Friday, June23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cocoa, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:25AMSunset 8:25PM Friday June 23, 2017 6:14 AM EDT (10:14 UTC) Moonrise 5:03AMMoonset 7:02PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 325 Am Edt Fri Jun 23 2017
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 knots becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 knots becoming northeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 325 Am Edt Fri Jun 23 2017
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge axis will settle across central florida this weekend then weaken early next week as a weak frontal trough pushes into the waters on Tuesday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday june 22nd. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cocoa, FL
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location: 28.4, -80.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 230834
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
434 am edt Fri jun 23 2017

Discussion
Today... Deep layer subtropical ridge over the southwest atlantic
will extend west across the florida peninsula and produce below
normal rain chances again today. Pocket of dry air will rotate nw
across the area around low level ridge with some relative
moistening moving back in across the south. This will produce
isolated atlantic showers pushing onshore along the treasure
coast this morning, perhaps as far north as south brevard. Then
additional isolated showers will develop inland from the coast
south of the CAPE orlando as a diffuse sea breeze pushes inland.

Warm temps aloft (-5c at 500 mb) and unimpressive lapse rates will
limit updraft strength and prospect for deep convection (thunder).

Still, strong heating and boundary interactions may produce a
few lightning strikes over the interior treasure coast counties
and okeechobee. High temperatures will reach the low-mid 90s
interior and upper 80s near 90 at the coast.

Tonight... Weakening veering onshore flow should limit atlc shower
development and ability to push onshore so will keep forecast
rainfree. Lows generally in the low to mid 70s, except upper 70s
at the immediate coast. This is not far from normal so do not
expect any record warm mins.

Saturday-Sunday... Deep ridging over the peninsula will start to
get tempered back on Sunday as a mid upper level trough digs over
the eastern seaboard and its associated surface front moves
closer to the state. Moisture will be slow to increase over the
weekend as the surface ridge axis shifts to our east and winds
veer out of the south. Given the presence of the deep layer ridge,
expect below normal rain chances to continue into Saturday with
no greater than 30-40% chances advertised across the far interior.

Quick inland progression of the sea breeze will keep shower and
storm chances even lower along the coast (10-20%). Better moisture
and slightly more unstable conditions aloft suggest Sunday's pops
should be 10- 20% higher areawide, with convection focusing
across the interior late in the afternoon. Afternoon temps will be
a few degrees above their late june average.

Monday-Thursday... The surface boundary will slow as it approaches
the area early next week, allowing deeper moisture to pool over
the peninsula. Combined with lowering heights aloft (cooler
temperatures) courtesy of troughiness aloft, expect higher shower
and thunderstorm chances to greet the start of the workweek.

Greatest chances (50-60%) will remain focused over the interior,
though light offshore flow should bring better rain chances back
to the coast as well. By mid week, the trough is expected to shift
off the east coast as surface high pressure builds toward the
mid- atlantic. This will allow more steady onshore flow to develop
and shift the best chances for afternoon convection to the
western half of the peninsula.

Aviation
Patchy MVFR CIGS possible ESP after sunrise with isold shra
affecting the coast south of mlb through 16z or so. May need a
vcsh for fpr sua then focus for isold shra tsra will shift inland
during the afternoon but most activity should remain south of mco.

Marine
Today... Atlc ridge axis will remain north of the waters roughly
along 30n lat. The resulting SE pressure gradient will support
around 10 knots with 10-15 knots near the coast enhanced by the
sea breeze. Only isolated showers expected south of the CAPE this
morning. Seas 3 to 4 feet mainly in an east swell which will
produce a moderate risk of rip currents at the beaches.

Saturday-Tuesday... Atlantic high pressure will shift to the east
of the area as a weak front approaches, allowing winds to veer to
the south as their speeds gradually lower. Winds will generally
remain at or below 10 knots, with seas 2-3 ft. Coverage of showers
and thunderstorms expected to increase early next week.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 89 75 90 75 10 10 20 20
mco 93 76 92 75 10 10 30 20
mlb 90 77 89 77 20 10 20 10
vrb 90 75 90 76 20 10 20 10
lee 93 77 91 76 10 10 40 20
sfb 92 75 92 76 10 10 30 20
orl 93 76 92 76 10 10 30 20
fpr 90 74 90 76 20 10 20 10

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Kelly
long term... .Ulrich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi44 min ESE 4.1 G 5.1 78°F 81°F1018.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 20 mi23 min 78°F2 ft
41116 39 mi44 min 80°F3 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi34 min SE 12 G 14 81°F 80°F1018.1 hPa76°F
SIPF1 45 mi29 min SE 4.1 77°F 1018 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 87 mi44 min E 1 G 1.9

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL19 mi76 minSE 410.00 miFair76°F74°F95%1017.2 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL20 mi76 minSSE 510.00 miFair78°F76°F98%1017.3 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL22 mi81 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds73°F73°F100%1017 hPa

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------SE7SE7SE7SE10SE10SE10SE16SE13SE12SE12SE12SE12SE14
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1 day ago----------------------S8SE10S10SE10SE10SE15SE13SE13SE10SE10SE19SE15SE11
2 days ago------------------SE10SE6SE6SE10SE10SE10SE10SE15SE20SE13E8E10E10SE15--

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:29 AM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:07 AM EDT     3.68 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:56 PM EDT     3.73 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:02 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:32 PM EDT     New Moon
Fri -- 11:21 PM EDT     3.69 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.73.7

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:35 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:01 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:26 AM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 01:30 PM EDT     -0.83 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 08:09 PM EDT     5.17 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:32 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.5-0.1-0.20.31.12.23.13.73.63.12.21-0.1-0.7-0.7-0.10.92.33.74.75.24.94.12.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.