Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Patrick AFB, FL
April 23, 2024 11:05 AM EDT (15:05 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:47 AM Sunset 7:54 PM Moonrise 6:51 PM Moonset 5:29 AM |
AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1017 Am Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
This afternoon - Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 10 knots late. Seas 5 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 7 feet. A dominant period 10 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Friday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Friday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
Saturday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1017 Am Edt Tue Apr 23 2024
Synopsis - Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue today due to seas up to 9 feet in the gulf stream. Conditions improve by Wednesday and continue into late week as a high pressure ridge axis becomes established over the local atlantic waters.
Gulf stream hazards - SEas 6 to 8 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, april 23rd.
44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, april 23rd.
44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 231357 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 957 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
UPDATE
Issued at 950 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Sfc analysis shows high pressure centered over SC early this morning and will slip SE over the Atlc today and tonight.
Breezy/gusty NE winds along the coast will bring marine stratocumulus clouds onshore but no rain is forecast. Occasional BKN-OVC skies possible esp along the coast as the stratocu pancake beneath a subsidence inversion around 5k ft. The NE flow will produce temperatures below normal for late April, reaching the mid 70s along the immediate coast and around 80 well inland.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 950 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
VFR conditions with ocnl CIGs around 050AGL in stratocumulus pushing onshore. Gusty NE winds around 20 knots will occur esp at coastal terminals. Winds will decrease below 10 knots after sunset and veer out of the East.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 315 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today-Tonight...Surface high pressure is forecast to settle across the southeastern US today, with a dry air mass continuing to filter in across the Florida peninsula. As a result, no mentionable rain chances today through tonight with skies remaining mostly clear.
North-northeast winds early this morning will veer to out of the east-northeast this afternoon as the high pressure settles, with gusts up to 25 mph possible along the immediate coast this afternoon. These onshore winds combined with the slightly cooler air mass lingering across the peninsula will keep temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s across east central Florida today, with overnight lows falling into the mid 50s tonight.
Despite the nice weather today, hazardous beach conditions will exist, with a High Risk of rip currents and rough surf present at all east central Florida beaches. Entering the surf is strongly discouraged.
Wednesday-Friday...Prevailing dry conditions expected through mid to late week, with temperatures warming through the period. A dry airmass with PW values around 0.5-1.0" will persist through much of the week, with skies mostly clear. Ridge axis of high pressure over the west Atlantic will remain across or just north of the area, allowing for a relatively light E/SE flow through at least Thursday, with speeds around 5-10 mph. Easterly winds then increase into Friday afternoon, up to 10-15 mph as this weak ridge begins to break down and a stronger area of high pressure centered off the Northeast U.S. coast takes over. Temperatures rise to near to above normal values through the remainder of the week, with highs on Wednesday in the upper 70s/low 80s at the coast to low to mid 80s inland, and then rising to the lows 80s along the coast to mid-upper 80s across the interior into late week. Lows will fall into the upper 50s/low 60s Wednesday night and then will generally remain in the 60s Thursday night and Friday night.
Saturday-Tuesday...Ridge aloft builds eastward over the area into the weekend, before gradually breaking down into early next week. At the surface, high pressure offshore of the northeast U.S. early Saturday will gradually build southward through the weekend and into early next week, with a breezy onshore flow developing into the weekend and then gradually decreasing Monday through Tuesday. Latest runs of the GFS/ECMWF still indicate some waves of slightly higher moisture that may lead to some isolated onshore moving showers in the east-southeasterly flow through the weekend into early next week, but still not a lot of great agreement on favored time periods for this activity. For now will continue to keep mentionable rain chances out of the forecast. Regardless, should any low end rain chances eventually be introduced, any rainfall will be light and sparse, so those wanting more substantial rainfall after the drier conditions as of late will still have some more waiting to do.
Temperatures will continue to remain near to above normal, with highs in the 80s and overnight lows in the 60s.
MARINE
Issued at 315 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today-Tonight...Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue across all legs of the local Atlantic waters due to seas of 6 to 9 feet. North-northeast winds around 15 knots will veer to out of the east-northeast and diminish to around 10 knots this afternoon, leading to seas gradually subsiding late this afternoon into tonight. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect across all local Atlantic waters through 10 AM, and will then be in effect for only the Gulf Stream waters through 4 PM. The Small Craft will then remain in effect for only the offshore Brevard waters and all legs of the Treasure Coast waters through 11 PM. Dry conditions are forecast across the local waters through tonight.
Wednesday-Saturday...Boating conditions become more favorable into mid to late week, with ridge axis of high pressure over the west Atlantic extended near to just north of the area. An E/SE wind flow will largely persist over the waters, with winds speeds around 5-10 knots Wednesday and Thursday, increasing to 10-15 knots Thursday night into Friday. Seas will range from 3-5 feet Wednesday and then continue to fall through the work week, to 2-4 feet Thursday and 2-3 feet on Friday.
Boating conditions then look to deteriorate into Saturday as stronger area of high pressure centered off the Northeast U.S. coast allows easterly winds to continue to increase up to 15-20 knots.
Seas will also build up to 3-5 feet.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 315 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today...Sensitive fire weather conditions are forecast across east central Florida today as an area of high pressure settles across the peninsula. Minimum RH values are forecast to once again fall into the 35 to 45 percent range across the interior west of I-95, with the lowest RH values expected across Lake County, western Orange County, and western Osceola County. North-northeast winds will veer to out of the east-northeast at 10 to 15 mph, with gusts up to 25 mph possible along the immediate coast. Conditions are generally expected to remain just below critical fire weather thresholds.
Wednesday-Friday...Much drier airmass across the area through mid to late week will continue sensitive fire weather conditions across the area. Critically low RH values are forecast each afternoon, mainly over the interior, as easterly onshore flow will keep RH values elevated along the coast. Min RH values will drop as low as the upper 20s to mid 30s Wednesday and Thursday, and mid to upper 30s Friday. Wind speeds across the interior, where critically low RH values are expected, look to remain below 15 mph Wednesday and Thursday, but may approach around 15 mph on Friday afternoon as onshore flow increases.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 76 56 79 59 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 79 58 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 75 60 79 62 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 77 58 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 79 58 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 79 57 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 79 59 84 62 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 77 56 79 59 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for AMZ550-552.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555-572- 575.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ570.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 957 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
UPDATE
Issued at 950 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Sfc analysis shows high pressure centered over SC early this morning and will slip SE over the Atlc today and tonight.
Breezy/gusty NE winds along the coast will bring marine stratocumulus clouds onshore but no rain is forecast. Occasional BKN-OVC skies possible esp along the coast as the stratocu pancake beneath a subsidence inversion around 5k ft. The NE flow will produce temperatures below normal for late April, reaching the mid 70s along the immediate coast and around 80 well inland.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 950 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
VFR conditions with ocnl CIGs around 050AGL in stratocumulus pushing onshore. Gusty NE winds around 20 knots will occur esp at coastal terminals. Winds will decrease below 10 knots after sunset and veer out of the East.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 315 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today-Tonight...Surface high pressure is forecast to settle across the southeastern US today, with a dry air mass continuing to filter in across the Florida peninsula. As a result, no mentionable rain chances today through tonight with skies remaining mostly clear.
North-northeast winds early this morning will veer to out of the east-northeast this afternoon as the high pressure settles, with gusts up to 25 mph possible along the immediate coast this afternoon. These onshore winds combined with the slightly cooler air mass lingering across the peninsula will keep temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s across east central Florida today, with overnight lows falling into the mid 50s tonight.
Despite the nice weather today, hazardous beach conditions will exist, with a High Risk of rip currents and rough surf present at all east central Florida beaches. Entering the surf is strongly discouraged.
Wednesday-Friday...Prevailing dry conditions expected through mid to late week, with temperatures warming through the period. A dry airmass with PW values around 0.5-1.0" will persist through much of the week, with skies mostly clear. Ridge axis of high pressure over the west Atlantic will remain across or just north of the area, allowing for a relatively light E/SE flow through at least Thursday, with speeds around 5-10 mph. Easterly winds then increase into Friday afternoon, up to 10-15 mph as this weak ridge begins to break down and a stronger area of high pressure centered off the Northeast U.S. coast takes over. Temperatures rise to near to above normal values through the remainder of the week, with highs on Wednesday in the upper 70s/low 80s at the coast to low to mid 80s inland, and then rising to the lows 80s along the coast to mid-upper 80s across the interior into late week. Lows will fall into the upper 50s/low 60s Wednesday night and then will generally remain in the 60s Thursday night and Friday night.
Saturday-Tuesday...Ridge aloft builds eastward over the area into the weekend, before gradually breaking down into early next week. At the surface, high pressure offshore of the northeast U.S. early Saturday will gradually build southward through the weekend and into early next week, with a breezy onshore flow developing into the weekend and then gradually decreasing Monday through Tuesday. Latest runs of the GFS/ECMWF still indicate some waves of slightly higher moisture that may lead to some isolated onshore moving showers in the east-southeasterly flow through the weekend into early next week, but still not a lot of great agreement on favored time periods for this activity. For now will continue to keep mentionable rain chances out of the forecast. Regardless, should any low end rain chances eventually be introduced, any rainfall will be light and sparse, so those wanting more substantial rainfall after the drier conditions as of late will still have some more waiting to do.
Temperatures will continue to remain near to above normal, with highs in the 80s and overnight lows in the 60s.
MARINE
Issued at 315 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today-Tonight...Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue across all legs of the local Atlantic waters due to seas of 6 to 9 feet. North-northeast winds around 15 knots will veer to out of the east-northeast and diminish to around 10 knots this afternoon, leading to seas gradually subsiding late this afternoon into tonight. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect across all local Atlantic waters through 10 AM, and will then be in effect for only the Gulf Stream waters through 4 PM. The Small Craft will then remain in effect for only the offshore Brevard waters and all legs of the Treasure Coast waters through 11 PM. Dry conditions are forecast across the local waters through tonight.
Wednesday-Saturday...Boating conditions become more favorable into mid to late week, with ridge axis of high pressure over the west Atlantic extended near to just north of the area. An E/SE wind flow will largely persist over the waters, with winds speeds around 5-10 knots Wednesday and Thursday, increasing to 10-15 knots Thursday night into Friday. Seas will range from 3-5 feet Wednesday and then continue to fall through the work week, to 2-4 feet Thursday and 2-3 feet on Friday.
Boating conditions then look to deteriorate into Saturday as stronger area of high pressure centered off the Northeast U.S. coast allows easterly winds to continue to increase up to 15-20 knots.
Seas will also build up to 3-5 feet.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 315 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Today...Sensitive fire weather conditions are forecast across east central Florida today as an area of high pressure settles across the peninsula. Minimum RH values are forecast to once again fall into the 35 to 45 percent range across the interior west of I-95, with the lowest RH values expected across Lake County, western Orange County, and western Osceola County. North-northeast winds will veer to out of the east-northeast at 10 to 15 mph, with gusts up to 25 mph possible along the immediate coast. Conditions are generally expected to remain just below critical fire weather thresholds.
Wednesday-Friday...Much drier airmass across the area through mid to late week will continue sensitive fire weather conditions across the area. Critically low RH values are forecast each afternoon, mainly over the interior, as easterly onshore flow will keep RH values elevated along the coast. Min RH values will drop as low as the upper 20s to mid 30s Wednesday and Thursday, and mid to upper 30s Friday. Wind speeds across the interior, where critically low RH values are expected, look to remain below 15 mph Wednesday and Thursday, but may approach around 15 mph on Friday afternoon as onshore flow increases.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 76 56 79 59 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 79 58 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 75 60 79 62 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 77 58 80 60 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 79 58 83 61 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 79 57 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 79 59 84 62 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 77 56 79 59 / 0 0 0 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for AMZ550-552.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for AMZ555-572- 575.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ570.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 11 mi | 40 min | 72°F | 4 ft | ||||
| TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 11 mi | 48 min | ENE 11G | 71°F | 78°F | 30.18 | ||
| 41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL | 28 mi | 36 min | NNE 9.7G | 69°F | 76°F | 30.20 | 51°F | |
| SIPF1 | 28 mi | 51 min | 15 | 69°F | 69°F | 30.12 | ||
| TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL | 99 mi | 66 min | NE 6G |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCOF PATRICK AFB,FL | 1 sm | 10 min | ENE 13 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 73°F | 50°F | 44% | 30.17 | |
| KMLB MELBOURNE INTL,FL | 11 sm | 12 min | ENE 10 | 10 sm | Overcast | 72°F | 50°F | 46% | 30.19 | |
| KXMR CAPE CANAVERAL AFS SKID STRIP,FL | 15 sm | 10 min | ENE 10 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 73°F | 50°F | 44% | 30.17 | |
| KTIX SPACE COAST RGNL,FL | 21 sm | 18 min | ENE 12 | 7 sm | Overcast | 77°F | 48°F | 36% | 30.21 |
Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:05 AM EDT 0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:54 AM EDT 3.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:50 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:27 PM EDT 3.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:05 AM EDT 0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 07:54 AM EDT 3.50 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:13 PM EDT -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:50 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:27 PM EDT 3.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.5 |
| 4 am |
| 1.1 |
| 5 am |
| 1.9 |
| 6 am |
| 2.7 |
| 7 am |
| 3.3 |
| 8 am |
| 3.5 |
| 9 am |
| 3.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.6 |
| 11 am |
| 1.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 0 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.5 |
Canova Beach
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EDT 0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:05 AM EDT 3.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:25 PM EDT -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:50 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:38 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:17 AM EDT 0.32 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:29 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 06:48 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:05 AM EDT 3.45 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:25 PM EDT -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:50 PM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 07:51 PM EDT Full Moon
Tue -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 08:38 PM EDT 3.75 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Canova Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.3 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 2.5 |
| 7 am |
| 3.2 |
| 8 am |
| 3.4 |
| 9 am |
| 3.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.7 |
| 11 am |
| 1.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 1 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 3 pm |
| -0 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.7 |
Melbourne, FL,
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