Sunday, July22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Patrick AFB, FL

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7/21/2018 Trying to make page Mobile Friendly

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:20PM Sunday July 22, 2018 6:32 PM EDT (22:32 UTC) Moonrise 3:14PMMoonset 1:37AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 616 Pm Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Monday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Numerous showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Numerous showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 616 Pm Edt Sun Jul 22 2018
Synopsis..A trough of low pressure will remain over or just west of florida through mid week, resulting in a moderate southwest flow today, becoming southerly Monday. By mid to late week, the trough will weaken and a high pressure ridge will build from the bahamas to the far southern peninsula. This will cause the southerly flow by weaken by Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday july 22nd. 40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Patrick AFB, FL
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location: 28.25, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 221951 cca
afdmlb
area forecast discussion... Corrected
national weather service melbourne fl
350 pm edt Sun jul 22 2018

Discussion
Currently-tonight... Large scale outflow boundary settling through
the area will continue to generate widespread storms through
evening. Showers and storms should continue past sunset due to a
warm moist west flow over the associated cold pool. Have gone a
little above MOS pops with likely values until about midnight
across the north half and 50% across the south.

While lightning counts have dropped off considerably from early in
the afternoon, the hot humid low levels overlaid with dry air in the
mid levels will bring a chance for strong-severe wind gusts until
around sunset. Locally heavy rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches will also
be possible.

Previous discussion...

mon-wed... Unseasonable deep trough remains meridionally-aligned from
great lakes to eastern gulf of mexico through mid week. Mid-level
cyclone cuts off within base of trough and meanders over ga al
mon tue. This pattern aloft will induce a weak quasi-stationary
area of surface low pressure across ga al fl panhandle, forcing a
persistent stream of tropical moisture across the CWA early mid
week. Multiple clusters of showers storms will pinwheel from the
gulf and across east-central fl, resulting in numerous daytime and
scattered overnight convection. Coverage will be much above
normal mon-wed, although greatest focus pops expected tue. Periods
of heavy rain and locally strong wind gusts will be the great
hazards this period. MAX temps a few degrees below climo given
extensive cloud cover and high convective coverage.

Thu-sat... Mid level trough will gradually fill and lift north late
week. Low level ridge builds westward from the atlantic, with axis
establishing across the fl straits Thu fri, lifting north toward
central peninsula sat. Low mid level flow remains southerly
through late week, then lifting ridge will allow gradient winds to
back onshore, becoming E SE across the southern CWA Fri and all
areas sat. This pattern change should allow transition to more
typical mid summer weather, with scattered late night morning
coastal showers along coast and convection spreading inland and
increasing during the day. Still appears to be source of
sufficient deep layer moisture upstream to keep pops at or above
climo. Have nudged extended range blended pop guidance toward
climo, but still high-end scattered coverage. Temps near climo.

Aviation Strong to severe storms will overspread the area from
north to south through the course of this afternoon and this
evening. Torrential rainfall with ifr visibilities, frequent to
excessive lightning, and wind gusts in excess of 40 kt will be
possible. This activity has been confined north of ism-tix, but
will reach mlb-vrb-fpr by late afternoon into early evening.

Tsra shra could last into the early overnight hours and additional
tempo groups may be needed. Afterwards,VFR conditions expected
through Monday morning then scattered to numerous showers and
storms are anticipated Monday afternoon.

Marine
Tonight... Surface ridge to our south will keep winds from the
southwest at 10 to 15 knots. Seas will be 2 feet nearshore and 3
feet offshore, except up to 4 feet well offshore. An outflow
boundary dropping south will continue to generate additional
storms with strong wind gusts over 35 knots, mainly from cape
canaveral southward through this evening.

Previous discussion...

mon-thu... Persistent surface trough over or just west of peninsula
through mid week will result in moderate SW S winds, with seas 2-3
ft near the coast, ranging to 4-5 ft well offshore. Ridge will
begin to build west toward fl straits thu, causing pressure
gradient to begin to relax, with winds weakening and backing sse.

Seas 2-3 near shore and up to 4 ft offshore. Scattered to numerous
showers storms moving off the peninsula mon-wed, then scattered
marine convection thu.

Hydrology
The saint johns river ranges from near action stage to near flood
stage between geneva and astor. Little change is expected into mid
week.

Near geneva, just south of lake harney, the most recent stage was
8.0 feet, which is at flood stage (8.0 feet). The river is forecast
to stay nearly steady through mid week. A river flood warning
remains in effect for this area.

At sanford, the most recent stage was 5.1 feet, which is above
action stage (4.2 feet). The river is forecast to remain nearly
steady, staying below flood stage (5.5 feet) through mid week.

Near deland, the most recent stage was 3.4 feet, which is near the
threshold for action stage (3.5 feet). The river is forecast to
remain nearly steady into mid week.

At astor, the most recent stage was 2.3 feet due to wind and
local rainfall this afternoon. This is above flood stage but is
expected to drop below flood stage overnight then remain nearly
steady into mid week.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 76 92 75 88 60 50 30 60
mco 77 90 76 88 60 50 30 70
mlb 78 93 76 89 60 60 40 70
vrb 76 93 75 90 50 60 40 70
lee 77 90 77 88 60 50 30 70
sfb 78 91 76 89 60 50 30 70
orl 77 90 76 88 60 50 30 70
fpr 77 93 75 90 50 60 40 70

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... Severe thunderstorm watch until 8 pm edt this evening for
coastal volusia county-inland volusia county-northern
brevard county-northern lake county-orange-osceola-seminole-
southern brevard county-southern lake county.

Am... Severe thunderstorm watch until 8 pm edt this evening for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-
volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20 nm-
volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Short long term... Lascody
aviation radar... .Combs smith ulrich
zczc wrkafdmlb all
ttaa00 kwrk 020201
!--not sent--!


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 11 mi33 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1 75°F 83°F1012.5 hPa (+0.0)
41118 25 mi63 min 82°F3 ft
SIPF1 28 mi18 min NNE 13 79°F 1012 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 28 mi23 min NW 5.8 G 7.8 80°F 1011.6 hPa69°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 99 mi33 min E 11 G 15

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL1 mi97 minNNE 16 G 281.63 miThunderstorm Heavy Rain Fog/Mist73°F73°F100%1012.6 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi40 minN 910.00 miOvercast80°F73°F82%1010.7 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL15 mi37 minSSE 32.25 miLight Rain Fog/Mist74°F71°F91%1010.8 hPa
Titusville, FL21 mi46 minN 057.00 miMostly Cloudy75°F73°F94%1011.8 hPa

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN8SW7SW7SW9SW7SW9W9W8SW8SW8W7SW9SW6SW8W10W11W11W11W12W10SW11N20
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1 day agoW4W3W4W4W5SW7S6SW10SW8SW8SW9SW8SW8SW10SW12SW12W14W11NW7W23
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2 days agoSW5SW6S4S6S7S6S3S5SW5SW6SW7SW8S8SW8SW6SW7SW10SW12W12W9W7W7W7E6

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
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Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:08 AM EDT     3.20 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:38 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:59 PM EDT     3.36 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:11 PM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.72.433.23.12.61.91.20.50.10.10.41.11.92.63.23.43.22.721.30.80.6

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:13 AM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:46 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:03 PM EDT     3.36 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:16 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.72.42.93.23.12.721.30.60.100.411.82.53.13.43.22.82.11.40.90.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.