Wed morning. As the parent cyclone
cruises across southeast canada, a decreasing measure of vigor
will characterize local FROPA absent significant upper dynamic
support with the jet lifting out of tx toward the mid-atlantic
and mid-level flow otherwise flattening. MAX temp down just a
tad and in the 70s due to increasing clouds and vicinity showers.

Pops 30-40 percent. Cool advection overnight Tue in post-frontal
scenario with NW sfc winds and partial clearing by Wed morning.

Min temps in the u40s for north lake county and northwest volusia
county to the l60s on the lower treasure coast. Most places will
wake up in the 50s.

Wed-sat... Sfc high pressure builds across the SE CONUS Wed thu
sliding offshore of the DELMARVA by sat. Locally, this will prompt a
progressive veering of the low-level winds from N NE Wed to NE E thu
to E SE Fri and sat. The mid-week front will get hung-up in vicinity
of the florida straits by Wed so post-frontal cooling will be modest
and short-lived as maritime influences usurp the latter half of
the week, especially as the local pressure gradient tightens with
increasing onshore winds. MAX temps in the m60s l70s to the 70s
everywhere by sat. Min temps m40s to u50s north-south Thu morning,
gradually moderating to m50s to the l60s by Sat morning.

Aviation GenerallyVFR through the next 24 hours with
considerable mid upper level clouds persisting through late
morning. Light rain showers are possible in the vicinity of kdab
and klee this morning, though any impact would be both minimal.

Marine
Today tonight... Onshore flow continues at or below 10 knots
today, with winds backed to the NE over volusia brevard due to
presence of abnormally chilly shelf waters. Pressure gradient
tightens some tonight with east winds 10 to 15 knots areawide.

Seas 2-4 feet.

Mon-tue... Elongated high pressure ridge north of the bahamas will
weaken and retreat seaward Mon ahead of an approaching cold front.

The front is forecast to move south through the local waters on tue.

Resulting winds will be SE on Mon 10 knots and seas 2-3 feet, but 10-
15 knots with seas 3-4 feet well offshore. Rain chances will
increase ahead of the front Mon night into Tue with a chance of
offshore moving showers. Winds will veer S SW ahead of the front and
then NW behind it supporting building seas, especially in the gulf
stream.

Wed-thu... Gradient tightens as high pressure builds across the
deep south and pushes the aforementioned cold front into south fl.

Expect deteriorating boating conditions as a result. Gentle to
moderate N NE breeze thru the day wed, bcmg a moderate to fresh ne
breeze Wed night into thu, bcmg a fresh E NE breeze by sunset thu
with fqnt gusts 25kts. Seas 3-4ft Wed aftn, 4-6ft by Thu aftn,
7-9ft Thu night into fri.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 68 56 75 61 20 10 10 20
mco 74 58 79 63 10 0 10 20
mlb 73 61 77 64 10 0 10 20
vrb 73 61 77 63 10 0 10 10
lee 73 56 79 63 10 0 10 30
sfb 72 57 79 62 10 0 10 20
orl 73 58 79 62 10 0 10 20
fpr 74 60 77 63 10 0 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Wu
long term... .Ds


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 14 mi39 min N 7 G 8.9 59°F 60°F1025 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 14 mi34 min 59°F2 ft
SIPF1 26 mi42 min Calm 61°F 1024 hPa
41118 28 mi57 min 2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 31 mi27 min E 9.7 G 14 71°F 72°F1023.1 hPa62°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 98 mi51 min N 4.1 G 6

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL2 mi61 minNNW 510.00 miFair59°F58°F98%1023.4 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL7 mi64 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F57°F86%1022.7 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL18 mi61 minN 710.00 miFair60°F56°F86%1023.3 hPa
Titusville, FL23 mi65 minN 127.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F59°F94%1024 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N6N5N6NW6N7NE8NE9N10N10N6N5N5N3NW3NE5--N4NW7NE4NW5N8N7NW5
1 day agoN9N9N9NW7NW7NW8NW6NW5NE7NE9N7N7N4NW3NW4N5--N6NW4N5NW6N5N4NW5
2 days agoNW14NW12
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Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
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Sun -- 04:01 AM EST     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:09 AM EST     3.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:29 PM EST     0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:06 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:29 PM EST     3.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.31.50.70.1-0.10.10.71.62.433.33.22.71.91.10.50.10.10.51.222.73.13.1

Tide / Current Tables for Cocoa Beach, Florida
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Cocoa Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:55 AM EST     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:14 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:18 AM EST     3.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:23 PM EST     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:53 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 10:06 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:38 PM EST     2.99 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.21.30.50-0.10.10.71.52.22.83.23.12.61.810.3-000.51.21.92.52.93

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.