Friday, April26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Aripeka, FL

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 8:03PM Friday April 26, 2019 4:22 AM EDT (08:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:06AMMoonset 11:51AM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ850 Coastal Waters From Tarpon Springs To Suwannee River Fl Out 20 Nm- 351 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2019
Today..West winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Tonight..North winds around 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots early in the afternoon, then then becoming northwest around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming west early in the afternoon, then then becoming northwest around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Sunday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 351 Am Edt Fri Apr 26 2019
Synopsis.. A frontal boundary moves through the coastal waters through the day producing high chances of showers and storms and increasing winds around 15 knots and seas around 3-4 feet. Mariners should take caution when operating in the gulf waters today. The winds will shift to the north-northwest in the wake of the front by early Saturday morning. High pressure moves into the area by Saturday afternoon and will persist into next week. Tranquil boating conditions with winds less than 10 knots and seas less than 2 feet can be expected starting Sunday and continuing through next week. No other marine impacts are expected.


Hourly Forecast for Marine Location Near Aripeka, FL
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location: 28.44, -82.66     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 260749
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
349 am edt Fri apr 26 2019

Marginal risk of strong to severe storms today...

Discussion
A highly amplified pattern has set up over the east coast.

Sharp mid- upper level ridging has slipped off the east
coast and extends from the bahamas northward through the new
england states and into quebec. Deep troughing extends
south through the mississippi river valley and into the
northeastern gulf of mexico. This trough will lend support
to the weather system moving through the florida panhandle
this morning and expected to move through the florida
peninsula later today. The trough will exit to the northeast
late Friday evening into Saturday morning as a zonal
pattern sets up over the southeast u.S. Through the weekend.

Strong upper ridging builds over florida late Monday into
Tuesday and will persist through most of next week.

On the surface, an area of low pressure and associated frontal
boundary moves eastward across northern florida. Latest radar
imagery is showing the stronger storms moving through the northern
coastal waters and levy county. SPC continues to hold most
of the florida peninsula in a marginal risk for severe
weather today. The greatest threat will be damaging winds
with passing storms. Storms are currently moving through the
nature coast, with the latest hrrr model guidance slowly
progressing the storms southeastward through central florida
late morning early afternoon and exiting southwest florida
by the early evening. High pressure builds in behind this
front on Saturday and will persist through all of next week
producing rain-free conditions and warm weather.

Aviation
Vfr conditions expected to prevail through around 15z. As the front
approaches the northern terminals at that time, some brief
MVFR ifr CIGS and vsby restrictions will be possible at
tpa pie lal srq, then becomingVFR between 18-21z. Some
brief MVFR ifr CIGS and vsby restrictions will be possible
for the southern terminals at pgd fmy rsw a little later
around 18z, then becomingVFR between 21- 00z. S-se wind at
8-10 knots expected overnight until around 12-15z, then
becoming gusty around 15 knots with gusts approaching 20-25
knots as the front moves through. Winds shift to the west-
northwest after 16z and decrease to around 10 knots. No
other aviation impacts expected.

Marine
A frontal boundary moves through the coastal waters through the day
producing high chances of showers and storms and increasing winds
around 15 knots and seas around 3-4 feet. Mariners should
take caution when operating in the gulf waters today. The
winds will shift to the north-northwest in the wake of the
front by early Saturday morning. High pressure moves into
the area by Saturday afternoon and will persist into next
week. Tranquil boating conditions with winds less than 10
knots and seas less than 2 feet can be expected starting
Sunday and continuing through next week. No other marine
impacts are expected.

Fire weather
Abundant moisture will keep humidity values above critical levels
through the end of the week with no red flag conditions expected.

High rain chances can be expected today as a cold front moves through
the region. Increasing 20 foot winds and transport winds in the
vicinity of the front will support high dispersion indices across
the forecast area today. Drier air will move in behind the front
on Saturday with some rh indices dropping below 35 percent, but
winds and erc values will not meet red flag criteria. No other
fire weather concerns are expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 82 62 84 65 60 0 0 0
fmy 86 65 88 68 50 10 0 0
gif 84 61 86 63 60 10 0 0
srq 81 63 84 65 60 0 0 0
bkv 82 53 85 60 70 0 0 0
spg 81 68 84 66 50 0 0 0

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... 74 wynn
decision support... Jillson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 1 mi88 min Calm G 1.9 79°F 1013.4 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 21 mi88 min SSW 15 G 19 75°F 1013.7 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 33 mi34 min S 15 G 18 74°F 77°F1012.4 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 37 mi34 min S 6 G 8.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 37 mi34 min SSE 8 G 11
MCYF1 38 mi34 min 81°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 41 mi34 min SSW 14 G 16 74°F 76°F1013 hPa
GCTF1 47 mi34 min 75°F 1012.9 hPa70°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 47 mi40 min SW 8 G 13 74°F 75°F1013 hPa
CLBF1 49 mi88 min SSW 11 G 15 78°F 1012.6 hPa

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brooksville-Tampa Bay Regional Airport, FL11 mi29 minS 39.00 miFair66°F64°F96%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from BKV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4S44S7SW8S10S8SW10
G16
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S43Calm4CalmNE4Calm4W9W8W6W5NW3CalmCalmCalmCalm--E3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5Calm4N7NE7W9W7W10W7NW9NW4N3N3SE5CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Aripeka, Hammock Creek, Florida
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Aripeka
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:03 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:05 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:04 AM EDT     2.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:37 PM EDT     1.30 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 12:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:10 PM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:19 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Fri -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.40.30.40.81.21.61.921.91.71.51.31.31.51.92.22.42.42.32.11.91.71.4

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson Creek, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.