Saturday, November17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Patrick AFB, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 5:29PM Saturday November 17, 2018 10:24 PM EST (03:24 UTC) Moonrise 2:20PMMoonset 1:17AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 841 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Tonight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Monday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north 5 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 841 Pm Est Sat Nov 17 2018
Synopsis..An large area of high pressure cover the eastern u.s. Will shift eastward into the atlantic Sunday, allowing winds to become easterly and weaken through Monday. A second high pressure ridge will build into the southeast states through the middle of next week, with a gradually increasing north to northeast wind flow by Wednesday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, november 15th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 11 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Patrick AFB, FL
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location: 28.25, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 180126
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
825 pm est Sat nov 17 2018

Update
Current... Axis of an expansive high pressure ridge extends from the
central gulf coast to the DELMARVA region. While this is producing a
light synoptic scale NE flow across florida, a local n-nw drainage
wind is already setting up over the eastern half of the peninsula.

Otherwise, multiple channel IR imagery shows some scraps of marine
stratocumulus getting eaten up by dry air as it moves onshore, while
thin broken cirrostratus streams overhead.

Rest of tonight... Skies should remain mostly clear for most areas
overnight, with light n-nw winds allowing temps to drop back through
the 50s. The exception will be along the immediate coast, where there
will be a bit more in the way of cloudiness, with temps a few degrees
warmer (near 60f). Inherited forecast has situation well-covered.

Aviation Vfr bkn250 with few-sct035-040 along the dab-sua coastal
corridor.

Marine A small wind chop in a gentle ene to E breeze coupled with
a 9-10s period swell will produce seas of about 3-4ft overnight.

Plan to shave about a foot off the current forecast, and go with 3ft
nearshore and 3-4ft well offshore.

Prev discussion... Issued 312 pm est Sat nov 17 2018
Sunday... Surface high will move northeast from the mid atlantic with
the surface coastal trough near the coast breaking down by mid day
allowing low level onshore flow. Short range guidance hinting at
some returning showers across the atlantic though moisture depth in
the h8-h7 still looks relatively dry for much shower activity. Will
limit some low shower chances across the atlantic with land areas
dry. Highs will rebound back above normal in the upper 70s to lower
80s across the area.

Sunday night... Weak convergence associated with a coastal trough
just offshore along with onshore flow will result in low-topped
shower activity but mainly over the atlantic waters. Some showers
will approach the coast overnight Sunday into Monday morning, but
chances look pretty low for any making it on land given the strength
of the onshore flow along with the local airmass remaining quite
dry. Low temperatures will be in the upper 50s to low 60s.

Monday-Tuesday... Forecast soundings show the atmosphere remaining
dry and suppressed aloft on Monday keeping rain chances below
mentionable levels. A reinforcing frontal boundary and a subtle
piece of energy aloft will move through Monday night into Tuesday
but no precipitation in the forecast due to quite a bit of drier air
remaining below 700 mb. However, an increase in mid and upper cloud
cover can be expected especially across the north before drier air
begins to filter in late in the day on Tuesday. Highs on Monday
will be upper 70s along the volusia coast and low 80s elsewhere.

Increased cloud cover will keep temperatures in the mid 70s on
Tuesday north west of i-4. Upper 70s to near 80 can be expected to
the south.

Extended (slightly modified)... Dry conditions expected to persist
into Wednesday night as dry air mass settles in. Rain chances then
increase by late week as a potent mid-level shortwave moves through
along with potential surface low development across the gulf of
mexico. However, details remain uncertain with the gfs ECMWF showing
a lack of consensus. Temperatures will be near or slightly below
climo through Thursday before warming up a few degrees by late week
into the weekend.

Aviation
Vfr conds expected the next 24 hours with scattered stratocu
dissipating inland this evening but lingering for some cstl
terminals overnight. Onshore flow to 5-10 knots expected Sunday
with scattered stratocu cumulus expected.

Marine
Tonight... Ne ene winds this evening will veer to E late tonight to
around 10 knots. Seas 3-4 ft nearshore to 4-5 ft offshore.

Sunday... Easterly flow around 10 knots with a small shower chance
mainly for the NRN waters. Seas will remain 3-4 ft nearshore and up
to 4-5 ft offshore.

Monday-Tuesday... Light winds 5-10 kt will prevail through Tuesday
morning before turning northerly and increasing to 10-15 kt. For the
offshore waters, some lingering 5 ft seas can be expected near the
gulf stream on Monday before subsiding to 3-4 ft Monday night into
Tuesday. 3-4 ft seas can be expected in the nearshore waters each
day.

Wednesday-Thursday(previous)... No headlines are anticipated through
the holiday with seas around 2 to 3 ft near the immediate coast and
up to 4 ft well offshore. Winds and seas forecast to increase seas
to at least 5 to 6 ft late in the week as possible low pressure
moves associated with gulf wave develops and then moves out of the
local area.

Fire weather
High pressure north of the state will move offshore the mid atlantic
coast this weekend. Onshore winds will develop eventually bringing a
marine influence to the area into Sunday and Monday. A warming trend
will continue through early week with no rain chances expected into
midweek.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 59 78 61 79 10 10 10 10
mco 58 81 61 82 0 0 10 10
mlb 60 81 64 81 0 10 10 10
vrb 59 81 62 82 0 10 10 10
lee 56 80 60 81 0 0 10 10
sfb 58 81 61 82 0 0 10 10
orl 59 81 62 82 0 0 10 10
fpr 58 80 61 82 0 10 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Update aviation... Cristaldi
dss impact wx... Sedlock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 11 mi36 min NW 5.1 G 7 66°F 77°F1021.9 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 11 mi54 min 76°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 28 mi34 min E 9.7 G 14 76°F 3 ft1020.7 hPa56°F
SIPF1 28 mi39 min E 8.9 74°F 75°F1021 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL1 mi28 minNW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy67°F64°F90%1020.7 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi31 minNW 410.00 miA Few Clouds61°F57°F90%1020.5 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL15 mi28 minWNW 510.00 miA Few Clouds63°F59°F88%1020.6 hPa
Titusville, FL21 mi97 minN 07.00 miPartly Cloudy64°F60°F88%1021.3 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9NW9NW11NW14NW14NW13NW14NW15NW13NW13NW9NW10N8N7N9NE10NE7NE8NE7NE8NE5N8N7NW6
1 day agoNW13NW13NW13NW12NW14NW12NW9NW11NW12NW13NW10NW11
G17
N10N9N10N9--N11----N11N10----
2 days agoSE10S8S9S11S8S9S8S7SW9NW19
G26
NW14NW6CalmW7W8NW12NW13NW15NW10NW10NW14NW9NW13NW14

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:17 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:36 AM EST     3.59 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:51 AM EST     1.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:19 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:58 PM EST     3.80 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:24 PM EST     1.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.73.23.53.63.32.82.21.71.31.21.41.92.53.23.63.83.63.22.61.91.41.11.11.5

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:17 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:47 AM EST     3.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:03 AM EST     1.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:19 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:09 PM EST     3.74 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:28 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 09:36 PM EST     1.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.53.13.43.53.32.92.41.81.41.31.41.82.433.53.73.63.32.721.51.21.11.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.