Sunday, October22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Loughman, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:30AMSunset 6:50PM Sunday October 22, 2017 1:28 PM EDT (17:28 UTC) Moonrise 8:56AMMoonset 8:05PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 946 Am Edt Sun Oct 22 2017
This afternoon..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Numerous showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming north around 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..North winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 15 knots then becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 946 Am Edt Sun Oct 22 2017
Synopsis..High pressure will remain well to our north through tonight as a cold front begins to approach from the west. The resulting flow will be east to southeast...before shifting southerly on Monday. Winds will increase to cautionary levels once again tonight into Monday. Winds will shift to the northwest and north Tuesday into Wednesday in the wake of the cold front...with periods of cautionary level winds and seas expected to continue.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Loughman, FL
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location: 28.22, -81.59     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 221335
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
935 am edt Sun oct 22 2017

Update
Not much going on this morning. Lots of high clouds from
tampa bay south, but they are mostly thin and allowing the
sun to shine through. There are showers in the gulf offshore
southwest florida, and more showers over the atlantic
offshore and along the coast of east-central florida. Both
these areas are moving northwestward and should have little
impact on our weather.

The 12z tbw sounding shows 1.54 precipitable water, which is
about a half inch higher than this time yesterday. The
inversion at 8000 feet is all but gone, and low-level
moisture has increased below 700 mb. This should be enough
to generate some showers with heating during the day, with
the best chances up along the nature coast where low-level
convergence will be more pronounced.

The current forecast is in good shape so only minor tweaks
were made to the gridded database. No text updates are
required at this time.

Aviation
MainlyVFR next 24 hours. Some showers possible mainly tpa
and pie during the afternoon, but overall coverage too low
to include tempo groups.

Marine
Marine observations indicate winds continue to diminish and
are now mostly around 15 knots offshore and 10 to 15 near
the coast. Will drop all headlines from the forecast with
this issuance.

Southeasterly winds will increase overnight again as a cold
front approaches from the northwest. Right now it looks like
exercise caution statements will suffice, but will
reevaluate after 12z model data arrives.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 88 76 83 73 30 10 70 70
fmy 89 75 85 74 10 10 60 60
gif 88 74 85 71 30 10 60 60
srq 88 75 83 72 20 10 70 70
bkv 89 73 84 69 40 10 80 70
spg 88 76 83 73 20 10 70 70

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Update aviation marine... Jillson
upper air... Carlisle
decision support... Close


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 49 mi52 min ESE 8 G 12
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 49 mi58 min ESE 6 G 8.9
MCYF1 49 mi40 min 81°F

Wind History for TPA Cruise Terminal 2, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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-12
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-12
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-12
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Last
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NE10
G16
E10
G14
NE8
G12
NE11
G15
NE10
G13
NE9
G15
NE9
NE9
G12
NE8
G11
NE7
G10
NE7
N5
N5
G8
N6
G9
NE6
G9
NE5
G9
N5
G8
NE6
E6
G9
SE10
G13
E8
G11
1 day
ago
NE10
G15
NE10
G15
NE12
G17
NE10
G15
NE7
G13
N9
G12
NE8
G11
NE8
G13
NE6
G9
NE6
G9
N6
N6
N4
G7
N5
G9
N5
NE5
G8
N6
G10
NE8
G12
NE5
G10
NE6
G11
NE8
G12
NE11
G16
E9
G13
NE10
G13
2 days
ago
NE7
N8
G11
N11
G17
N9
G13
N9
G13
N11
G17
N12
G17
N10
G13
N9
G13
N9
G12
N9
G14
N7
N6
G9
N6
G9
N5
N6
N5
N5
G8
N6
G9
N7
NE11
G16
NE8
G12
NE9
G15
NE9
G12

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kissimmee Gateway Airport, FL9 mi32 minESE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy88°F73°F61%1020.5 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL20 mi35 minESE 9 G 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F72°F63%1020 hPa
Bartow Municipal, FL22 mi43 minESE 1310.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F69°F59%1020 hPa

Wind History from ISM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE15
G20
SE13E15E10SE13
G17
CalmE8E5NE5NE5NE6--E7E7NE6NE5NE6E6E5E6E8SE7SE9SE9
1 day agoE15NE11
G18
E12NE14E13NE12NE10NE8NE6E7E5NE4E7E7E6NE3NE4--E7E6E11E9
G18
E15
G20
E14
2 days agoNE13NE11
G17
E14
G21
E14
G19
NE12NE11
G19
NE6NE8NE7NE7NE8NE4NE5NE5NE3N3NE3NE4NE5E8E12
G19
E15E12
G18
NE12
G19

Tide / Current Tables for CSX Rockport, Mckay Bay Entrance, Florida
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CSX Rockport
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:53 AM EDT     2.91 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:46 AM EDT     0.13 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:11 PM EDT     2.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:08 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:48 PM EDT     1.47 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
22.52.82.92.82.521.40.90.50.20.10.40.91.41.82.12.22.11.91.71.51.51.6

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Island, Hillsborough Bay, Florida
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Davis Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:00 AM EDT     2.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:55 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:10 PM EDT     2.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:09 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 10:05 PM EDT     1.68 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.12.52.82.92.82.52.11.610.60.30.20.40.71.21.722.12.121.91.71.71.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.