Monday, March25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cocoa, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:19AMSunset 7:38PM Monday March 25, 2019 8:26 PM EDT (00:26 UTC) Moonrise 11:39PMMoonset 9:48AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 328 Pm Edt Mon Mar 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from late Tuesday night through Thursday evening...
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots late in the evening, then becoming west after midnight increasing to 10 to 15 knots towards daybreak. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..West to northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 8 to 11 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 8 to 11 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 feet.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Friday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 328 Pm Edt Mon Mar 25 2019
Synopsis..As high pressure pulls further seaward, a cold front is forecast to settle across the local atlantic waters by late Tuesday. Low pressure is forecast to develop along the front just east of the waters Wednesday while at the same time, strong high pressure builds south across the area. These two features will combine to produce gale conditions and rapidly building seas Wednesday into Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday march 25th. 36 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cocoa, FL
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location: 28.4, -80.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 251902
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
303 pm edt Mon mar 25 2019

Discussion
Becoming windy Wednesday with dangerous boating and surf
conditions developing...

current-tonight... Surface high pressure will begin to slide further
into the western atlc ahead of the next approaching weather system.

Zonal flow aloft continues in the mid-levels but increasing upper
troughing is forecast for the eastern CONUS just north of the area.

Local mesoscale models suggest an east-west coast sea breeze
collision across the eastern peninsula with momentum from this being
taken offshore and across the gulf stream late tonight. Parameters
not really in place for precip over land from this collision, though
we may see some cumulus build-up late in the day. Otherwise we carry
a schc mention over the coastal waters this evening overnight.

Overall light offshore winds will develop areawide this
evening overnight. A weak cold front will push into north florida
late in the night. Low temps will be in the upper 50s lower 60s.

Tue... A weak frontal trough will settle across the area late in the
day early evening. Though this day will remain rather warm in the
u70s to 80 along the coast and l80s into the interior out ahead of
this approaching system. A slight threat (20pct) for afternoon
showers will exist and mainly toward the east coast due to sea
breeze activity. Winds on this day will be mainly wnw, but are
forecast to veer late in the day along the coast to nne ne. Speeds
generally 7-12 mph but may increase in upwards of 15 mph along the
volusia coast with some higher gusts as the pressure gradient
tightens northward.

Tue night-Thursday... A digging mid-level shortwave will push across
northern and central florida Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Sufficient lift and moisture with this system will result in
scattered to numerous showers Tuesday night across volusia and
northern brevard counties with coverage tapering off with southward
and westward extent. As this shortwave moves through a surface
trough or weak low pressure is expected to develop off the east
coast of florida and remain close to the area through Thursday. As
the pressure gradient tightens, it will bring a period of strong
onshore winds of 20 to 25 mph along the coast with gusts up to 35
mph Wednesday and Thursday. Conditions at area beaches will also
turn dangerous, with large breaking waves in the surf zone, a high
risk of strong rip currents, and minor to moderate beach erosion
near times of high tide. Winds will not be as strong over the
interior, but it will still be breezy with winds approaching 20 mph
with gusts of 25 to 30 mph, especially Wednesday. Scattered to
numerous pops will remain along the coast for Wednesday for onshore-
moving showers with chances gradually diminishing across the
interior.

Shower chances will begin to decrease as higher moisture gets pulled
away from the area Wednesday night and Thursday. Chances are only 20-
30% % Wednesday night along the coast, and for Thursday will only
keep a slight chance of showers from melbourne southward.

Low temperatures during this period will be in the mid 50s across
the interior and upper 50s to low 60s toward the coast. Highs in
the mid to upper 60s across volusia and northern portions of lake
and brevard counties and low to mid 70s to the south. Slight warming
trend on Thursday with highs in the low to mid 70s over much of the
area.

Fri-sun (previous discussion)... Pressure gradient will weaken into
late week and through the weekend as high pressure ridge axis
settles southward and across the region. It will remain mostly dry,
with only a slight chance for onshore moving showers, mainly south
of the CAPE at times. With flow remaining onshore through much of
the period, temps will continue to climb, reaching back into the low
80s across the interior by this weekend.

Aviation S SW winds over the interior with ese SE winds along the
coast following sea breeze development. Shower activity potential
remains near 10pct. With approach of a front to the north (late)
winds will respond by becoming light SW W tonight. MVFR CIGS are
suggested toward sunrise along north of i-4 assocd with the
approaching trough. Wnw winds on Tue veering late in the day along
the coast (nne ne) in part to proximity of surface trough ecsb. Schc
showers Tue afternoon, especially near the coast.

Marine Current-tonight... The high pressure ridge axis gets pushed
seaward as a weak cold front enters north fl late in the night.

Winds will respond by becoming offshore and increasing to 10-15 kts;
generally 15 kts over the open atlc north of the cape. There will be
an isolated threat for showers. Seas 2-3 ft except 3-4 ft well
offshore north of the cape.

Tue... High pressure is pushed seaward as a weak cool front slides
southward across the waters late in the day evening. Due to the
approach of this feature we will see mainly an offshore wind (wnw),
though will still see a sea breeze initiate mid-late afternoon.

Winds near the coast may then become nne NE as a result with a
threat for an afternoon shower. Speeds AOB 15 kts, but we may see 15-
20 kts by late aftn early evening offshore the volusia coast.

Tue night-sat (modified previous discussion)... Winds quickly veer
onshore and rapidly strengthen north of the CAPE Tuesday night
behind a weak cold front pushing south through the waters. Weak low
that develops along this boundary will further increase the pressure
gradient into mid week. N NE winds will increase to 20-25 knots
nearshore and up to 25-30 knots offshore into Wednesday, with
frequent gusts to gale force possible, especially offshore. Long ne
fetch combined with the strong N NE flow will produce large waves up
to 10-15 feet into Wednesday.

Boating conditions will remain hazardous into late week as winds and
seas only slowly decrease through the period. NE winds will still
reside up to 20-25 knots Thursday morning, gradually decreasing to
10-15 knots into Friday. Seas up to 9-13 feet Thursday will fall to
7-9 feet on Friday.

By Saturday winds will be east to southeasterly around10 knots, but
6-7 ft seas will linger offshore and near the gulf stream. Seas of
4-6 ft can also be expected nearshore.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 61 79 58 67 0 20 70 50
mco 62 83 58 73 0 10 50 40
mlb 63 80 61 73 10 30 40 60
vrb 62 82 59 74 10 20 30 50
lee 62 83 57 71 0 10 50 20
sfb 62 82 58 73 0 20 60 40
orl 62 83 59 72 0 10 50 40
fpr 61 83 58 75 10 20 20 50

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... Small craft advisory from 10 pm Tuesday to 10 pm edt Thursday
for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm.

Small craft advisory from 4 am Wednesday to 10 pm edt Thursday
for volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-20 nm.

Gale watch from Wednesday morning through Thursday morning for
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am to 10 pm edt Thursday for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm-
sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 20-60 nm-volusia-brevard
county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Gale watch from late Tuesday night through Thursday morning for
volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory from 10 am Wednesday to 10 pm edt Thursday
for sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm.

Gale watch from Tuesday evening through Thursday morning for
flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Short term... Sedlock
long term... .Combs
aviation... Sedlock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi39 min 71°F 70°F1017.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 20 mi87 min 71°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi37 min SSE 14 G 18 75°F 2 ft1016.6 hPa65°F
SIPF1 45 mi42 min SE 8 72°F 72°F1018 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 87 mi57 min WSW 8 G 9.9

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL10 mi40 minSSE 107.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F62°F65%1016.3 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL19 mi31 minS 710.00 miFair71°F64°F80%1016.2 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL20 mi91 minSSE 1010.00 miFair74°F66°F77%1016.7 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL22 mi34 minWNW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F55°F45%1015.9 hPa

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Last 24hrSE5------------------CalmCalmCalmS4SE5SE85SE5E5SE5SE5S10SE10SE10
1 day agoNE5------------------5--4E6E6E8SE6SE10SE10SE10SE10SE10SE10E5
2 days agoNW3------------------CalmCalmCalmN12NE12E8NE10NE8E8E8NE13NE9NE8NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Mon -- 03:03 AM EDT     4.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:04 AM EDT     4.18 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:44 PM EDT     4.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:40 PM EDT     4.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.24.2

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Mon -- 05:59 AM EDT     0.15 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:46 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 11:55 AM EDT     3.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:00 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.443.12.110.40.20.40.91.82.73.33.53.32.61.70.90.200.20.81.72.83.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.