Tuesday, November20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cocoa, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 5:28PM Tuesday November 20, 2018 9:03 AM EST (14:03 UTC) Moonrise 4:05PMMoonset 4:02AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 349 Am Est Tue Nov 20 2018
Today..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming north 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the evening.
Wednesday..North winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south after midnight. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Chance of showers.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 349 Am Est Tue Nov 20 2018
Synopsis..A cold front will pass over the waters later today. The front will be preceded by scattered showers and a few possible storms. A high pressure ridge will build into the southeast states through mid week. Expect increasing northerly winds this afternoon into evening, becoming northeast Thursday, and east by Friday, with slowly building seas by late week.
Gulf stream hazards..Winds becoming north to northwest around 14 to 17 knots with seas around 5 to 6 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, november 18th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 26 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cocoa, FL
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location: 28.4, -80.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 200840
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
340 am est Tue nov 20 2018

Passing upper disturbance to bring a chance of rain today...

Discussion
Today and tonight... An approaching upr disturbance across the
northern gulf and SE states will usher considerable clouds across
the region. The upper feature will pass just north of the area
from morning and into the afternoon hours. Taking into account
cool mid level temps near -11 to -12c, along with suitable
moisture and forced jet ascent, pops have been increased areawide
well into sct category. Rain amounts are not expected to exceed a
tenth or two tenths of an inch however due to upr level mechanisms
as primary drivers for fast moving pcpn. The potential will exist
for an elevated storm or two across the area as early as this
morning along and north of the i-4 corridor and into the afternoon
for the most of remainder of the area. Highs will be limited to
the l70s across the north and u70s to l80s south of metro orlando
to lake okeechobee and treasure coast.

With passage of the main upr energy by mid to late afternoon, a
cool front will ease south into the area. Temps will cool into the
m-u50s over a good portion of the area with l-m60s along the
space and treasure coasts overnight with partial clearing of the
sky. There will be a lingering chance of light showers tonight
from the space coast, edging to the southern portion of the area
and adjacent treasure coast waters after midnight.

Wednesday... Post-frontal cooling will be short-lived as the boundary
stalls over south florida. Still, drier air will filter in as high
pressure builds into the southeast and generates light north flow.

Opted to keep land areas dry as any lingering showers should remain
offshore the treasure coast and over south florida. Seasonable
afternoon temperatures ranging from the mid 70s along i-4 to near 80
inland from the treasure coast.

Thursday-Friday... Strong high pressure building toward the mid
atlantic will nose down the eastern seaboard and lead to
strengthening onshore flow late this week. Meanwhile, coastal
troughing offshore northeast florida will sharpen as energy
embedded within the southern jet stream transits the gulf and
into the atlantic. As a result, shower coverage is forecast to
increase, particularly over the atlantic in the vicinity of the
trough. Will carry the highest pops there and along the coast as
breezy east winds push showers toward the mainland.

Saturday-Monday... An active southern jet stream is forecast to
persist into the extended as several shortwaves become embedded
within fast and mainly zonal flow over the conus. While models agree
on the large scale pattern, uncertainty in both the timing and
strength of individual features remain higher than usual. For now,
low pops were retained into early next week. Focused higher precip
chances on Saturday with this forecast package, when a sharp mid
and upper level trough triggers low pressure along the gulf coast
and over the southeast.

Aviation
Due to elevated nature of approaching system, mainlyVFR
conds expected, with some ceilings near fl030-040 greatest in extent
this morning through around 18z. Any ceilings should lift to greater
than fl050 after 18z, then becoming sct areawide aft 23z. Isold
storms will be possible from 12z through 20z with vsby AOB 2sm and
sfc wnd g nr 25kt.

Marine
Today and tonight... Sfc winds will increase from n-s during the day
as the sfc front moves over the waters. Winds near 15 to 17 knots
will bring increased seas, ESP over the outer waters this afternoon.

Winds and seas are expected to remain just below headline criteria
attm. Seas will average around 3 to 4 ft near shore and 4 to 5 ft
offshore, and slightly higher near the gulf stream.

Wed-thu... Generally favorable conditions as front stalls over
south florida and onshore (northeast) flow develops. Winds
generally 10-15 knots, seas 3-4 feet.

Thu night-fri... A period of hazardous marine conditions is
expected to develop late this week as strong high pressure builds
down the eastern seaboard and tightens the local pressure
gradient. Meanwhile, a developing and strengthening coastal trough
offshore northeast florida will bring increasing rain chances.

Main window of concern begins late Thursday night and continues
through Friday night as winds up to 20 knots build seas to 10
feet offshore.

Sat... Conditions expected to remain poor to hazardous, particularly
offshore, as winds rapidly swing around to the south and southwest
in advance of a developing low pressure system over the gulf coast.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 72 57 74 55 50 10 10 10
mco 76 60 77 57 40 10 0 0
mlb 79 62 78 60 40 20 10 10
vrb 79 63 79 62 40 30 10 10
lee 75 56 75 54 50 10 0 0
sfb 74 58 77 56 40 10 0 0
orl 77 60 77 58 40 10 0 0
fpr 81 64 79 62 40 30 10 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Ulrich pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi33 min E 1.9 G 2.9 73°F 76°F1019.8 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 20 mi33 min 76°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi23 min Calm G 1.9 78°F 1018.9 hPa68°F
SIPF1 45 mi33 min WSW 5.1 72°F 73°F1020 hPa

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL10 mi76 minN 07.00 miMostly Cloudy0°F0°F%1018.6 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL19 mi67 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds69°F67°F96%1018.2 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL20 mi67 minNNW 410.00 miFair0°F0°F%0 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL22 mi70 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F66°F90%1018.4 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW5NE65N6NE6NE7NE7NE10NE10NE5--NE5Calm------------------CalmCalm
1 day ago4----E4E6E6NE5E5E5CalmCalmCalmCalm------------------W5W5
2 days agoNW5NW6N9NE9--NE9N14N10N10N5N5NW5Calm------------------CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
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Tue -- 02:16 AM EST     4.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:02 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:45 AM EST     4.06 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:04 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:51 PM EST     4.10 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:34 PM EST     4.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.1

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Tue -- 04:01 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 05:04 AM EST     3.92 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:48 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:11 AM EST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:13 PM EST     3.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 11:20 PM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.51.222.93.63.93.73.22.41.50.70.30.511.62.43.23.63.52.92.21.30.4-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.